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Lineup Prep: Super Bowl

Wed Feb 7 8:43am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

Pacheco is playing at high level


Not sure about you, but there is not a better weekend in sports than Super Bowl weekend. It is as good as it gets. Just everything involved with it is so much fun. I am so looking forward to it all this weekend. Let’s hope it is a good game and lives up to the hype. Now for my random thoughts for the week. . . .

I will give you my pick for the game right off the bat. I think it will be a close game, but look for the Chiefs to squeak it out. I think the experience factor plays a difference here in the end, especially when it comes to the quarterback position. Patrick Mahomes has been outstanding during the playoffs and think he has a huge advantage over Brock Purdy. Plus, the Chiefs defense has been outstanding lately, completely shutting down the opponent. I don’t see them shutting down the 49ers high-powered offense, but think they will cause Purdy problems. I’m going with a Chiefs 31-27 victory.

If you still don’t have any fantasy teams alive in the playoffs, consider playing our fun pickem contests. We have tons of options available to play with for the Super Bowl. I wanted to give you a few of my favorite pickem plays for the big game. Give me Travis Kelce more than 70.5-receiving yards. Kelce has 71-plus yards all three of his playoff games and is coming off arguably his best game of the season. And the 49ers struggled to stop the tight end last week, seeing Sam LaPorta rack up the receptions and yards. I also like Brandon Aiyuk less than 61.5-receiving yards. Aiyuk has failed to hit that mark two of three games and has just three catches each of his last three games. Lastly, I like Deebo Samuel more than 79.5-rushing and receiving yards. Samuel had 11 touches his last game and was a huge part of the offense. I look for the 49ers to get him involved early and often, giving him good potential to rack up some total yards.

I’m not sure how I feel about the Commanders hiring of Kliff Kingsbury. His offenses were fine in Arizona, but not as explosive as many thought and he struggled some using Caleb Williams last year at USC. I think the Commanders would have been better served keeping Eric Bieniemy as their offensive coordinator. I thought he did a great job with the offense last year in Washington all things considered. I’m not convinced Kingsbury is going to be an upgrade.

On a different subject, can we stop teasing and showing parts of the Super Bowl commercials before the game? I mean part of the fun of the game is the commercials. They are always entertaining and a part of the event. But now, you see parts of the commercials before the game, ruining the surprise. C’mon people. Let’s stop this tradition right now.

We had our first TFC draft of the 2024 season last night. And in a surprise move, the first pick of the draft was Breece Hall. And we also saw Sam LaPorta get picked before Travis Kelce. It is always interesting to see how these early drafts shake out. A lot is going to change between now and the start of next season, but trends are starting now. In this draft, four running backs were picked in the first round compared to eight receivers. And the quarterback position looks as deep as ever with guys like Jordan Love getting picked in Round 11. Brock Purdy and Kirk Cousins also went very late.

News and Notes: The Chargers hired Greg Roman as their new offensive coordinator. Roman tends to be more run heavy when it comes to play calling. . . . .Former Texans and Patriots running back Rex Burkhead announced his retirement from the NFL on Tuesday. 

HOT PLAYS

Isiah Pacheco, RB, Chiefs. Pacheco has taken his game to new heights during the Chiefs playoff run. He has at least 15 fantasy points four straight games and found the end zone seven consecutive games. He even has 20-plus carries two of three games, getting a big workload in the Chiefs offense. Expect more of the same this week from Pacheco. The 49ers allowed 182-rushing yards to the Lions their last game and allowed 135-plus rushing yards each of their two playoff games.

Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs. Kelce has looked like a different player during these playoffs than the regular season. He had 11 receptions his last game and at least five catches all three playoff games. He has 14-plus fantasy points all three games. He has really elevated his game after a ho-hum second half of the season. Look for him to be the focal point of the Chiefs passing game once again this week. And San Francisco couldn’t contain Sam LaPorta in the Championship game, allowing him to get nine receptions for 97 yards. The Packers tight ends had six receptions and a touchdown in the 49ers other playoff game.

