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FFL: Week 1 | NFL: Week 1

Draft Day Winners and Losers

Mon Apr 29 11:53am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

White should be lead back


The draft is always so exciting, seeing where all the players get picked. But after the draft, the big issue is figuring out what it all means for their fantasy value. We thought it would be a good idea to look at some of the biggest fantasy winners and losers from draft day. These are some of the players that were picked but also some of the guys that were already on rosters, seeing their fantasy value get impacted from the draft. Adjust your rankings accordingly!

WINNERS

Bryce Young, QB, Panthers. The Panthers did a great job of getting Young some much needed offensive help. The team took a receiver, running back and tight end in three of the first four rounds of the draft. Carolina already added Diontae Johnson this offseason, so the receiver corps should be much better after getting Xavier Legette in the first round. The receivers got very little separation last year, so it was hard to gauge Young. He needed help and got some this offseason. Carolina also took a possible franchise running back in Jonathon Brooks and hopefully a solid starting tight end in Ja’Tavion Sanders. Things are looking up for Young and this offense.

Xavier Worthy, WR, Chiefs. Worthy could not have landed in a much better spot. He heads to one of the best offenses in football that has some openings at receiver, especially with the status of Rashee Rice a bit up in the air. Worthy has electric speed and the Chiefs should find plenty of ways to utilize that. He could be the new Tyreek Hill for this offense. Look for Worthy to make an impact right away.

Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys. Maybe one of the biggest surprises of the draft was the Cowboys not addressing their running back spot. Instead, the team signed Elliott after the draft. He is likely to be the starter in this top offense. He might not rack up the yards of past seasons, but has big touchdown potential in this offense. Elliott seems a pretty sure bet to get double-digit touchdowns. He could be a solid No. 2 for fantasy teams.

Jonathon Brooks, RB, Panthers. Brooks is returning from a major knee injury and could be slowed a little early in the season, but once he is back healthy look for him to the three-down back for the Panthers. He lands in a great spot for playing time, having little top talent to compete with for playing time. Brooks could really get the volume in this offense. He is our top rookie fantasy back.

Zamir White, RB, Raiders. Many thought the Raiders were another team that could address their running back spot during the draft, but that didn’t happen. They used a sixth-round pick on Dylan Laube, but he is not expected to challenge White for that starter’s job. It sure seems the Raiders are comfortable with White as their lead back. He has a chance to get a lot of touches in year two. His stock is going up.

Ladd McConkey, WR, Chargers. The Chargers need help at receiver and McConkey helps fill that need. It would not surprise if he quickly became Justin Herbert’s favorite target in the passing game. We really like his chances to rack up the weekly looks in this offense. Someone has to fill the Keenan Allen void and McConkey seems the best bet out of the options at receiver for the Chargers.

Keon Coleman, WR, Bills. Coleman is another rookie receiver that lands in a great spot for playing time. The departure of Stefon Diggs leaves a big opening for the Bills. Coleman could help fill that void. He has great size for the position and could be a top red-zone threat from day one for Buffalo. Coleman should get his chances from the get go, giving him a high ceiling for the coming year.

LOSERS

Raheem Mostert, RB, Dolphins. Mostert had a monster season last year and helped many fantasy teams to championships. He is going to have a very hard time repeating, especially after the Dolphins picked Jaylen Wright in the fourth round. Wright is a speed back similar to Mostert but a lot younger with less wear on his tires. Remember, Mostert is 32 years old. He might end up falling to third on the depth chart after the addition of Wright.

Rome Odunze, WR, Bears. Odunze is a super talented player that could be a star in the NFL. But for his year, you have to worry about him being up and down. He has two really good receivers ahead of him on the depth chart in DJ Moore and Keenan Allen. This is going to limit the ceiling of Odunze. He will be a much better fantasy player in a few more seasons. For now, expect erratic production from the talented rookie.

Kyren Williams, RB, Rams. Williams remains the lead back for the Rams and is coming off a breakout season. But the Rams picked Blake Corum in the third round. He is going to be a factor in the offense. He might get put a huge dent in Williams’ workload but the big concern is the goal-line work. Corum is more of a between the tackles runner that does well on short-yardage work. He could end up stealing some touchdowns from Williams, hurting his fantasy value.

Michael Mayer, TE, Raiders. Mayer was a second-round pick for the Raiders last year and showed well at times his rookie season. The Raiders couldn’t pass on the talented Brock Browers in this year’s draft, though. This move absolutely kills the fantasy value of Mayer. He is going to play second fiddle to Browers, getting few weekly looks. Browers is the clear tight end to own in this offense.

