Draft Day Winners and Losers
Mon Apr 29 11:53am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
White should be lead back
The draft is always so exciting, seeing where all the players get picked. But after the draft, the big issue is figuring out what it all means for their fantasy value. We thought it would be a good idea to look at some of the biggest fantasy winners and losers from draft day. These are some of the players that were picked but also some of the guys that were already on rosters, seeing their fantasy value get impacted from the draft. Adjust your rankings accordingly!
WINNERS
Bryce Young, QB, Panthers. The Panthers did a great job of getting Young some much needed offensive help. The team took a receiver, running back and tight end in three of the first four rounds of the draft. Carolina already added Diontae Johnson this offseason, so the receiver corps should be much better after getting Xavier Legette in the first round. The receivers got very little separation last year, so it was hard to gauge Young. He needed help and got some this offseason. Carolina also took a possible franchise running back in Jonathon Brooks and hopefully a solid starting tight end in Ja’Tavion Sanders. Things are looking up for Young and this offense.
Xavier Worthy, WR, Chiefs. Worthy could not have landed in a much better spot. He heads to one of the best offenses in football that has some openings at receiver, especially with the status of Rashee Rice a bit up in the air. Worthy has electric speed and the Chiefs should find plenty of ways to utilize that. He could be the new Tyreek Hill for this offense. Look for Worthy to make an impact right away.
Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys. Maybe one of the biggest surprises of the draft was the Cowboys not addressing their running back spot. Instead, the team signed Elliott after the draft. He is likely to be the starter in this top offense. He might not rack up the yards of past seasons, but has big touchdown potential in this offense. Elliott seems a pretty sure bet to get double-digit touchdowns. He could be a solid No. 2 for fantasy teams.
Jonathon Brooks, RB, Panthers. Brooks is returning from a major knee injury and could be slowed a little early in the season, but once he is back healthy look for him to the three-down back for the Panthers. He lands in a great spot for playing time, having little top talent to compete with for playing time. Brooks could really get the volume in this offense. He is our top rookie fantasy back.
Zamir White, RB, Raiders. Many thought the Raiders were another team that could address their running back spot during the draft, but that didn’t happen. They used a sixth-round pick on Dylan Laube, but he is not expected to challenge White for that starter’s job. It sure seems the Raiders are comfortable with White as their lead back. He has a chance to get a lot of touches in year two. His stock is going up.
Ladd McConkey, WR, Chargers. The Chargers need help at receiver and McConkey helps fill that need. It would not surprise if he quickly became Justin Herbert’s favorite target in the passing game. We really like his chances to rack up the weekly looks in this offense. Someone has to fill the Keenan Allen void and McConkey seems the best bet out of the options at receiver for the Chargers.
Keon Coleman, WR, Bills. Coleman is another rookie receiver that lands in a great spot for playing time. The departure of Stefon Diggs leaves a big opening for the Bills. Coleman could help fill that void. He has great size for the position and could be a top red-zone threat from day one for Buffalo. Coleman should get his chances from the get go, giving him a high ceiling for the coming year.
LOSERS
Raheem Mostert, RB, Dolphins. Mostert had a monster season last year and helped many fantasy teams to championships. He is going to have a very hard time repeating, especially after the Dolphins picked Jaylen Wright in the fourth round. Wright is a speed back similar to Mostert but a lot younger with less wear on his tires. Remember, Mostert is 32 years old. He might end up falling to third on the depth chart after the addition of Wright.
Rome Odunze, WR, Bears. Odunze is a super talented player that could be a star in the NFL. But for his year, you have to worry about him being up and down. He has two really good receivers ahead of him on the depth chart in DJ Moore and Keenan Allen. This is going to limit the ceiling of Odunze. He will be a much better fantasy player in a few more seasons. For now, expect erratic production from the talented rookie.
Kyren Williams, RB, Rams. Williams remains the lead back for the Rams and is coming off a breakout season. But the Rams picked Blake Corum in the third round. He is going to be a factor in the offense. He might get put a huge dent in Williams’ workload but the big concern is the goal-line work. Corum is more of a between the tackles runner that does well on short-yardage work. He could end up stealing some touchdowns from Williams, hurting his fantasy value.
Michael Mayer, TE, Raiders. Mayer was a second-round pick for the Raiders last year and showed well at times his rookie season. The Raiders couldn’t pass on the talented Brock Browers in this year’s draft, though. This move absolutely kills the fantasy value of Mayer. He is going to play second fiddle to Browers, getting few weekly looks. Browers is the clear tight end to own in this offense.
