Mon Apr 29 11:53am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
White should be lead back
The draft is always so exciting, seeing where all the players get picked. But after the draft, the big issue is figuring out what it all means for their fantasy value. We thought it would be a good idea to look at some of the biggest fantasy winners and losers from draft day. These are some of the players that were picked but also some of the guys that were already on rosters, seeing their fantasy value get impacted from the draft. Adjust your rankings accordingly!
WINNERS
Bryce Young, QB, Panthers. The Panthers did a great job of getting Young some much needed offensive help. The team took a receiver, running back and tight end in three of the first four rounds of the draft. Carolina already added Diontae Johnson this offseason, so the receiver corps should be much better after getting Xavier Legette in the first round. The receivers got very little separation last year, so it was hard to gauge Young. He needed help and got some this offseason. Carolina also took a possible franchise running back in Jonathon Brooks and hopefully a solid starting tight end in Ja’Tavion Sanders. Things are looking up for Young and this offense.
Xavier Worthy, WR, Chiefs. Worthy could not have landed in a much better spot. He heads to one of the best offenses in football that has some openings at receiver, especially with the status of Rashee Rice a bit up in the air. Worthy has electric speed and the Chiefs should find plenty of ways to utilize that. He could be the new Tyreek Hill for this offense. Look for Worthy to make an impact right away.
Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys. Maybe one of the biggest surprises of the draft was the Cowboys not addressing their running back spot. Instead, the team signed Elliott after the draft. He is likely to be the starter in this top offense. He might not rack up the yards of past seasons, but has big touchdown potential in this offense. Elliott seems a pretty sure bet to get double-digit touchdowns. He could be a solid No. 2 for fantasy teams.
Jonathon Brooks, RB, Panthers. Brooks is returning from a major knee injury and could be slowed a little early in the season, but once he is back healthy look for him to the three-down back for the Panthers. He lands in a great spot for playing time, having little top talent to compete with for playing time. Brooks could really get the volume in this offense. He is our top rookie fantasy back.
Zamir White, RB, Raiders. Many thought the Raiders were another team that could address their running back spot during the draft, but that didn’t happen. They used a sixth-round pick on Dylan Laube, but he is not expected to challenge White for that starter’s job. It sure seems the Raiders are comfortable with White as their lead back. He has a chance to get a lot of touches in year two. His stock is going up.
Ladd McConkey, WR, Chargers. The Chargers need help at receiver and McConkey helps fill that need. It would not surprise if he quickly became Justin Herbert’s favorite target in the passing game. We really like his chances to rack up the weekly looks in this offense. Someone has to fill the Keenan Allen void and McConkey seems the best bet out of the options at receiver for the Chargers.
Keon Coleman, WR, Bills. Coleman is another rookie receiver that lands in a great spot for playing time. The departure of Stefon Diggs leaves a big opening for the Bills. Coleman could help fill that void. He has great size for the position and could be a top red-zone threat from day one for Buffalo. Coleman should get his chances from the get go, giving him a high ceiling for the coming year.
LOSERS
Raheem Mostert, RB, Dolphins. Mostert had a monster season last year and helped many fantasy teams to championships. He is going to have a very hard time repeating, especially after the Dolphins picked Jaylen Wright in the fourth round. Wright is a speed back similar to Mostert but a lot younger with less wear on his tires. Remember, Mostert is 32 years old. He might end up falling to third on the depth chart after the addition of Wright.
Rome Odunze, WR, Bears. Odunze is a super talented player that could be a star in the NFL. But for his year, you have to worry about him being up and down. He has two really good receivers ahead of him on the depth chart in DJ Moore and Keenan Allen. This is going to limit the ceiling of Odunze. He will be a much better fantasy player in a few more seasons. For now, expect erratic production from the talented rookie.
Kyren Williams, RB, Rams. Williams remains the lead back for the Rams and is coming off a breakout season. But the Rams picked Blake Corum in the third round. He is going to be a factor in the offense. He might get put a huge dent in Williams’ workload but the big concern is the goal-line work. Corum is more of a between the tackles runner that does well on short-yardage work. He could end up stealing some touchdowns from Williams, hurting his fantasy value.
