Wed Feb 7 8:43am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Pacheco is playing at high level
Not sure about you, but there is not a better weekend in sports than Super Bowl weekend. It is as good as it gets. Just everything involved with it is so much fun. I am so looking forward to it all this weekend. Let’s hope it is a good game and lives up to the hype. Now for my random thoughts for the week. . . .
I will give you my pick for the game right off the bat. I think it will be a close game, but look for the Chiefs to squeak it out. I think the experience factor plays a difference here in the end, especially when it comes to the quarterback position. Patrick Mahomes has been outstanding during the playoffs and think he has a huge advantage over Brock Purdy. Plus, the Chiefs defense has been outstanding lately, completely shutting down the opponent. I don’t see them shutting down the 49ers high-powered offense, but think they will cause Purdy problems. I’m going with a Chiefs 31-27 victory.
If you still don’t have any fantasy teams alive in the playoffs, consider playing our fun pickem contests. We have tons of options available to play with for the Super Bowl. I wanted to give you a few of my favorite pickem plays for the big game. Give me Travis Kelce more than 70.5-receiving yards. Kelce has 71-plus yards all three of his playoff games and is coming off arguably his best game of the season. And the 49ers struggled to stop the tight end last week, seeing Sam LaPorta rack up the receptions and yards. I also like Brandon Aiyuk less than 61.5-receiving yards. Aiyuk has failed to hit that mark two of three games and has just three catches each of his last three games. Lastly, I like Deebo Samuel more than 79.5-rushing and receiving yards. Samuel had 11 touches his last game and was a huge part of the offense. I look for the 49ers to get him involved early and often, giving him good potential to rack up some total yards.
I’m not sure how I feel about the Commanders hiring of Kliff Kingsbury. His offenses were fine in Arizona, but not as explosive as many thought and he struggled some using Caleb Williams last year at USC. I think the Commanders would have been better served keeping Eric Bieniemy as their offensive coordinator. I thought he did a great job with the offense last year in Washington all things considered. I’m not convinced Kingsbury is going to be an upgrade.
On a different subject, can we stop teasing and showing parts of the Super Bowl commercials before the game? I mean part of the fun of the game is the commercials. They are always entertaining and a part of the event. But now, you see parts of the commercials before the game, ruining the surprise. C’mon people. Let’s stop this tradition right now.
We had our first TFC draft of the 2024 season last night. And in a surprise move, the first pick of the draft was Breece Hall. And we also saw Sam LaPorta get picked before Travis Kelce. It is always interesting to see how these early drafts shake out. A lot is going to change between now and the start of next season, but trends are starting now. In this draft, four running backs were picked in the first round compared to eight receivers. And the quarterback position looks as deep as ever with guys like Jordan Love getting picked in Round 11. Brock Purdy and Kirk Cousins also went very late.
News and Notes: The Chargers hired Greg Roman as their new offensive coordinator. Roman tends to be more run heavy when it comes to play calling. . . . .Former Texans and Patriots running back Rex Burkhead announced his retirement from the NFL on Tuesday.
HOT PLAYS
Isiah Pacheco, RB, Chiefs. Pacheco has taken his game to new heights during the Chiefs playoff run. He has at least 15 fantasy points four straight games and found the end zone seven consecutive games. He even has 20-plus carries two of three games, getting a big workload in the Chiefs offense. Expect more of the same this week from Pacheco. The 49ers allowed 182-rushing yards to the Lions their last game and allowed 135-plus rushing yards each of their two playoff games.
Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs. Kelce has looked like a different player during these playoffs than the regular season. He had 11 receptions his last game and at least five catches all three playoff games. He has 14-plus fantasy points all three games. He has really elevated his game after a ho-hum second half of the season. Look for him to be the focal point of the Chiefs passing game once again this week. And San Francisco couldn’t contain Sam LaPorta in the Championship game, allowing him to get nine receptions for 97 yards. The Packers tight ends had six receptions and a touchdown in the 49ers other playoff game.
COLD PLAYS
Brandon Aiyuk, WR, 49ers. Aiyuk did score a touchdown his last game, which was a big positive, but he had just three receptions. He has just three cathodes three straight games. He has were than 40 yards two of three. And with the Chiefs secondary clamping down on receivers right not, it could be more of the same for Aiyuk this week. He could be held in check once again.
Jerick McKinnon, RB, Chiefs. McKinnon is expected to make his long-awaited return this week, returning from a groin injury. He has not played since Week 15. Just remember he has not reached double-digit touches in a single game this year. Pacheco is the lead back in this offense and will get most of the work at running back. McKinnon played great during the Chiefs playoff run last season, but this is a new year. Plus, McKinnon has not played in several weeks, so you have to wonder how much he is even on the field. He will be a big risk to use for fantasy owners.
