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Draft Day Winners and Losers

Mon Apr 29 11:53am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

White should be lead back


The draft is always so exciting, seeing where all the players get picked. But after the draft, the big issue is figuring out what it all means for their fantasy value. We thought it would be a good idea to look at some of the biggest fantasy winners and losers from draft day. These are some of the players that were picked but also some of the guys that were already on rosters, seeing their fantasy value get impacted from the draft. Adjust your rankings accordingly!

WINNERS

Bryce Young, QB, Panthers. The Panthers did a great job of getting Young some much needed offensive help. The team took a receiver, running back and tight end in three of the first four rounds of the draft. Carolina already added Diontae Johnson this offseason, so the receiver corps should be much better after getting Xavier Legette in the first round. The receivers got very little separation last year, so it was hard to gauge Young. He needed help and got some this offseason. Carolina also took a possible franchise running back in Jonathon Brooks and hopefully a solid starting tight end in Ja’Tavion Sanders. Things are looking up for Young and this offense.

Xavier Worthy, WR, Chiefs. Worthy could not have landed in a much better spot. He heads to one of the best offenses in football that has some openings at receiver, especially with the status of Rashee Rice a bit up in the air. Worthy has electric speed and the Chiefs should find plenty of ways to utilize that. He could be the new Tyreek Hill for this offense. Look for Worthy to make an impact right away.

Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys. Maybe one of the biggest surprises of the draft was the Cowboys not addressing their running back spot. Instead, the team signed Elliott after the draft. He is likely to be the starter in this top offense. He might not rack up the yards of past seasons, but has big touchdown potential in this offense. Elliott seems a pretty sure bet to get double-digit touchdowns. He could be a solid No. 2 for fantasy teams.

Jonathon Brooks, RB, Panthers. Brooks is returning from a major knee injury and could be slowed a little early in the season, but once he is back healthy look for him to the three-down back for the Panthers. He lands in a great spot for playing time, having little top talent to compete with for playing time. Brooks could really get the volume in this offense. He is our top rookie fantasy back.

Zamir White, RB, Raiders. Many thought the Raiders were another team that could address their running back spot during the draft, but that didn’t happen. They used a sixth-round pick on Dylan Laube, but he is not expected to challenge White for that starter’s job. It sure seems the Raiders are comfortable with White as their lead back. He has a chance to get a lot of touches in year two. His stock is going up.

Ladd McConkey, WR, Chargers. The Chargers need help at receiver and McConkey helps fill that need. It would not surprise if he quickly became Justin Herbert’s favorite target in the passing game. We really like his chances to rack up the weekly looks in this offense. Someone has to fill the Keenan Allen void and McConkey seems the best bet out of the options at receiver for the Chargers.

Keon Coleman, WR, Bills. Coleman is another rookie receiver that lands in a great spot for playing time. The departure of Stefon Diggs leaves a big opening for the Bills. Coleman could help fill that void. He has great size for the position and could be a top red-zone threat from day one for Buffalo. Coleman should get his chances from the get go, giving him a high ceiling for the coming year.

LOSERS

Raheem Mostert, RB, Dolphins. Mostert had a monster season last year and helped many fantasy teams to championships. He is going to have a very hard time repeating, especially after the Dolphins picked Jaylen Wright in the fourth round. Wright is a speed back similar to Mostert but a lot younger with less wear on his tires. Remember, Mostert is 32 years old. He might end up falling to third on the depth chart after the addition of Wright.

Rome Odunze, WR, Bears. Odunze is a super talented player that could be a star in the NFL. But for his year, you have to worry about him being up and down. He has two really good receivers ahead of him on the depth chart in DJ Moore and Keenan Allen. This is going to limit the ceiling of Odunze. He will be a much better fantasy player in a few more seasons. For now, expect erratic production from the talented rookie.

Kyren Williams, RB, Rams. Williams remains the lead back for the Rams and is coming off a breakout season. But the Rams picked Blake Corum in the third round. He is going to be a factor in the offense. He might get put a huge dent in Williams’ workload but the big concern is the goal-line work. Corum is more of a between the tackles runner that does well on short-yardage work. He could end up stealing some touchdowns from Williams, hurting his fantasy value.

Michael Mayer, TE, Raiders. Mayer was a second-round pick for the Raiders last year and showed well at times his rookie season. The Raiders couldn’t pass on the talented Brock Browers in this year’s draft, though. This move absolutely kills the fantasy value of Mayer. He is going to play second fiddle to Browers, getting few weekly looks. Browers is the clear tight end to own in this offense.

