Wed Feb 7 8:43am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Pacheco is playing at high level
Not sure about you, but there is not a better weekend in sports than Super Bowl weekend. It is as good as it gets. Just everything involved with it is so much fun. I am so looking forward to it all this weekend. Let’s hope it is a good game and lives up to the hype. Now for my random thoughts for the week. . . .
I will give you my pick for the game right off the bat. I think it will be a close game, but look for the Chiefs to squeak it out. I think the experience factor plays a difference here in the end, especially when it comes to the quarterback position. Patrick Mahomes has been outstanding during the playoffs and think he has a huge advantage over Brock Purdy. Plus, the Chiefs defense has been outstanding lately, completely shutting down the opponent. I don’t see them shutting down the 49ers high-powered offense, but think they will cause Purdy problems. I’m going with a Chiefs 31-27 victory.
If you still don’t have any fantasy teams alive in the playoffs, consider playing our fun pickem contests. We have tons of options available to play with for the Super Bowl. I wanted to give you a few of my favorite pickem plays for the big game. Give me Travis Kelce more than 70.5-receiving yards. Kelce has 71-plus yards all three of his playoff games and is coming off arguably his best game of the season. And the 49ers struggled to stop the tight end last week, seeing Sam LaPorta rack up the receptions and yards. I also like Brandon Aiyuk less than 61.5-receiving yards. Aiyuk has failed to hit that mark two of three games and has just three catches each of his last three games. Lastly, I like Deebo Samuel more than 79.5-rushing and receiving yards. Samuel had 11 touches his last game and was a huge part of the offense. I look for the 49ers to get him involved early and often, giving him good potential to rack up some total yards.
I’m not sure how I feel about the Commanders hiring of Kliff Kingsbury. His offenses were fine in Arizona, but not as explosive as many thought and he struggled some using Caleb Williams last year at USC. I think the Commanders would have been better served keeping Eric Bieniemy as their offensive coordinator. I thought he did a great job with the offense last year in Washington all things considered. I’m not convinced Kingsbury is going to be an upgrade.
On a different subject, can we stop teasing and showing parts of the Super Bowl commercials before the game? I mean part of the fun of the game is the commercials. They are always entertaining and a part of the event. But now, you see parts of the commercials before the game, ruining the surprise. C’mon people. Let’s stop this tradition right now.
We had our first TFC draft of the 2024 season last night. And in a surprise move, the first pick of the draft was Breece Hall. And we also saw Sam LaPorta get picked before Travis Kelce. It is always interesting to see how these early drafts shake out. A lot is going to change between now and the start of next season, but trends are starting now. In this draft, four running backs were picked in the first round compared to eight receivers. And the quarterback position looks as deep as ever with guys like Jordan Love getting picked in Round 11. Brock Purdy and Kirk Cousins also went very late.
News and Notes: The Chargers hired Greg Roman as their new offensive coordinator. Roman tends to be more run heavy when it comes to play calling. . . . .Former Texans and Patriots running back Rex Burkhead announced his retirement from the NFL on Tuesday.
HOT PLAYS
Isiah Pacheco, RB, Chiefs. Pacheco has taken his game to new heights during the Chiefs playoff run. He has at least 15 fantasy points four straight games and found the end zone seven consecutive games. He even has 20-plus carries two of three games, getting a big workload in the Chiefs offense. Expect more of the same this week from Pacheco. The 49ers allowed 182-rushing yards to the Lions their last game and allowed 135-plus rushing yards each of their two playoff games.
Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs. Kelce has looked like a different player during these playoffs than the regular season. He had 11 receptions his last game and at least five catches all three playoff games. He has 14-plus fantasy points all three games. He has really elevated his game after a ho-hum second half of the season. Look for him to be the focal point of the Chiefs passing game once again this week. And San Francisco couldn’t contain Sam LaPorta in the Championship game, allowing him to get nine receptions for 97 yards. The Packers tight ends had six receptions and a touchdown in the 49ers other playoff game.
COLD PLAYS
Brandon Aiyuk, WR, 49ers. Aiyuk did score a touchdown his last game, which was a big positive, but he had just three receptions. He has just three cathodes three straight games. He has were than 40 yards two of three. And with the Chiefs secondary clamping down on receivers right not, it could be more of the same for Aiyuk this week. He could be held in check once again.