COLD PLAYS 

Brandon Aiyuk, WR, 49ers. Aiyuk did score a touchdown his last game, which was a big positive, but he had just three receptions. He has just three cathodes three straight games. He has were than 40 yards two of three. And with the Chiefs secondary clamping down on receivers right not, it could be more of the same for Aiyuk this week. He could be held in check once again.

Jerick McKinnon, RB, Chiefs. McKinnon is expected to make his long-awaited return this week, returning from a groin injury. He has not played since Week 15. Just remember he has not reached double-digit touches in a single game this year. Pacheco is the lead back in this offense and will get most of the work at running back. McKinnon played great during the Chiefs playoff run last season, but this is a new year. Plus, McKinnon has not played in several weeks, so you have to wonder how much he is even on the field. He will be a big risk to use for fantasy owners.

SLEEPERS

Jauan Jennings, WR, 49ers. There are always surprise players in the Super Bowl, so why not Jennings. He could draw the most favorable matchups in coverage for the 49ers receiver options. And he has looked good in the playoffs, having six receptions for 69 yards in two games. He played 42 percent of the snaps last week - even with Deebo Samuel back in the lineup. Jennings might get a big play or two in this one, making him an intriguing fantasy play. 

Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WR, Chiefs. Valdes-Scantling had the game-clinching reception in the Championship game, making a sliding catch on third down to clinch the game. He finished with two receptions for 38 yards. But he played a season-high 83 percent of the snaps in that game, which is encouraging. If he is on the field that much again this week, his reception and yardage totals could rise in what might be a high-scoring game.

High/Low Scoring Games

Each week we will take a look at some of the high and low scoring games for the coming week. In high scoring affairs, get your marginal players on those teams in your lineup to take advantage of the possible points barrage. And in the low scoring games, keep those marginal players on the bench and make sure to have your defenses involved in those contests.

High Scoring Games: Chiefs/49ers.

Low Scoring Games: None.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Bender's DFS Pickem Plays: Week 7

Player Notes
Jerry Jeudy Oct 19 8:20am ET
Jerry Jeudy

Cleveland Browns wide receiver Jerry Jeudy (knee) will get a chance to slide over to the WR1 chair after the team traded Amari Cooper to the Buffalo Bills earlier in the week. As has been the procedure for much of the season, Jeudy practiced fully all week despite being listed on the injury report with a knee injury. Listed without an injury status on the Browns' final injury report, Jeudy will face off against the Cincinnati Bengals at home in Week 7. The Bengals have been solid against wide receivers this season, allowing just the 21st-most fantasy points per game to the position through their first six games. Jeudy gets a slight bump in fantasy value moving forward but a dysfunctional Cleveland passing attack doesn't inspire much confidence. Treat him as a low-end WR3 in Week 7.

From RotoBaller

Tre Tucker Oct 19 8:20am ET
Tre Tucker

Las Vegas Raiders wide receiver Tre Tucker has an easier matchup in Week 7 against the Los Angeles Rams, so he has a solid chance of bouncing back after getting blanked in Week 6 against the Pittsburgh Steelers. He should have expanded opportunity for targets with star WR Davante Adams leaving for the Jets and Jakobi Meyers (ankle) being unlikely to play with a "doubtful" designation. The second-year pro is a speedster with intriguing upside as a deep threat and on gadget plays. The rams are middle-of-the-pack in PPR fantasy points allowed to opposing wide receivers. The lack of other WRs to draw coverage away from Tucker could hurt his production, though. He's a decent FLEX option in deep leagues.

From RotoBaller

Elijah Moore Oct 19 8:20am ET
Elijah Moore

Cleveland Browns wide receiver Elijah Moore has been a forgotten man in his team's offense for much of the season. With the recent trade that sent Amari Cooper to the Buffalo Bills, Moore will get his chance to slide over to the No. 2 receiver role starting in Week 7 against the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals have been tough on receivers this season, allowing just the 21st-most fantasy points per game to the position thus far. Moore settles in as a WR5 in fantasy but his performance in Week 7 is worth monitoring in case he can turn his additional opportunities without Cooper in town into added fantasy production.

