NEVER TELL ME THE ODDS, OMITB WEEK 8
Happy Humpday, OMITB! What we would never tell you is where FantasyPros has each team's playoff/title chances, at the moment.
| The Duke Boys | 98% | 17% |
| One Trick Pony | 90% | 15% |
| Pacheco's Playmakers | 87% | 24% |
| Ringwraiths | 85% | 15% |
| Lloyd Christmas | 77% | 11% |
| Keep Their Heads Ringin' | 75% | 7% |
| Show Me Your TD's | 69% | 11% |
| New Kid | 18% | 1% |
| Carolina Diesel | <1% | <1% |
| Injured Reserve | <1% | <1% |
| DaNoNames | <1% | <1% |
| Dawg Puck | <1% | <1% |
There are 10 games left, so whatever the odds, there is still time to maneuver for one of the 6 playoff spots. Good luck!
OMITB WEEK 7 RECAP
Good Tuesday to the OMITB! This week, we just pushed just past the midway mark of the season. Here's the recap of the Week 7 action:
- #1 The Duke Boys (10-2, G1) keep winning the winnable games, beating Dawg Puck and Pacheco's Playmakers, and take a solid 2-game lead at the #1 spot.
- #2 Keep Their Heads Ringin' (8-4, R1) made the doubleheader count, getting 99.0% of possible points to bury both New Kid and Injured Reserve and retake the lead in Red by a full game.
- #3 Pacheco's Playmakers (7-5, B1) got swept right of a playoff bye spot, have now lost 4 in a row, but still lead Blue Division by a game.
- #4 One Trick Pony (8-4, G2) have been around the block long enough to know the doubleheaders are where to post big scores, and swept Lloyd Christmas and Ringwraiths to make a big move to the #4 spot, 2 games out in both the division and the hunt for #1.
- #5 Ringwraiths (7-5, R2) suffer another WR injury and split Week 7, beating Pacheco's Playmakers and dropping one to red-hot One Trick Pony, and dropping out of first place in Red in the process.
- #6 Show Me Your TD's (7-5, G3) struggled a little, beating DaNoNames but losing in a blowout to Carolina Diesel (yes, that's right), to stay right on the playoff bubble.
- #7 Lloyd Christmas (7-5, R3) posted a nice week, but settles for the split, losing to the Lamar-led One Trick Pony and thumping Dawg Puck to stay within a game in Red.
- #8 New Kid (6-6, B2) finds that the schedule is as hard to beat as the House in Vegas, losing to big scorers Keep Their Heads Ringin' and weekly high scoring Carolina Diesel to drop back to .500.
- #9 Carolina Diesel (4-8, R4) made a switch at QB and it paid off big, as the Diesel swept New Kid and Show Me Your TD's to earn $5 and get back to within shouting distance of a playoff spot.
- #10 DaNoNames (3-9, B3) will remember Week 7 down the road, as they couldn't take advantage of a pair winnable games, suffering two WR injuries, and losing to both Show Me and Injured Reserve.
- #11 Injured Reserve (3-9, G4) picked the wrong week to bench Javonte, but it didn't make much of a difference, as they split the week, knocking off DaNoNames and losing to Keep Their Heads Ringin'.
- #12 Dawg Puck (2-10, B4) had been showing signs of life, but not so much in Week 7. Puck is peering over the edge of the cliff as we face the last 10 games.
It is now just past the halfway mark. The worst record ever to make the OMITB wild card is 10-12, so some of us have some work to do. Dodge the injury bug as best you can, and above all,
NEVER TELL ME THE ODDS, OMITB WEEK 7
Greetings, OMITB! It is time again to not tell you where FantasyPros puts each OMITB team's playoff/title chances right now.
| The Duke Boys | 96% | 17% |
| Pacheco's Playmakers | 93% | 24% |
| Ringwraiths | 92% | 24% |
| One Trick Pony | 83% | 14% |
| Lloyd Christmas | 66% | 7% |
| Show Me Your TD's | 66% | 7% |
| New Kid | 52% | 5% |
| Keep Their Heads Ringin' | 49% | 3% |
| DaNoNames | 2% | <1% |
| Injured Reserve | <1% | <1% |
| Carolina Diesel | <1% | <1% |
| Dawg Puck | <1% | <1% |
Remember, we're back to doubleheaders for the next few weeks, so now would be a good time to make a move, and good luck!