Michael Mayer, TE, Raiders. Mayer was a second-round pick for the Raiders last year and showed well at times his rookie season. The Raiders couldn’t pass on the talented Brock Browers in this year’s draft, though. This move absolutely kills the fantasy value of Mayer. He is going to play second fiddle to Browers, getting few weekly looks. Browers is the clear tight end to own in this offense.
Ricky Pearsall, WR, 49ers. Pearsall is a talented pass catcher that can get in and out of his breaks in a hurry. He is a really good fit for the slot and could fill that role for the 49ers his rookie season. The problem is he has some of the top talent in all of football to compete with for targets. He could really be up and down his rookie season. He will look better in a year or two when he has a more defined role and less to compete with at receiver. His rookie season could be a tough one to gauge for fantasy owners.
Malik Nabers, WR, Giants. Many considered Nabers the top receiver in this year’s draft. He is super talented with a high fantasy ceiling. The problem for Nabers is he got drafted by the Giants, a team that really struggled offensively last year. Plus, he has Daniel Jones throwing him passes. This is not a great landing spot for the talented Nabers. Jones needs to make some big strides this season if Nabers hopes to reach his potential. We aren’t sure that happens.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
Bender's DFS Pickem Plays: Week 17
Every player has their off games. Look no further than Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (elbow/shoulder). The favorite to win MVP racked up 93.2 fantasy points in Weeks 15 and 16, plus over 20 in nine straight games. That made his dud against New England (184 total yards and one touchdown) even more surprising. Allen noted that he suffered an elbow contusion against the Patriots but does not carry an injury designation into the weekend. Allen should return to form against another divisional foe, the New York Jets. While New York's defense is just outside the top 10 for fewest fantasy points allowed to the position, they've surrendered the second-most rushing touchdowns (seven) to quarterbacks. If a fantasy manager survived Allen's disappointing stat line from a week ago, they shouldn't be shy about starting him again. Allen is a clear-cut QB1 for Week 17.
From RotoBaller
New York Giants quarterback Drew Lock (shoulder) upgraded to a full practice session on Friday and was removed from the final injury report for Week 17 against the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday. Even though the Colts have been a strong matchup for opposing QBs this year -- they've allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to the position through 15 games played -- we seriously hope that no fantasy managers in superflex leagues are having to resort to using Lock as their QB2 with a championship on the line. The 28-year-old threw two more interceptions (both were returned for touchdowns) in last week's blowout loss to the Atlanta Falcons and he just has not been good in a starting role for the G-Men let go of Daniel Jones. Lock has completed a career-low 52.7% of his pass attempts with one TD and four picks in his six games (three starts). He can run a little bit, but Lock should be avoided if at all possible.
From RotoBaller
San Francisco 49ers rookie running back Isaac Guerendo (foot, hamstring) was limited in practice for the second straight day this week on Friday. Guerendo, who did not play in the Week 16 loss to the Miami Dolphins, may need to upgrade to a full practice on Saturday to avoid carrying a questionable designation into Monday night's Week 17 showdown in what will be a rematch of last year's NFC Championship against the Detroit Lions. If the 24-year-old back is feeling good enough to play on Monday, he should return to lead-back duties for San Fran, albeit in a bad matchup. Although they are pretty banged up now, the Lions defense has allowed the fourth-fewest half-PPR points per game to RBs in 15 games in 2024. However, in the last five weeks, they've been in the middle of the pack in that same category. If Guerendo is active in Week 17, he'll be a low-end RB2/high-end RB3/flex in fantasy.
From RotoBaller
Carolina Panthers veteran wide receiver Adam Thielen (hamstring) was added to the Week 17 injury report on Thursday after putting in a limited session. Thielen was again limited in Friday's practice but was removed from the final injury report and will play on Sunday against the division-rival Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Even if rookie Xavier Legette (hip, wrist) returns to the field, Thielen should continue to be quarterback Bryce Young's top target in the passing game. The Buccaneers defense has been a top-10 fantasy matchup for receivers in 2024, allowing 2,383 receiving yards and 15 total touchdowns in 15 games. The 34-year-old is no longer in his prime like he was in Minnesota, but he's developed a strong chemistry with Young the last two years and caught his third touchdown of the year in the Week 16 win over the Arizona Cardinals. Thielen has a solid floor as a WR3/flex in Week 17 in fantasy lineups.
