Draft Day Winners and Losers
Mon Apr 29 11:53am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
White should be lead back
The draft is always so exciting, seeing where all the players get picked. But after the draft, the big issue is figuring out what it all means for their fantasy value. We thought it would be a good idea to look at some of the biggest fantasy winners and losers from draft day. These are some of the players that were picked but also some of the guys that were already on rosters, seeing their fantasy value get impacted from the draft. Adjust your rankings accordingly!
WINNERS
Bryce Young, QB, Panthers. The Panthers did a great job of getting Young some much needed offensive help. The team took a receiver, running back and tight end in three of the first four rounds of the draft. Carolina already added Diontae Johnson this offseason, so the receiver corps should be much better after getting Xavier Legette in the first round. The receivers got very little separation last year, so it was hard to gauge Young. He needed help and got some this offseason. Carolina also took a possible franchise running back in Jonathon Brooks and hopefully a solid starting tight end in Ja’Tavion Sanders. Things are looking up for Young and this offense.
Xavier Worthy, WR, Chiefs. Worthy could not have landed in a much better spot. He heads to one of the best offenses in football that has some openings at receiver, especially with the status of Rashee Rice a bit up in the air. Worthy has electric speed and the Chiefs should find plenty of ways to utilize that. He could be the new Tyreek Hill for this offense. Look for Worthy to make an impact right away.
Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys. Maybe one of the biggest surprises of the draft was the Cowboys not addressing their running back spot. Instead, the team signed Elliott after the draft. He is likely to be the starter in this top offense. He might not rack up the yards of past seasons, but has big touchdown potential in this offense. Elliott seems a pretty sure bet to get double-digit touchdowns. He could be a solid No. 2 for fantasy teams.
Jonathon Brooks, RB, Panthers. Brooks is returning from a major knee injury and could be slowed a little early in the season, but once he is back healthy look for him to the three-down back for the Panthers. He lands in a great spot for playing time, having little top talent to compete with for playing time. Brooks could really get the volume in this offense. He is our top rookie fantasy back.
Zamir White, RB, Raiders. Many thought the Raiders were another team that could address their running back spot during the draft, but that didn’t happen. They used a sixth-round pick on Dylan Laube, but he is not expected to challenge White for that starter’s job. It sure seems the Raiders are comfortable with White as their lead back. He has a chance to get a lot of touches in year two. His stock is going up.
Ladd McConkey, WR, Chargers. The Chargers need help at receiver and McConkey helps fill that need. It would not surprise if he quickly became Justin Herbert’s favorite target in the passing game. We really like his chances to rack up the weekly looks in this offense. Someone has to fill the Keenan Allen void and McConkey seems the best bet out of the options at receiver for the Chargers.
Keon Coleman, WR, Bills. Coleman is another rookie receiver that lands in a great spot for playing time. The departure of Stefon Diggs leaves a big opening for the Bills. Coleman could help fill that void. He has great size for the position and could be a top red-zone threat from day one for Buffalo. Coleman should get his chances from the get go, giving him a high ceiling for the coming year.
LOSERS
Raheem Mostert, RB, Dolphins. Mostert had a monster season last year and helped many fantasy teams to championships. He is going to have a very hard time repeating, especially after the Dolphins picked Jaylen Wright in the fourth round. Wright is a speed back similar to Mostert but a lot younger with less wear on his tires. Remember, Mostert is 32 years old. He might end up falling to third on the depth chart after the addition of Wright.
Rome Odunze, WR, Bears. Odunze is a super talented player that could be a star in the NFL. But for his year, you have to worry about him being up and down. He has two really good receivers ahead of him on the depth chart in DJ Moore and Keenan Allen. This is going to limit the ceiling of Odunze. He will be a much better fantasy player in a few more seasons. For now, expect erratic production from the talented rookie.
Kyren Williams, RB, Rams. Williams remains the lead back for the Rams and is coming off a breakout season. But the Rams picked Blake Corum in the third round. He is going to be a factor in the offense. He might get put a huge dent in Williams’ workload but the big concern is the goal-line work. Corum is more of a between the tackles runner that does well on short-yardage work. He could end up stealing some touchdowns from Williams, hurting his fantasy value.
Michael Mayer, TE, Raiders. Mayer was a second-round pick for the Raiders last year and showed well at times his rookie season. The Raiders couldn’t pass on the talented Brock Browers in this year’s draft, though. This move absolutely kills the fantasy value of Mayer. He is going to play second fiddle to Browers, getting few weekly looks. Browers is the clear tight end to own in this offense.
