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FFL: Preseason | NFL: Week 1

Draft Day Winners and Losers

Mon Apr 29 11:53am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

White should be lead back


The draft is always so exciting, seeing where all the players get picked. But after the draft, the big issue is figuring out what it all means for their fantasy value. We thought it would be a good idea to look at some of the biggest fantasy winners and losers from draft day. These are some of the players that were picked but also some of the guys that were already on rosters, seeing their fantasy value get impacted from the draft. Adjust your rankings accordingly!

WINNERS

Bryce Young, QB, Panthers. The Panthers did a great job of getting Young some much needed offensive help. The team took a receiver, running back and tight end in three of the first four rounds of the draft. Carolina already added Diontae Johnson this offseason, so the receiver corps should be much better after getting Xavier Legette in the first round. The receivers got very little separation last year, so it was hard to gauge Young. He needed help and got some this offseason. Carolina also took a possible franchise running back in Jonathon Brooks and hopefully a solid starting tight end in Ja’Tavion Sanders. Things are looking up for Young and this offense.

Xavier Worthy, WR, Chiefs. Worthy could not have landed in a much better spot. He heads to one of the best offenses in football that has some openings at receiver, especially with the status of Rashee Rice a bit up in the air. Worthy has electric speed and the Chiefs should find plenty of ways to utilize that. He could be the new Tyreek Hill for this offense. Look for Worthy to make an impact right away.

Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys. Maybe one of the biggest surprises of the draft was the Cowboys not addressing their running back spot. Instead, the team signed Elliott after the draft. He is likely to be the starter in this top offense. He might not rack up the yards of past seasons, but has big touchdown potential in this offense. Elliott seems a pretty sure bet to get double-digit touchdowns. He could be a solid No. 2 for fantasy teams.

Jonathon Brooks, RB, Panthers. Brooks is returning from a major knee injury and could be slowed a little early in the season, but once he is back healthy look for him to the three-down back for the Panthers. He lands in a great spot for playing time, having little top talent to compete with for playing time. Brooks could really get the volume in this offense. He is our top rookie fantasy back.

Zamir White, RB, Raiders. Many thought the Raiders were another team that could address their running back spot during the draft, but that didn’t happen. They used a sixth-round pick on Dylan Laube, but he is not expected to challenge White for that starter’s job. It sure seems the Raiders are comfortable with White as their lead back. He has a chance to get a lot of touches in year two. His stock is going up.

Ladd McConkey, WR, Chargers. The Chargers need help at receiver and McConkey helps fill that need. It would not surprise if he quickly became Justin Herbert’s favorite target in the passing game. We really like his chances to rack up the weekly looks in this offense. Someone has to fill the Keenan Allen void and McConkey seems the best bet out of the options at receiver for the Chargers.

Keon Coleman, WR, Bills. Coleman is another rookie receiver that lands in a great spot for playing time. The departure of Stefon Diggs leaves a big opening for the Bills. Coleman could help fill that void. He has great size for the position and could be a top red-zone threat from day one for Buffalo. Coleman should get his chances from the get go, giving him a high ceiling for the coming year.

LOSERS

Raheem Mostert, RB, Dolphins. Mostert had a monster season last year and helped many fantasy teams to championships. He is going to have a very hard time repeating, especially after the Dolphins picked Jaylen Wright in the fourth round. Wright is a speed back similar to Mostert but a lot younger with less wear on his tires. Remember, Mostert is 32 years old. He might end up falling to third on the depth chart after the addition of Wright.

Rome Odunze, WR, Bears. Odunze is a super talented player that could be a star in the NFL. But for his year, you have to worry about him being up and down. He has two really good receivers ahead of him on the depth chart in DJ Moore and Keenan Allen. This is going to limit the ceiling of Odunze. He will be a much better fantasy player in a few more seasons. For now, expect erratic production from the talented rookie.