Ricky Pearsall, WR, 49ers. Pearsall is a talented pass catcher that can get in and out of his breaks in a hurry. He is a really good fit for the slot and could fill that role for the 49ers his rookie season. The problem is he has some of the top talent in all of football to compete with for targets. He could really be up and down his rookie season. He will look better in a year or two when he has a more defined role and less to compete with at receiver. His rookie season could be a tough one to gauge for fantasy owners.

Malik Nabers, WR, Giants. Many considered Nabers the top receiver in this year’s draft. He is super talented with a high fantasy ceiling. The problem for Nabers is he got drafted by the Giants, a team that really struggled offensively last year. Plus, he has Daniel Jones throwing him passes. This is not a great landing spot for the talented Nabers. Jones needs to make some big strides this season if Nabers hopes to reach his potential. We aren’t sure that happens.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Player Notes
Justin Tucker Sep 4 7:50pm ET
Justin Tucker

Baltimore Ravens kicker Justin Tucker continues to stick at the top of the kicking ranks heading into his 13th season in the NFL. The Texas product finished as the second-best fantasy kicker last year in what turned out to be more of a down year for the league's most accurate kicker. He made the third-most extra points and third-most 40-to-49-yard field goals while seeing a downward trend in 50+ yarders. With the Ravens offense still expected to put points on the board and the seemingly limitless range of Tucker, he's primed for yet another season as one of the top kickers in the league. Fantasy managers can play him in confidence heading into the Week 1 matchup with the Kansas City Chiefs.

From RotoBaller

Breece Hall Sep 4 7:50pm ET
Breece Hall

New York Jets lead running back Breece Hall said he is feeling great heading into a Week 1 showdown on Monday night against the San Francisco 49ers. Hall is hoping to carry the momentum of his strong 2023 campaign into this year after he totaled 1,585 scrimmage yards and got better as the year progressed, recording 507 scrimmage yards and four touchdowns over the final three games. "I feel like I'm better than ever right now. Really to me, I haven't really done anything in this league yet. Christian McCaffrey sets the standard. He's a top-10 player in this league, and I feel like with my talent and the team we have, I have potential to trend towards that way. So, I'm just excited to get rolling," Hall said. Outside of CMC and maybe second-year back Bijan Robinson in Atlanta, the 23-year-old Hall is one of the most versatile and explosive backs in the NFL. He's a high-end, must-start RB1 each and every week in fantasy.

From RotoBaller

Noah Fant Sep 4 7:40pm ET
Noah Fant

Seattle Seahawks tight end Noah Fant (toe) was listed on the team's first official injury report of the 2024 season on Wednesday after he put in a limited practice session. Fant injured his toe at a training camp practice way back on Aug. 7, but the Seahawks have expressed optimism all along that he'd be ready for the Week 1 regular-season opener this Sunday against the visiting Denver Broncos at Lumen Field. The 26-year-old could be back to full practice by the end of the week and be removed from the final injury report for Week 1 on Friday. The former 20th overall pick by the Broncos in 2019 out of Iowa had career-lows in catches (32), receiving yards (414) and touchdowns (zero) in 17 games in his second year in Seattle in 2023. When healthy, Fant is the fourth receiving option, at best, among a trio of talented receivers, making him a low-ceiling, low-floor TE2 in fantasy.

From RotoBaller

Rashod Bateman Sep 4 7:40pm ET
Rashod Bateman

Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Rashod Bateman has endured an injury-riddled career so far and hasn't lived up to the expectations that come with a first-round draft pick. The former 27th-overall pick enters this year with a lot to prove and some added expectations after the team didn't retain Odell Beckham Jr. All of the talk surrounding Bateman in camp has been positive, so it seems Bateman could be in for a better year, but fantasy managers should proceed with caution. While he only missed one game last year, he operated as the third and fourth receiver most times while posting 367 yards and one touchdown on 32 receptions. Bateman isn't on the fantasy radar during Week 1, but could be a stash type of player if he shows improvement.