OMITB WEEK 6 RECAP
Happy Tuesday, OMITB! We now have 6 weeks down with 8 to go in the regular season. Let's see what happened in Week 6:
- #1 The Duke Boys (8-2, G1) got one of the lamest wins of the season, scoring just 90 to beat #10 Carolina Diesel (2-8, R4) and stay at the top. Hey, if you have to take the bad beats, you get the benefit of bad wins. The Diesel are looking ahead, as their star WR gets a new lease on life in a new town.
- #6 One Trick Pony (6-4, G3) ambushed #2 Pacheco's Playmakers (7-3, B1) to stay on the right side of the playoff bubble The Playmakers got lucky with the league's sweep of the Red leaders, and stays in the playoff bye for now.
- #7 New Kid (6-4, B2) posted the weekly high score to corral the #3 Ringwraiths (6-4, R1) and move to within a game in the Blue Division, while dropping the league-scoring leading 'Wraiths into a 3-way point-settled tie.
- #5 Show Me Your TD's (6-4, G2) held on through Monday night to get the win over #4 Keep Their Heads Ringin' (6-4, R2) to stay within 2 games of the division lead and Keep Their Heads out of first in Red.
- #7 Lloyd Christmas (6-4, R3) climb into the three-way battle that is the Red Division, and beat out a solid performance from #9 DaNoNames (3-7, B3), who got a QB flub and missed an opportunity to to get closer to the pack.
- In the battle of teams who started 0-6, #12 Dawg Puck (2-8, B4) survived a shellacking of their defense, getting a 96.8% efficiency to beat #11 Injured Reserve (2-8, G4) and keep hope alive.
The landscape is changing slightly, with 8 teams at 6-4 or better, but even the teams at the bottom are only 4 out with 12 left. We do have 3 straight doubleheaders now, with one being a division week, so take a moment to think things out, take a deep breath, and
NEVER TELL ME THE ODDS, OMITB WEEK 6
Hello, OMITB! Sorry it took a while to NOT tell you the odds, but if you wondered where FantasyPros puts each team's playoff/title chances right now, well, we didn't say to look here:
| Pacheco's Playmakers | 98% | 31% |
| The Duke Boys | 96% | 19% |
| Ringwraiths | 95% | 22% |
| One Trick Pony | 70% | 9% |
| Show Me Your TD's | 66% | 7% |
| Keep Their Heads Ringin' | 64% | 3% |
| Lloyd Christmas | 60% | 6% |
| New Kid | 45% | 4% |
| DaNoNames | 4% | <1% |
| Injured Reserve | <1% | <1% |
| Carolina Diesel | <1% | <1% |
| Dawg Puck | 0% | 0% |
There's still time to make tweaks; remember that teams have gone 3-9 and still made the playoffs in OMITB. So take a deep breath, and good luck!
Edited: Tue Oct 8 10:26am ET by Commissioner
OMITB WEEK 5 RECAP
Well, our first single-game week is done, so the OMITB season is now in full swing. No one is near being eliminated yet - the bottom of the league is only 4 games off the playoff pace with 13 games left - so let's see what happened in Week 5:
- #1 The Duke Boys (7-2, G1) got just enough on Monday Night to outlast #7 Lloyd Christmas (5-4, R3), and deal the Lloyd a heartbreaking loss, while TDB moves up to the top spot.
- #2 Pacheco's Playmakers (7-2, B1) got ambushed by Ja'Marr Chase and #11 Injured Reserve (2-7, G4), and drop into the overall #2 spot, but they'll maintain a two-game lead on the next generation in Blue.
- #3 Ringwraiths (6-3, R1) picked the wrong QB, but got just enough from the rest of the team to take down #9 DaNoNames (3-6, B3) and move - by less than a point - ahead of Keep Their Heads Ringin' in Red.