From RotoBaller

Daniel Carlson Oct 19 8:10am ET
Daniel Carlson

Las Vegas Raiders kicker Daniel Carlson should have some opportunities to score points when his tame takes on the Los Angeles Rams in Week 7. The Rams have allowed the 13th-fewest fantasy points per game to opposing kickers, ranking around the middle of the league. It may be tough for the Raiders to get much going, though, as they'll field a depleted offense. Star WR Davante Adams has left for the Jets and new lead WR Jakobi Meyers (ankle) is unlikely to play. The Raiders have struggled offensively in both phases of the game. Carlson has a history of great accuracy, though. He's hit 87.6% of field goal attempts in his career, so he could be worth starting in very deep leagues.

From RotoBaller

Pierre Strong Jr. Oct 19 8:00am ET
Pierre Strong Jr.

Cleveland Browns running back Pierre Strong Jr. should be in line for a larger role heading into a Week 7 home matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals. Jerome Ford (hamstring) will not play in Week 7, leaving the third-down role open for Strong against Cincinnati. The Browns are expected to get Nick Chubb (knee) back for the game but he could be eased into action in his first game since tearing his ACL early in the 2023 season. With the struggling Browns likely to be playing from behind for much of this game, Strong has some appeal as an RB3/flex option in PPR leagues heading into Week 7.

From RotoBaller

Zamir White Oct 19 7:50am ET
Zamir White

Las Vegas Raiders running back Alexander Mattison will square off against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 7. He's had two consecutive solid fantasy weeks, but the return of Zamir White (groin), who practiced in full on Friday, could cap his upside yet again. Mattison averaged 2.5 and 2.4 yards per carry in his two weeks with White absent. That level of inefficiency won't earn him a workhorse role. The Rams defense allows the eighth most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs, but in a split role, the former Viking isn't likely to be startable. He profiles as an RB4, mostly due to pass-catching upside, if White returns. If not, he'll be a fringe RB3/FLEX option in PPR.

From RotoBaller

Sean McVay Oct 19 7:50am ET
Sean McVay

The Las Vegas Raiders will play against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 7, and they will face a tough test against a good NFL offense. Rams head coach Sean McVay is an elite offensive mind, and his team has turned the ball over just six times in five games, one of the lower rates in the league. If wide receiver Cooper Kupp (ankle) is able to return, it will be even tougher. Los Angeles is around the middle of the league in offensive yards gained per game, but Kupp's return would be a huge boost for the offense. The Raiders defense has allowed 27.2 points per game to opposing offenses, fifth-worst in the league. The Raiders D/ST shouldn't be started in fantasy this week.

From RotoBaller

Brock Bowers Oct 19 7:30am ET
Brock Bowers

Las Vegas Raiders tight end Brock Bowers could reclaim his spot as the overall TE1 in fantasy scoring in a matchup with the Los Angeles Rams in Week 7. The Rams have allowed the second-most PPR fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends, and they should have trouble slowing down one of the NFL's finest at his position. The rookie leads all tight ends in targets (46), receptions (37), and receiving yards (384). He's also scored one touchdown. He'll likely have an expanded role for the rest of the season after former Raiders WR Davante Adams' departure to the New York Jets. He's a stud and must be started in any leagues that have tight end slots on their rosters.

From RotoBaller

Deshaun Watson Oct 19 7:20am ET
Deshaun Watson

Cleveland Browns quarterback Deshaun Watson will look for his first 200-yard passing game of the season when he squares off against the Cincinnati Bengals at home in Week 7. The Watson-led Cleveland offense has struggled greatly this season, ranking 30th in the league in points per game and last with just 240.2 yards per game. The Bengals have been generous to opposing quarterbacks so far, allowing the sixth-most fantasy points per game to the position. That being said, Amari Cooper is now a member of the Buffalo Bills and Watson's play has not inspired confidence in fantasy regardless of how friendly the matchup is. Treat him as a low-end QB2 heading into Week 7.