Ricky Pearsall, WR, 49ers. Pearsall is a talented pass catcher that can get in and out of his breaks in a hurry. He is a really good fit for the slot and could fill that role for the 49ers his rookie season. The problem is he has some of the top talent in all of football to compete with for targets. He could really be up and down his rookie season. He will look better in a year or two when he has a more defined role and less to compete with at receiver. His rookie season could be a tough one to gauge for fantasy owners.

Malik Nabers, WR, Giants. Many considered Nabers the top receiver in this year’s draft. He is super talented with a high fantasy ceiling. The problem for Nabers is he got drafted by the Giants, a team that really struggled offensively last year. Plus, he has Daniel Jones throwing him passes. This is not a great landing spot for the talented Nabers. Jones needs to make some big strides this season if Nabers hopes to reach his potential. We aren’t sure that happens.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Hot Plays, Fades and Sleepers: Week 3

Player Notes
Brandon Aiyuk Sep 21 2:10am ET
Brandon Aiyuk

San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk is in Los Angeles to face the Rams in the team's first divisional matchup of 2024 on Sunday. Predictably, Aiyuk has yet to offer much to fantasy managers in the early going after choosing to sit out virtually the entire preseason. In Week 2 in Minnesota, the former first-rounder caught four of five targets for 43 yards, which was an improvement from Week 1's two-for-five, 28-yard performance versus the Jets. He has yet to score a touchdown. San Francisco is going to need him in LA though, as Deebo Samuel (calf) has been ruled out and George Kittle (hamstring) is doubtful. This game is as good as any for Aiyuk to get it going, with the Rams being shredded by rookie Marvin Harrison Jr. last week for 29 half-PPR points. The stars seem to have aligned for Aiyuk to make his first splash this season, with the matchup and likely heavy target share intersecting with another week of rust being shaken off. Start him this week as a low/mid WR1.

From RotoBaller

Cairo Santos Sep 21 2:10am ET
Cairo Santos

Chicago Bears kicker Cairo Santos is a reliable fantasy choice for Week 3 against the Indianapolis Colts. Santos has quietly emerged as one of the NFL's top kickers, finishing last season tied for the second-most fantasy points at his position, behind only Brandon Aubrey. He kicked three field goals and an extra point in Week 1, followed by two 50-yard field goals and another extra point in Week 2. With a solid start to the season, totaling 24 fantasy points over his first two games, Santos is worth starting this week. The Colt's defense has allowed 20 field-goal conversions since last season, ranking second for the most points given up to visiting kickers. He should be rostered and started in all fantasy leagues.

From RotoBaller

D'Andre Swift Sep 21 2:00am ET
D'Andre Swift

Chicago Bears running back D'Andre Swift is a viable Flex/RB3 option for Sunday's matchup against the struggling Indianapolis Colts, who have had a tough time defending against running backs this season. The Colts currently allow a league-worst average of 237 rushing yards per game. While the Packers' offense had limited success in the air against the Colts, they dominated on the ground, with Josh Jacobs rushing for 151 yards on 32 carries. Additionally, the Colts recently placed star defensive tackle DeForest Buckner (ankle) on injured reserve, sidelining him for the next four weeks. Swift has averaged under three yards per carry this season, accumulating just 48 rushing yards across two games. If the Bears capitalize on Indianapolis's weak run defense, it could provide the spark needed to rejuvenate their offense. The silver lining for Swift is his significant early-season usage, with 67% of the snaps, 62% of the carries, 59% route participation, and an 11% target share. However, the Bears' offense has struggled overall, as Swift averages only 2.0 yards per carry on 24 rushes. He needs to elevate his performance to help the Bears gain momentum. Chicago must emphasize the run game through Swift, Khalil Herbert, Roschon Johnson, or Velus Jones Jr. If the offensive line fails to create holes against the league's worst run-stopping defense, it could indicate more severe issues up front than previously thought.

From RotoBaller

D.J. Moore Sep 21 2:00am ET
D.J. Moore

Chicago Bears wide receiver DJ Moore remains a reliable WR2 option for this week's promising matchup. Moore aims to bounce back from a slow start as the Bears' offense continues to seek its rhythm. Over the first two games, he has been targeted 18 times, recording a team-high 11 catches for 89 receiving yards. This game against the Colts offers his best chance at a breakout, especially after facing more formidable defenses like the Titans and Texans. The Colts rank sixth in the league for most fantasy points allowed to receivers, and their secondary has struggled. The Colts secondary has the second-worst expected points added per dropback against outside wide receivers, allowing a 75% catch rate and tons of receiving yards to wideouts. With fellow receiver Keenan Allen (heel) out again with an injury, Moore will likely see an uptick in targets. Despite the team's struggles, Moore's consistent target share and evident talent keep him positioned as a low-end WR2 for fantasy managers. As rookie quarterback Caleb Williams develops and the Bears' offense improves, Moore's production should increase. Moore will look to make the necessary adjustments and find the end zone as they travel to Indianapolis in Week 3.

