Mon Oct 19 9:59am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Henry runs wild in Week 6
Unfortunately, this was not a great week for fantasy scoring. It was a very top heavy week, seeing a few players score huge while many others, especially with favorable matchups, put up some duds. If you didn’t have some of the handful of plays that came up big, you were in trouble in Week 6. Here is to hoping things worked out well for you in this strange week of fantasy football.
Broncos 18, Patriots 12
Fantasy Stud: Tim Patrick. Patrick continues to lead the way at receiver for the Patriots. He had four receptions for 101 yards. Patrick has two straight 100-yard games and at least 14 fantasy points three straight. You can trust him right now in this Broncos passing game. He is producing on a weekly basis in this offense.
Fantasy Dud: Damien Harris. Harris struggled to do much in this game, rushing six times for just 19 yards. He also had a catch for 14 yards. He was coming off a 100-yard game so expectations were high for him in here. He didn’t get enough chances to help fantasy teams, though, and struggled with the work he got. He is going to be a boom or bust fantasy play.
Game Notes: Philip Lindsay looked great in a starting role for the Broncos. He hit the 100-yard mark, rushing 23 times for 101 yards. His toe injury wasn’t a factor in this game.
Cam Newton was better as a runner and receiver than a passer, struggling throwing the ball. He was 17-of-25 for 157 yards with two interceptions. He did run 10 times for 76 yard and a score, though, and caught a pass for 16 yards.
Steelers 38, Browns 7
Fantasy Stud: James Conner. Conner hit the 100-yard mark, rushing 20 times for 101 yards and a touchdown. He also caught a pass for a yard. Conner has 100-yard games three of four. He also has touchdowns four straight games. He has been super consistent for fantasy teams all season in this offense, shaping up as a solid No. 1 for fantasy teams.
Fantasy Dud: Odell Beckham. Beckham had two receptions for 25 yards. He had at least five receptions two straight games before this dud. He was tagged just four times in the game, which was a season low. Beckham’s fantasy output (4.5 points) also was a season low.
Game Notes: Chase Claypool continued his hot way, catching four passes for 74 yards. He also ran twice for seven yards and a touchdown. Claypool has touchdowns three of four games.
Baker Mayfield really struggled, making some poor decision. He was 10-of-18 for 119 yards and a touchdown with two interceptions. He was batting a rib injury heading into the game, which might have factored in his poor play.
Lions 34, Jaguars 16
Fantasy Stud: DeAndre Swift. Swift had a breakout game, rushing 14 times for 116 yards and two touchdowns. He also had three receptions for seven yards. He still had one fewer carry than Adrian Peterson, but this game could earn him a lot more work going forward. Swift looked explosive and made several great plays in the game.
Fantasy Dud: Matthew Stafford. Stafford got a lot of fantasy play this week because of a prime matchup, but he wasn’t much help to fantasy teams. The Lions scored 34 points but three scores were on the ground. Stafford as 19-of-31 for 223 yard and a touchdown with an interception. This broke a streak of two straight games with 21-plus fantasy points.
Game Notes: Kenny Golladay didn’t score a touchdown for the first time this year but had his first 100-yard game. He had four receptions for 105 yards. He has 14-plus fantasy points all three games this year.
Keelan Cole enjoyed his best showing of the season. He had six receptions for 143 yards. He also had a season high nine targets. Cole has double-digit fantasy points four of six games.
Titans 42, Texans 36
Fantasy Stud: Derrick Henry. Henry had a game that carried fantasy teams to victory. He had a tremendous performance, rushing 22 times for 212 yards and two touchdowns. He also had two receptions for 52 yards, giving him 264 total yards and two scores. Henry topped 40 fantasy points in the game. He has multiple scores three straight games. Henry also has 100-yard games three of five.
Fantasy Dud: Jonnu Smith. Smith was a surprise disappointment in this high-scoring affair. He had just a catch for 13 yards. Smith had at least four receptions every game before this dud of a performance. This also was his first game with fewer than double-digit fantasy points. He’ll rebound but this game likely hurt a lot of fantasy teams.
