RB Strength of Schedule
Tue May 28 9:03am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Robinson setup for big season
Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the running back position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to running backs last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the running backs with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the running backs that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.
| RB SOS | ||
| 1. | Green Bay Packers | 356.01 |
| 2. | Houston Texans | 361.46 |
| 3. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 361.46 |
| 4. | Las Vegas Raiders | 361.48 |
| 5. | Seattle Seahawks | 362.28 |
| 6. | Buffalo Bills | 363.19 |
| 7. | Arizona Cardinals | 363.76 |
| 8. | Dallas Cowboys | 363.9 |
| 9. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 364.51 |
| 10. | Washington Commanders | 364.86 |
| 11. | Chicago Bears | 364.89 |
| 12. | Indianapolis Colts | 365.41 |
| 13. | San Francisco 49ers | 365.86 |
| 14. | New Orleans Saints | 366.49 |
| 15. | New York Jets | 368.23 |
| 16. | Detroit Lions | 368.49 |
| 17. | Philadelphia Eagles | 369.05 |
| 18. | Minnesota Vikings | 369.06 |
| 19. | Carolina Panthers | 369.88 |
| 20. | Cleveland Browns | 370.34 |
| 21. | Kansas City Chiefs | 371.71 |
| 22. | New York Giants | 372.21 |
| 23. | Los Angeles Chargers | 373.19 |
| 24. | Denver Broncos | 373.32 |
| 25. | Cincinnati Bengals | 373.66 |
| 26. | Los Angeles Rams | 374.09 |
| 27. | Baltimore Ravens | 374.16 |
| 28. | New England Patriots | 375.60 |
| 29. | Atlanta Falcons | 376.19 |
| 30. | Miami Dolphins | 377.49 |
| 31. | Tennessee Titans | 378.2 |
| 32. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 378.72 |
The two teams with the easiest fantasy schedules for running backs are the Steelers and Titans, which is interesting because both teams could platoon running backs. The Steelers split the work between Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren. And the Titans are likely to use both Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears. All four backs could be setup for solid seasons with favorable schedules. It is always scary to take a back that might split work but seeing these positive schedules could make pulling the trigger on them a little easier come draft day. All four could be top flex plays for fantasy teams.
The Dolphins had huge success running the ball last year and could have similar solid production this season with the third easiest fantasy schedule for running backs. Devon Achane is really looking good in year two. He is expected to get more work and likely lead the backfield in touches. Raheem Mostert had a career season last year and a great schedule but he carries a little more risk. He is 32 years old and now has rookie Jaylen Wright pushing him for playing time. Just something to keep in mind come draft day.
The Falcons are another team with a top-five favorable running back schedule, making Bijan Robinson a very intriguing pick this year. Robinson had a bit of a disappointing rookie season, but a new coaching staff and really favorable schedule make Robinson a huge breakout candidate. He is moving up draft rankings in a hurry and is capable of finishing first overall in fantasy running back scoring because of his skill set.
Rhamondre Stevenson is a possible rebound candidate. He was slowed by injury last year but is back healthy and with the fifth easiest schedule for running backs. Stevenson has shown in the past he can be a big-time fantasy back. Things are looking up for him this year, making him a good buy-low candidate.
The Packers had the easiest fantasy schedule for quarterbacks but get the toughest for running backs. This isn’t great news for new back Josh Jacobs. It is hard to bet against the productive back, though. You just might want to temper expectations for him this coming year. Jacobs could have a few down weeks, especially for his standards.
The Texans signed Joe Mixon to shore up their running back spot, but he carries some concerns. He wasn’t highly productive the last few seasons besides all his scores and now gets the second toughest schedule for running backs. Plus, the Texans are likely to be a pass heavy team, which could limit his workload a little. Mixon could end up being a boom or bust player.
Tampa also has a unfavorable fantasy schedule for running backs. Rachaad White had a big season last year but padded his numbers because of all his work in the passing game. That might be a similar scenario for him, having a tough time to run with this schedule. The positive for White is he is very good in the passing game. You have to worry about his rushing totals, though.