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Tyrone Tracy Jr. Sep 4 7:40pm ET
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

New York Giants rookie running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. (ankle) was not listed on the team's first official injury report on Wednesday after putting in a full practice. Tracy was carted off the field and put in an air cast during practice on Aug. 13, but he thankfully escaped a serious injury -- he was eventually diagnosed with a low-ankle sprain -- and now looks ready to make his regular-season NFL debut this Sunday in the Week 1 season opener versus the Minnesota Vikings. In deep single-year leagues, the 24-year-old is a handcuff option for those that also have lead back Devin Singletary rostered, but other than that, Tracy only deserves to be rostered in dynasty/keeper leagues. If anything were to happen to Singletary in his first year in the Big Apple, though, Tracy would immediately become a popular waiver-wire target as the next in line for a significant workload out of the backfield.

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CeeDee Lamb Sep 4 7:30pm ET
CeeDee Lamb

Dallas Cowboys head coach Mike McCarthy said on Wednesday that the team is still watching the repetitions with star wide receiver CeeDee Lamb in practice adding that "we're building up to Sunday." Lamb was most likely the top receiver to come off the board in most fantasy drafts, so if he's active in Week 1 against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday as is expected, he needs to be in all starting lineups. The 25-year-old remains on the commissioner's exempt list after holding out for all of training camp and the preseason, but he and the Cowboys were able to agree on a four-year, $136 million contract extension last week. While Lamb is always a must-start when he's active, there's obvious bust potential out of the gates after he missed so much practice time with the team this summer. The former 17th overall pick in 2020 has three straight 1,000-yard seasons and led the league in 2023 with 135 receptions.

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Mark Andrews Sep 4 7:30pm ET
Mark Andrews

Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews missed seven games last season and finished one spot away from TE1 territory in half-PPR fantasy leagues. Throughout the six seasons of his career, one thing has been abundantly clear, Andrews is Lamar Jackson's favorite weapon. While the team may have added some more capable pass-catchers and weapons in the ground game, Andrews remains the biggest constant for Jackson. Last year, Andrews caught 45 of his 61 targets for 544 yards and six touchdowns in 10 games. He's had 700 or more yards in four of the last five seasons and hasn't scored fewer than five touchdowns since his rookie year. Fantasy managers can consider the veteran a TE1 heading into the AFC Championship game rematch on Thursday night.

From RotoBaller

Harrison Butker Sep 4 7:30pm ET
Harrison Butker

Kansas City Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker will play against the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season. This matchup will put two of the best kickers in the league against one another. Justin Tucker and Harrison Butker finished last season with 32 and 33 field goals, respectively, but Butker edged Tucker in the field goal percentage department. In 2023, Butker made 33 of his 35 field goal attempts and 38 of his 38 extra-point attempts. The Chiefs kicker will look to stay perfect in the extra-point department and build on his substantial 94.3% field goal percentage from last season. In the offseason, Kansas City offered Butker a four-year, $25.6 million extension, which included $17.75 million in guarantees. This move solidifies that the Chiefs believe in Butker as their kicker of the future. Butker is a weekly fantasy starter since the Chiefs have one of the best offenses in the NFL.

From RotoBaller

Tyler Lockett Sep 4 7:30pm ET
Tyler Lockett

Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Tyler Lockett (thigh) was listed as a limited participant in the first official practice of the regular season on Wednesday, somewhat clouding his status for the Week 1 regular-season opener this Sunday at Lumen Field against the visiting Denver Broncos. Lockett has been dealing with his thigh issue since the middle of last month, although he said recently he expects to be ready for the start of the season this weekend. Still, the 31-year-old makes for an unenticing WR4/flex to kick off the new season with Jaxon Smith-Njigba expected to have an expanded role in the passing attack in 2024 alongside DK Metcalf. After four straight seasons reaching 1,000 yards receiving for Seattle, Lockett fell to 894 yards and five touchdowns on 79 receptions in 2023 with JSN in the fold. Those numbers could plummet even further in 2024 if Smith-Njigba becomes more involved.

From RotoBaller

Xavier Worthy Sep 4 7:20pm ET
Xavier Worthy

Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Xavier Worthy will face the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1 this season. The rookie out of the University of Texas will face one of the league's best defenses for the first game of his career, but there are reasons for optimism in this contest. First of all, Worthy made history by running a 4.21 40-yard dash at the NFL combine, which narrowly beat out John Ross' record of 4.22 seconds. Second of all, Worthy finds himself on arguably the best team in the league with one of the best quarterbacks in the league. Patrick Mahomes is one of the best deep-ball throwers in the NFL, despite not truly utilizing that part of his game last season. Mahomes had the lowest yards per attempt of his career in 2023, in large part due to a change in play-calling for their personnel group. This offseason, the Chiefs made it a priority to bring in playmakers with the ability to stretch the field. The Chiefs brought in veteran Marquise Brown and drafted Xavier Worthy. In the preseason, nearly half of Worthy's routes were "go" routes and he had a 29% target share on Mahomes' dropbacks. Andy Reid and the Chiefs will likely try to scheme up a deep ball for their rookie speedster in their opening contest. With Marquise Brown out for Week 1, Worthy could operate as the team's WR2 and is a risky start for fantasy given the unknowns, but he has massive big-play potential.

From RotoBaller

Derrick Henry Sep 4 7:20pm ET
Derrick Henry

Baltimore Ravens running back Derrick Henry is officially starting his first season in a uniform that's not the Tennessee Titans. The former Offensive Player of the Year looks to start his ninth season with a bang on a team that's known for an outstanding ground game. The Ravens were one game away from the Super Bowl last year, so they added one of the best running backs in the league to complement Lamar Jackson and company. Henry, in a down year, finished with 1,167 yards on 280 carries and 12 touchdowns last season. Now that he has a quarterback who's a dual threat and an offensive scheme that is still in his favor, Henry sets his sights on yet another fantasy finish that puts him in RB1 territory. In half-PPR formats, Henry finished as the RB8 to be exact. Fantasy managers can consider him an RB1 heading into the matchup with the Chiefs on Thursday night.

From RotoBaller

Rashid Shaheed Sep 4 7:20pm ET
Rashid Shaheed

New Orleans Saints wide receiver Rashid Shaheed (foot, toe) was able to put in a full practice on Wednesday and is not listed on the team's first official injury report in the lead-up to Week 1 of the regular season this Sunday against the division-rival Carolina Panthers. Shaheed missed time in training camp with foot, toe and hamstring injuries, but he has healed up at just the right time and will be on the field this weekend, hoping for a bigger role in the passing game in 2024. The 26-year-old third-year wideout will be looking to step up as the Saints' No. 2 behind Chris Olave after catching 46 of his 75 targets for 719 yards and five touchdowns in 15 games in 2023. Shaheed's yards per catch (15.6) came down slightly from his rookie campaign, and he'll need more targets most likely to become more than a boom/bust WR5/flex for fantasy managers in his third year in the NFL.

From RotoBaller

Jaylen Warren Sep 4 7:10pm ET
Jaylen Warren

Pittsburgh Steelers running back Jaylen Warren (hamstring) remained limited in practice on Wednesday. This comes as no surprise as the Steelers have been bringing him on slowly during his return from injury. Warren has repeatedly indicated that he plans to play in Week 1. The Falcons were a middle-of-the-road rushing defense in 2023 so this matchup may be relatively neutral. Still, Warren has a big role in this offense. The third-year player rushed for 784 yards and four touchdowns in 2023. He also added 61 receptions for 370 yards. The Steelers offense projects to be much improved in 2024 and Warren could easily improve those numbers. Should he ultimately be active, Warren is a solid flex consideration in Week 1.

From RotoBaller

Davante Adams Sep 4 7:10pm ET
Davante Adams

Las Vegas Raiders wide receiver Davante Adams (undisclosed) appears to be in line to suit up for the Week 1 regular-season opener this Sunday against the division-rival Los Angeles Chargers after he was not included on the first official injury report of the season. Adams was a full participant in the first official practice of the 2024 campaign after dealing with a minor undisclosed injury toward the end of training camp in August. As a top-15 wide receiver off the board in drafts, Adams should be a must-start in fantasy lineups against the Bolts this weekend in his first game working with new quarterback Gardner Minshew II. The 31-year-old pass-catcher secured his fourth straight 1,000-yard season with an ineffective Jimmy Garoppolo and rookie Aidan O'Connell in 2023, although his eight touchdowns were his fewest in that category since 2019. Start him with confidence in Week 1 as Vegas' WR1.

From RotoBaller

Rashee Rice Sep 4 7:10pm ET
Rashee Rice

Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Rashee Rice will face the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1 of the 2024 season. The second-year receiver was a standout last season and will look to build on his impressive performances this year. There was a lot of discourse about Rice's availability for this season following his car accident incident, but it appears he will avoid suspension for this year. Rice should be the favorite to lead the receivers in targets given his established rapport with Patrick Mahomes and his ability to find open spots in the defense. Rice also operates closer to the line of scrimmage than his fellow receivers, which should boost his number of targets from Mahomes. Still, facing the Ravens in Week 1 will be a difficult situation. The last time these two teams faced, Rice brought in eight of his nine targets for just 46 yards. Rice was held to just 5.8 yards per reception in that contest, but his yards-after-catch ability makes him dangerous every time he has the ball in his hands. With a full season under his belt and offseason to prepare, Rice should be more than ready to lead the Chiefs wide receiver room. With fellow receiver Marquise Brown out for Week 1, more targets should go Rice's way. Rice is a strong start for Week 1 despite facing the Ravens defense.

From RotoBaller

Jerry Jeudy Sep 4 7:00pm ET
Jerry Jeudy

Cleveland Browns wide receiver Jerry Jeudy (knee) was a full participant in practice on Wednesday. Jeudy has been relatively banged up throughout the preseason and training camp but appears to be full healthy heading into Week 1. Jeudy is looking for a fresh start in Cleveland after spending his first four seasons with the Denver Broncos. Jeudy has flashed potential at times during his career but has never put it all together for a full season. Jeudy will look to make a name for himself starting this week against the Dallas Cowboys. If Jeudy can build on the 758 receiving yards and two touchdowns he recorded in 2023, then he may yet be an occasional fantasy contributor.

From RotoBaller

Justin Herbert Sep 4 6:50pm ET
Justin Herbert

Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert (foot) said that he feels 100% heading into a Week 1 matchup with the Las Vegas Raiders. Herbert explained that he did not have plantar fasciitis and that his injury was a "personal thing you keep to yourself". This is great news for fantasy managers who roster Herbert or any of the Chargers pass catchers, particularly wide receiver Ladd McConkey. Herbert does not have an injury designation heading into Week 1. He has been a forgotten commodity in a Chargers offense that projects to be run-first. However, Herbert may have solid fantasy value throughout the season. With a healthy Herbert, the Chargers offense should be solid at minimum with upside for more.

From RotoBaller

Zay Flowers Sep 4 6:40pm ET
Zay Flowers

Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Zay Flowers heads into the season opener with more to prove after producing a game-changing mistake in the AFC Championship game last year. His fumble against the Kansas City Chiefs overshadowed his excellent year which saw him finishing just outside of a WR2 in half-PPR formats. The speedy wideout from Boston College saw a steady diet of targets and led the receiving corps in snaps by a wide margin. That shouldn't change as he comes into this year as the team's WR1. He ended the regular season by averaging 16.9 fantasy points in the final five games in PPR formats, which is where he shines the most. While he'll get plenty of opportunities in this revenge game against the Chiefs on Thursday, look for Flowers to be more of a low-end WR2 against a pass defense that remains to be seen after the loss of L'Jarius Sneed.

From RotoBaller

Isiah Pacheco Sep 4 6:40pm ET
Isiah Pacheco

Kansas City Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco will face the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season. The Ravens defense was among the best defenses last season, allowing the fewest rushing touchdowns in 2023. That said, Pacheco was still given much work the last time these two teams faced off in the AFC Championship. In that game, Pacheco had 24 carries for 68 yards, a touchdown, and four receptions for 14 yards. The Chiefs running back had 28 opportunities against the Ravens in the season's biggest game to that point. Pacheco's massive share of the offense should show how much the Kansas City Chiefs trust him with the ball. This season, Pacheco comes in as the undoubted RB1 of the offense, and with Clyde Edwards-Helaire away from the team, he will be backed up by recently acquired Samaje Perine and rookie Carson Steele. The run game should go through Pacheco, and he should also get a few looks in the passing game. Pacheco is a strong start in fantasy this week despite the tough matchup against the Ravens.

From RotoBaller

Zach Charbonnet Sep 4 6:40pm ET
Zach Charbonnet

The Seattle Seahawks appear to be committing to effectively running the ball based on a new statement from wide receiver DK Metcalf. Metcalf explained that new offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb made it clear that despite his recent pass-heavy history, the Seahawks are going to run the ball downhill. This is great news for Kenneth Walker III and even Zach Charbonnet managers. The Seahawks were one of the run heaviest teams during the Pete Carroll era and it seems that those tendencies are not necessarily going to change. While fantasy managers have been excited about a potential air raid in Seattle under Grubb, an excellent run game and more creativity overall may create more opportunities in the passing game. For now, fantasy managers will have to wait and see how the new-look Seahawks offense will operate in Week 1.

From RotoBaller