QB Strength of Schedule
Thu May 23 11:12am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Prescott setup for big success
Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the quarterback position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the quarterbacks with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the quarterbacks that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.
| QB SOS | ||
| 1. | Miami Dolphins | 313.6 |
| 2. | Cincinnati Bengals | 314.77 |
| 3. | Los Angeles Chargers | 317.32 |
| 4. | Denver Broncos | 317.38 |
| 5. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 320.33 |
| 6. | Houston Texans | 320.74 |
| 7. | Buffalo Bills | 321.01 |
| 8. | Philadelphia Eagles | 323.71 |
| 9. | Kansas City Chiefs | 325.08 |
| 10. | Washington Commanders | 325.12 |
| 11. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 326.4 |
| 12. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 328.45 |
| 13. | New York Jets | 329.06 |
| 14. | New England Patriots | 329.64 |
| 15. | Cleveland Browns | 330.31 |
| 16. | Los Angeles Rams | 330.72 |
| 17. | Arizona Cardinals | 331.54 |
| 18. | Indianapolis Colts | 331.69 |
| 19. | Seattle Seahawks | 332 |
| 20. | Atlanta Falcons | 332.73 |
| 21. | Baltimore Ravens | 333.05 |
| 22. | San Francisco 49ers | 333.05 |
| 23. | Detroit Lions | 334.13 |
| 24. | Las Vegas Raiders | 334.38 |
| 25. | New York Giants | 334.72 |
| 26. | New Orleans Saints | 336.27 |
| 27. | Minnesota Vikings | 337.2 |
| 28. | Dallas Cowboys | 339.64 |
| 29. | Chicago Bears | 340.70 |
| 30. | Tennessee Titans | 343.69 |
| 31. | Carolina Panthers | 345.54 |
| 32. | Green Bay Packers | 349.53 |
The Packers have the easiest fantasy schedule for quarterbacks. Jordan Love already had a breakout season last year and could take his game to an even higher level this season. Love is shaping up to be a really intriguing QB1 this season. He is a player on the rise and seems setup for even more success this year.
A couple second-year quarterbacks have really favorable schedules, Will Levis and Bryce Young. Both seem like good No. 2 fantasy quarterbacks to take a chance. Their teams did well in upgrading the talent around them this offseason and a favorable schedule bodes well for them to take some steps forward this year.
Caleb Williams was the No.1 overall pick and the Bears gave him plenty of firepower to work with in year one. Williams has a lot of good going for him this year and could be the C.J. Stroud of this year’s rookie class. And having a favorable fantasy schedule helps Williams even more.
A couple veterans with favorable schedules are Dak Prescott and Derek Carr. Prescott is the one that stands out the most. The Cowboys are lacking top options at the running back spot, so it would not surprise if the Cowboys are really pass-heavy offensively. Prescott could really rack up the numbers this year.
There are some big-name quarterbacks on the opposite side of things, having very tough fantasy schedules. Tua Tagovalioa has the toughest schedule of all. He struggled a little down the stretch last year and now has the most unfavorable schedule for any fantasy quarterback. This is a little concerning.
Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert and whoever is starting in Pittsburgh, likely Russell Wilson, are other veteran quarterbacks that have a top-five unfavorable schedule for fantasy quarterbacks. Burrow is not a huge concern for us because we think they will still have success throwing the ball and he has a ton of talent around him at receiver. Herbert is a concern. The Chargers lost their top two receivers and could be a lot more run-heavy with a new coach in place. Herbert has some red flags for him this coming year, making him a bit of a risky pick for fantasy teams. Wilson is another veteran with a tough schedule. He also has Justin Fields pushing him to play, so Wilson is going to be a boom or bust fantasy pick.
We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy quarterbacks. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the quarterbacks with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.