Ricky Pearsall, WR, 49ers. Pearsall is a talented pass catcher that can get in and out of his breaks in a hurry. He is a really good fit for the slot and could fill that role for the 49ers his rookie season. The problem is he has some of the top talent in all of football to compete with for targets. He could really be up and down his rookie season. He will look better in a year or two when he has a more defined role and less to compete with at receiver. His rookie season could be a tough one to gauge for fantasy owners.
Malik Nabers, WR, Giants. Many considered Nabers the top receiver in this year’s draft. He is super talented with a high fantasy ceiling. The problem for Nabers is he got drafted by the Giants, a team that really struggled offensively last year. Plus, he has Daniel Jones throwing him passes. This is not a great landing spot for the talented Nabers. Jones needs to make some big strides this season if Nabers hopes to reach his potential. We aren’t sure that happens.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
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The Paur Report
Hot Plays, Fades and Sleepers: Week 11
Houston Texans defensive end Will Anderson Jr. (ankle) has been ruled out ahead of the Week 11 matchup against the Dallas Cowboys. Anderson suffered an ankle injury in Week 9 and hasn't been able to suit up since then. The 23-year-old has 7.5 sacks and 27 tackles through his nine games this season. His absence is certainly going to be a hit to this defensive unit heading into Monday's game. The absence of Anderson should mean more snaps for Jerry Hughes and Derek Barnett.
From RotoBaller
New York Jets kicker Anders Carlson has been elevated from the practice squad ahead of the Week 11 matchup against the Indianapolis Colts. Carlson is now the fourth kicker for the Jets this season, but will hopefully be a long term solution. He is 5-for-5 on field goal attempts during his two games with the San Francisco 49ers earlier in the season. Carlson struggled as a rookie, but is worth a look as a streaming option for fantasy managers needing an option for Week 11.
From RotoBaller
The Dallas Cowboys have yet again deemed cornerback DaRon Bland (foot) inactive ahead of Monday night's road tilt against the Houston Texans. The team also ruled out defensive back Jourdan Lewis (neck) for the game. Bland has not logged even a limited practice session since Week 6 and hasn't appeared in a game this season while tending to a foot injury. On the other hand, Lewis is the Cowboys' second-leading snap participant in their defensive backfield. He will miss his first outing of 2024 after apparently picking up a neck injury in their 34-6 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 10. Fortunately, teammate Trevon Diggs (calf) was a full participant all week and carries no designation for Dallas' matchup against the visiting Houston Texans.
From RotoBaller
Miami Dolphins running back De'Von Achane has an excellent opportunity for a good showing in his Week 11 matchup with the Las Vegas Raiders. Last week against the Los Angeles Rams was somewhat of a letdown compared to the previous two outings. The Raiders defense has been torched by running backs all year, ranking 26th in fantasy points per game allowed, allowing 104.1 rushing yards a game, and is eighth-worst in red zone points per game to running backs. According to Pro Football Focus, the Raiders have faced the seventh-highest rate of running back targets, and Achane is one of the best-receiving backs in the league. Achane is primed for an RB1 workload; he's a surefire start in every lineup. He comes in as RotoBaller's RB4 in the Week 11 RB rankings.
From RotoBaller
The Baltimore Ravens defense/special teams put up a fantasy stinker in Week 10 after allowing 34 points and 470 total yards. Their one saving grace has been that they've forced at least one turnover in every week but Week 6. On the flip side, they only have one game with double-digit fantasy points and seven games with five or fewer. The Ravens have the worst pass defense in the league while Russell Wilson has led the Pittsburgh Steelers to 26 or more points in each of the three games he's started. At this stage of the season, the Ravens defense is better left on the bench or waiver wire.
From RotoBaller
Miami Dolphins running back Raheem Mostert comes into Week 11 against the Las Vegas Raiders after an alarming performance against the Los Angeles Rams last week. He did not log a rushing attempt and only caught two of three targets for 34 yards. The 2023 rushing touchdown leader has also not scored a touchdown in his last two games. Mike McDaniels is not pleased with the costly fumbles, and due to Miami's (3-6) record, the margin for error for the rest of the season is minimal. While the Raiders defense has given up the seventh most points per game to opposing running backs and allowed 1,007 total rushing yards on the season, it isn't easy to imagine Mostert getting enough touches to justify starting him. Be cautious if starting him this week; he could be very touchdown-dependent. Mostert is this week's RB35 in the Week 11 RotoBaller rankings.
From RotoBaller
Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has an excellent matchup in a Week 11 contest against the Las Vegas Raiders. Last week's performance against the Los Angeles Rams left fantasy managers much to be desired. Since returning from a concussion in Week 8, Miami has averaged 25.6 points per game. The Raiders defense allows the eighth-most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks and ranks 26th in pressure rate. This should lead to many clean pockets and time to throw for Tagovailoa. Just in their last two games, Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes have thrown seven touchdowns against them. Las Vegas will also be without their top cornerback, Nate Hobbs (ankle), which could spell big trouble for their secondary. He's a solid start in any format and comes in at No. 13 on this week's RotoBaller QB rankings.