- #4 Keep Their Heads Ringin' (6-3, R2) survives an off week, getting less than a hundred and falling to second place in Red, but got just enough to edge #6 One Trick Pony (5-4, G3) and match the 'Wraiths' record, making Red the closest race in the league.
- #8 New Kid (5-4, B2) might have had the best weekend, coming up big to beat #5 Show Me Your TD's (5-4, G2), get above .500 and into the playoff discussion, while SMYTD's continued to struggle outside of Gold.
- #10 Carolina Diesel (2-7, R4) beat #12 Dawg Puck (1-8, B4) by a TD to keep Puck in the bottom spot and stay within 4 games of a wild card.
Week 6 and another single-game week is here, before we go on a 3-week stretch of doubleheaders. So, buckle down as we move towards midseason, and above all:
Edited: Tue Oct 8 12:20am ET by Commissioner
NEVER TELL ME THE ODDS, OMITB WEEK 5
Sometimes the odds may seem bad...
but we won't tell you. Here are FantasyPros latest OMITB playoff/championship chances for those who want to know:
| Pacheco's Playmakers | 92% | 19% |
| One Trick Pony | 85% | 18% |
| The Duke Boys | 84% | 15% |
| Keep Their Heads Ringin' | 80% | 10% |
| Show Me Your TD's | 79% | 14% |
| Ringwraiths | 77% | 12% |
| Lloyd Christmas | 68% | 9% |
| New Kid | 18% | 1% |
| Carolina Diesel | 8% | <1% |
| DaNoNames | 8% | <1% |
| Injured Reserve | <1% | <1% |
| Dawg Puck | 0% | 0% |
No one is farther out from the playoffs than 4 games with 14 to go, so take a deep breath. Good luck!
OMITB WEEK 4 RECAP
Well, our first week of fully inter-divisional play is in the books, and the OMITB season is now about one-third complete. Everyone is finally in the win column, and it's pretty wide open, so let's review:
- #1 Pacheco's Playmakers (7-1, B1): The #1 PP's got the weekly high score to earn a sweep, taking down Keep Their Heads Ringin' and Show Me Your TD's to stake a 2-game lead in the claim for a playoff bye.
- #2 The Duke Boys (6-2, G1) got a big defensive performance to power a pair of wins, over the Ringwraiths and DaNoNames.
- #3 Keep Their Heads Ringin' (5-3, R1) got the second-highest score of the week behind a great QB showing, to stay on top of Red, splitting a win over a surprising Dawg Puck and the loss to PP's.
- #4 Show Me Your TD's (5-3, G2) wasn't among the top scores this week, and it cost them, losing to both Pacheco's Playmakers and the Ringwraiths, and falling out of first place.
- The #5 Ringwraiths (5-3, R2) suffered another WR injury, taking a zero in the lineup, and lost a tough one to The Duke Boys while holding off SMYTD's.
- #6 One Trick Pony (5-3, G3) had a decent week, but split the week between a win over the New Kid and a loss to Dawg Puck (yes, you saw that right).
- #7 Lloyd Christmas (5-3, R3) survived a poor offensive week, losing to New Kid, but getting a win over Injured Reserve by just 0.06 points to stay above .500.
- #8 New Kid's (4-4, B2) QB showed up in Week 4. It was enough to beat Lloyd Christmas, but they lost to One Trick Pony, staying in 2nd place in Blue, but now 3 games out.
- #9 DaNoNames (3-5, B3) had a solid week with another great handcuff RB performance, but split, losing to The Duke Boys and beating Carolina Diesel to stay a game under .500.
- #10 Carolina Diesel (1-7, R4) has now dropped 6 in a row after a lackluster performance from the starters resulted in losses to Injured Reserve and DaNoNames.
- #11 Injured Reserve (1-7, G4) had a quiet week, just cracking 90 points, but finally got into the win column, beating Carolina Diesel while losing that oh-so-close game to Lloyd Christmas.