| QB PLAYOFF SOS | ||
| 1. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 292.02 |
| 2. | Houston Texans | 299.33 |
| 3. | New York Giants | 301.93 |
| 4. | Miami Dolphins | 307.48 |
| 5. | Los Angeles Rams | 308.45 |
| 6. | Detroit Lions | 312.4 |
| 7. | Arizona Cardinals | 313.15 |
| 8. | Kansas City Chiefs | 313.45 |
| 9. | Buffalo Bills | 313.6 |
| 10. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 317.53 |
| 11. | Cincinnati Bengals | 318.03 |
| 12. | Baltimore Ravens | 318.25 |
| 13. | Green Bay Packers | 322.48 |
| 14. | Indianapolis Colts | 322.83 |
| 15. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 328.78 |
| 16. | Philadelphia Eagles | 331.23 |
| 17. | Cleveland Browns | 331.95 |
| 18. | Minnesota Vikings | 334.68 |
| 19. | Atlanta Falcons | 336.18 |
| 20. | Carolina Panthers | 338.62 |
| 21. | Seattle Seahawks | 338.65 |
| 22. | Las Vegas Raiders | 341.18 |
| 23. | Los Angeles Chargers | 341.22 |
| 24. | New York Jets | 344.3 |
| 25. | New Orleans Saints | 346.68 |
| 26. | Chicago Bears | 347.07 |
| 27. | Tennessee Titans | 348.42 |
| 28. | New England Patriots | 355.23 |
| 29. | Denver Broncos | 355.35 |
| 30. | Dallas Cowboys | 359.62 |
| 31. | Washington Commanders | 359.92 |
| 32. | San Francisco 49ers | 363.47 |
There is just a team that makes both the top-five favorable quarterback schedule for the regular season and playoffs. That team is the Cowboys. So Dak Prescott has the third easiest playoff schedule in addition to having the fifth easiest regular season schedule. Prescott was a player looking pretty good even before seeing these schedules, so you might want to bump him up a few spots in your rankings after seeing this. Prescott could be a league winner in 2024.
The 49ers actually have the easiest fantasy quarterback schedule for the playoffs. So Brock Purdy could have a great run during the fantasy playoffs. He always has a high weekly ceiling, so things are looking great for him this postseason.
Now some rookie quarterbacks round out the team of having top-five fantasy quarterback playoff schedules. Jayden Daniels, Bo Nix and Drake Maye are all likely starting for their teams later in the season, so they should help fantasy teams during the playoffs. They all have some question marks surrounding them but could be worth the gamble, especially if you have a dependable starter already on your roster. These rookies could make some noise late in the season.
On the opposite side of things, the Dolphins are the only team to have both a top-five unfavorable fantasy quarterback schedule for the regular season and playoffs. We already had a few concerns for Tagovalioa even before these schedules were released. And now seeing he has very challenging schedules for both the regular season and playoffs make him a player you might want to avoid come draft day.
Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars have the toughest schedule for the playoffs. Lawrence has not lived up to expectations to date. He could have his best season to date this year, but his schedule during the playoffs is concerning. Lawrence could struggle when it matters most.
C.J. Stroud is the biggest name of any quarterback with a top-five unfavorable playoff schedule. We aren’t too concerned about this because some players can rise above the challenge. Stroud is one of those players. Things will be tougher for him in year two, but he will also progress and get better. Plus, he has Stefon Diggs added to the mix, which should improve that passing game even more.
Daniel Jones is another quarterback with a challenging playoff schedule. He is another fringe draft pick to begin with, so seeing him possibly have struggles down the stretch causes more trepidation when it comes to possibly drafting him. He might be another player to just steer clear of come draft day.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
- FANTASY EXCLUSIVE: Bender's Favorite NFL DFS Pickem Picks: Week 11
- FANTASY EXCLUSIVE: RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 11
- YOUTUBE VIDEO: Bender's Starts/Sits: Week 11
- YOUTUBE VIDEO: Hot Plays, Fades and Sleepers: Week 11
- YOUTUBE VIDEO: Bender DFS Pickem Plays: Week 11
- Jaguars could fire GM, coach Doug Pederson during bye week
- 49ers TE George Kittle expected to sit vs. Seahawks
- Raiders activate TE Michael Mayer
- Patriots waiving WR Tyquan Thornton
- Top 10 Player Props For NFL Week 11
- Seahawks C Connor Williams retires, WR DK Metcalf set to return
- Texans star WR Nico Collins (hamstring) will return vs. Cowboys
- Lions TE Sam LaPorta (shoulder) sitting out vs. Jaguars
- Bears OG Teven Jenkins (ankle) out, DE Montez Sweat (ankle) questionable vs. Pack
- Packers rookie RB MarShawn Lloyd out with appendicitis
- Jets expect WR Davante Adams (wrist/illness) to play vs. Colts
- Week 11 NFL Capsules
- Bengals WR Tee Higgins (quad) to return vs. Chargers
- Bills' Dalton Kincaid out, Amari Cooper questionable vs. Chiefs
- Chiefs K Harrison Butker undergoes surgery on left knee
- Chiefs pluck untested Spencer Shrader from Jets, place PK Harrison Butker (knee) on IR
- Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill (wrist) plans to play, claims surgery on table
- Cowboys to proceed with Rico Dowdle as lead RB
- Lions TE Sam LaPorta (shoulder) misses practice again
- Week 11 TNF: Commanders-Eagles Preview, Props & Prediction
- Fantasy Six Pack: Fantasy Football Rankings
- Fantasy Six Pack: Fantasy Football Rankings PPR
- Fantasy Six Pack: Fantasy Football Start-Sit Week 11 | Lamb Chopped? Should You Start CeeDee Lamb?
