Mon May 11 10:16am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Robinson could do well again
The NFL schedule was released last week, so we thought it was a good time to see how it impacts the fantasy world. Below is a look at the fantasy strength of schedule for the receiver position.
Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the wide receiver position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to receivers last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the receivers with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season.
Bears receiver Allen Robinson had a big season last year and could build on that with the most favorable schedule for receivers. He might deserve to be bumped up a few spots in your rankings this year. The Cowboys trio of top receivers get the second easiest schedule for receivers. These guys might be hit or miss with so many mouths to feed but are going to have some huge games along the way.
A few other teams with favorable schedules for receivers are the Packers, Panthers, Redskins and Seahawks. Davante Adams has little competition for targets and an easy schedule, so he seems setup for a big season. D.J. Moore had a breakout season last year and could do even better this year. D.J. Metcalf seems ready to take a step forward in years two for the Seahawks. Lastly, the Redskins have quarterback concerns, but Terry McLaurin is their top receiver and produced despite that last year. He could do well again this coming season.
The Texans lost DeAndre Hopkins and get the toughest schedule for fantasy receivers. This doesn’t bode well for Will Fuller and Brandin Cooks to post big numbers. These guys could struggle some despite getting a chance for more targets with Hopkins gone.
A few other receivers with concerns are DeVante Parker, Henry Ruggs and John Brown. Parker finally had that huge season last year, but gets the second toughest schedule for receivers. Plus, Preston Williams should be healthy, which will cut into his targets. Williams was producing big before getting hurt. Ruggs was the first receiver drafted, but gets the fifth toughest schedule for receivers. He could have some growing pains. And Brown was the top receiver for the Bills last year, but has Stefon Diggs to compete with for targets now and the seventh hardest schedule for receivers.
All the receiver rankings are below. These rankings are something to take a close look at before your draft. Adjust your rankings accordingly.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at email@example.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
Five Fantasy Takeaways from Week 2
Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Tyrod Taylor (chest) was released from the hospital late Sunday night after dealing with chest pain. His chest issue will be evaluated throughout the week, and head coach Anthony Lynn said that Taylor will remain the team's starter if he's fully healthy. The Chargers probably won't rush Taylor back after rookie Justin Herbert looked very solid in his NFL debut in the overtime loss to the Chiefs in Week 2. Lynn has been very loyal to Taylor, but even though Herbert had some rookie mistakes on Sunday, he probably presents the team with more upside right now. Keep a close eye on Taylor's status this week. If Taylor can't go for Week 3, the rookie signal-caller would become an attractive QB2 in superflex leagues in a great matchup with Carolina.
Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Zach Pascal caught three balls for 19 yards and a touchdown in a win against the Vikings. Pascal has just seven targets over the first two weeks. The Colts are much higher on young receiversParris Campbell and Michael Pittman Jr. Campbell was injured in Week 2, so this may open the door for Pascal to see more targets with Campbell out indefinitely. With this being said, Pascal has just two games in his career where he has over 100 yards. History suggests that even with more opportunity, Pascal does not hold much value in any fantasy lineup. He will match up against the Jets next week and is worth considering as a waiver pickup in deeper leagues if you're hurting at the position.
Detroit Lions wide receiver Kenny Golladay (hamstring), who has missed the first two weeks of the season, is expected to return in Week 3 against the Cardinals, according to a league source. Golladay was close to playing in Week 2, but the Lions didn't want to risk aggravating the injury. The 26-year-old led the league with 11 touchdowns in 2019 and finished seventh in the league with 1,190 receiving yards, which was his second straight season with over 1,000 yards receiving. You still need to keep an eye on Golladay's practice status this week, but it looks like you can insert him back into starting lineups against Arizona, where he'll have WR1 upside if he's at full strength.
The Seattle Seahawks Defense got a takeaway in Week 2, but they struggled to slow down the New England Patriots all game long. They ran up 30 points on them and nearly lost the game late before a goal-line stand against quarterback Cam Newton. Cornerback Quinton Dunbar snagged an interception, but that was about the only positive this defense had, with only one sack on the night. Based on what we've seen through two weeks, it looks like this defense should be faded when you're looking for streaming options after allowing 55 points through two games.
Indianapolis Colts tight end Mo Alie-Cox took advantage of his opportunity, grabbing five balls for a game-high 111 receiving yards in Week 2 against the Vikings. Alie-Cox was inserted in the starting lineup due to an injury to starting tight end Jack Doyle. This was just the fourth start of his three-year career, and it is the first time where he had over two catches in a game. It was a nice performance, but this is more of a statistical anomaly than something we can expect to see going forward. He will have a good matchup next week against the Jets, but do not expect to see the same performance, especially if Doyle returns to the fold.
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Tyler Lockett wasn't quite perfect in Week 2, but he was pretty close to it. He caught seven of his eight targets for 67 yards and a touchdown. Lockett is quickly becoming one of the best fantasy wide receivers to roster, and with the connection he has with quarterback Russell Wilson, he's a threat to finish as a WR1 on a weekly basis. Just like Wilson, you should have no doubts about starting him every week, regardless of his matchup.