Ricky Pearsall, WR, 49ers. Pearsall is a talented pass catcher that can get in and out of his breaks in a hurry. He is a really good fit for the slot and could fill that role for the 49ers his rookie season. The problem is he has some of the top talent in all of football to compete with for targets. He could really be up and down his rookie season. He will look better in a year or two when he has a more defined role and less to compete with at receiver. His rookie season could be a tough one to gauge for fantasy owners.
Malik Nabers, WR, Giants. Many considered Nabers the top receiver in this year’s draft. He is super talented with a high fantasy ceiling. The problem for Nabers is he got drafted by the Giants, a team that really struggled offensively last year. Plus, he has Daniel Jones throwing him passes. This is not a great landing spot for the talented Nabers. Jones needs to make some big strides this season if Nabers hopes to reach his potential. We aren’t sure that happens.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
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The Paur Report
Seattle Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith finds himself outside of the starting options at the position in Week 1 against the Denver Broncos. This is nothing against Smith who should actually have a bounce-back season with new offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb. The matchup is also relatively neutral as the Denver Broncos were middle of the pack against quarterbacks in 2023. However, the position is so deep that you should have better options available. If you are in dire need of a quarterback, or you play in a two-quarterback league, then Smith is a fine option. He should be able to amass 15-20 fantasy points in Week 1.
From RotoBaller
Seattle Seahawks kicker Jason Myers is a solid option in fantasy in Week 1. The Seahawks offense should have plenty of chances to score on Sunday against a middle-of-the-road Broncos defense. Myers was the K6 in 2023 and should be able to pick up where he left off. He is an incredibly accurate kicker and should have a chance for plenty of field goals and PATs. Start Myers with confidence in Week 1. He has a chance for double-digit fantasy points.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Jalen McMillan has worked his way up the depth chart quickly in camp. The third-round pick is slated to start alongside Mike Evans and Chris Godwin during the Week 1 season opener against the Washington Commanders. There is a ton of potential here as McMillan should be stashed in all dynasty leagues. However, the 22-year-old isn't a great streaming option heading into Week 1. It's uncertain how many targets will be left over with Evans, Godwin, and probably Rachaad White ahead of McMillan in terms of passing options. There is potential for McMillan to grow and become a reliable contributor in this offense. However, fantasy managers should be able to find a better streaming option ahead of Week 1. McMillan should be considered a WR4 for the season opener.
From RotoBaller
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba has an excellent opportunity to make a statement in Week 1. With DK Metcalf drawing the attention of cornerback Patrick Surtain II and Tyler Lockett (thigh) coming off a training camp injury, Smith-Njigba could find himself on the field and open often. All reports suggest that Smith-Njigba has had a great camp. He has also made a couple of highlight-reel plays in the preseason. Smith-Njigba also looks much bigger and more confident than he did in 2023. It is easy to forget that Smith-Njigba was the No. 20 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. He has the talent and pedigree to shine in 2024, which could come as early as Week 1.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans has been one of the most consistent wideouts over the last decade. The veteran wideout has finished with at least 1,000 receiving yards in each of the last 10 seasons. He has shown no signs of slowing down and is the clear No. 1 target on this offense. Evans will get an excellent matchup in Week 1. He'll face a Washington Commanders defense that allowed the most receiving yards and receiving touchdowns to wideouts last season. Fantasy managers can continue sliding Evans into their WR1 spot without worry heading into the season opener.
From RotoBaller
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Tyler Lockett (thigh) enters Week 1 after being limited in practice for much of training camp. With Jaxon Smith-Njigba emerging this preseason, the Seahawks have three excellent options at wide receiver. Lockett slowed down in 2023. After four straight 1,000-yard seasons, Lockett only recorded 894 yards and five touchdowns in 2023. There is a lot of excitement around the Seahawks' offense due to the addition of new offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb. A fresh coordinator could help Lockett have a resurgent season. However, since Lockett missed or was limited throughout most of training camp, he may require a couple of weeks to ramp up to game speed. Additionally, Lockett has been limited in practice thus far this week. He should be an ok flex option in Week 1, but do not expect a ground-breaking game from Lockett.