SLEEPERS
Jauan Jennings, WR, 49ers. There are always surprise players in the Super Bowl, so why not Jennings. He could draw the most favorable matchups in coverage for the 49ers receiver options. And he has looked good in the playoffs, having six receptions for 69 yards in two games. He played 42 percent of the snaps last week - even with Deebo Samuel back in the lineup. Jennings might get a big play or two in this one, making him an intriguing fantasy play.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WR, Chiefs. Valdes-Scantling had the game-clinching reception in the Championship game, making a sliding catch on third down to clinch the game. He finished with two receptions for 38 yards. But he played a season-high 83 percent of the snaps in that game, which is encouraging. If he is on the field that much again this week, his reception and yardage totals could rise in what might be a high-scoring game.
High/Low Scoring Games
Each week we will take a look at some of the high and low scoring games for the coming week. In high scoring affairs, get your marginal players on those teams in your lineup to take advantage of the possible points barrage. And in the low scoring games, keep those marginal players on the bench and make sure to have your defenses involved in those contests.
High Scoring Games: Chiefs/49ers.
Low Scoring Games: None.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 9
Los Angeles Rams tight end Colby Parkinson will face the Seattle Seahawks in a road matchup this Sunday. The 25-year-old has been mostly quiet this season aside from a 13-target, seven-catch game in Week 5's 24-19 loss to the Green Bay Packers. He'll get a middle-of-the-road matchup in Week 9 against a Seahawks D that's letting up 6.1 yards per pass attempt to opposing offenses -- the twelfth-highest figure in the league. It's possible Parkinson sees more work than usual this week, with wide receivers Puka Nacua (knee) and Jordan Whittington (shoulder) questionable for the contest. Still, he'll be difficult to trust as a viable option due to his lack of consistency. The Stanford alum is RotoBaller's PPR TE27 in this week's rankings.
From RotoBaller
Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Alec Pierce will get a tough draw on Sunday Night Football when his team squares off against the Minnesota Vikings. Pierce has been the epitome of a boom/bust wideout this season, with three outings of at least 16 fantasy points and five others in the single digits, including a goose egg in Week 6 against the Tennessee Titans on 89% of snaps. With veteran quarterback Joe Flacco now in command of the offense, the outlook of all Colts pass-catchers is on the rise. Additionally, Minnesota has been one of the most stout units in the league this season against opposing rushing attacks, allowing just 3.9 yards per attempt. If they can be beaten anywhere, it's through the air. Still, the 24-year-old is little more than a desperation dart throw for the contest. Pierce is RotoBaller's PPR WR63 for Week 9's slate of action.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals tight end Mike Gesicki could again see a large target share in Week 9 when his team lines up against the Las Vegas Raiders at home. The 29-year-old veteran hasn't been the most consistent option this season but has produced two useful spike weeks thus far in his first year as a Bengal, correlating with wide receiver Tee Higgins (quad) missing time. With Higgins listed as doubtful for Sunday, the door is again open for Gesicki to see an increased role in the offense. The Raiders have been decent against opposing passing attacks this season, so it isn't exactly the best matchup. Still, Joe Burrow and the Bengals throw the rock 61.4% of the time (sixth-highest in the league), so the opportunities should be there if Higgins fails to suit up. The former Penn State Nittany Lion is RotoBaller's PPR TE17 in this week's ranks.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers tight end Cade Otton has seen his usage skyrocket lately. The 25-year-old has 17 receptions for 181 yards and two touchdowns over his last two games. The Bucs are banged up at wide receiver with Mike Evans (hamstring) and Chris Godwin (ankle) both sidelined. They've also got Sterling Shepard (hamstring) and Jalen McMillan (hamstring) on the injury report ahead of Monday's game against the Kansas City Chiefs. That being said, Otton could end up seeing a ton of targets with the Bucs limited on options. Fantasy managers should continue to lean on him as a TE1 for Week 9. Otton has been an elite option over the last two games, so fantasy managers should ride the wave.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Rakim Jarrett made his season debut against the Atlanta Falcons last week. Jarrett hauled in all three of his targets for 58 yards in the loss. Normally, Jarrett would serve as depth, but the Bucs are extremely banged up at wideout. Both Mike Evans (hamstring) and Chris Godwin (ankle) are unavailable for Week 9. Also, Sterling Shepard (hamstring) and Jalen McMillan (hamstring) are listed on the injury report ahead of Monday's game against the Kansas City Chiefs. That means, Jarrett and Trey Palmer could end up being the top wideouts for the Bucs this week. Jarrett only saw 27 percent of the snaps last week and still played fairly well. Fantasy managers who plan to start Shepard or McMillan might want to snag Jarrett just in case they sit out.