From RotoBaller
New York Giants rookie wide receiver Malik Nabers (toe) is listed as questionable for Week 17 against the visiting Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, but head coach Brian Daboll is "hopeful" that the 21-year-old first-rounder out of LSU will play. Nabers didn't practice on Wednesday or Thursday but returned to a limited session on Friday. The impressive first-year wideout has dealt with his fair share of nagging injuries in his first year in the NFL, but he's only missed two games due to a concussion. NFL Network's Ian Rapoport said that Nabers looked good in practice on Friday and is expected to play this weekend. Fantasy managers will want to check back for confirmation on Sunday morning that he's active, but if he is, as is expected, he should be left in lineups on championship week as a WR2 with WR1 upside against the Colts.
From RotoBaller
Miami Dolphins running back Raheem Mostert has had an up-and-down year in 2024. Before Miami's Week 9 matchup with the Los Angeles Rams, he was considered an essential part of the ground game. Since the crucial fumble the week prior, he has received 34 touches, with the backfield touches dominated by fellow back De'Von Achane. In Week 17, he and the Dolphins will travel to take on the Cleveland Browns in a matchup where the weather conditions will play a factor in the game plan. With rain and harsh winds in the forecast, the play calling could favor the run heavily. That said, it remains tough to trust Mostert with the few opportunities he's had. He's best left on the bench for championship week.
From RotoBaller
Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Josh Downs is coming off of his third consecutive game with exactly three catches, although those nine catches came on 19 targets. Fellow wideout Michael Pittman Jr. seemed like Anthony Richardson's preferred option based on his 13 receptions over the last three games, but looking closer, Pittman Jr. had the same amount of targets as Downs over that stretch (19). While Downs' aDOT of 7.12 yards contrasts with Pittman Jr.'s 11.26, they are basically the Colts' 1A and 1B receivers for fantasy purposes this week. That is, if Anthony Richardson is under center for the Colts, but after missing practice all week with back and foot injuries, the second-year QB is at risk of missing Week 17's matchup with the Giants. If that happens, Joe Flacco will slide in as QB, and the 39-year-old showed more rapport with Downs than Pittman Jr., with Downs logging a 36-338-1 line (five games) compared to Pittman Jr.'s 13-139-1 line (four games) with the veteran at the helm. Neither one makes for a great play this week, as both look like high-end Flex options with Richardson calling the plays, but Downs has WR3 upside if Flacco gets the start.
From RotoBaller
The Minnesota Vikings defense will square off in a difficult matchup with the Green Bay Packers in Week 17. The Vikings' D has been a top unit this season -; forcing turnovers at one of the higher rates in the league while allowing the third-fewest points (18.4) and second-lowest rushing total per contest (87.1 YPG). However, they'll get their toughest test in quite some time, with a Packers offense scoring the seventh-most points per game (27.5) in the NFL. Green Bay has been particularly effective in rushing the rock (147.3 YPG -; fourth-most), so it should be an excellent bout of strength versus strength. For what it's worth, Minnesota intercepted quarterback Jordan Love three times after his return from injury in Week 4. Still, Love tossed four TDs against them. The unit ranks as RotoBaller's D/ST10 ahead of fantasy championship weekend.
From RotoBaller
Miami Dolphins kicker Jason Sanders has been one of the best kickers in fantasy football over the last several games. He has scored the most fantasy points by any kicker since Week 8 and has made his last 23 field goal attempts. In Week 17, he and the Dolphins will travel to Cleveland to take on the Browns in brutal kicking conditions. There is projected to be a 50% chance of rain and 25+ mph gusts at kick-off. To make matters worse, the Browns allow the lowest field goal percentage in the entire NFL at 69%. As hot as Sanders has been, he is best left on the bench for Week 17. He comes in as the 18th-ranked kicker in this week's RotoBaller rankings.