Game Notes: Anthony Firkser was a big surprise in this game, catching eight passes for 113 yards and a touchdown. Firsker did not have a game with more than 50 yards all season before this big performance.
Ryan Tannehill had his second four-touchdown game of the season. He was 30-of-41 for 364 yards and four touchdowns with an interception. Tannehill has three-plus touchdowns three of four games.
Colts 31, Bengals 27
Fantasy Stud: Phillip Rivers. Rivers had a huge game with the Colts playing from behind. He got a lot of chances to throw the ball and produced. He was 29-of-44 for 371 yards and three touchdowns with an interception. His fantasy numbers haven’t been great this year but Rivers still has some value in the right matchup. He can produce the big game in the right matchup.
Fantasy Dud: TY Hilton. Hilton was a nonfactor in the passing game despite the Colts throwing for nearly 400 yards and scoring three passing touchdowns. Hilton had just a catch for 11 yards. Hilton had his best game of the season the previous week, so you expected better in this favorable matchup. Instead, Hilton had one catch on five targets. He is too hard to trust to play right now for fantasy teams.
Game Notes: Trey Burton continues to get more looks in the passing game for the Colts. He had four receptions for 58 and a touchdown, and ran once for a one-yard touchdown. He has at least four receptions two straight games.
Tee Higgins had his first 100-yard game of his career. He had six receptions for 125 yards. Higgins has at least four receptions four straight games.
Falcons 40, Vikings 23
Fantasy Stud: Julio Jones. Jones finally returned to his big ways, looking healthy and explosive. He had eight receptions for 137 yards and two touchdowns. This was the best game of the season for Jones, topping 30 fantasy points. It was his first 100-yard game of the season since Week 1. Things are looking up for Jones at this point of the season. Let’s hope he can stay healthy.
Fantasy Dud: Alexander Mattison. Mattison was a huge disappointment, getting a chance to start in a very favorable matchup. Mattison ran 10 times for just 26 yards and caught a pass for four yards. You expected much, much better from Mattison. This game just didn’t go as expected.
Game Notes: Justin Jefferson had nine receptions for 166 yards and two touchdowns. Jefferson had 100-yard games three of four. He has really taken off in the offense after a slow start to his rookie year.
Matt Ryan broke his streak of two straight games without a score. He was 30-of-40 for 371 yards and four touchdowns without a turnover. This was his second four-touchdown game of the season.
Giants 20, Redskins 19
Fantasy Stud: Kyle Allen. Allen wasn’t great in the game but was a help to fantasy teams. Allen was 31-of-42 for 280 yards and two touchdowns with an interception. There was not much offense in this game, but Allen was a plus. He had 20-plus fantasy points. He should continue to start for the Redskins going forward unless he starts to falter in the coming weeks. He made some plays in this game.
Fantasy Dud: Evan Engram. Engram was unable to get going in this one, catching two passes for 30 yards on three targets. He scored just five fantasy points, his lowest total since Week 1. It is hard to trust Engram in this offense right now, having double-digit fantasy points just once in six games. He just isn’t producing.
Game Notes: Darius Slayton found the end zone for the second time this season. He had two receptions for 41 yards and a touchdown. He has double-digit fantasy points two straight games.
Terry McLaurin got back to his good ways, fishing with seven receptions for 74 yards on 12 targets. He has double-digit fantasy points all but a game this year.
Ravens 30, Eagles 28
Fantasy Stud: Lamar Jackson. Jackson got back to his big ways on the ground, helping his fantasy performance. He was 16-of-27 for 186 yards and a touchdown without a turnover. He made big plays on the ground, though, rushing nine times for 108 yards and a touchdown. Jackson topped 30 fantasy points for the first time since Week 1. It was good to see him get going again after a few down games the last few weeks.
Fantasy Dud: Mark Andrews. Andrews had just two receptions for 21 yards. It broke a streak of two straight games with scores. He also had at least 17 fantasy points two straight games. This was a bad showing in what seemed a decent matchup. Andrews hasn’t been quite as off the charts this year but still a solid No. 1 fantasy tight end.
Game Notes: Miles Sanders had a 100-yard game on just nine carries. He ran nine times for 118 yards. He hurt his knee in the second half and was unable to return. This is an injury to watch because he is getting an MRI on Monday to see the extent of the injury.