- Fantasy Life: Best Bets For Sunday Night Football Week 11: Chargers vs Bengals
- Fantasy Life: Week 11 Fantasy Football Replacements For George Kittle
- Fantasy Life: Week 11 Afternoon Slate Betting Guide
- Fantasy Life: Deep Sleepers To Stream In Week 11
- Fantasy Life: Fantasy Football Trade Targets: Jonathan Taylor, Jauan Jennings, and More
The Paur Report
Bender's Starts/Sits: Week 11
Cleveland Browns quarterback Jameis Winston completed 30 of his 46 passes for 395 yards and two touchdowns while adding an eight-yard run in a 35-14 loss to the New Orleans Saints in Week 11. The game was actually closer than the final score indicates as Winston and the Browns went into the fourth quarter tied with the Saints at 14-14 but New Orleans scored three straight touchdowns in the final quarter to seal the game. It was a strong showing from Winston, who found Jerry Jeudy for an 89-yard touchdown and Elijah Moore for a 30-yard score. Sitting on seven touchdowns and three interceptions this season, Winston will remain on the map as a QB2 heading into Week 12 against the Pittsburgh Steelers in the Thursday night game.
From RotoBaller
Detroit Lions linebacker Alex Anzalone (forearm) was ruled out prior to the conclusion of Sunday's win over the Jacksonville Jaguars. The 30-year-old picked up the injury while tackling Jacksonville Jaguars running back Travis Etienne Jr. late in the first half of Week 11. He finished the contest with five tackles, including one for loss. Anzalone was replaced in the lineup by Ben Niemann and Trevor Nowaske.
From RotoBaller
Las Vegas Raiders running backs Zamir White (quad) and Alexander Mattison (ankle) both exited during Sunday's loss to the Miami Dolphins. The two running backs were listed as questionable in the waning minutes of the contest. White finished Week 11 with just five carries for nine yards and did not get involved as a receiver. Mattison also rushed five times, picking up 19 yards on the ground. He also caught all three of his targets for 50 yards through the air. Moving forward, Mattison is the only Raiders running back worth rostering in 12-team fantasy leagues. Even then, he's tough to trust in starting lineups given the weakened state of the Raiders' offense. Fantasy managers should, of course, continue to monitor both running backs' injury statuses ahead of Week 12 against the Denver Broncos.
From RotoBaller
Tennessee Titans running back Tyjae Spears (head) was taken to the locker room for concussion evaluation during the fourth quarter of Sunday's Week 11 loss to the Minnesota Vikings. At the moment, the Titans have not disclosed whether Spears was officially diagnosed with a concussion. Operating as the backup to Tony Pollard on Sunday, Spears registered three carries for zero yards on the ground. He also caught two of his three targets for an additional gain of eight yards through the air. Fantasy managers should monitor Spears' status going forward, but Pollard continues to be the only Tennessee running back worth starting in fantasy football.
From RotoBaller
Baltimore Ravens linebacker Roquan Smith (hamstring) has been ruled out for the remainder of Week 11 versus the Pittsburgh Steelers. This is a crushing loss for the Ravens given that Smith led the team in total tackles and tackles for loss at the time of his departure on Sunday. The veteran defender finishes the divisional battle with 13 total tackles, including two tackles for loss. Malik Harrison projects to earn more snaps for the duration of Smith's absence.
From RotoBaller
Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Jordan Addison (cramps) exited during the fourth quarter of Sunday's game against the Tennessee Titans and is officially questionable to return. At the time of his departure, he had caught three of his eight targets for 61 yards and one touchdown. Even if Addison doesn't return in Week 11, fantasy managers should feel confident about his ability to recover and be available for the Vikings next weekend in Chicago. He continues to rank as an intriguing WR3/FLEX option in most fantasy leagues. In the meantime, Jalen Nailor will step up as the Vikings' No. 2 wide receiver behind Justin Jefferson.