From RotoBaller

Rome Odunze Sep 21 2:00am ET
Rome Odunze

Chicago Bears rookie wide receiver Rome Odunze aims to turn around his quiet start to the season this Sunday against the Indianapolis Colts. His role has been particularly frustrating for fans, as offensive coordinator Shane Waldron has yet to utilize his elite skill set fully. Odunze managed only two receptions against the Texans, with a missed opportunity in the end zone overshadowing his performance. However, his struggles aren't solely on him; finding a rhythm is challenging when he's not consistently targeted. Odunze will look to rebound against a vulnerable Colts passing defense. The Colts secondary has the second-worst expected points added per dropback against outside wide receivers, allowing a 75% catch rate and tons of receiving yards to wideouts. With fellow wide receiver Keenan Allen (heel) not playing, Odunze could see an uptick in targets. However, with rookie quarterback Caleb Williams averaging just 134 yards and no touchdowns through the air, there may not be enough volume to support even one wide receiver, let alone three. Unless fantasy managers are desperate and Allen is ruled out, Odunze should remain on fantasy benches this week.

From RotoBaller

Cole Kmet Sep 21 2:00am ET
Cole Kmet

Chicago Bears tight end Cole Kmet is sharing snaps with Gerald Everett, who outperformed him in both playing time and route running during Week 2. Over the first two weeks of the season, Kmet has recorded five receptions on six targets for a mere 31 yards. After finishing last season with 719 receiving yards and six touchdowns, he hoped for a stronger start. However, as quarterback Caleb Williams adjusts and the Bears seek to improve as a team, Kmet will likely see more offense involvement moving forward. The main obstacle for Williams and the Bears is the pressure the defenses are applying to the young quarterback. To combat this and kickstart their offense, it would be beneficial to utilize the middle of the field more and incorporate Kmet into the game plan. Tight ends often act as a security blanket for inexperienced quarterbacks. As the Bears work to speed up Williams' processing time and ensure quick ball releases, using Kmet as a reliable target will be crucial. Meanwhile, veteran backup Gerald Everett garnered three targets last game and continues to impact Kmet's fantasy potential as the team prepares to face the Colts on Sunday. Kmet is a risky play in deeper leagues only.

From RotoBaller

Caleb Williams Sep 21 1:50am ET
Caleb Williams

This Sunday, Chicago Bears rookie quarterback Caleb Williams presents a high-risk, high-reward option as he faces the high-scoring Indianapolis Colts. Williams aims to rebound from a challenging start to his rookie season, during which he has largely been ineffective in fantasy. The Bears have struggled to establish their offense, but the Colts' defense has shown weaknesses early in the season. Chicago's offensive line must improve its protection, especially after Williams was sacked seven times last week against the Texans. Adding to the Colts' vulnerabilities, they placed star defensive tackle DeForest Buckner (ankle) on injured reserve, sidelining him for the next four weeks. While the No. 1 overall NFL Draft pick still has time to turn things around, fantasy managers cannot wait, leading to a decline in rankings for both Williams and the entire Bears offense. So far, Williams has averaged just 134 passing yards per game without a touchdown, and the team has struggled overall, averaging only 3.0 yards per play, ranking last in the NFL by half a yard. It's advisable to look for another option in one-QB leagues, while Williams might offer some upside in two-QB or Superflex formats against a vulnerable Colts defense.

From RotoBaller

Jordan Mason Sep 21 1:40am ET
Jordan Mason

San Francisco 49ers running back Jordan Mason has momentum coming into a Week 3 matchup versus the Rams in Los Angeles on Sunday afternoon. The 49ers appear to have developed a gem in the undrafted 25-year-old who spent his last two years at Georgia Tech overshadowed by Jamyr Gibbs. Through two games Mason -- who goes by J.P. around the 49ers facility -- is the overall RB7 in half-PPR scoring. The Rams have struggled to stop the run in the young season, allowing the third-most half-PPR points to running backs. Last week, they let Arizona's James Connor go for 122 yards and a touchdown. Before that, in Detroit, David Montgomery and Gibbs combined for 121 yards and two touchdowns. Mason began the season in relative obscurity as Christian McCaffrey's backup but in the absence of CMC (Achilles), he has skyrocketed to high-end RB1 and must-start status in Week 3.

From RotoBaller

Deshaun Watson Sep 21 1:20am ET
Deshaun Watson

The New York Giants defense/special teams enters Week 3 against the Cleveland Browns fresh off a Week 2 showing where they did not allow a touchdown but let up seven field goals for a total of 21 points against the Washington Commanders. Facing the Browns' offense, which ranks 27th after two weeks with an average of 263.5 total yards per game, the Giants defense is primed for a productive fantasy outing. Quarterback Deshaun Watson's shaky 154.5 yards-per-game average provides the Giants ample opportunity to disrupt the passing game. While it is probably best to keep the Giants defense on the waiver wire, they could surprise in what could be a grind-it-out contest.

From RotoBaller

Brock Purdy Sep 21 1:10am ET
Brock Purdy

In Week 3, San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy takes the team's 1-1 record into their first divisional game of 2024 in Los Angeles against the Rams in their home opener. Purdy didn't light up the fantasy scoreboard last Sunday in Minnesota by any stretch, throwing for only one touchdown, tossing an interception, and losing a fumble. However, he did throw for 319 yards. It was probably even more frustrating and painful for Purdy himself though, being sacked a career-high six times. Purdy is stuck on one touchdown through two weeks, but on the bright side, he is surprisingly leading the NFL in passing yards per game. The Rams are coming off a 41-10 road drubbing at the hands of the Arizona Cardinals, a game in which Kyler Murray threw for 226 yards and three passing touchdowns. Before that though, they kept Lions QB Jared Goff to 217 yards, one touchdown, and a pick in Detroit. Purdy will be without Deebo Samuel Sr. (calf) and probably George Kittle (hamstring) in this one, not to mention Christian McCaffrey (Achilles) who isn't expected to return for several more weeks. Even if Los Angeles' pass defense is as vulnerable as they looked last week, these injuries throw cold water on the matchup advantage. Put Purdy on the QB1/2 border with a slight boost if Kittle plays.

From RotoBaller

CeeDee Lamb Sep 21 1:00am ET
CeeDee Lamb

The Baltimore Ravens defense/special teams have shown the ability to create turnovers and grab a couple of sacks, but they haven't been able to limit yards and points scored like last season. This defense has given up an average of 26.5 points and 306.5 total yards. They've been able to eat up opposing ground games, but they're the eighth easiest matchup for opposing receivers as they've given up 32.8 fantasy points per game in half-PPR formats. The Dallas Cowboys have the potential to explode through the air since they boast one of the top receivers in the game in CeeDee Lamb. With how weak the Cowboys' ground game has been, it looks like they'll need to air out early and often. The Ravens' defense doesn't quite give fantasy managers the peace of mind they once did, but they are a startable fantasy asset in Week 3 despite being on the riskier side.

From RotoBaller

Malik Nabers Sep 21 1:00am ET
Malik Nabers

New York Giants wide receiver Wan'Dale Robinson heads into Week 3 against the Cleveland Browns with a bump in the road, coming off a poor Week 2 performance where he caught only two of his four targets for 18 yards. Robinson's role as a short-area target gives him a decent floor in PPR formats (as a flex in deeper leagues), but the matchup is tough. The Browns have allowed just 199 passing yards per game in 2024, and Malik Nabers seems to be hogging all of the targets (18 in Week 2). Still, Robinson's quickness could exploit Cleveland's vulnerability to slot receivers, and with the Giants likely playing from behind, he may see an uptick in volume. Consider him a fringe WR3/flex option with potential in deeper leagues.

From RotoBaller

Greg Joseph Sep 21 1:00am ET
Greg Joseph

New York Giants kicker Greg Joseph enters Week 3 against the Cleveland Browns with an opportunity to deliver fantasy value after being picked up off the Detroit Lions practice squad. At this time, Joseph might not even be the kicker that dresses against the Browns as he is competing with Jude McAtamney, who is also on the practice roster. The veteran has played 67 regular-season games for three teams with an 82.6 field goal percentage and a long of 61 yards. Keep an eye on who will be dressed for Sunday's matchup.

From RotoBaller

Josh Palmer Sep 21 1:00am ET
Josh Palmer

Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Joshua Palmer (elbow, calf) didn't practice on Friday. That's three straight absences for the wideout, who is now considered questionable for Sunday's meeting with the Pittsburgh Steelers. The 24-year-old was in line to be the top wideout in Los Angeles entering the 2024-25 campaign. However, he's caught just four of his six targets for 34 yards in the Bolts' first two contests. With that in mind, Palmer isn't an ideal fantasy option in any fantasy format for Week 3 if he's active. That's not expected to change anytime soon, especially with Quentin Johnston and Ladd McConkey playing as well as anyone could hope.

From RotoBaller

Darius Slayton Sep 21 12:50am ET
Darius Slayton

New York Giants wide receiver Darius Slayton enters Week 3 against the Cleveland Browns fresh off a quiet Week 2 performance where he posted just three receptions for 33 yards. Slayton's deep-threat ability can be explosive, and he'll face a Browns defense that has allowed 12.1 yards per reception to receivers through two weeks. Slayton's target share has been modest (10.5% of the team's passing attempts), but there's some sneaky upside here. Expect Slayton to be a high-risk option that is best left on waivers unless managers are desperate for a flex play.

From RotoBaller

Hayden Hurst Sep 21 12:50am ET
Hayden Hurst

Los Angeles Chargers tight end Hayden Hurst (ankle) practiced in a limited capacity on Wednesday and Thursday. However, he logged a full session on Friday and was removed from the injury report ahead of Sunday's matchup with the Pittsburgh Steelers. Despite playing more snaps than Will Dissly through the first two games of the 2024-25 campaign, the latter has been more productive. Still, neither play will find a home in fantasy lineups for Week 3 due to their lack of statistical output. That will be even more true if Justin Herbert (ankle), who is questionable, isn't active.

From RotoBaller

Theo Johnson Sep 21 12:40am ET
Theo Johnson

New York Giants tight end Theo Johnson enters Week 3 against the Cleveland Browns after a performance he would like to forget in Week 2, where he posted 0 receptions on 0 targets against the Washington Commanders. Cleveland has allowed an average of only 8.65 fantasy points per game to tight ends through the first two weeks. At this point, Johnson should not be considered for anyone's roster, but managers should keep an eye on him as he is still the team's starting TE, and the Giants have committed to him there.

From RotoBaller

Mike Gesicki Sep 21 12:40am ET
Mike Gesicki

Cincinnati Bengals tight end Mike Gesicki (calf) was limited during Friday's practice session and is questionable for Monday's game versus Washington. The 28-year-old had a touchdown called back in the Week 1 loss to the New England Patriots. However, he made amends by catching seven of his nine targets for 91 yards in the narrow loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. With many tight ends around the National Football League struggling, Gesicki has gained streaming appeal in 12-team formats. Yet, his status for Week 3 may not be revealed until Monday night, well after nearly every contest on the slate has been played. As a result, fantasy managers may want to consider an alternative for Week 3. If anything, Drew Sample and Erick All Jr. are likely available on the waiver wire. Still, both men aren't expected to do much versus the Washington Commanders, especially if Tee Higgins (hamstring) is back in the lineup after missing the Bengals' previous two contests.

From RotoBaller

Greg Dulcich Sep 21 12:30am ET
Greg Dulcich

Denver Broncos tight end Greg Dulcich (knee, ankle) no longer carries an injury designation ahead of Sunday's game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He was limited during Wednesday's practice. However, the 24-year-old logged full sessions on Thursday and Friday. Dulcich began the 2024-25 campaign by amassing two catches for 12 yards in the Week 1 matchup with the Seahawks. While he was targeted eight times in Week 2 against the Pittsburgh Steelers, he ended the day with only three receptions for 16 yards. With that in mind, Dulcich doesn't warrant consideration in any fantasy format, especially with Bo Nix under center, with the rookie signal-caller throwing four picks and completing only 59.7% of his tosses in the Broncos' first two contests.

From RotoBaller

Tee Higgins Sep 21 12:20am ET
Tee Higgins

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins (hamstring) plans to play against the Washington Commanders on Monday night. The wideout has battled a hamstring injury, keeping him off the field for the Bengals' previous two contests. Fortunately, he's feeling better. "I feel great," said Higgins after practicing in a limited capacity on Friday. "Obviously, unfortunate with the injury, sat out the first two weeks but finally ready to get my feet wet this season and ready to go." Under normal circumstances, Higgins is a starting fantasy receiver in any format. However, there's a chance he could see fewer snaps than usual. As a result, Andrei Iosivas, coming off a two-touchdown outing versus the Kansas City Chiefs, could remain involved. Still, Iosivas' fantasy outlook would have been more promising had Higgins been in line to miss Monday's contest. On the other hand, Higgins' anticipated return is good news for Joe Burrow all around.

From RotoBaller