From RotoBaller

Zamir White Oct 19 7:20am ET
Zamir White

Las Vegas Raiders running back Zamir White will face the Los Angeles Rams in Week 7, and it's unlikely he'll have much success. He's averaging just 3.1 yards per carry this season and appears to be set to lose volume to fellow RB Alexander Mattison. White doesn't have much pass-catching upside, hasn't scored a touchdown this season, and has lost two fumbles. His highest scoring outing totaled just 6.8 PPR fantasy points in a game where he had four targets. He's had just seven targets all year. The Rams defense has been one of the league's worst, but Las Vegas' offense won't have Davante Adams, who was traded, or Jakobi Meyers (ankle), who is doubtful to play. White should not be started except in the deepest of fantasy leagues.

From RotoBaller

Aidan O'Connell Oct 19 7:10am ET
Aidan O'Connell

Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Aidan O'Connell will face the Los Angeles Rams in Week 7. While they have a much softer defense than the Pittsburgh Steelers he played against in Week 6, he will be missing two important offensive weapons. Wide receiver Davante Adams is now with the New York Jets, and his now-top receiver, Jakobi Meyers (ankle), is doubtful to play. The second-year passer will now have to work with rookie tight end Brock Bowers and sophomore WR Tre Tucker as his top pass-catching options. Bowers has played admirably, but it could be yet another low-volume offensive performance for the black and silver on Sunday. O'Connell profiles as a fringe starter in 2QB fantasy leagues.

From RotoBaller

Drake Maye Oct 19 5:10am ET
Drake Maye

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense/special teams unit has a chance for decent fantasy production in Week 7 against the New England Patriots. Third-overall pick Drake Maye will get his second consecutive start after throwing three touchdowns and two interceptions last week against the Houston Texans. Maye is a young QB with a big arm, so he will take chances, meaning a potential for multiple turnovers. However, the Jaguars defense is one of the worst in football, so in general, it is hard to trust them in fantasy. They did get their first interception of the season last week against Caleb Williams and the Chicago Bears, but it is hard to imagine a ceiling beyond that. Even Deshaun Watson didn't turn the ball over against them. In about as good a matchup as they will get this season, the Jaguars D/ST is a decent play in Week 7.

From RotoBaller

George Kittle Oct 19 3:30am ET
George Kittle

San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle enters a Week 7 home matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs in the midst of one the hottest streaks of his career. Last week in a win versus Seattle he hauled in five of six targets for 58 yards and two touchdowns. He is now on a four-game touchdown streak and tied for the most receiving touchdowns in the league at any position, with five. Kansas City's pass defense in fantasy has been mediocre but has taken an interesting route to get there. The Chiefs have been the ninth-toughest on wide receivers, but have been taken to task by opposing tight ends. They have given up 14.3 TE points per game, good for league-worst, while the second-easiest team -- the Rams -- are averaging 11.3 in Yahoo default scoring, by far the biggest margin between any two consecutively-ranked teams in the NFL. Kittle will certainly be fired up to take on the Chiefs given San Francisco's loss in Super Bowl LVIII and is a no-doubt fantasy TE1.

From RotoBaller

Cam Little Oct 19 3:20am ET
Cam Little

Jacksonville Jaguars kicker Cam Little is worth considering in starting lineups in Week 7 against the New England Patriots. The rookie kicker only had one field goal and one extra point last week in London against the Chicago Bears, but should have a busier week in London against a worse Patriots defense. Since missing a field goal in Week 2, Little has hit every attempt, so efficiency is not a worry. His longest field goal on the year is 53 yards, so he has a decent leg. Little's fantasy inconsistency has come down to the Jaguars offense not playing that well this season. However, with some of their weapons returning from injury and the offense steadily playing better, a much better matchup for the Jaguars offense should mean more points than the 16 they scored last week. Fantasy managers should be fine starting Little in their fantasy lineups in Week 7.

From RotoBaller

Evan Engram Oct 19 3:00am ET
Evan Engram

Jacksonville Jaguars tight end Evan Engram is a must-start in Week 7 against the New England Patriots in London. With no injury designation this week, Engram's hamstring injury seems to be behind him. The veteran tight end made a splash on his return with 10 catches for 102 yards on 10 targets. Despite returning from injury, Engram was the top target for Trevor Lawrence on the day. While the plethora of receiver options may make it hard for that trend to continue, Engram easily profiles as a TE1 given this week's solid matchup with the Patriots. The Bears have one of the best defenses in the league so far this season, so the Patriots should serve as an easier matchup for the Jaguars offense. Even if Lawrence spreads the ball around more than last week, Engram should put up mid to high-tier TE1 numbers in Week 7.