From RotoBaller
Seattle Seahawks running back Kenneth Walker III draws an excellent matchup against the Denver Broncos in Week 1. The Broncos boasted the third-worst rushing defense in the NFL in 2023. The defense improved as the season progressed, but there is no reason to believe they will be able to hold Walker in check in Week 1. With the news that the Seahawks will be a run-first team in 2024, Walker could be in for a massive workload. Walker should have plenty of lanes to run through and plenty of opportunities for big plays against the Broncos. Additionally, the Seahawks offense should move the ball effectively in Week 1. As such, Walker should have several opportunities to score in the red zone. You can confidently start Walker as a high-end RB2 in Week 1. His ability to break off big plays and potential for touchdown opportunities gives him top-five upside in Week 1.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Chris Godwin has quietly become one of the more reliable wideouts over the last few years. The 28-year-old has finished with 1,000 receiving yards or more in four of the last five seasons. He doesn't normally get as much glory with fellow wideout Mike Evans being the primary deep threat and red zone threat in the passing game. Despite that, Godwin has still been able to put together solid numbers year-after-year. That should continue in 2024 as Godwin kicks off the season with an excellent matchup against the Washington Commanders. A defensive unit that gave up over 3,000 yards and nearly 30 touchdowns to opposing wideouts last season. Godwin is unlikely to put up flashy numbers, but he should on the radar as a WR2 in PPR formats.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots running back Antonio Gibson (hip) was added to the team's injury report on Thursday after putting in a limited practice session. Mid-week downgrades in status are usually never good, but the Patriots could also be practicing caution with one of their top running backs just before the start of the regular season on Sunday against the Cincinnati Bengals. We'll know more when the Patriots release their final injury report on Friday. Gibson, who is in his first year in New England in the first year without head coach Bill Belichick, is expected to be the primary change-of-pace option to starter Rhamondre Stevenson in an offense that not many people are expecting much from under either veteran QB Jacoby Brissett or rookie Drake Maye. Gibson is best left on benches in Week 1, and if he's not active, JaMycal Hasty could be the team's RB2 behind Stevenson.
From RotoBaller
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver DK Metcalf has a tall task ahead of him against the Denver Broncos in Week 1. The Broncos have one of the NFL's best young cornerbacks, Patrick Surtain II. Metcalf will probably draw a shadow from Surtain who shadowed on 48.5% of his coverages in 2023. As such, Surtain may curb Metcalf's Week 1 upside. However, Metcalf is an alpha wide receiver who is likely to be force-fed targets in this new Seahawks system. Start Metcalf as a low-end WR2 in Week 1 but expect his outlook to improve as the season progresses.
From RotoBaller
Green Bay Packers wide receiver Romeo Doubs (hand), who was limited in the team's first two practices of the week on Tuesday and Wednesday, returned to a full practice on Thursday and was removed from the final Week 1 injury report. Doubs will be active for Friday night's season opener against the Philadelphia Eagles in Brazil. The 24-year-old's hand injury could make it tougher for him to come down with contested catches on Friday, but it ultimately never really put him in danger of missing the season opener. Most fantasy managers are probably overlooking Doubs in Green Bay's crowded receiver's room, but if everything breaks his way, he could end up being the Packers' most productive wideout when all is said and done in 2024. The former fourth-rounder had a healthy eight TDs in 17 regular-season games last year and will head into Week 1 as an upside WR4/flex play in lineups.
From RotoBaller
Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Marquise Brown (shoulder), who will not play in Thursday night's season opener versus the Baltimore Ravens due to a sternoclavicular joint sprain suffered in the preseason opener, is expected to return to practice next week and could be in play to make his Chiefs debut in a Week 2 showdown against the Cincinnati Bengals. If Brown looks good in practices next week, there's a strong chance he will suit up next week, although he could also need one more week to heal up. The 27-year-old's fantasy stock dropped because of his injury, but it could end up making him an excellent value pick, as Hollywood figures to be one of quarterback Patrick Mahomes' top targets when he's back on the field. With Brown inactive on Thursday night, look for Rashee Rice, rookie Xavier Worthy and Justin Watson to start in three-wide sets for the Chiefs.