Mark Ingram was forced from the game with an ankle injury. He had five carries for 20 yards before leaving. Gus Edward led the team in carries with 14 rushes for 26 yards. J.K. Dobbins led the team in rushing, running nine times for 28 yards.
Bears 23, Panthers 16
Fantasy Stud: D.J. Moore. Moore led the Panthers in receiving, catching five passes for 93 yards. He has two straight games with 90-plus yards and three total in six games. Moore has been a little more inconsistent this year but still had some big games along the way. He is getting his weekly catches and producing for fantasy teams.
Fantasy Dud: Teddy Bridgewater. Bridgewater struggled for really the first time this year, going 16-of-29 for 216 yards with two interceptions. He had fewer than 15 fantasy points for the first time this year. It was the second time he went without a score, though. Bridgewater has been pretty good this season but this game shows he isn’t a surefire thing for fantasy teams by any means. He can disappear some weeks.
Game Notes: David Montgomery didn’t have quite the game as expected but did manage 97 total yards. He ran 19 times for 58 yards and caught four passes for 39 yards. Montgomery did have a touchdown called back, ended up just shy oof the goal line.
Mike Davis found the end zone for the fourth straight game. He had 18 rushes for 52 yards and a score. He also had two receptions for three yards.
Dolphins 24, Jets 0
Fantasy Stud: Ryan Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick did have two interceptions in the game but made up for that with three scores. He was 18-of-27 for 191 yards and three touchdowns with two interceptions. Fitzpatrick has two straight three-touchdown games and multiple scores four of five. He has really played well for fantasy owners, having 26-plus fantasy points four of five games.
Fantasy Dud: DeVante Parker. Parker had just three receptions for 35 yards in a great matchup. His fantasy point total was a season low (6.5 points). He had double-digit fantasy points four straight games before this showing. Parker can get it going again, especially if you gets eight targets like he did in this game.
Game Notes: Breshad Perriman returned from his ankle injury and led the team in receiving yards. He had four receptions for 62 yards on eight targets. He has a chance to play a big role in this offense going forward.
Myles Gaskin topped 100 total yards. He had 18 carries for 91 yards and caught four passes for 35 yards, giving him 126 total yards in the game. Gaskin has at least 14 fantasy points four of five games.
Bucs 38, Packers 10
Fantasy Stud: Ronald Jones. Jones continues to carry the load at running back for the Bucs and produce. He had 23 carries for 113 yards and two touchdowns. He has three straight 100-yard games and this game marked a season-high 23 carries for Jones. Jones has established himself as the top back in the Bucs offense and is producing well with his chances.
Fantasy Dud: Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers came crashing back down to earth in this game after a red hot start to his season. He was 16-of-35 for 160 yards with two interceptions. This game was a real shocker because Rodgers was playing at a super high level no matter the matchup. He’ll get better going forward but this game is a little concerning, especially given his up and down fantasy play last year.
Game Notes: Rob Gronkowski had his best game of the season, catching five passes for 78 yards and a touchdown. He now has at least three receptions three of four games, getting more work for the Bucs.
Davante Adams retuned from his hamstring injury and led the Packers in receiving. He had six receptions for 61 yards on 10 targets. He has been targeted double-digit times two of three games.
49ers 24, Rams 16
Fantasy Stud: Jimmy Garoppolo. Garoppolo rebounded in a big way after a dreadful start his last time out. He was 23-of-33 for 268 yards and three touchdowns without a turnover. This was his first three-touchdown game of the season and first time he topped 25 fantasy points. He does have multiple sores three of four games, though. Garoppolo has just one really bad game for fantasy teams, so he still has some value in the right matchup. He can post some big numbers.
Fantasy Dud: Cam Akers. Akers had a good showing in his first game back from injury last week but didn’t get on the field this week. He did not have a single touch or targets in the game. Akers is a very hard fantasy player to trust going forward. He needs to get consistent work a couple games in a row before fantasy owners should put any faith in him.