From RotoBaller

Christian Kirk Oct 19 2:40am ET
Christian Kirk

Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Christian Kirk makes for a decent flex play in London against the New England Patriots in Week 7. The veteran receiver was overshadowed by Evan Engram and Gabe Davis last week but has the potential to return to previous form in a good matchup. Engram dominated the targets and could continue to do so, but Kirk going forward should be more involved than his three catches for 39 yards on six targets from last week against the Chicago Bears. He combined for 22 targets in Week 3 and Week 4, so he has shown capable of earning plenty of targets to be a good fantasy option. As long as Trevor Lawrence spreads the ball around more than last week, expect Kirk to return to form as a solid flex option against a much weaker Patriots secondary in Week 7.

From RotoBaller

Brian Thomas Jr. Oct 19 2:30am ET
Brian Thomas Jr.

Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. has great upside once again in Week 7 against the New England Patriots in London. There is a chance BTJ is shadowed by talented young corner Christian Gonzalez, but given the rookie receiver out of LSU has the potential for a long touchdown on any given play, there is no way that means fantasy managers should bench him. BTJ has been stellar to start his rookie campaign but was held quiet by the terrific Bears secondary last week. As long as Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars offense continue to improve on a rough start to the season, BTJ has a chance for a big day, even with top target tight end Evan Engram (10 receptions for 102 yards last week) now back from injury. Start BTJ with confidence as a WR2 with WR1 upside in Week 7.

From RotoBaller

D'Ernest Johnson Oct 19 2:10am ET
D'Ernest Johnson

Jacksonville Jaguars running back D'Ernest Johnson could get more touches than usual with Travis Etienne Jr. questionable for Week 7's London matchup with the New England Patriots. Johnson has been third string behind Etienne Jr. and Tank Bigsby, but after Etienne Jr. went down with injury last week, Johnson had increased opportunities, garnering six carries for 28 yards and two receptions for 16 yards. The former Cleveland Brown isn't an exciting option but should get some chances against a weak Patriots run defense that got gashed by Joe Mixon last week. There is a possibiliTy Johnson gets only a couple of touches and Bigsby gets most of them, or Etienne Jr. does play and it's a dreaded three-way split, but it's also possible Johnson gets double-digit touches, and some goal-line carries. He is risky, but Johnson serves as an interesting flex play in deeper leagues in Week 7.

From RotoBaller

Brandon Aiyuk Oct 19 2:00am ET
Brandon Aiyuk

San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk will look for his first touchdown of the season when the team hosts the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 7. So far, Aiyuk has disappointed fantasy managers, to say the least. In Week 5 versus Arizona, Aiyuk popped for eight catches on 12 targets for 147 yards but has failed to reach eight half-PPR points in each of his other five games. As one searches for an explanation, it's worth considering whether the absence of Christian McCaffrey is allowing defenses to play back more often, affecting Aiyuk's ability to get open deep. Whatever the cause, it's time to make Aiyuk prove he's back before considering him a WR1 or even a WR2. Kansas City represents the seventh-toughest matchup for fantasy wide receivers in Yahoo default scoring. Given the slump and matchup, to call Aiyuk a WR2 this week is probably generous.

From RotoBaller

Chris Boswell Oct 19 1:10am ET
Chris Boswell

Pittsburgh Steelers kicker Chris Boswell will look to continue his excellent start to the season against the New York Jets in Week 7. This could prove to be a difficult home matchup for Pittsburgh as the Jets are surrendering just 18 points per contest, the seventh-fewest in the NFL. Furthermore, the Steelers are yet to officially announce whether Russell Wilson or Justin Fields will serve as the team's starting quarterback on Sunday night. While a change under center may raise the ceiling of Pittsburgh's offense, it is also possible that it backfires and negatively impacts Boswell. The 33-year-old has been consistent and can still be started in a pinch, but fantasy managers may want to consider other options this week.

From RotoBaller