Jerick McKinnon, RB, Chiefs. McKinnon is expected to make his long-awaited return this week, returning from a groin injury. He has not played since Week 15. Just remember he has not reached double-digit touches in a single game this year. Pacheco is the lead back in this offense and will get most of the work at running back. McKinnon played great during the Chiefs playoff run last season, but this is a new year. Plus, McKinnon has not played in several weeks, so you have to wonder how much he is even on the field. He will be a big risk to use for fantasy owners.
SLEEPERS
Jauan Jennings, WR, 49ers. There are always surprise players in the Super Bowl, so why not Jennings. He could draw the most favorable matchups in coverage for the 49ers receiver options. And he has looked good in the playoffs, having six receptions for 69 yards in two games. He played 42 percent of the snaps last week - even with Deebo Samuel back in the lineup. Jennings might get a big play or two in this one, making him an intriguing fantasy play.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WR, Chiefs. Valdes-Scantling had the game-clinching reception in the Championship game, making a sliding catch on third down to clinch the game. He finished with two receptions for 38 yards. But he played a season-high 83 percent of the snaps in that game, which is encouraging. If he is on the field that much again this week, his reception and yardage totals could rise in what might be a high-scoring game.
High/Low Scoring Games
Each week we will take a look at some of the high and low scoring games for the coming week. In high scoring affairs, get your marginal players on those teams in your lineup to take advantage of the possible points barrage. And in the low scoring games, keep those marginal players on the bench and make sure to have your defenses involved in those contests.
High Scoring Games: Chiefs/49ers.
Low Scoring Games: None.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 9
Cleveland Browns tight end David Njoku (ankle) does not carry an injury designation into Sunday's tilt against the Los Angeles Chargers. Njoku was sidelined during Thursday's practice but was able to return on Friday. As a result, this could have simply been a scheduled day off for the tight end as he missed three games earlier in the season with the same injury. The 28-year-old has enjoyed the two best of games of his season over the past two weeks averaging an excellent 20.4 PPR points in each of them. Fantasy managers should view Njoku as a solid TE1 in all formats facing the Los Angeles Chargers who have allowed the 21st-most PPR points to opposing wideouts this season.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers rookie running back Bucky Irving (toe) was not seen at Friday's practice according to Rick Stroud of the Tampa Bay Times. Irving was also sidelined during Thursday's practice. Fantasy managers should monitor his status during Saturday's practice as he may carry an injury designation into Monday's tilt against the Kansas City Chiefs. The rookie running back has been dealing with this lingering injury for the past few weeks but has yet to miss any time due to it. If Irving is able to play he should be expected to split time with Rachaad White facing a tough Kansas City defense who has allowed the fewest PPR points to opposing RBs this season.
From RotoBaller
Cleveland Browns tight end David Njoku (ankle) was seen at Friday's practice according to Mary Kay Cabot of Cleveland.com. Njoku popped up on the injury report on Thursday with an ankle injury. This is a great sign to see the tight end back at practice which suggests the injury was minor. Fantasy managers should monitor Friday's injury report in case the 28-year-old will carry an injury designation into the weekend. Njoku is coming off the best game of his season as he brought in five passes for 61 yards and a score. If Njoku is able to suit up, he should be viewed as a solid TE1 in all formats.
From RotoBaller
Carolina Panthers wide receiver Adam Thielen (hamstring) is listed as doubtful for Sunday's game against the New Orleans Saints according to Joe Person of The Athletic. Thielen logged two limited practice sessions on Wednesday and Thursday but was sidelined on Friday. The veteran wideout is now in danger of missing his sixth-straight contest. During the first three weeks of the season, Thielen caught at least two passes in each game and averaged 36.3 yards per game. While the 34-year-old remains sidelined, fantasy managers should expect Xavier Legette and Jalen Coker to lead the air attack.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins (quadriceps) will be listed as doubtful for Sunday's game against the Las Vegas Raiders. Higgins was sidelined last week due to the same injury and been unable to participate during the week. Fantasy managers should continue to monitor his status but the 25-year-old will face an uphill battle to suit up on Sunday. If he misses his second-straight game, Ja'Marr Chase should see a heavy dose of work and be viewed as a high-end WR1. In addition, Andrei Iosivas would become a viable flex option in deeper formats as he should operate as the No.2 pass-catching option for Joe Burrow.