The Raiders haven’t really settled on a starting running back, but Zamir White is likely to get first shot at the job. That is great news for his fantasy value but the not so great news is his tough fantasy schedule. This could limit the ceiling of White a little. He has risk to begin with because it isn’t 100 percent certain he wins the job. This makes him a bit of a scary pick for fantasy teams.
Kenneth Walker didn’t have quite the breakout second season many hoped but was fairly productive with his work. And the good news is Zach Charbonnet didn’t really put a big dent in his workload. The Seahawks seem happy with Walker as the lead back. The unfortunate news for Walker is he has the fifth toughest fantasy running back schedule. Walker might fail to reach his lofty expectations once again in year three.
We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy running backs. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the running backs with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.
| RB PLAYOFF SOS | ||
| 1. | San Francisco 49ers | 291.43 |
| 2. | Washington Commanders | 325.2 |
| 3. | Houston Texans | 327.8 |
| 4. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 332.03 |
| 5. | New York Jets | 337.57 |
| 6. | Cleveland Browns | 340.8 |
| 7. | Las Vegas Raiders | 341.1 |
| 8. | Miami Dolphins | 348.27 |
| 9. | Chicago Bears | 350.37 |
| 10. | Buffalo Bills | 350.53 |
| 11. | Arizona Cardinals | 352.8 |
| 12. | Dallas Cowboys | 358.87 |
| 13. | Detroit Lions | 359.7 |
| 14. | New York Giants | 365.67 |
| 15. | Kansas City Chiefs | 366.53 |
| 16. | Green Bay Packers | 368.97 |
| 17. | Seattle Seahawks | 370.23 |
| 18. | Carolina Panthers | 377.15 |
| 19. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 378.37 |
| 20. | Los Angeles Chargers | 380.73 |
| 21. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 381 |
| 22. | Baltimore Ravens | 381.43 |
| 23. | Cincinnati Bengals | 383.50 |
| 24. | Philadelphia Eagles | 391.07 |
| 25. | New England Patriots | 397.95 |
| 26. | Indianapolis Colts | 398.40 |
| 27. | Denver Broncos | 399.53 |
| 28. | Tennessee Titans | 401.63 |
| 29. | Los Angeles Rams | 403.92 |
| 30. | New Orleans Saints | 406.33 |
| 31. | Minnesota Vikings | 407.87 |
| 32. | Atlanta Falcons | 422.4 |
There are two teams with a top-five favorable schedule for fantasy running backs for both the regular season and playoffs. Those teams are the Falcons and Titans. Atlanta actually has the easiest fantasy playoff schedule for running backs. Robinson was looking good even before hearing this news but looks even better now. He is making a strong case to be the second running back off the board come draft day.
And Pollard and Spears are intriguing running back options with schedules that could produce big for both during the regular season and playoffs. You just have to worry about one back emerging to grab most of the work. If that happens, one of these backs could end up being a bust.
Minnesota has the second easiest playoff schedule for running backs. Aaron Jones has some injury concerns after the last few seasons, but he could be setup for a big workload with an unsettled quarterback situation in Minnesota. Jones has some good upside with his new team, especially during the playoffs.
One other team to mention for the playoff is New Orleans. Alvin Kamara isn’t getting any younger but remains the lead back and still productive. He still seems to have something left in the tank and could be a big fantasy factor for at least one more season, especially when it matters most in the playoffs. He could be a difference maker, having the third easiest fantasy schedule for running backs.
Houston is the lone team in both the top five for the toughest regular season and playoff fantasy running back schedules. This is an obvious concern for Mixon. He is looking more and more like a player you might to avoid come draft day. He might have some big games along the way in this great offense, but you have to wonder about his consistency and playoff performance.