Kyren Williams, RB, Rams. Williams remains the lead back for the Rams and is coming off a breakout season. But the Rams picked Blake Corum in the third round. He is going to be a factor in the offense. He might get put a huge dent in Williams’ workload but the big concern is the goal-line work. Corum is more of a between the tackles runner that does well on short-yardage work. He could end up stealing some touchdowns from Williams, hurting his fantasy value.

Michael Mayer, TE, Raiders. Mayer was a second-round pick for the Raiders last year and showed well at times his rookie season. The Raiders couldn’t pass on the talented Brock Browers in this year’s draft, though. This move absolutely kills the fantasy value of Mayer. He is going to play second fiddle to Browers, getting few weekly looks. Browers is the clear tight end to own in this offense.

Ricky Pearsall, WR, 49ers. Pearsall is a talented pass catcher that can get in and out of his breaks in a hurry. He is a really good fit for the slot and could fill that role for the 49ers his rookie season. The problem is he has some of the top talent in all of football to compete with for targets. He could really be up and down his rookie season. He will look better in a year or two when he has a more defined role and less to compete with at receiver. His rookie season could be a tough one to gauge for fantasy owners.

Malik Nabers, WR, Giants. Many considered Nabers the top receiver in this year’s draft. He is super talented with a high fantasy ceiling. The problem for Nabers is he got drafted by the Giants, a team that really struggled offensively last year. Plus, he has Daniel Jones throwing him passes. This is not a great landing spot for the talented Nabers. Jones needs to make some big strides this season if Nabers hopes to reach his potential. We aren’t sure that happens.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Player Notes
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Tennessee Titans quarterback Mason Rudolph completed 10 of 17 passes for 126 yards, zero touchdowns, and zero interceptions during Saturday's preseason game against the San Francisco 49ers. On an unfortunate note, Rudolph lost a fumble on his final play of the day. The veteran is believed to be competing with Malik Willis for the backup role in Tennessee where he would operate behind Will Levis. Rudolph had an impressive surge near the end of last season in Pittsburgh, but he's off the fantasy radar in 2024 given his depth role with the Titans.

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Tony Pollard Aug 10 10:10pm ET
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Tennessee Titans running back Tony Pollard rushed four times for 35 yards during Saturday's preseason game against the San Francisco 49ers. He also hauled in both of his targets for an additional 11 yards through the air. Ultimately, Pollard finished as the Titans' most productive running back despite registering just a few carries. Saturday's preseason matchup doesn't compare to the opponents he'll face in the regular season, but this was a promising sign nonetheless. Pollard is a firm RB2 option heading into the 2024 fantasy football season.

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Malik Willis Aug 10 10:10pm ET
Malik Willis

Tennessee Titans quarterback Malik Willis completed five of seven passes for 38 yards, zero touchdowns, and zero interceptions during Saturday's preseason win over the San Francisco 49ers. In addition to his modest passing stats, Willis had a truly impressive performance on the ground, adding four carries for 42 rushing yards. All eyes are on Willis this preseason as he remains on the roster bubble and competes with veteran Mason Rudolph for the backup quarterback job behind Will Levis. Now 25, Willis has earned opportunities in each of the last two seasons but isn't a viable fantasy option.

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Jameis Winston Aug 10 10:10pm ET
Jameis Winston

Cleveland Browns quarterback Jameis Winston drew the start under center in his team's 23-10 loss to the Green Bay Packers in the preseason opener on Saturday. Winston was in for only the team's first offensive possession of the game, completing four of his five passes for 30 yards and leading the team to a Cade York field goal. Winston departed after that, giving way to veteran Tyler Huntley. The veteran signal-caller is the favorite to open the year as Cleveland's backup quarterback behind Deshaun Watson.

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Jerome Ford Aug 10 10:10pm ET
Jerome Ford

Cleveland Browns running back Jerome Ford saw limited action in his team's 23-10 loss to the Green Bay Packers in the preseason opener on Saturday. Ford played on just the team's first offensive drive, carrying the ball twice for four yards before calling it a day. With Nick Chubb's status for Week 1 in question, Ford could be slated for a prominent role in the Cleveland offense, especially in the early going, making him a decent value for fantasy managers who wait on the running back position in drafts.