From RotoBaller
According to Adam Schefter, before Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Christian Kirk's (collarbone) injury, the Pittsburgh Steelers had a deal in the works to acquire him. Per Schefter, league sources told ESPN there was a "reasonable chance" that Kirk would be heading to the Steel City. However, that plan was derailed when the 27-year-old suffered a broken clavicle that effectively ended his season. The NFL Insider noted that Pittsburgh is still looking to upgrade their wide receiver corps before the Nov. 5 trade deadline and that they've been "making calls and checking on any and all available wide receivers." With the last call for trades quickly approaching, we'll know if they're successful or not over the next 36 hours. Stay tuned.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Trey Palmer wasn't able to do much damage during last week's loss to the Atlanta Falcons. The 23-year-old hauled in both of his targets for 29 yards and served as the punt returner as well. Palmer has moved up on the depth chart with Mike Evans (hamstring) and Chris Godwin (ankle) both sidelined. There is more bad news for the Bucs wideouts as Sterling Shepard (hamstring) and Jalen McMillan (hamstring) are both on the injury report for Monday's game against the Kansas City Chiefs. If they both sit, Palmer will likely become the top wideout for this offense. His fantasy value would certainly increase in that case. For now, Palmer is nothing more than a risky flex option given the statuses of McMillan and Shepard are still unknown.
From RotoBaller
As reported by the NFL's Dianna Russini, the Los Angeles Rams expect wide receiver Puka Nacua (knee) to play in Week 9. It's excellent news for the Rams and fantasy managers, as it appears Nacua's reaggravation of his preseason knee injury won't force him to miss Sunday's contest. The superstar wideout returned from a near-two month absence in Week 8 to post seven catches and 106 yards on just 57% of the team's snaps. He may see a diminished snap share again when LA lines up against the Seattle Seahawks on the road. However, he's already proven his effectiveness on limited snaps once. If he's active, fantasy managers should have no fears of firing him up. If not, wide receiver Cooper Kupp stands to see a ton of work, with fellow wideouts Demarcus Robinson and Tutu Atwell picking up the slack.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Sean Tucker has been quiet since his 136-yard outburst in Week 6. However, Tucker could see more action against the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday. The Bucs have gone to a committee approach in the backfield. Tucker is normally the third option, but he could see more chances with Bucky Irving (toe) questionable for Week 9. If he sits, Tucker would split up the backfield duties with Rachaad White who has struggled on the ground. Fantasy managers shouldn't expect another 100-yard performance from Tucker, but he might have some low-end flex appeal if Irving is unable to play.
From RotoBaller
Per Easton Freeze of the NFL, the Tennessee Titans are optimistic that running back Tony Pollard (foot) will play Sunday in Week 9. Pollard was a non-participant this week in Titans' practice and is officially listed as questionable for this weekend's home tilt against the New England Patriots. However, it appears the team is still hoping for him to be active. With backfield mate Tyjae Spears (hamstring) ruled out for the contest, third-year back Julius Chestnut will already be in line for an elevated role in Tennessee's offense. If Pollard can't go, Chestnut will get all the work he can handle, with teammate Joshua Kelley likely to rotate in behind him. Fantasy managers should continue monitoring the 27-year-old, as a decision may get made close to game time -- fortunately, the Titans and Patriots square off at 1:00 pm EST.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Rachaad White hasn't found much success on the ground this season. He has fallen into a running back committee which has decreased his rushing attempts. However, fellow back Bucky Irving (toe) is listed as questionable ahead of the Week 9 matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs. If Irving sits, White would likely see more chances on the ground but he hasn't done much with his chances this season. Luckily, White has been able to salvage his fantasy value in the receiving game. The Bucs are going to White more often with Mike Evans (hamstring) and Chris Godwin (ankle) sidelined. He has seen six targets in each of the last two games. That figures to continue happening with the Bucs limited on passing options. White should be a strong PPR option and a possible RB2 for this Monday Night matchup.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield has been slinging the ball all season long. In fact, Mayfield has thrown for over 325 yards in each of the last three games. There was some concern that Mayfield would struggle without his top wide receivers in Chris Godwin (ankle) and Mike Evans (hamstring) last week. That was not the case as Mayfield tossed three touchdowns and exceeded 300 passing yards in what ended up being a loss to the Atlanta Falcons. However, Mayfield will head into a tougher matchup against the Chiefs on Monday. A defensive unit that has allowed the sixth-fewest passing yards this season. Despite that, Mayfield continues to prove the critics wrong, so ride with him as a QB1.