From RotoBaller
New York Jets wide receiver Mike Williams (knee) was listed as a full participant in the team's first official practice of the regular season on Thursday. It means that despite tearing his ACL early in the 2023 season while with the Los Angeles Chargers, he'll be active for his Jets debut in Week 1 on Monday night against the San Francisco 49ers. It's great news for a Jets offense that is looking to do special things in 2024 if quarterback Aaron Rodgers can just stay healthy. The 29-year-old Williams will be active this coming Monday, but the Jets have already disclosed that he's expected to be on a pitch count, which will make him a low-ceiling, low-floor, boom/bust WR5/flex option in fantasy to kick off the season. It's best to just leave him on your benches this week. With Williams being eased in early on, Allen Lazard could benefit the most behind WR1 Garrett Wilson, mainly because of his rapport with Rodgers.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Bucky Irving looks to be set as the primary backup option to Rachaad White in the backfield. He won the competition against Sean Tucker in camp for the No. 2 role in this offense. Sadly for Irving, that No. 2 role probably isn't going to be too significant. The Bucs are likely going to lean on White as their lead back. Irving should help out on special teams and possibly see a handful of snaps as the change-of-pace back. However, there is unlikely to be enough carries for Irving to have viable value during the season opener. He's worth stashing in dynasty formats and deep leagues because if White goes down then Irving will be the next man up. Irving could carve out a bigger role for himself as the season goes on, but he remains a shaky option for the season opener against the Washington Commanders.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Rachaad White is coming off a breakout campaign with the organization in 2023. He racked up 1,539 scrimmage yards as White has proven himself to be a reliable option in both the running and receiving game. The Bucs added Bucky Irving in the fourth-round of this year's draft. However, there's no one really challenging White as he's the clear cut lead back heading into the regular season. He'll kick off the season with a favorable matchup against the Washington Commanders. A defensive unit that got torched for 19 touchdowns to opposing running backs last season. White should once again be an important piece in this offense with little changes being made on the offensive side of the ball. Fantasy managers should feel comfortable plugging White in as their RB2 for Week 1.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield is coming off an excellent 2023 campaign and looks to build on it during his second year with the team. Last season, Mayfield threw for a career-high 4,044 passing yards with 28 touchdowns and 10 interceptions in 17 games. The Bucs haven't lost any significant weapons over the offseason. This roster is basically the same with a few minor additions and subtractions. That being said, Mayfield should hopefully be able to pick up where he left off last season. He'll get a favorable matchup in the season opener against the Washington Commanders. A defensive unit that struggled against both the run and pass last season. Mayfield should be considered a high-end QB2 for the season opener.
From RotoBaller
Las Vegas Raiders rookie first-round tight end Brock Bowers (foot) was once again limited in practice on Thursday leading up to the Week 1 contest on Sunday against the division-rival Los Angeles Chargers at Sofi Stadium. The Raiders are just being cautious with their young tight end, as head coach Antonio Pierce has said that he fully expects Bowers to suit up this weekend for his regular-season NFL debut. The 21-year-old from Georgia certainly has a high ceiling at the next level, but he could get off to a slow start with last year's second-rounder, Michael Mayer, also expected to be utilized in this offense. Fantasy managers expecting Bowers to be this year's Sam LaPorta might be very disappointed, but he will still be on the TE1/2 borderline in Week 1 against the Bolts for his yards-after-the-catch prowess with the football in his hands.
From RotoBaller
Tennessee Titans wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins (knee) was limited in practice for the second straight day on Thursday to kick off preparations for the Week 1 regular-season opener in Chicago this Sunday against the Bears. Hopkins practiced with a sleeve on his left leg on Thursday and could be questionable to play this weekend. However, offensive coordinator Nick Holz did say that if the 32-year-old veteran is active against the Bears, he's expected to have a big role across from new wideout Calvin Ridley. We'll have a better idea of Hopkins' status when the Titans release their final injury report for Week 1 on Friday. The former first-rounder is no longer a Pro Bowl wideout, but he did put up his seventh 1,000-yard season in 2023 with Ryan Tannehill and Will Levis throwing him passes. Ridley's presence will mean fewer targets, but Nuk still has the ability to be a serviceable WR4/flex for fantasy managers.
From RotoBaller
Washington Commanders wide receiver Terry McLaurin should be expected to see the vast majority of targets on Sunday afternoon and should be treated as a high-end WR2 in Week 1. Currently, the Commanders depth chart outside of the Ohio State product is looking quite bleak, with several unproven wideouts. Even after catching passes from multiple QBs every season of his career, the former third-round pick has posted a 1,000-yard campaign in all but one of his five professional campaigns. He now hopes to continue that same success with the new franchise QB in the nation's capital. In a matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who surrendered the fifth-most 248.9 passing yards per game last year, McLaurin could be in store for a big game and get off to an excellent start as he looks to be the focal point of the Washington offense yet again.
From RotoBaller
Washington Commanders wide receiver Dyami Brown looks to emerge as the No.2 wideout in the season opener but should be left out of your starting lineups this weekend. Brown flashed some upside during the preseason, especially in the opening game, where he caught a 42-yard pass from Jayden Daniels. In the second game, he continued to build a connection with Daniels by seeing three targets from him on just one drive. Through his first three seasons in Washington, the UNC product totaled only 476 yards and three scores, making him a boom-or-bust option in Week 1. However, if Brown can claim the No.2 spot on the depth chart, he could become a solid flex play as the season progresses as Daniels develops as a passer.
From RotoBaller