From RotoBaller
According to Ben Arthur of Fox Sports, Tennessee Titans wide receiver Tyler Boyd (back) has been added to the team's injury report and is officially questionable for Week 11. The ninth-year wideout is a late addition to Tennessee's report, putting his status for their home tilt against the Minnesota Vikings in question. Due to the timing of the injury, the decision of whether he'll be active could go right up until game time. The Vikings and Titans will square off at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday. Even if Boyd is active, he will not be a recommended option for fantasy, with just 21 receptions and 184 receiving yards through nine appearances in 2024. Moreover, the veteran has not recorded a single target in his prior two contests.
From RotoBaller
Per the NFL's Ian Rapoport, Dallas Cowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb (back) was limited in the team's Saturday practice with a back injury. The 25-year-old is officially questionable for Dallas' home tilt against the Houston Texans on Monday Night Football. Rapoport also noted that Cowboys head coach Mike McCarthy said he's "not of high concern" regarding Lamb's injury. It's encouraging to hear McCarthy's positivity toward the superstar wideout's affliction, but that he's suddenly popped up on Dallas' injury report is mildly concerning for fantasy managers. The former Oklahoma Sooner's value has taken a significant hit with the loss of quarterback Dak Prescott (hamstring) for the remainder of the season, so an injury doesn't exactly help his case. Lamb's owners will need to temper expectations if they're relying on him against a Houston defense letting up just 5.2 yards per pass attempt to their opponents -- the second-lowest mark in the league. Keep an eye on his status over the next 48 hours.
From RotoBaller
Houston Texans wide receiver Nico Collins (hamstring) is without a designation heading into Week 11's matchup against the Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football. The 25-year-old wideout has been shelved since he picked up a hamstring injury while scoring a 67-yard touchdown in Houston's 23-20 win over the Buffalo Bills back in Week 5. He'd miss the ensuing five contests but will make his return this Monday against the team's in-state rivals. Before sustaining the ailment, Collins was on fire, racking up at least 78 yards in all five of his appearances. He should immediately slot back in as the preferred option in the Texans' passing attack. The former Michigan Wolverine is averaging 113.4 receiving yards per game and is a strong WR1 play for Week 11's outing. Collins is RotoBaller's PPR WR9 for Monday night's matchup.
From RotoBaller
Baltimore Ravens kicker Justin Tucker has been quite the boom-or-bust fantasy option this season. He's registered five weeks as a K1, three weeks as a K2, and two weeks outside of the top 24. In Week 10, Tucker only managed to make three of his four extra points and didn't attempt any field goals. He'll go up against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 11 who give up the fifth-fewest fantasy points per game to opposing kickers. Tucker has the talent to deliver K1 results, but the big question is whether or not the offense will be able to get into field goal range and stall out enough for him to collect more fantasy points.
From RotoBaller
Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Diontae Johnson has yet to find the amount of success he enjoyed when catching passes from Andy Dalton earlier this season. Head coach John Harbaugh did say that Johnson's involvement would be ramped up, but the Ravens have a tougher matchup in Week 11. They take on the Pittsburgh Steelers, Johnson's former team, who are one of the tougher defenses against opposing passing games. Zay Flowers, Mark Andrews, and Rashod Bateman have all been big pieces to this offense, so it's still unknown how Johnson fits into the mix. He could be a flex play in very deep leagues, but he's not much of a trustworthy option.
From RotoBaller
Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews delivered a vintage performance in Week 10 while Isaiah Likely was sidelined. He finished as the TE1 on the week and had an 87% snap share. In Week 11, Likely has been cleared to return and the Ravens take on their long-time rival the Pittsburgh Steelers. Andrews has gone up against the Steelers nine times in his career and has yet to find the end zone. He averages 50.7 yards and just shy of five receptions per game. The Steelers are currently around the middle of the pack against tight ends and allow 8.5 fantasy points per contest. Andrews' biggest question mark will be his snap share with Likely back which is why he hovers around the lower part of TE1 territory.
From RotoBaller
San Francisco 49ers running back Jordan Mason will back up All-Pro Christian McCaffrey in a Week 11 home date with the Seattle Seahawks. Mason was found money in fantasy in the early part of the year, performing like an RB1 with McCaffrey (Achilles) sidelined. That was until Mason struggled with a shoulder injury of his own and ceded snaps to rookie Isaac Guerendo. Last week as predicted, the return of McCaffrey was near-absolute, even in his first game back. Mason and Guerendo each received one carry and no targets. It was proof that head coach Kyle Shanahan's idea of easing his starter back from a lengthy absence doesn't include significant involvement from his other running backs. CMC is the bell cow, making Mason no more than a bench stash in Week 11.