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Jamari Thrash Aug 10 10:10pm ET
Jamari Thrash

Cleveland Browns wide receiver Jamari Thrash made an impressive pro debut in his team's 23-10 loss to the Green Bay Packers in their preseason opener on Saturday. Thrash led the Browns in receiving, catching three of his five targets for 43 yards in the contest. He caught all of his passes from second-year QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson and ripped off a long reception of 22 yards. The Browns used a fifth-round pick in the 2024 draft to select Thrash. While he made a solid debut, he still has a long climb up the depth chart to reach fantasy relevance.

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Dorian Thompson-Robinson Aug 10 10:00pm ET
Dorian Thompson-Robinson

Cleveland Browns quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson looked sharp in his team's 23-10 loss to the Green Bay Packers in their preseason opener on Saturday. Thompson-Robinson completed 14 of his 18 passes for 134 yards while adding two yards on his lone rushing attempt. The second-year signal caller led the team's lone touchdown-scoring drive in the fourth quarter, which culminated in an Aidan Robbins touchdown run. With Jameis Winston expected to serve as the team's backup QB behind Deshaun Watson this season, Thompson-Robinson is looking to beat out Tyler Huntley in the preseason to serve as the QB3 in Cleveland.

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Julius Chestnut Aug 10 10:00pm ET
Julius Chestnut

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Kyle Philips Aug 10 10:00pm ET
Kyle Philips

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Marquise Brown Aug 10 9:50pm ET
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Curtis Samuel Aug 10 9:50pm ET
Curtis Samuel

Buffalo Bills wide receiver Curtis Samuel made his team debut in Saturday afternoon's preseason loss to the visiting Chicago Bears in Orchard Park, grabbing both of his two passes for 23 yards in the defeat. To jump-start Buffalo's 18-play scoring drive in the first half, quarterback Josh Allen connected with Samuel for 15 yards on a screen pass to the right. Although Samuel registered a measly 9.9 yards per reception over 62 catches with the Washington Commanders a year ago, he's set to operate as one of the Bills' regulars in three-receiver sets along with rookie second-rounder Keon Coleman and Khalil Shakir in 2024. The 28-year-old veteran wideout is going to need an uptick in volume if he wants to work his way onto the weekly WR4/flex radar this fall, considering it's rather unlikely he'll make a significant number of splashy plays, but Samuel should also get some work on the ground to furnish a high floor in fantasy.

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Frank Gore Jr. Aug 10 9:40pm ET
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Buffalo Bills running back Frank Gore Jr. showed some juice in Saturday afternoon's preseason loss to the visiting Chicago Bears in Orchard Park, carrying the ball a team-high seven times for 21 yards and catching three of his four targets for 16 yards in the defeat. Gore posted a long run of 12 yards on the day. The 22-year-old Southern Mississippi standout went undrafted in the 2024 NFL Draft with uninspiring workout metrics, and like his father before him, Gore will likely need to overcome a lack of explosiveness to make an impact at the next level. He's currently the No. 5 back on Buffalo's RB depth chart, but Saturday's performance against the Bears at least prevented Gore's stock from dropping even further. If he has any chance of making the Bills' roster over journeyman Darrynton Evans and veteran Ty Johnson, he'll need to stand out more in next Saturday's preseason game against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Khalil Shakir Aug 10 9:40pm ET
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Ray Davis Aug 10 9:30pm ET
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Buffalo Bills running back Ray Davis had an uneventful day in Saturday afternoon's preseason loss to the visiting Chicago Bears at Highmark Stadium, rushing five times for a mere two yards in the defeat. However, he did come down with three of his four targets for 19 yards. Davis was drafted by the Bills in the fourth round of this past spring's NFL Draft to provide a change of pace behind starter James Cook in Buffalo's backfield, but he was outproduced on the ground by both the undrafted Frank Gore Jr. as well as journeyman Darrynton Evans on Saturday afternoon against Chicago. Standing at 5-foot-7 with a 218-pound frame, Davis has the ability to catch passes, as evidenced by his 11.0% target share over his four-year college career, and handle goal-line work after finding the end zone 20 times at Kentucky in 2023. He'll look to be more productive in next Saturday's preseason game against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Jayden Daniels Aug 10 7:40pm ET
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Ramiz Ahmed Aug 10 7:40pm ET
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Washington Commanders kicker Ramiz Ahmed went 1-for-1 on his field goal attempts and 2-for-2 on his extra-point attempts on Saturday afternoon. His field goal attempt came from 40 yards out. This is important to note because Riley Patterson missed his lone field goal try from 39 yards out. Brandon McManus was originally brought in during free agency to serve as the starting kicker in D.C. but was let go in June due to being involved with a civil lawsuit. As a result, this opened up a competition between Ahmed and Patterson, and after the team's first preseason game, Ahmed may be in the lead. Patterson does have more experience in the NFL and has gone 59-for-67 throughout the first four seasons of his career. Ahmed made only one NFL appearance back in 2022 with the Green Bay Packers and moved on to play for the Birmingham Stallions in the UFL last spring. Fantasy managers should continue to monitor this competition as the winner could be fantasy-relevant, especially if rookie Jayden Daniels is able to adjust to the NFL fairly quickly and move the Washington offense downfield on a consistent basis.