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver DK Metcalf went long again in Week 2 and he turned in another solid fantasy outing. He caught four of his six targets for 92 yards and a touchdown. This is the second week in a row that Metcalf has averaged over 20 yards per reception, and it's clear that this offense is content to allow quarterback Russell Wilson to stretch the field more and more. As long as Wilson is airing it out, Metcalf is going to have WR2 upside on a weekly basis thanks to his big-play ability. His performance on Sunday night was even more impressive, considering the fact that he was being covered by Patriots All-Pro cornerback Stephon Gilmore. Metcalf is the real deal, folks.
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver David Moore had the most improbable touchdown of the season on Sunday night, but it counts just the same. He caught all three of his targets for 48 yards and the score. Due to wide receiver Phillip Dorsett's (foot) injury, the third wide receiver role in Seattle is up for grabs. He's shown a connection with quarterback Russell Wilson so far in his career, and as long as Dorsett remains out, Moore is going to present WR4/5 value on a weekly basis in deeper leagues.
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Freddie Swain seized the day in Week 2. Thanks to a nifty route design, he was wide open to catch his only target en route to a 21-yard touchdown. It was clear that Swain was the fourth receiving option among pass-catchers when you don't include the running backs. Moving forward, he's going to be nothing more than a flyer in extremely deep leagues, but you could be doing much worse than getting a talented pass-catcher in one of the league's best offenses.
Seattle Seahawks kicker Jason Myers was perfect in Week 2, but he was unable to get any field-goal opportunities due to his efficient offense. He went 5-for-5 on his extra points, and it was nice to get a solid outing from him. It's unlikely that this offense is going to score touchdowns exclusively moving forward, and you should get safe production out of him every week. If you're looking for a kicker that's going to get you points every week because of Seattle's high-scoring offense, Myers should be on your radar.
Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson finished another phenomenal night in Week 2 with a thrilling win over the New England Patriots. He finished the night 21 of 28 for 288 yards with five touchdowns and one interception. He also added five carries for 39 yards on the ground. His impressive performance nearly wasn't enough, but his defense was able to hold on for a win. Wilson looks like the early favorite for the MVP award, and he's going to be winning a lot of fantasy MVPs if he keeps playing at this level. Fire him up every week with no doubts.
Seattle Seahawks running back Chris Carson continues to be a valuable fantasy asset with a solid performance in Week 2. Carson finished with 17 carries for 72 yards to go with three catches for 36 yards and a touchdown that came late in the game. Carson is firmly in the RB2 conversation, and he has RB1 upside on a weekly basis thanks to his work in the passing game in this explosive offense. While he may not finish every game with a bloated stat line, he tends to come up with a solid performance by the time it's all said and done. Keep him in your lineups moving forward.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Chris Godwin (concussion) has cleared the concussion protocol and is good to go for Week 3 against the Denver Broncos.
Fantasy Spin: The Broncos were bitten hard by the injury bug, and Godwin should be a low-end WR1 play next week.
Updating previous reports, Carolina Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey (ankle) will miss four to six weeks with a high ankle sprain, according to sources.
Fantasy Spin: Mike Davis could be the featured back if the team doesn't go outside the organization for help. He should be owned everywhere as a flex option. Curtis Samuel had four rushes in Week 2, and he could continue to see a small workload in the backfield, but it doesn't move the needle much for fantasy purposes.
Updating previous reports, New York Jets WR Breshad Perriman (ankle) is considered week to week with a sprained ankle.
Fantasy Spin: Chris Hogan had six grabs for 75 yards in Week 2. He'll continue to be highlighted and should be owned for depth.
Updating previous reports, New York Giants RB Saquon Barkley (knee) will miss the rest of the season due to a torn anterior cruciate ligament.
Fantasy Spin: Wayne Gallman and Dion Lewis figure to divvy up the workload, and neither of them will replace Barkley in fantasy for you. However, both should be owned as flex options. The team plans to meet with Devonta Freeman, and he could be worth the speculative pickup as well.
Updating previous reports, Denver Broncos WR Courtland Sutton (knee) is feared to have a significant knee injury, according to sources.
Fantasy Spin: DaeSean Hamilton is next up on the depth chart, and he could be worth the pickup off waivers for depth if Sutton is out a lengthy period.
Carolina Panthers running back Christian McCaffrey (ankle) is expected to miss multiple weeks after injuring himself during the matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday. The 24-year-old, who has never missed a game throughout his tenure in the league, has compiled four touchdowns so far this season, leaving a void that will be undoubtedly hard to fill for both the team and fantasy managers. Until he returns, Mike Davis will likely handle a bulk of the carries out of the backfield, with Trenton Cannon coming in for relief.
Updating previous reports, Carolina Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey (ankle) will miss multiple weeks due to his ankle injury, according to sources.
Fantasy Spin: Mike Davis is likely next in line, and he needs to be added in most leagues as a flex option.
Miami Dolphins CB Byron Jones (groin) is unlikely to play in Week 3 Thursday, Sept. 24, according to head coach Brian Flores.