From RotoBaller
New York Giants kicker Greg Joseph (abdomen) has been placed on the injured reserve ahead of the Week 9 matchup against the Washington Commanders. The Giants brought in Joseph after kicker Graham Gano (quad) got injured during the season opener. Now, Joseph will miss at least the next four games. That means, Jude McAtamney will be elevated from the practice squad this weekend. He'll make his NFL debut after looking solid in the preseason. However, McAtamney isn't an ideal streaming option given the Giants struggles on offense.
From RotoBaller
New Orleans Saints wide receiver Bub Means (ankle) and running back Kendre Miller (hamstring) have been placed on the injured reserve on Saturday. The Saints are going to be thin on depth as the injuries keep piling up on them. The absence of Means should give Marquez Valdes-Scantling more snaps, but fantasy managers shouldn't trust him as a reliable option. Miller has missed most of the season, but returned for each of the last two games. Now, Alvin Kamara should see a heavy workload with Miller out and Jamaal Williams (groin) doubtful to play. Kamara should be an elite fantasy option against the below average Carolina Panthers defense.
From RotoBaller
Baltimore Ravens running back Keaton Mitchell (knee) is not expected to suit up ahead of the Week 9 matchup against the Denver Broncos. Mitchell is recovering from an ACL injury that he suffered last season. He has yet to play this season, but was able to practice this week. He's a little over a week into his 21-day practice window. The team still has some time to get Mitchell ready to play before his window ends. He figures to be mixed in as a change-of-pace back once he's healthy to play. However, Mitchell probably won't have a huge role behind Derrick Henry in the backfield.
From RotoBaller
Tennessee Titans quarterback Trevor Siemian has been elevated from the practice squad ahead of the Week 9 matchup against the New England Patriots. The move to bring up Siemian means that quarterback Will Levis (shoulder) is likely in line to miss another game. Mason Rudolph figures to draw another start under center this weekend. Rudolph will have a tough challenge against the Patriots defense in Week 9. He has thrown for 566 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions in three games this season. Fantasy managers should be able to find a better streaming option than Rudolph ahead of this Week 9 contest.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers safety Antoine Winfield Jr. (foot) is currently listed as questionable ahead of Monday's Week 9 matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs. Winfield popped up on the injury report on Friday due to a foot issue. That is concerning considering Winfield missed time earlier in the season due to a foot injury. However, head coach Todd Bowles said that Winfield will be fine for Monday's game. The absence of Winfield would be a significant hit to an already struggling Bucs secondary. Regardless of Winfield's status, the Bucs defense isn't an ideal streaming option against Patrick Mahomes.
From RotoBaller
The Denver Broncos defense/special teams has surprisingly been a top-five fantasy unit through eight weeks of 2024, but managers should lower their expectations in Week 9 against the high-powered Baltimore Ravens on the road. Denver's D has allowed the third-fewest points per game (15.0), but Baltimore's offense has put up 30.3 points per game, the most in football. The game will likely be decided by whether the Broncos' defense can stop a Ravens ground game that leads the league with 200 rushing yards per game. Denver's defense and play-calling has been mighty impressive this year, but they'll have a tall task on their hands in slowing down both quarterback Lamar Jackson and running back Derrick Henry. We certainly wouldn't recommend Denver's D/ST in DFS against a Ravens offense that has been the third-worst matchup for defensive units this year.
From RotoBaller
Denver Broncos kicker Wil Lutz will be looking for a bounce-back performance in Week 9 versus the Baltimore Ravens in Week 9 after making just four extra points the week prior in a 28-14 win over the Carolina Panthers. Lutz certainly has it in him in a Broncos offense that has looked much more efficient in the last few weeks under rookie QB Bo Nix. The 30-year-old veteran kicker has missed just one of his 18 field-goal tries and is a perfect 16-for-16 on extra points in eight weeks in 2024 to make him the No. 5 fantasy kicker in overall points. Lutz always has bust potential in fantasy, but the opportunity is certainly there going up against a Ravens defense that is tied for the 11th-most fantasy points allowed to kickers per game. Baltimore's struggling defense gives Lutz a safer floor as a streaming option in deeper fantasy leagues.
From RotoBaller
Arizona Cardinals wide receiver Michael Wilson would be a risky flex play in Week 9 when the Cardinals host the Chicago Bears. Wilson has recently put together some solid fantasy performances, including a five-catch, 31-yard, and one-touchdown game against the Miami Dolphins in Week 8. Although he is becoming more involved in the Cardinals' passing offense, he remains a touchdown-dependent fantasy player. With the Cardinals facing the stout Bears defense, there may be fewer scoring opportunities for the offense, which could limit production. However, Wilson is still capable of delivering a solid fantasy outing. He would be a risky flex option for managers in Week 9.
From RotoBaller