So the top rated fantasy back, Christian McCaffrey, also has the toughest fantasy playoff schedule for running backs. You aren’t fading McCaffrey because of this. He is one of those rare backs that it doesn’t really matter who he plays. McCaffrey will produce. We still think he is the clear No. 1 fantasy back. He can still get it done in the playoffs.
Washington has Brian Robinson and Austin Ekekler likely splitting the work at running back, which hurts both their fantasy values. They also get the second most difficult playoff schedule for running backs. We wouldn’t reach too early for either back because of this.
The Steelers have the easiest fantasy running back schedule during the playoffs but fourth toughest for the playoffs. This is a tough one. Both backs have potential for good things, showing they can co-exist last year and produce well for fantasy teams. You just have to wonder if fading in the playoffs will make all that good work during the regular season all for nothing.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
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The Paur Report
Hot Plays, Fades and Sleepers: Week 10
Baltimore Ravens running back Derrick Henry seemed like he was headed for a fantasy dud as the offense couldn't get much going during the first half on Thursday night. Luckily, Henry scored on a goalline run towards the end of the third quarter and salvaged his fantasy week for many managers. He ended the game with 68 yards and one score on 16 carries with one reception for three yards. The only threat to Henry's fantasy output is the defense allowing tons of points to force games into a shootout. He'll try to find some running room against the Steelers in Week 11.
From RotoBaller
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson continues his marvelous season as he led the team to a comeback win over their AFC North rivals on Thursday night. In the 35-34 win, Jackson registered 290 yards and four touchdowns while throwing 25-for-33 and adding 33 yards on seven carries. The offense had a slow start to the game but put 28 points in the second half including a 21-point fourth quarter. Jackson completed passes to nine different receivers while delivering touchdown strikes to four of them. He's already tied his passing touchdown mark from last season in six fewer games while he tries to go for even more against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 11.
From RotoBaller
Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (shoulder) has been limited all week at practice due to a shoulder injury. According to Ian Rapoport, the former number-one overall pick is unlikely to play against the Vikings in Week 10. While he hasn't been ruled out officially, Rapoport points to the fact that Lawrence has been very limited this week leading up to their game. If he's unable to suit up, backup Mac Jones would step in and make his first start since Week 12 of the 2023 season. A clearer picture will be available after the injury report comes out on Friday.
From RotoBaller
Baltimore Ravens safety Kyle Hamilton (ankle) was forced to leave Thursday night's game after making an awkward plant on his right foot. He did not return to the game, but Ian Rapoport is now saying that the star safety suffered an ankle sprain and it's not considered serious. With how bad the Ravens' defense has been, losing Hamilton for any amount of time would have been a devastating hit. He'll get a few extra days to prepare for Week 11, but his status will be something to monitor throughout next week.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals tight end Mike Gesicki had four catches for 30 yards in Thursday's loss to the Baltimore Ravens. The veteran had two touchdowns in the win over the Raiders in Week 9. However, he cooled off significantly on Thursday. Granted, he had nine targets from Joe Burrow. Still, fantasy managers were disappointed with the end result. With the Bengals sitting on a 4-6 record, the team will look to rebound in Week 11 against a capable Chargers defense. Gesicki should be viewed as a risky, high-upside fantasy option for that one, although his outlook won't be as favorable if Tee Higgins (quadriceps) is back on the field.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals tight end Tanner Hudson had 42 yards and a touchdown off six catches in Thursday's loss to the Ravens. With Erick All Jr. (knee) done for the remainder of the 2024-25 campaign, Hudson had a chance to get more involved behind Mike Gesicki. He made the most of his opportunity, although Cincinnati couldn't pull off a win. Hudson easily had his best showing of the season on Thursday. However, the 29-year-old still has more work to do before earning a spot in fantasy lineups moving ahead.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow played well in Thursday's narrow loss to the Baltimore Ravens. While he wasn't as potent as he was when these clubs last met, he still threw for 428 yards and four touchdowns off 34-for-56 passing. Outside of two fumbles, the signal-caller did his part on Thursday night. However, the Bengals defense allowed the Ravens to overcome a 14-point deficit and eventually take the lead halfway through the fourth quarter. But as far as Burrow is concerned, he continues to have an MVP-caliber season. With that in mind, Cincinnati will get some extra time off before taking the field again versus a capable Chargers defense in Week 11.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase had one of the best showings of his career in Thursday's meeting with the Ravens, finishing with 11 receptions (17 targets) for 264 yards and three touchdowns. Unfortunately, the former LSU Tiger's efforts weren't enough, with the Bengals dropping their sixth game of the 2024-25 campaign on Thursday night. With that said, Chase now has 10 touchdowns this season, with fantasy managers hoping for more when the Bengals meet a potent Chargers defense in Week 11.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals running back Chase Brown ran for 42 yards and a touchdown off 14 carries in Thursday's one-point loss to Baltimore. He added nine catches for 52 yards. The 24-year-old has been solid of late. Although Brown played better in the Week 9 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders, he still picked up his seventh touchdown in his last seven appearances. With a tough Chargers defense on the horizon for Week 11, Brown remains a viable fantasy option, even more so with Zack Moss (neck) done for the rest of the 2024-25 campaign.
From RotoBaller
Baltimore Ravens safety Kyle Hamilton (ankle) injured his right ankle in the second quarter and will not return in the second half. Hamilton stepped awkwardly with his right foot and went down in a heap before leaving the field under his own power. He went to the locker room to undergo X-rays and won't return for the rest of the game. Until we have the results of the X-rays, we won't have a great idea on how much time the 23-year-old defensive back might miss. Hamilton is one of the best all-around safeties in the NFL, though, so any time he's forced to miss will be significant for a Ravens secondary that has really struggled in 2024. The former 14th overall pick back in 2022 out of Notre Dame was a first-time Pro Bowler in his second season in 2023 and came into Thursday's game with 67 tackles (48 solo), two sacks and five pass breakups in nine games.
From RotoBaller
Los Angeles Chargers running back Gus Edwards (ankle) was limited in practice on Thursday for the second straight day this week. Edwards' 21-day practice window to return from Injured Reserve was opened when he returned to the practice field on Wednesday, but he's not necessarily guaranteed to be active on game day this Sunday against the visiting Tennessee Titans. And when the 29-year-old does return to the Chargers' backfield, he's expected to return to the clear backup role behind J.K. Dobbins. Edwards had taken a clear back seat to Dobbins, his former teammate in Baltimore, in his four games played, averaging a career-low 3.0 yards per carry on 38 rushing attempts after putting up a career-high 13 rushing scores in 2023 with the Ravens. If Edwards gets the green light to return in Week 10 against Tennessee, he won't be a recommended flex play in fantasy.
From RotoBaller
Baltimore Ravens safety Kyle Hamilton (ankle) tweaked his right ankle in the second quarter of Thursday night's divisional game against the Cincinnati Bengals and is questionable to return. One of the best all-around safeties in the game stepped awkwardly with his right foot to cause his ankle injury and was immediately taken to the blue medical tent on the sidelines before eventually being taken to the locker room to undergo X-rays. The injury didn't look good for the 23-year-old, who immediately melted to the ground and did not move, although he was able to walk off the field under his own power. Before departing, Hamilton had four tackles (two solo) and two passes defensed. When healthy, he's an every-week, must-start defensive back in IDP fantasy leagues. Eddie Jackson could finish out the game in Hamilton's place if he cannot return.
From RotoBaller
Tennessee Titans running back Tyjae Spears (hamstring) was upgraded to a full participant during Thursday's practice. This is a welcoming sight considering Spears hasn't been on the field since Week 6. He was limited to open the week, so an upgrade to full practice is a good sign. Spears hasn't done much damage as the primary backup to Tony Pollard this season. However, Spears could see an increased workload with the Titans wanting to limit Pollard's workload going forward. Regardless, Spears isn't a trustworthy fantasy option against the tough Los Angeles Chargers defense in Week 10.