- #12 Dawg Puck (1-7, B4) came alive like Frankenstein's monster, with an electrified performance that outscored the previous two weeks combined. They got on the board with a win over One Trick Pony, and just barely lost to Keep Their Heads Ringin'.
We'll slow things down a little for a couple of weeks, as we enter bye week territory, so we'll only see one game a week. No one has been eliminated yet, and the last team in the standings is only 4 games out of a playoff spot, so just remember:
NEVER TELL ME THE ODDS, OMITB WEEK 4
Look, we're not going to tell you the odds - that would be wrong - but if you're curious, that's something we can help with. Currently, the playoff/championship odds for each team are...
| Ringwraiths | 88% | 21% |
| Show Me Your TD's | 87% | 16% |
| Pacheco's Playmakers | 84% | 14% |
| One Trick Pony | 83% | 16% |
| Keep Their Heads Ringin' | 82% | 10% |
| The Duke Boys | 75% | 11% |
| Lloyd Christmas | 72% | 9% |
| Carolina Diesel | 18% | 3% |
| New Kid | 9% | <1% |
| DaNoNames | 2% | <1% |
| Injured Reserve | <1% | <1% |
| Dawg Puck | 0% | 0% |
But you didn't hear it from us. Wherever you are on this chart, there is still time to turn it around, so good luck!
OMITB WEEK 3 RECAP
Greetings, OMITB! The Week 3 doubleheader is now in the books. Let's see what happened:
- Show Me Your TD's (5-1, G1) gets the weekly high score against the winless Injured Reserve and Dawg Puck, and sweeps them, moving up to the top spot, ahead of a pair of huge matchups in Week 4.
- #2 Pacheco's Playmakers (5-1, B1) dropped from the ranks of the undefeated, but behind a big week from Kyren Williams, the Playmakers split the week, losing to Lloyd Christmas and beating a Dawg Puck team that is looking just brutal at the moment. They'll play for first place in Week 4.
- #3 Keep Their Heads Ringin' (4-2, R1) split the week, beating DaNoNames and losing to the Ringwraiths. They hold on to first place in the Red Division, but have a top-3 showdown this week.
- The #4 Ringwraiths (4-2, R2) had their best week of the season to date and won the big divisional showdown with Keep Their Heads Ringin', while beating Injured Reserve for the sweep, to get above .500 just in time for a tough weekly draw.
- #5 The Duke Boys (4-2, G2), with a roster sporting more "O's" and "U's" than Ouagadougou, got a sub to star in Week 3 to split the week, beating the New Kid and losing to One Trick Pony.
- #6 Lloyd Christmas (4-2, R3) rode a fantastic MNF QB performance to a sweep of Carolina Diesel and Pacheco's Playmakers, to keep pace in the top-heavy Red Division and have an opportunity to move up in Week 4.
- #7 One Trick Pony (4-2, G3) got a big week from Barkley to sweep The Duke Boys and Carolina Diesel, and keep pace in Gold.
- #8 New Kid (3-3, B2) learns the lesson that 97 points is just "meh," but that sometimes "meh" is enough, losing to The Duke Boys, but beating DaNoNames to stay .500.
- #9 DaNoNames (2-4, B3) benched the drafted QB for the Waiver Wire Wonder and it cost them a split, so they lose two, to Keep Their Heads Ringin' and New Kid, to drop under .500.
- #10 Carolina Diesel (1-5, R4) got more solid RB play, but less than 20 points total from the WR, TE, K, and DST positions, and got swept for the second straight week, while losing another TE to injury.
- #11 Injured Reserve (0-6, G4) still hasn't hit the century mark, and got swept by #1 Show Me Your TD's and the #4 Ringwraiths, leaving them looking for answers...and wins.
- Also without a win (or a reliable QB), #12 Dawg Puck (0-6, B4) is trying to live down to the new name, posting just 63 to lose to Pacheco's Playmakers and Show Me Your TD's.
With 16 games left in the OMITB season, there is still time to make something good happen (or, failing that, to be something bad happening to another team). We're done with the first round of divisional games and now focus for a while on overall standings, so take a deep breath and:
