Tue May 28 9:03am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Robinson setup for big season
Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the running back position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to running backs last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the running backs with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the running backs that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.
RB SOS | ||
1. | Green Bay Packers | 356.01 |
2. | Houston Texans | 361.46 |
3. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 361.46 |
4. | Las Vegas Raiders | 361.48 |
5. | Seattle Seahawks | 362.28 |
6. | Buffalo Bills | 363.19 |
7. | Arizona Cardinals | 363.76 |
8. | Dallas Cowboys | 363.9 |
9. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 364.51 |
10. | Washington Commanders | 364.86 |
11. | Chicago Bears | 364.89 |
12. | Indianapolis Colts | 365.41 |
13. | San Francisco 49ers | 365.86 |
14. | New Orleans Saints | 366.49 |
15. | New York Jets | 368.23 |
16. | Detroit Lions | 368.49 |
17. | Philadelphia Eagles | 369.05 |
18. | Minnesota Vikings | 369.06 |
19. | Carolina Panthers | 369.88 |
20. | Cleveland Browns | 370.34 |
21. | Kansas City Chiefs | 371.71 |
22. | New York Giants | 372.21 |
23. | Los Angeles Chargers | 373.19 |
24. | Denver Broncos | 373.32 |
25. | Cincinnati Bengals | 373.66 |
26. | Los Angeles Rams | 374.09 |
27. | Baltimore Ravens | 374.16 |
28. | New England Patriots | 375.60 |
29. | Atlanta Falcons | 376.19 |
30. | Miami Dolphins | 377.49 |
31. | Tennessee Titans | 378.2 |
32. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 378.72 |
The two teams with the easiest fantasy schedules for running backs are the Steelers and Titans, which is interesting because both teams could platoon running backs. The Steelers split the work between Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren. And the Titans are likely to use both Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears. All four backs could be setup for solid seasons with favorable schedules. It is always scary to take a back that might split work but seeing these positive schedules could make pulling the trigger on them a little easier come draft day. All four could be top flex plays for fantasy teams.
The Dolphins had huge success running the ball last year and could have similar solid production this season with the third easiest fantasy schedule for running backs. Devon Achane is really looking good in year two. He is expected to get more work and likely lead the backfield in touches. Raheem Mostert had a career season last year and a great schedule but he carries a little more risk. He is 32 years old and now has rookie Jaylen Wright pushing him for playing time. Just something to keep in mind come draft day.
The Falcons are another team with a top-five favorable running back schedule, making Bijan Robinson a very intriguing pick this year. Robinson had a bit of a disappointing rookie season, but a new coaching staff and really favorable schedule make Robinson a huge breakout candidate. He is moving up draft rankings in a hurry and is capable of finishing first overall in fantasy running back scoring because of his skill set.
Rhamondre Stevenson is a possible rebound candidate. He was slowed by injury last year but is back healthy and with the fifth easiest schedule for running backs. Stevenson has shown in the past he can be a big-time fantasy back. Things are looking up for him this year, making him a good buy-low candidate.
The Packers had the easiest fantasy schedule for quarterbacks but get the toughest for running backs. This isn’t great news for new back Josh Jacobs. It is hard to bet against the productive back, though. You just might want to temper expectations for him this coming year. Jacobs could have a few down weeks, especially for his standards.
The Texans signed Joe Mixon to shore up their running back spot, but he carries some concerns. He wasn’t highly productive the last few seasons besides all his scores and now gets the second toughest schedule for running backs. Plus, the Texans are likely to be a pass heavy team, which could limit his workload a little. Mixon could end up being a boom or bust player.
Tampa also has a unfavorable fantasy schedule for running backs. Rachaad White had a big season last year but padded his numbers because of all his work in the passing game. That might be a similar scenario for him, having a tough time to run with this schedule. The positive for White is he is very good in the passing game. You have to worry about his rushing totals, though.
The Raiders haven’t really settled on a starting running back, but Zamir White is likely to get first shot at the job. That is great news for his fantasy value but the not so great news is his tough fantasy schedule. This could limit the ceiling of White a little. He has risk to begin with because it isn’t 100 percent certain he wins the job. This makes him a bit of a scary pick for fantasy teams.
Kenneth Walker didn’t have quite the breakout second season many hoped but was fairly productive with his work. And the good news is Zach Charbonnet didn’t really put a big dent in his workload. The Seahawks seem happy with Walker as the lead back. The unfortunate news for Walker is he has the fifth toughest fantasy running back schedule. Walker might fail to reach his lofty expectations once again in year three.
We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy running backs. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the running backs with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.
RB PLAYOFF SOS | ||
1. | San Francisco 49ers | 291.43 |
2. | Washington Commanders | 325.2 |
3. | Houston Texans | 327.8 |
4. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 332.03 |
5. | New York Jets | 337.57 |
6. | Cleveland Browns | 340.8 |
7. | Las Vegas Raiders | 341.1 |
8. | Miami Dolphins | 348.27 |
9. | Chicago Bears | 350.37 |
10. | Buffalo Bills | 350.53 |
11. | Arizona Cardinals | 352.8 |
12. | Dallas Cowboys | 358.87 |
13. | Detroit Lions | 359.7 |
14. | New York Giants | 365.67 |
15. | Kansas City Chiefs | 366.53 |
16. | Green Bay Packers | 368.97 |
17. | Seattle Seahawks | 370.23 |
18. | Carolina Panthers | 377.15 |
19. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 378.37 |
20. | Los Angeles Chargers | 380.73 |
21. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 381 |
22. | Baltimore Ravens | 381.43 |
23. | Cincinnati Bengals | 383.50 |
24. | Philadelphia Eagles | 391.07 |
25. | New England Patriots | 397.95 |
26. | Indianapolis Colts | 398.40 |
27. | Denver Broncos | 399.53 |
28. | Tennessee Titans | 401.63 |
29. | Los Angeles Rams | 403.92 |
30. | New Orleans Saints | 406.33 |
31. | Minnesota Vikings | 407.87 |
32. | Atlanta Falcons | 422.4 |
There are two teams with a top-five favorable schedule for fantasy running backs for both the regular season and playoffs. Those teams are the Falcons and Titans. Atlanta actually has the easiest fantasy playoff schedule for running backs. Robinson was looking good even before hearing this news but looks even better now. He is making a strong case to be the second running back off the board come draft day.
And Pollard and Spears are intriguing running back options with schedules that could produce big for both during the regular season and playoffs. You just have to worry about one back emerging to grab most of the work. If that happens, one of these backs could end up being a bust.
Minnesota has the second easiest playoff schedule for running backs. Aaron Jones has some injury concerns after the last few seasons, but he could be setup for a big workload with an unsettled quarterback situation in Minnesota. Jones has some good upside with his new team, especially during the playoffs.
One other team to mention for the playoff is New Orleans. Alvin Kamara isn’t getting any younger but remains the lead back and still productive. He still seems to have something left in the tank and could be a big fantasy factor for at least one more season, especially when it matters most in the playoffs. He could be a difference maker, having the third easiest fantasy schedule for running backs.
Houston is the lone team in both the top five for the toughest regular season and playoff fantasy running back schedules. This is an obvious concern for Mixon. He is looking more and more like a player you might to avoid come draft day. He might have some big games along the way in this great offense, but you have to wonder about his consistency and playoff performance.
So the top rated fantasy back, Christian McCaffrey, also has the toughest fantasy playoff schedule for running backs. You aren’t fading McCaffrey because of this. He is one of those rare backs that it doesn’t really matter who he plays. McCaffrey will produce. We still think he is the clear No. 1 fantasy back. He can still get it done in the playoffs.
Washington has Brian Robinson and Austin Ekekler likely splitting the work at running back, which hurts both their fantasy values. They also get the second most difficult playoff schedule for running backs. We wouldn’t reach too early for either back because of this.
The Steelers have the easiest fantasy running back schedule during the playoffs but fourth toughest for the playoffs. This is a tough one. Both backs have potential for good things, showing they can co-exist last year and produce well for fantasy teams. You just have to wonder if fading in the playoffs will make all that good work during the regular season all for nothing.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
New England Patriots kicker Joey Slye should be avoided in fantasy football ahead of Saturday's Week 17 matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers. Slye ranks 24th among kickers in fantasy points this year, and he has gone just 1-for-2 on field goals over his last two contests. Opportunities have been somewhat hard to come by for the veteran kicker as New England isn't a major scoring threat. He does have impressive leg power, but as long as the Patriots' offense lacks dependability, its veteran kicker will stay off the fantasy radar. That's especially true this week against a Chargers squad allowing the eight-fewest fantasy points to kickers in 2024.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots tight end Austin Hooper remains a viable streaming option heading into Saturday's Week 17 matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers. Hooper has been one of the NFL's better backup tight ends this season, totaling 22 catches, 293 yards, and two touchdowns over his last six contests. In each of those six games, he has finished with at least three catches and at least 35 receiving yards. Since Week 10, he ranks 10th among tight ends in fantasy points per game (half-PPR), which is actually six slots higher than teammate Hunter Henry. Hooper's floor is a little lower against a Chargers defense allowing the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends, but his track record and usage will keep him in the mid-range TE2 tier for Week 17. Managers could justify plucking him off waivers and starting him in leagues with at least 12 teams.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots tight end Hunter Henry remains a reliable fantasy option heading into Saturday's Week 17 matchup against his old team, the Los Angeles Chargers. Henry has been quite productive in his age-30 season, ranking as the overall TE9 ever since Drake Maye took over as the starting quarterback in Week 6. Even as he shares some opportunities with Austin Hooper, Henry has remained a startable tight end in most fantasy leagues. That trend should continue this week as he's coming off an impressive four-catch, 39-yard, and one-touchdown showing against the Buffalo Bills. Henry ranks as a low-end TE1 for this week's revenge game, despite Los Angeles surrendering the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots wide receiver Kayshon Boutte is a high-ceiling option for Saturday's Week 17 contest against the Los Angeles Chargers. The second-year receiver is coming off the best game of his career, catching five passes for 95 yards and a touchdown against the Buffalo Bills while playing 88 percent of the offensive snaps. Boutte continues to lead all Patriots wide receivers in snaps ever since Drake Maye took over as the starting quarterback, emphasizing the coaching staff's interest in developing (or perhaps forcing) a Maye-Boutte rapport. This approach has produced mixed results in 2024, but it worked last Sunday, and it could pay off again this week against Los Angeles. The Bolts' defense has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to receivers who operate out wide, which is where Boutte has played 89.9 percent of his snaps. Managers must remain aware that Boutte will still have to compete for targets with Hunter Henry, Austin Hooper, DeMario Douglas, and Kendrick Bourne this week. However, last week's big showing and this week's favorable matchup bode well for the LSU product as he teeters on the border of WR3/FLEX territory in fantasy football.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots wide receiver Kendrick Bourne has maintained a steady role within the offense, but he remains off the fantasy radar heading into Saturday's Week 17 matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers. Bourne has just 11 catches for 131 yards over his last four games, and he hasn't found the end zone since Week 11 against the Los Angeles Rams. He and DeMario Douglas have played a similar number of snaps lately, but they both rank a significant distance behind Kayshon Boutte in terms of usage. That's particularly unfortunate for Bourne because he operates out wide, which is where Boutte has played 89.9 percent of his snaps. Therefore, even against a Bolts defense allowing the sixth-most fantasy points to perimeter wide receivers, Bourne can't be trusted in lineups as long as Boutte remains a top option in New England's passing attack.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots wide receiver DeMario Douglas remains on the fringe of the fantasy radar heading into Week 17 against the Los Angeles Chargers. Douglas is the overall WR48 in PPR leagues this year, but he has seen reduced opportunities lately with just 11 catches for 64 yards over his last three games. He did salvage his Week 15 showing with a touchdown, and his last three performances have represented his floors. Still, though, he doesn't inspire much confidence for the fantasy playoffs. If there's one factor to be excited about, however, it's his matchup. Douglas is set to face a Chargers defense that allows the fifth-most fantasy points to slot receivers. Douglas takes 73.1 percent of his snaps from the slot (fifth-most in the NFL), so perhaps this is a matchup made in heaven. Still, he'll need to fight for targets in an offense that has seen increased productivity from Hunter Henry, Austin Hooper, Kendrick Bourne, and Kayshon Boutte. As a result, Douglas remains in the WR4 tier for fantasy purposes.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson has lost some of his fantasy appeal heading into Week 17 against the Los Angeles Chargers. While Stevenson does rank as the overall RB24 in PPR leagues this year, he has been quite inconsistent and does not inspire much confidence for Week 17. This reduced faith stems from his performance last Sunday against the Buffalo Bills in which he lost a crucial fumble and also dropped a toss from Drake Maye that turned into a defensive touchdown for the other team. Stevenson did manage to score 13.3 fantasy points against the Bills, but nearly half of those points came from his touchdown. The 26-year-old played just 44 percent of snaps in the contest, which was his second-lowest mark of the year. His career-low 3.9 yards per carry coupled with last Sunday's costly fumble may have put Stevenson in the doghouse, prompting the Patriots to rely on Antonio Gibson more. There's even a chance that Gibson, who played 59 percent of the snaps last Sunday, draws the start in Week 17. Stevenson will sneak into the RB2 or RB3 tier if he finds the end zone, but that's a relatively big ask. Otherwise, he'll rank as a mid-range RB4 and can be benched in most leagues with 14 or fewer teams. That's especially true against a Chargers defense allowing the sixth-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs in 2024.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots running back Antonio Gibson could draw the start over Rhamondre Stevenson during Sunday's Week 17 contest against the Los Angeles Chargers. Still, he would rank in the RB3/FLEX tier for fantasy football. Stevenson is coming off a tough performance in which he lost a costly fumble, mishandled a backward pass that led to a Bills touchdown, and finished with his second-lowest snap percentage of the season. All of these poor outcomes from Stevenson's Week 16 could put Gibson in line to draw his second start of the 2024 campaign. Last week, Gibson himself played 59 percent of the snaps, totaling just 36 yards. He was held to 2.8 yards per carry in the contest but still boasts an impressive 4.52 yards per carry on 96 rush attempts this year. Even if Gibson draws the start against Los Angeles, he'll likely see around 10 to 14 touches, meaning he'll need to be efficient and get involved as a pass-catcher in order to have much fantasy relevance. He ranks as a mid-to-low RB3 against a Chargers defense allowing the sixth-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs in 2024.
From RotoBaller
Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (concussion) is not expected to play in Sunday's game against the Dallas Cowboys, according to Tom Pelissero of NFL Network. Pelissero notes that Hurts missed practice on Thursday, which means that he's in one of the earlier portions of the NFL's five-step concussion protocol. The star quarterback would need to clear all five phases before being permitted to play in Week 17. Such progress is possible between now and Sunday, but the expectation is that Hurts will be inactive while Kenny Pickett (rib) draws his first start of the 2024 season. Notably, Pickett is dealing with an injury of his own but expects to have no limitations this weekend against Dallas.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye will look to remain a fringe top-12 fantasy option as his team returns home for the first time since Week 13. The Patriots host the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 17, putting the No. 3 pick up against a Bolts defense that has allowed the 11th-most rushing yards but 14th-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks in 2024. Maye himself has been solid lately, averaging 37.7 rushing yards per game as a starter while amassing four total touchdowns over his last two contests. The one drawback with Maye has been his tendency to lose the football; the UNC product has 12 turnovers over his last seven games. If Maye can clean up the turnovers while remaining productive on the ground and near the end zone, he could sneak into the top-12 quarterback range. For the time being, he ranks as a mid-to-high QB2.
From RotoBaller
Cleveland Browns wide receivers Jerry Jeudy (knee, shin) and Cedric Tillman (concussion) were both limited during practice again on Thursday. This was the second day in a row that the Browns' top two receivers logged limited sessions, which suggests they have a real chance to suit up in Week 17 against the Miami Dolphins. Jeudy has not yet missed a game this season, catching 72 passes for 1,072 yards and four touchdowns while ranking as the overall WR12 in PPR leagues. Meanwhile, Tillman was coming on strong before suffering a serious head injury. The second-year receiver has missed four consecutive games. Ever since Amari Cooper was traded, Tillman had been averaging 5.2 catches, 66 yards, and 0.6 touchdowns per game. While both pass-catchers have garnered significant fantasy appeal at points throughout this season, their intrigue has dwindled ahead of Week 17. Dorian Thompson-Robinson has been less than inspiring under center, linking up with Jeudy just twice for 20 yards last week. Both Jeudy and Tillman have decent upside, but they'll drop to the bottom of the WR3/FLEX tier as long as Thompson-Robinson remains under center.
From RotoBaller
San Francisco 49ers linebacker Dre Greenlaw (Achilles) is done for the remainder of the 2024 season, according to Cam Inman of The Athletic. Greenlaw had come back from a devastating Achilles injury recently, but with the 49ers eliminated from playoff contention, the team has decided to keep him off the field and avoid potential re-injury. The veteran linebacker will now get a few extra weeks to rest and recover before preparing for a full return in 2025. The 27-year-old finishes this season having registered nine tackles through parts of two games, including just four snaps last week against Miami.
From RotoBaller
Cleveland Browns quarterback Jameis Winston (right shoulder) remained limited in practice on Thursday. Offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey revealed that Dorian Thompson-Robinson will start at quarterback in Week 17, and he also acknowledged that Bailey Zappe could back him up if Winston isn't healthy yet. In such a scenario, Winston would be inactive for the second consecutive week, serving as Cleveland's emergency third quarterback. Regardless of whether Winston enters Sunday as the Browns' No. 2 or No. 3 quarterback, the bottom line is that he remains off the fantasy radar with Thompson-Robinson getting another chance as the starting quarterback.
From RotoBaller
Denver Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton will look to get back into the end zone in Week 17 when the team travels to Cincinnati to take on the Bengals in a game with massive playoff implications on both sides. The Bengals defense has allowed 26.2 points per game (fifth-most in the league), but they've also allowed the fifth-fewest half-PPR points per game to opposing wideouts in the last five weeks. An ascending Broncos offense should be able to move the ball and put up points in this one. Sutton has played some of his best ball of the year of late, too, as he develops more chemistry with rookie QB Bo Nix. In the last five weeks, Sutton ranks as the WR15 in half-PPR points with 22 catches on 34 targets for 281 yards and three touchdowns. Sutton has also been a top-15 receiver this year in terms of targets (119), giving him WR1 upside if this game ends up being a shootout.
From RotoBaller
Denver Broncos running back Javonte Williams will have even less upside in a good matchup in Week 17 on Saturday against the Cincinnati Bengals on the road with backfield mate Jaleel McLaughlin (quadriceps) returning after a one-game absence. Although Williams averaged 6.0 yards per carry on the ground last week with McLaughlin sidelined in the loss to the division-rival Los Angeles Chargers, he only had four carries for 24 yards. He did benefit, however, in the passing game with a season-high seven receptions for 29 yards. The Broncos offense shouldn't have a tough time moving the ball against a Bengals defense that has allowed 26.2 points per game (fifth-most in the league), but Williams will merely be a low-upside, touchdown-dependent RB3/flex in fantasy lineups with McLaughlin back in the fold. Williams hasn't seen double-digit touches since Nov. 3 and has only scored double-digit half-PPR points three times in 2024.
From RotoBaller
Denver Broncos running back Jaleel McLaughlin (quadriceps) practiced in full on Wednesday and Thursday and has been cleared to play in Week 17 for the big game on Saturday against the Cincinnati Bengals. McLaughlin was inactive for the Week 16 loss to the division-rival Los Angeles Chargers last Thursday. He was Denver's leading rusher the previous two weeks, but even though he's back in a good matchup against Cincy's porous defense this weekend, fantasy managers in championship matchups shouldn't feel comfortable relying on McLaughlin as a low-upside flex play. Denver's offense has improved since the start of the season under rookie QB Bo Nix, but their ground game here merely been mediocre all year. Not to mention, McLaughlin looked like the RB3 some four weeks ago in the Broncos' backfield. There's no guarantee he'll see more than a handful of touches in his return on Saturday.
From RotoBaller
Denver Broncos rookie quarterback Bo Nix is in the QB1 picture for a Week 17 showdown on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals on Saturday. After a slow start to his rookie season, Nix has come on strong in the second half and is currently the QB11 in overall fantasy points thanks to 3,235 passing yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions while also rushing for 352 yards and four additional touchdowns. Nix has been the QB14 in the last five weeks in terms of fantasy points per game (21.4). The 24-year-old is in a situation this weekend to put up strong numbers once again in a big contest with playoff implications for both Denver and Cincy. The matchup is an excellent one for Nix also, as the Bengals defense has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to QBs this year and the seventh-most passing yards per game (231.6). Nix should be considered a top-10 fantasy QB.
From RotoBaller
Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Jalen Brooks (knee) was upgraded to a limited participant during Thursday's practice session. Brooks sat out of practice to begin the week after missing last week's win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Normally, the status of Brooks isn't too important, but he could be in line for a larger workload with fellow wideout CeeDee Lamb (shoulder) done for the season. The 24-year-old hasn't done much this season with 11 receptions for 165 yards and a touchdown in 12 games. He's too risky of a streaming choice to trust in important fantasy championship games this weekend.
From RotoBaller
Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Jalen Tolbert (finger) was a limited participant in practice for the second straight day on Thursday. It appears Tolbert is still dealing with the finger injury that forced him to exit early during last week's win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Tolbert is likely to see an increased role going forward with fellow wideout CeeDee Lamb (shoulder) done for the season. The 25-year-old has been quiet lately with two receptions or less in each of his last six games. There's some flex appeal here if Tolbert is able to suit up for this weekend's matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles.
From RotoBaller
The Los Angeles Rams defense/special teams unit will look to continue its recent improvement this week as the team welcomes the division-rival Arizona Cardinals on Saturday night. Last week, they held the Jets to just nine points in the cold of New York with one sack and two fumble recoveries. The previous week, they held the 49ers to just six points in another low-scoring road game. While they have held opponents to a total of 29 points in their last three road games, they allowed 42 and 37 points in their two most recent home games. They also gave up 41 points to the Cardinals when they met in Week 2. While Kyler Murray's Cards have turned the ball over six times in the last four weeks, they have only allowed six sacks. This could be a tougher matchup than many think, leaving the Rams ranked as the DEF17 this week, right in the middle of the pack. There are worse options to start this week, but there are also plenty of better ones to consider.
From RotoBaller