From RotoBaller
Carolina Panthers rookie running back Jonathon Brooks (knee) is not expected to play despite being listed as questionable according to David Newton of ESPN. Head coach Dave Canales noted that the rookie running back is progressing well but is not expected to play this weekend. Brooks was able to participate in full during all of the practices this week which is a great sign for his availability heading into Week 10. The Panthers are opting to exercise caution with their former second-round pick who suffered a torn ACL last November. Brooks remains a high-end stash candidate. Chuba Hubbard should be given another heavy dose of work this weekend and is a viable RB2 in all formats.
From RotoBaller
Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill (foot) is expected to play on Sunday according to Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald. Hill was dealing with this foot injury last week but was able to suit up for the weekend's contest. Fantasy managers should continue to monitor his status over the weekend but should plan on inserting the star wideout in their lineup. Last weekend, Hill brought in 72 yards, his second-highest total since the season-opener. The 30-year-old should be locked into all lineups as a high-end WR1 going forward with Tua Tagovailoa back at the helm.
From RotoBaller
Buffalo Bills wide receivers Amari Cooper (wrist) and Curtis Samuel (pectoral) will be listed as questionable for Sunday's game according to Katherine Fitzgerald of the Buffalo News. Both wideouts were limited participants on Wednesday and Thursday and will now carry an injury designation into the weekend. Fantasy managers should continue to monitor their status. Cooper took a step back last weekend after catching four passes for 66 yards and a score in his Buffalo debut in Week 7. Samuel has been given minimal opportunities in this passing attack so far. If either wide receiver is unable to suit up, fantasy managers should expect Khalil Shakir and Dalton Kincaid to see an uptick in targets.
From RotoBaller
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (back/knee) was seen at Friday's practice according to Jamison Hensley of ESPN. This is a great sign for the 27-year-old who has yet to practice this week due to back and knee injuries. Fantasy managers should pay close attention to Friday's injury report as the superstar quarterback may carry an injury designation in the weekend if he is unable to log a full practice. Jackson has been one of the most productive fantasy QBs once again this season as he has averaged a stellar 29.4 PPR points per game with 19 total scores through eight weeks. If Jackson is unable to play on Sunday, Josh Johnson would get the starting nod against the Denver Broncos.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots rookie quarterback Drake Maye (concussion) remains in concussion protocol but has not been ruled out for Sunday's game according to Jonathan Jones of CBS. Maye suffered a concussion in their victory over the New York Jets last weekend. Fantasy managers should continue to monitor the 22-year-old's status as he could clear the league's protocol in time for Sunday. In his first two professional starts, Maye eclipsed 200 passing yards in each of them with five total scores. Maye should be viewed as a solid QB2 in all formats if he is able to face the Tennessee Titans. If not, veteran Jacoby Brissett would get the starting nod.
From RotoBaller
Jacksonville Jaguars running back Travis Etienne Jr. (hamstring) is considered a game-time decision for Sunday's game against the Philadelphia Eagles according to Mia O'Brien of 92.5 FM. Etienne has been sidelined over the past two weeks with a hamstring injury and has been able to participate in practice in a limited fashion this week. Fantasy managers should continue to monitor his progress over the weekend as the Clemson product could be in danger of missing his third-straight contest. If the 25-year-old sits out over the weekend, Tank Bigsby should be in store for another heavy workload. Bigsby has found the end zone twice over the past two weeks and averaged 98.0 rushing yards per game in this span.