From RotoBaller
Washington Commanders wide receiver Jamison Crowder is set for an increased role on Sunday evening against the Atlanta Falcons. With Dyami Brown (hamstring) ruled out, Crowder now sits as the No.3 wide receiver on the depth chart. Crowder played the hero last weekend, catching two of his four targets for two touchdowns, including the game-winning score in the final minutes. This was the first time this season the veteran wideout saw at least four targets in a single game. With Noah Brown (kidney) and Dyami Brown both sidelined, Crowder should be set to see a similar target share once again. Crowder is worth a look as a sneaky play in DFS but should not be started in any season-long format despite facing an Atlanta secondary that has allowed the third-most PPR points to opposing wideouts this season given he has had minimal fantasy production all season long.
From RotoBaller
Washington Commanders tight end Zach Ertz is a risky play this weekend facing the Atlanta Falcons. Ertz suffered a concussion during their Week 15 victory over the New Orleans Saints but was able to turn the corner in time to suit up last weekend. However, the veteran tight end caught just one of his two targets in this contest. This was only the second time this season Ertz caught just one pass in a single game. Ertz opened this week as a non-participant with a shoulder injury. However, he was able to log two straight full practices the following days, which suggests this injury is minor. Fantasy managers in deeper formats should view Ertz as a low-end TE1 in PPR formats, as he has averaged 10.3 PPR points over his past five games but has had a minimal role the past two weeks. He will face an Atlanta secondary that has allowed the 12th-fewest PPR points to opposing tight ends this season.
From RotoBaller
Washington Commanders kicker Zane Gonzalez is a risky streaming option in Week 17 when he faces the Atlanta Falcons. Gonzalez has filled in for the injured Austin Seibert (groin), who has been on the IR since Week 12. As the replacement option, Gonzalez has gone 3-for-5 on attempts and a perfect 14-for-14 on extra points. He holds a career 79.7% FG conversion rate and a 95.3% conversion rate on extra points. Even though he has struggled to find consistency throughout his career, facing a weak Atlanta defense, the Commanders may have put Gonzalez in ample scoring situations on Sunday evening. In 14+ team formats, Gonzalez is a viable streaming option. However, fantasy managers in shallower leagues should look for a more stable and proven option.
From RotoBaller
The Washington Commanders defense should be viewed as a desperation streaming option this weekend facing the Atlanta Falcons. Last weekend, they could not contain Saquon Barkley as he tallied 150 yards and two scores on the ground. This week they have another tough matchup ahead of them facing Bijan Robinson. However, the pass rush led by Dante Fowler Jr. and Frankie Luvu has been very productive, tallying seven sacks over their past two games. Outside of Robinson, they will face a passing attack led by rookie Michael Penix Jr. Penix made his career start last weekend. He was not tasked to do much against a weak Giants team, as he threw for just 202 yards on 27 attempts. However, this weekend, the Falcons may need to push the ball in the air to keep up with a potent Commanders offense. With Marshon Lattimore (hamstring) ruled out, the Commanders secondary will be undermanned, facing Drake London and Darnell Mooney. As a result, this defense carries a decent floor with projected sack production but little upside when facing a tough Atlanta offense.
From RotoBaller
Miami Dolphins tight end Jonnu Smith has had the best season of his career and has become one of the most crucial pieces to the offense. Since Week 8, Smith has been the TE1 and is fifth in touchdowns on the year. Week 17 presents a matchup with the Cleveland Browns, who rank 11th in fantasy points and 12th in yards per game to opposing tight ends. To make matters worse, there is a 50% chance of rain and 25+ mph winds projected in Cleveland at kickoff. However, we've seen him beat less-than-ideal conditions and be a safety blanket for Tua Tagovailoa. Start him as a solid TE1 in the championship week. He comes in as RotoBaller's TE6 in the Week 17 rankings.