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Michael Wiley Aug 10 7:30pm ET
Michael Wiley

Washington Commanders running back Michael Wiley led the team in rushing yards and attempts with 34 on eight carries. He also caught his one target for five yards and punched in a score at the goal line. The undrafted rookie entered the game to start the second half and remained a key part of the offense towards the back half of the game. His touchdown late in the fourth quarter put the Commanders ahead, but they were unable to hold on to the lead. Wiley totaled 311 yards on the ground and 306 through the air in his final season at Arizona this past fall. Currently, Wiley slots in behind Chris Rodriguez Jr. and Jeremy McNichols on the depth chart but could push to serve as a depth option in the backfield, as both Rodriguez and McNichols combined for 10 rushing yards on nine carries on Saturday.

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Ben Sinnott Aug 10 7:20pm ET
Ben Sinnott

Washington Commanders tight end Ben Sinnott led the team in receiving yards with 57 and receptions with three on Saturday afternoon. Sinnott made his first professional catch in the first quarter off a one-yard pass from Jeff Driskel. In the second quarter, Driskel hit him on his longest reception of the day for 44 yards. Later in the second half, he made his final reception for 12 yards from Sam Hartman. This was a great sign for the former second-round pick, as he looked quite comfortable in his first NFL game. Fantasy managers should continue to monitor his progression through the remainder of the preseason, as he could become a consistent option in the offense. For now, veteran Zach Ertz should be viewed as the starter, but Sinnott could be worth a flier late in drafts if he continues to produce in the preseason.

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Dyami Brown Aug 10 7:20pm ET
Dyami Brown

Washington Commanders wide receiver Dyami Brown led all Washington wideouts on Saturday afternoon as he totaled 55 yards on two receptions. His first catch came on the opening drive off a great contested 42-yard pass from rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels. Later in the game, the former North Carolina product caught his other pass from Jeff Driskel for 13 yards in the second quarter. This was a great opening game for Brown as he struggled last season, holding a disappointing 52.2% catch rate, which placed him in the 17th percentile among all receivers. Fantasy managers should continue to monitor how Brown plays in the preseason, as he could claim the third spot in the wide receiver room that is open with Curtis Samuel now in Buffalo. If Brown continues to play well, especially with the First-team, he should be in the driver's seat to see consistent playing time in the fall.

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Elijah Mitchell Aug 10 6:50pm ET
Elijah Mitchell

San Francisco 49ers running back Elijah Mitchell (hamstring) won't suit up for Saturday's preseason opener. The 49ers will be without Mitchell, Christian McCaffrey (calf), and Isaac Guerendo (hamstring) for Saturday's contest. Undrafted rookie Cody Schrader and veteran Matt Breida are likely to see increased touches with the 49ers limited on players. These injuries aren't expected to linger into the regular season.

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