Game Notes: Raheem Mostert left another game early because of an injury. This one was for an ankle injury. He ran 17 times for 65 yards and caught two passes for 11 yards before leaving the game. His injury issues are a real concern going forward.
George Kittle hit the 100-yard mark for the second time in three games. He had seven receptions for 109 yards and a touchdown on 10 targets. He has a whooping 33 targets his last three games.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at firstname.lastname@example.org. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
Five Waiver Wire Adds: Week 13
Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray is coming off his two worst fantasy games of the year and two-straight Cardinals losses as well. In Week 13, he faces a tough matchup against a Los Angeles Rams team that has been fantastic against the pass this year, allowing just 203.5 passing yards per game, the third-fewest in the league. Over the past two weeks combined, Murray has only 45 rushing yards and two total touchdowns. Despite the recent struggles, fantasy owners should stay confident in Murray, who is still having a fantastic fantasy year all around. He may not have a monster game in Week 13, but he should be able to bounce back from his previous two letdowns.
New York Jets head coach Adam Gase admitted that he's failing in his attempt to groom quarterback Sam Darnold. "I came here to help him, help him develop his career, and we haven't been able to do that," said Gase. Darnold is 0-7 this year -- he missed four games with a shoulder injury -- and has just six touchdown drives. He's the lowest-rated passer in the league with a career-low 64.0 rating and has gone four straight games without throwing a touchdown. The third overall pick in 2018 threw two interceptions in the Week 12 loss to the Dolphins and his future with the team is in question, especially if New York has the top pick in the draft next year. Darnold has a decent matchup against the Raiders this Sunday, but even then, he's an unattractive low-end QB2 that cannot be trusted in this terrible offense.
Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Amari Cooper has been able to develop a strong fantasy floor despite the rest of the Cowboys offense collapsing around him. Cooper has at least five catches and 67 yards in nine of his 11 games. With only three touchdowns and three 100-yard games all year though, he hasn't had much of a ceiling to go with that floor. Week 13 presents a tough Tuesday night matchup against the Baltimore Ravens, leaving Cooper as a solid WR2 but without the upside of others ranked similarly.
The Indianapolis Colts activated defensive lineman Denico Autry from the Reserve/COVID-19 list on Thursday. Autry, who leads the team with six sacks this year, has missed the last two games. Without him against the Titans in Week 12, Indy's defense allowed 449 yards, including 229 rushing yards. Defensive lineman DeForest Buckner is the only Colts player still on the COVID-19 list, but he could be activated on Saturday if he has no symptoms and continues to test negative. Along with his six sacks, Autry has 24 tackles (15 solo), seven tackles for loss and seven QB hits in nine games (eight starts). His return will be a boost for a Colts Defense looking to bounce back against the Texans, who just lost top wideout Will Fuller to a six-game PED suspension. Consider Indy's defense a fringe starting unit in 12- and 14-team leagues.
Detroit Lions interim head coach Darrell Bevell said that rookie running back D'Andre Swift (concussion), who missed the Week 12 loss to the Texans on Thanksgiving, is still working through the league's concussion protocol. The Lions keep saying that Swift is close to returning, but until he's out of the concussion protocol, his fantasy managers should view him as highly questionable to play in Week 13 against the Bears. Chicago's defense isn't the greatest matchup, but if Swift can get cleared and return, he'll be an upside RB2 as fantasy managers look to get into the playoffs. If he misses yet another game, veteran Adrian Peterson and Kerryon Johnson will continue to split the backfield workload, keeping both of their ceilings lower as RB3/flex types.
Dallas Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott finds himself in new territory in Week 13: on the lower end of RB2 rankings. Elliott's nightmare season began when Dak Prescott was lost for the year, but it's only gotten worse from there, and not all the blame can be placed on the quarterback play. Elliott is essentially running behind an offensive line made up of backups at this point, and he has totaled fewer than 55 rushing yards in six of his last nine games. The good news with Elliott is that he does lead the league with 19 carries inside the five-yard line. The bad news is, despite that, he's only scored one touchdown since Week 5. If he's on your fantasy team, you're probably not going to bench Elliott, but don't expect the RB1 version of Elliott to show up any time soon.