From RotoBaller
Washington Commanders rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels should be locked into all lineups on Sunday evening when he faces the Atlanta Falcons. Daniels is coming off one of the most impressive wins of his rookie campaign, where he threw five scores and tallied 339 all-purpose yards in a comeback victory over the Philadelphia Eagles. Over his past four contests, Daniels has found the end zone 14 times (12 passing, two rushing) and averaged just over 300 total yards per game. This is a great sign for the rookie QB as he hit a two-game skid during Weeks 10 and 11, where he averaged just 13.0 PPR points per game. On Sunday night, the Commanders will host the Atlanta Falcons, who have allowed the eighth-most PPR points to opposing QBs. He is a must-start in all formats.
From RotoBaller
Washington Commanders running back Brian Robinson Jr. is looking to bounce-back facing the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday night after a disappointing Week 16 output. Last weekend against Philadelphia, Robinson ran for just 24 yards on ten attempts and lost two fumbles. Even though the Commanders were trailing for most of the contest, Robinson was not involved much at all. However, he should be in a good position to rebound in Week 17. With Austin Ekeler (concussion) on the injured reserve, Robinson should be deployed as a three-down back. During Weeks 11 through 15 (four games), Robinson found the end zone twice and averaged 74.0 total yards per game. He should be started in all formats as a solid RB2 facing the Falcons, who have allowed the 11th-fewest PPR points to opposing RBs this season.
From RotoBaller
Washington Commanders running back Jeremy McNichols should not be started in any format this weekend when he faces the Atlanta Falcons. Even with Austin Ekeler (concussion) sidelined, McNichols has only seen a light uptick in opportunities. Instead, Brian Robinson Jr. has taken on more passing work. Over the past two weeks, McNichols has logged just four total rushing attempts and five total receptions for just 22 combined yards. Across the first 13 games of the campaign, McNichols flashed some solid upside, tallying 5.0 yards per carry but has rarely been given enough work to an impact. Given his minimal role in the Washington offense, fantasy managers should look for an alternative option as he is only projected to see a handful of attempts.
From RotoBaller
Washington Commanders wide receiver Olamide Zaccheaus is set for an increased role on Sunday evening with Dyami Brown (hamstring) ruled out. Last weekend, Zacchaeus made the most of his opportunities by bringing in five of his eight targets for 70 yards and two scores. Zacchaeus saw his role increase once Brown exited early with a hamstring injury. Heading into Week 17, Zacchaeus sits as the lone No.2 option in the wide receiver room behind Terry McLaurin with Noah Brown (kidney) on the IR. Over his past three games, Zaccheaus has seen an average of 5.0 targets per game and has averaged 40.0 yards per game. Facing an Atlanta secondary that has allowed the third-most PPR points to opposing wideouts makes him a viable flex option in deeper 3WR formats.
From RotoBaller
After falling flat with a zero-catch performance in Week 15, Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Darnell Mooney bounced back nicely last week with a five-catch effort on six targets, racking up 82 yards in the process. It was the seventh time this season that the 27-year-old caught at least five passes in a game and he showed some nice rapport with Michael Penix Jr. in his first start under center. Despite those results, it may be tougher sledding against the Commanders in Week 17 that has been better against the pass in recent weeks, and with a shot at the playoffs on the line for the Falcons, expect them to deploy a more conservative approach via the ground attack for as long they can in this one. As such, Mooney projects as a low-end WR3 in this one with perhaps some slight upside in PPR leagues, but he also carries some downside risk with the inexperience at QB.
From RotoBaller
Minnesota Vikings kicker Will Reichard gets an unfavorable spot against the visiting Green Bay Packers this Sunday. The rookie has been excellent since returning from a quad injury in Week 14. Reichard missed a field goal that Sunday in a win over the Atlanta Falcons, but he's otherwise been perfect over that stretch -; knocking through all other 17 kicks (five field goals). The Packers' D has been solid this year, allowing the sixth-fewest points per game (19.1). Still, the Vikings' offense has been among the best in the league -; clocking in at the ninth-most points scored per outing (26.4). Reichard made all five of his kicks in the two team's first meeting and should again be afforded point opportunities in the divisional clash. He's RotoBaller's K9 in Week 17's rankings.
From RotoBaller