From RotoBaller
Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Zay Flowers is looking to bounce back after a disappointing outing but will have a tough matchup to do so. The Pittsburgh Steelers are one of the tougher defenses against opposing quarterbacks and passing offenses. They're 23rd in fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers in half-PPR formats. Flowers will likely matchup with Beanie Bishop Jr. who has allowed the most receiving touchdowns out of the Steelers' corners, but only allows an average depth of target of 6.8 yards. The speedy wideout carries WR2 value going into this matchup.
From RotoBaller
The San Francisco 49ers D/ST unit will look to give the division-rival Seattle Seahawks a rude welcome to Santa Clara on Sunday. The 49ers are the sixth-most productive unit among fantasy D/STs. Seattle's offense shouldn't pose too much of a challenge, ranking as the ninth-best team in the NFL by yardage and 15th-best by points scored. The Seahawks have struggled taking care of the ball, tied for seventh in giveaways. They are also allowing 3.1 sacks per game, which is also tied for seventh-worst. San Francisco's best defensive weapon Nick Bosa (hip) is truly questionable though, telling the San Francisco Chronicle mid-week that "it's going to be close". Cornerback Charvarius Ward (personal) will miss his second consecutive game. Seattle's offense will be missing tight end Noah Fant (groin), but wideout DK Metcalf (knee) is set to return. The Niners' D holds the No. 5 spot in RotoBaller's Week 11 rankings.
From RotoBaller
Baltimore Ravens running back Derrick Henry has been nothing short of amazing this season and has propelled the offense to new heights. Even though Saquon Barkley is the current rushing leader after Thursday night, Henry has two more touchdowns, a higher yards per attempt average, and sits at RB1 on the season. In Week 11, he'll go up against the Pittsburgh Steelers who give up an average of 19.0 fantasy points per game to opposing backfields in half-PPR formats. They've allowed the fourth-fewest rushing yards in the league and only seven rushing touchdowns all season. Henry still boasts RB1 potential, however, because the Steelers are more stout against the passing game, so the game plan will likely go through the backfield.
From RotoBaller
San Francisco 49ers kicker Jake Moody will kickoff to the Seattle Seahawks in a Week 11 home matchup on Sunday. Last week, Moody had fantasy managers pulling their hair out, as they watched the second-year pro miss three consecutive field goals (49, 50, 44) before hitting the game-winner from 44. In 2023, Moody went through a stretch where he missed three of five attempts, including a potential game-winner in Cleveland, which had some in the media speculating about his job security. He would recover though, only missing two the rest of the way. San Francisco is sticking with the 2023 third-rounder once again. Hopefully, Moody can right the ship and demonstrate that last week's misses were a product of rust in his first game back from an ankle injury that took a month to heal. Seattle's defense is in the bottom third of the league, so Moody should get opportunities to put up points. He's a top-5 option in Week 11.
From RotoBaller
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson has picked apart almost every team in the NFL throughout his career. One team, however, has been a constant thorn in his side and it happens to be their biggest rival the Pittsburgh Steelers. In six career games against them, he has a 2-4 record and has accumulated 870 yards, four touchdowns, and seven interceptions on 78-for-132 throwing with 262 yards on 53 carries. While he has struggled mightily against them, he remains a must-start fantasy asset because he's never faced them with as good of an offense as this one. His potential is always through the roof, but he could end up as a low-end QB1 since he has never scored more than 17 fantasy points against the Steelers.
From RotoBaller
San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Ricky Pearsall will line up against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 11 at home. The rookie out of Florida scored his first NFL touchdown last week in Tampa on a 46-yard catch-and-run to the pylon, part of a six-target, four-reception, 73-yard performance. The matchup for Pearsall is enticing, with Seattle allowing the 11th-most WR half-PPR points per game. The problem with Pearsall as a starting option, however, is that he's stuck in the 49ers' third-receiver role for now, which has been mostly fantasy-irrelevant in recent years. Teammate Jauan Jennings has grabbed hold of Brandon Aiyuk's outside receiver role, as evidenced by Jennings' 11 targets in Week 10. With Christian McCaffrey (Achilles) back in action, Pearsall is just the latest example of the too-many-mouths-to-feed problem in San Francisco during the Brock Purdy era. Pearsall looks like a quality NFL receiver with big-play potential, but target insecurity makes him a very risky WR4/FLEX play for now.
From RotoBaller