From RotoBaller
Tennessee Titans linebacker Jack Gibbens (ankle) has been ruled out for the remainder of Sunday's Week 11 contest against the Minnesota Vikings. Gibbens was carted off the field in the third quarter. He had not registered a tackle prior to his departure. Jerome Baker should see increased defensive snaps for the duration of Gibbens' absence.
From RotoBaller
Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Gabe Davis (knee) has been ruled out for the remainder of Sunday's game against the Detroit Lions. Davis finished Week 11 with three targets, one catch, and three receiving yards. The Jaguars are shorthanded on offense with Trevor Lawrence (shoulder), Tank Bigsby (ankle), and Christian Kirk (sidelined), and now Davis joins that list. Brian Thomas Jr. and Parker Washington will step up as Jacksonville's top receivers until the 25-year-old can return.
From RotoBaller
Updating a previous report, Green Bay Packers CB Jaire Alexander (knee) will not return to the Week 11 game because of his knee injury.
From TheHuddle
Buffalo Bills WR Amari Cooper (wrist) is officially active for the Week 11 game.
Fantasy Spin: Cooper likely will see a handful of targets this week against the Kansas City Chiefs and can be at least a flex option in most fantasy leagues.
From TheHuddle
Green Bay Packers cornerback Jaire Alexander (knee) left Sunday's game against the Chicago Bears with a knee injury, and the team has listed him as questionable to return. With the injury coming in the second half, the team could play it safe and keep him on the sidelines. Corey Ballentine is the next man up on the depth chart and will try to secure a division win.
From RotoBaller
Buffalo Bills wide receiverAmari Cooper(wrist) is officially active for Sunday's Week 11 game against the Kansas City Chiefs. Cooper had been listed as questionable and was seen wearing a cast prior to kickoff, but the expectation was that he'd be able to play. We previously heard from ESPN's Adam Schefter that Cooper would be active but might have a reduced workload in his return from a two-game absence. As a result, fantasy managers should feel comfortable deploying Cooper as nothing more than a WR3/FLEX. He has been productive when healthy, but a potential snap count or partial decoy role could limit some of his upside on Sunday.
From RotoBaller
The San Francisco 49ers have declared DT Kevin Givens, DT Khalil Davis, OG Ben Bartch, WR Ronnie Bell, CB Charvarius Ward and TE George Kittle inactive for Week 11.
From TheHuddle
San Francisco 49ers TE George Kittle (hamstring) has been declared inactive for the Week 11 game.
Fantasy Spin: Fantasy players should keep an eye on the situation to see how long Kittle will be sidelined. Players could not consider starting any of the other 49ers tight ends this week, but Ricky Pearsall may see a boost in value and could be a possible flex option in some leagues.
From TheHuddle
Updating a previous report, Cleveland Browns CB Denzel Ward (chest) has been able to return to the Week 11 game after missing some time because of a chest injury.
From TheHuddle
San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle (hamstring) is officially deemed inactive for the Week 11 matchup with the Seattle Seahawks. He was already not expected to play, so it doesn't come as too much of a surprise. That leaves Eric Saubert as the next man up. Deebo Samuel Sr., Jauan Jennings, and Christian McCaffrey could also see some added targets.
From RotoBaller
San Francisco 49ers left tackle Trent Williams (ankle) and edge rusher Nick Bosa (hip) have both been ruled active ahead of their Week 11 matchup against the division-rival Seattle Seahawks. Williams has constantly been a key piece to the offensive line and the pass protection for quarterback Brock Purdy, while Bosa is just as important on the other side of the ball for the defense. Having two major pieces ruled active is a big relief for a 49ers team that will be without tight end George Kittle (hamstring) on offense.
From RotoBaller
Detroit Lions LB Alex Anzalone (forearm) suffered a forearm injury during the Week 11 game and is considered questionable to return.
From TheHuddle
Green Bay Packers CB Jaire Alexander (knee) suffered a knee injury during the Week 11 game and is considered questionable to return.
From TheHuddle
The Atlanta Falcons have declared CB Antonio Hamilton, LB JD Bertrand, CB Dee Alford, LB Troy Andersen, OT Brandon Parker, CB Mike Hughes and TE Charlie Woerner inactive for Week 11.
From TheHuddle