Cincinnati Bengals rookie quarterback Joe Burrow (knee) underwent successful surgery on his knee on Wednesday and is expected to make a complete recovery. Burrow was having a really impressive rookie season after being the No. 1 overall pick in the draft until he tore both his ACL and MCL in his left knee in Week 11 against Washington. The former LSU star has a chance to be ready for the start of the 2021 season if everything goes according to plan with his rehab. There will be obvious risk around him being a QB1 for those in single-season leagues next year, but you're sitting pretty if you roster him in dynasty/keeper leagues for the long haul. Brandon Allen got the start under center in Week 12, but Ryan Finley could get his shot before the end of the season.
Dallas Cowboys running back Tony Pollard remains a backup bench stash heading into Week 13. Pollard has seen inconsistent work since Ezekiel Elliott has returned to full health. While Pollard has shown an ability to do some damage on the field, he's just not on the field enough to be a consistent, reliable fantasy asset. He's an immediate starter if Elliott misses time, even in the disastrous Cowboys offense, but he has no real fantasy role unless that happens. Anyone with Elliott on their roster should do their best to have Pollard on their bench. Week 13 against the Ravens is a bad matchup even for a three-down back, so Pollard should be nowhere near a fantasy starting lineup this week.
Dallas Cowboys quarterback Andy Dalton is looking at another rough matchup on Week 13's Tuesday Night Football against the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens Defense has allowed just over 6.5 yards per attempt to opposing quarterbacks this season, the second-fewest in the league. There have been a few bright spots for Dalton but they have been few and far between. He's ranked at the low end of QB2 lists, only relevant in deeper Superflex and 2QB formats.
Cleveland Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski said that he expects standout defensive end Myles Garrett to play in Week 13 against the Titans, barring any setbacks. Garrett was activated from the Reserve/COVID-19 list on Tuesday after missing the previous two games. The 24-year-old was the first overall pick of the 2017 draft and is one of the best pass-rushers in the NFL when he's healthy. The Pro Bowler has 31 tackles, seven tackles for loss, 14 QB hits, four forced fumbles, two fumble recoveries and 9.5 sacks in nine games this season. He's a must-start defensive lineman in IDP leagues when he makes his return this Sunday. Cleveland's defense can't be trusted in fantasy formats, but Garrett's return gives them a much better chance at slowing down the NFL's leading rusher in Derrick Henry.
New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones (hamstring) was seen at practice on Thursday, but he needs to improve a lot before he can play in Week 13 against the Seahawks. Jones was expected to be very limited at practice. It's a good sign that he was on the practice field, but backup Colt McCoy is still likely to be the starter this Sunday against Seattle, although Jones has an outside chance of suiting up. If Jones misses this weekend's game, he's likely to just miss one week of action with the minor hamstring injury. Fantasy managers should be looking in another direction for Week 13, with McCoy being only a desperation low-end QB2 pivot in superflex leagues. All of New York's receivers should be downgraded slightly if McCoy is under center, too.
Philadelphia Eagles kicker Jake Elliott is not a starting option in Week 13 fantasy lineups. Elliott has played in 10 games and made exactly 10 field goals (on 14 attempts). The Eagles go for it on fourth down very often and leave Elliott on the sidelines kicking into a practice net. Elliott's missed extra point last week was his first miss of the season, but even on those, he's only made 14 extra points total. Elliott continues to be a decent enough "real life" kicker, but he's not seeing anywhere close to the volume required to be a good fantasy option.
The Philadelphia Eagles Defense is not a recommended fantasy unit in Week 13. Very few fantasy units will be starting options against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers in Green Bay, but that's even more the case with the Eagles. Last week against the Seahawks, the Eagles allowed 23 points and 301 yards while recording just two sacks. It was the fifth game in which they were unable to record any turnovers, and the entire team only has three interceptions all season, the fewest in the NFL. They've essentially been a boom-or-bust defense, and this week is one of the surest bets for a bust. They're being ranked lower than 25th in most DST lists. Stay far away.
Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver Travis Fulgham made plenty of noise earlier this season, but he's worked his way off of the fantasy radar. In the past three games, Fulgham has combined for four catches for a total of 32 yards. Part of the blame has to fall on Carson Wentz, who looks worse and worse each week, but Fulgham was doing things with that same Carson Wentz earlier this season. It seems like opponents have figured out how to slow Fulgham down, and it seems like it hasn't been too difficult. He's worth holding in deeper formats in case he finds the same luck he found earlier this season, but he can't be trusted in starting lineups, especially in a bad matchup like Week 13 against the Packers.
Philadelphia Eagles tight end Zach Ertz (ankle) is expected to return to the field for a Week 13 game against the Green Bay Packers. The Eagles have consistently made two tight ends relevant, with Dallas Goedert and Richard Rodgers combining for 34 targets over the past three weeks despite the atrocious play of the Eagles offense in general. At this point, Ertz is probably not as good as Goedert, but almost certainly better than Rodgers, at least at catching passes. The Packers have not had a lot of tight ends targeted against them, but they haven't been great when they have, allowing the seventh-most yards per targets to opposing tight ends. Ertz has a wide range of outcomes this week, but with not much happening at tight end outside of the top tiers this season, Ertz is at least a TE2 with a little bit of upside. This is all assuming he plays, of course, but that is fully expected.
Philadelphia Eagles tight end Dallas Goedert remains a strong TE1 fantasy option despite the expected return of Zach Ertz (ankle) this week. Goedert may see a slight dip in targets with Ertz back, but the Eagles run their passing game through their tight ends, and if Richard Rodgers was able to carve out a significant role, then Ertz and Goedert both should be able to put up plenty of fantasy points together. The Packers have allowed the seventh-most yards per target to opposing tight ends, so in a game that the Eagles are 10-point underdogs, they may need to exploit that part of the Packers Defense to even have a chance. The bad quarterback play from Carson Wentz has somehow not hurt Goedert as much as it has all of the other Eagles on offense. Goedert is a top-six option at tight end this week.
Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver Alshon Jeffery has a tough matchup against the Green Bay Packers in Week 13. Even with the best possible matchup, Jeffery would not be a recommended fantasy option, but that's even more obvious with a bad one. The Packers are easily exploitable through the ground game, so the Eagles figure to focus on that part of their offense. Jeffery caught his first two passes of the season in Week 12 and played about half of the team's offensive snaps, but he hasn't looked anything close to the former WR1 he was before a slew of injuries kept him off the field for a while. Jeffery should be on most waiver wires at this point and isn't worth being in any starting lineups this week.
Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver Greg Ward is off the fantasy radar for a Week 13 game against the Green Bay Packers. Ward caught just one pass and saw only three targets in Week 12 despite the Eagles throwing the ball 46 times. Ward has operated mostly as a safety valve, catching very short passes and not doing much with the ball in his hands. While he had some PPR value earlier in the season, the Eagles offense is in such a state that none of their pass catchers seem likely to do anything any week. Ward is not a starting option in Week 13.
Atlanta Falcons kicker Younghoe Koo (quad) should be good to go for Sunday's game against the Saints. Koo was limited during Wednesday's practice with a quad injury, though special teams' coordinator Bernie Parmalee said that Koo "is going to be ok." That would be good news for fantasy managers, as Koo currently sits atop the list as fantasy football's K1. He's been excellent this year, with at least two field goals made in all but one contest. Koo is obviously a must-start against New Orleans if he suits up, as the over/under of 45.5 suggests a good amount of points will be scored in this game.
Philadelphia Eagles rookie wide receiver Jalen Reagor has been quite disappointing so far this year for the Eagles, matching the rest of the Eagles offense. Reagor is seeing plenty of targets, 25 over the past four games, but has just not been able to do anything with them. Some of the blame can be placed on the atrocious quarterback play of Carson Wentz, but there are plenty of other wide receivers who are playing well despite bad quarterbacks throwing them the ball. Reagor's volume keeps him somewhere on the fantasy radar, but a Week 13 matchup against the Packers is tough, as they allow the fifth fewest yards per target to opposing wide receivers and are much more easily attacked through the ground game. Reagor is clinging to WR5 value and is more of a dynasty hold than anything else right now.