From RotoBaller
Tennessee Titans wide receiver Tyler Boyd (shoulder) was a limited participant during Thursday's practice. This is now back-to-back limited practice sessions for Boyd to start the week. The 29-year-old is coming off a dud where he played a season-low 29 percent of the snaps during last week's win over the New England Patriots. There's no guarantee Boyd does anything on offense even if he's active this weekend. He'll get a tough matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers defense. Jha'Quan Jackson could see more snaps if Boyd sits out, but neither of them are reliable streaming options right now.
From RotoBaller
Tennessee Titans quarterback Will Levis (shoulder) was upgraded to a full participant during Thursday's practice session. Levis hasn't played in a game since Week 6, so it's nice to see him back on the practice field. Head coach Brian Callahan said he's hopeful that Levis can play this weekend against the Los Angeles Chargers. Before going down, Levis was struggling with seven interceptions and only 699 passing yards across five contests. He won't be a recommended fantasy option even if he's healthy and ready to start in Week 10.
From RotoBaller
Tennessee Titans running back Tony Pollard (foot) was absent from Thursday's practice session. Pollard missed two practices last week, but still managed to play against the New England Patriots. He rushed for 128 yards during the overtime victory. Afterwards, head coach Brian Callahan said he plans to reduce Pollard's workload because they don't want him to get overworked. That being said, it's not shocking to see the Titans being light with Pollard in practice. He should be fine ahead of the Week 10 matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers. Although, fantasy managers should check back on Friday to see what Pollard does in practice. His fantasy value is likely to take a hit with the Titans limiting Pollard going forward.
From RotoBaller
New York Giants kicker Graham Gano (hamstring) was able to get through a limited practice session on Thursday. Gano has been out since suffering an injury during the opening kickoff in Week 2. Since then, the Giants have been using Greg Joseph (abdomen) at kicker, but he was placed on the injured reserve last week. Jude McAtamney took over the kicking duties in Week 9 and connected on his lone field goal attempt. Afterwards, McAtamney headed back to the practice squad with Gano possibly returning in Week 10. Whoever is the kicker for the Giants might actually have streaming appeal against the terrible Carolina Panthers defense this weekend.
From RotoBaller
Arizona Cardinals running back James Conner (finger) was once again limited in practice on Thursday. The veteran back has now opened the week with back-to-back limited practice sessions due to a finger injury. Conner is coming off his third 100-plus yard rushing game of the season. He has been tough to stop on the ground and will be an important piece of this offense against the New York Jets in Week 10. If he sits, Trey Benson and Emari Demercado would split up the carries in the backfield. Although, it seems like Conner should be good to go and should be a solid RB2 this weekend.
From RotoBaller
New York Giants tight end Theo Johnson (knee, back) was a limited participant during Thursday's practice session. This marks back-to-back days that Johnson has been limited due to multiple injuries. Normally, Johnson isn't much of a factor in the offense, but he's coming off his best game of the season last week. He hauled in three of his six targets for 51 yards and a touchdown during the Week 9 loss to the Washington Commanders. The Giants are banged up right now, so Johnson could continue seeing more targets going forward. He could be on the TE2 radar if active for the Week 10 matchup against the Carolina Panthers.
From RotoBaller
The New York Giants have officially ruled out wide receiver Darius Slayton (concussion) for Sunday's game in Munich, Germany, in Week 10 against the Carolina Panthers and he won't travel with the team to Europe. Slayton was unable to clear the league's concussion protocol after suffering a concussion in the Week 9 loss to the division-rival Washington Commanders and will now hope to after the Week 11 bye to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 12. Rookie Malik Nabers and Wan'Dale Robinson will continue to serve as quarterback Daniel Jones' top targets, with Jalin Hyatt and rookie tight end Theo Johnson also having more opportunities this weekend in the passing game with Slayton out. However, the Panthers defense has stiffened against opposing wideouts in the last three weeks, allowing the fourth-fewest half-PPR points per game.
From RotoBaller