From RotoBaller
Jacksonville Jaguars wide receivers Brian Thomas Jr. (chest) and Gabe Davis (shoulder) are both considered game-time decisions for Sunday's tilt against the Philadelphia Eagles according to Mia O'Brien of 92.5 FM. Thomas was initially expected to miss at least two weeks of action but has been able to practice this week in a limited capacity which is a promising sign. Head coach Doug Pederson expressed that, "He's not going to be 100%, but no one is at this time... we also don't want any set backs" when referring to his rookie wideout. Davis has also participated in practice this week in a limited capacity. Fantasy managers should continue to monitor their status over the weekend. If one of the wideouts has to sit out, Parker Washington could be worth as a deep league flex option as he should be pushed up the depth chart.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins (quadriceps) remained sidelined during Friday's practice according to Ben Baby of ESPN. Higgins has been unable to take the practice field all week and is now in danger of missing his second straight game. Fantasy managers should continue to monitor him throughout the weekend as the Clemson product will likely carry an injury designation. If Higgins misses this weekend's game against the Las Vegas Raiders, fantasy managers should expect Ja'Marr Chase to see a heavy dose of work with Andrei Iosivas and Trenton Irwin serving as the No.2 and No.3 options.
From RotoBaller
New York Giants rookie running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. (concussion) continues to progress well and barring a setback, is expected to be available for Sunday's game against the Washington Commanders according to Pat Leonard of NYDN Sports. This is a great sign for the rookie running back who suffered a concussion during last Monday's game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. However, it looks like the Purdue product should be able to progress through the league's protocol and not miss any time. Since Week 5, Tracy has emerged as the top option out of the New York backfield and has averaged an impressive 86.8 rushing yards per game in this span. If he can suit up, the 24-year-old should be viewed as a solid RB2 facing the Commanders who have allowed the 19th-most PPR points to opposing RBs this season.
From RotoBaller
Dynasty | Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers completed 22-of-32 passes for 211 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions in a win against Houston. Dynasty Analysis: Rodgers had stated earlier this week that he was in the darkness, but apparently emerged on Thursday night in what was undoubtedly a must-win for the now 3-6 Jets. Rodgers looked like his old self at times and while he can't scramble the way he used to, he can still throw the ball accurately when he has time. His dynasty slide is likely to continue as he's still not better than a QB2 at the moment. Still, this was a step in the right direction.
Dynasty | Jets receiver Davante Adams had seven catches for 91 yards and a touchdown in a win against Houston. Dynasty Analysis: Adams started out his Jets career slowly, but led the team with 11 targets on the night and posted some big catches, including a late touchdown that sealed the game. Adams isn't the player he once was, but he could still provide low-end WR1 value the rest of the way if he builds on this performance. Adams remains a good dynasty buy for contending teams moving forward.
Dynasty | Jets receiver Garrett Wilson had nine catches for 90 yards and two touchdowns in a win against Houston. Dynasty Analysis: The addition of Davante Adams hasn't affected Wilson much thus far and he had two spectacular touchdown catches on the night. While there are going to be some ups and downs this year with the Jets, Wilson has been a constant contributor. For dynasty managers hoping to buy low after the Adams deal, that window slammed shut after this week's performance.
New York Jets cornerback Sauce Gardner (foot) seemingly injured his foot on Thursday night during the fourth quarter of their contest against the Houston Texans. The star defensive back was able to come back into the game, but Ian Rapoport says that his status is worth monitoring especially if the team decides to do some tests on Friday. There hasn't been any official word of an injury that will cause him to miss some time just yet.
From RotoBaller
Dallas Cowboys kicker Brandon Aubrey is currently the K4 on the season. He has only missed two field goals, made all of his extra points, and has the longest kick of the season at 65 yards. He's also made the second-most 50+ yarders behind Ka'imi Fairbairn. In Week 9, he'll go up against the Atlanta Falcons who have given up the most fantasy points to kickers this season. On average, opposing kickers are scoring 12.3 fantasy points per game against the Falcons, and with the Cowboys' offense not able to score as many touchdowns as expected, he should be quite busy this week.
From RotoBaller
Dallas Cowboys tight end Jake Ferguson hasn't been able to produce a big outing over the last couple of weeks. Week 8 was the first time he received a target share of more than 20% and failed to finish in TE1 territory. He even had the highest snap percentage of the season in that game, but went up against a solid defensive unit in the San Francisco 49ers. Now, they'll take on the Atlanta Falcons who have given up their fair share of fantasy points to tight ends (10.8 per game for half-PPR). Fantasy managers can look to Ferguson to bounce back in this one.
From RotoBaller