Tue May 28 9:03am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Robinson setup for big season
Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the running back position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to running backs last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the running backs with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the running backs that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.
RB SOS | ||
1. | Green Bay Packers | 356.01 |
2. | Houston Texans | 361.46 |
3. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 361.46 |
4. | Las Vegas Raiders | 361.48 |
5. | Seattle Seahawks | 362.28 |
6. | Buffalo Bills | 363.19 |
7. | Arizona Cardinals | 363.76 |
8. | Dallas Cowboys | 363.9 |
9. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 364.51 |
10. | Washington Commanders | 364.86 |
11. | Chicago Bears | 364.89 |
12. | Indianapolis Colts | 365.41 |
13. | San Francisco 49ers | 365.86 |
14. | New Orleans Saints | 366.49 |
15. | New York Jets | 368.23 |
16. | Detroit Lions | 368.49 |
17. | Philadelphia Eagles | 369.05 |
18. | Minnesota Vikings | 369.06 |
19. | Carolina Panthers | 369.88 |
20. | Cleveland Browns | 370.34 |
21. | Kansas City Chiefs | 371.71 |
22. | New York Giants | 372.21 |
23. | Los Angeles Chargers | 373.19 |
24. | Denver Broncos | 373.32 |
25. | Cincinnati Bengals | 373.66 |
26. | Los Angeles Rams | 374.09 |
27. | Baltimore Ravens | 374.16 |
28. | New England Patriots | 375.60 |
29. | Atlanta Falcons | 376.19 |
30. | Miami Dolphins | 377.49 |
31. | Tennessee Titans | 378.2 |
32. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 378.72 |
The two teams with the easiest fantasy schedules for running backs are the Steelers and Titans, which is interesting because both teams could platoon running backs. The Steelers split the work between Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren. And the Titans are likely to use both Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears. All four backs could be setup for solid seasons with favorable schedules. It is always scary to take a back that might split work but seeing these positive schedules could make pulling the trigger on them a little easier come draft day. All four could be top flex plays for fantasy teams.
The Dolphins had huge success running the ball last year and could have similar solid production this season with the third easiest fantasy schedule for running backs. Devon Achane is really looking good in year two. He is expected to get more work and likely lead the backfield in touches. Raheem Mostert had a career season last year and a great schedule but he carries a little more risk. He is 32 years old and now has rookie Jaylen Wright pushing him for playing time. Just something to keep in mind come draft day.
The Falcons are another team with a top-five favorable running back schedule, making Bijan Robinson a very intriguing pick this year. Robinson had a bit of a disappointing rookie season, but a new coaching staff and really favorable schedule make Robinson a huge breakout candidate. He is moving up draft rankings in a hurry and is capable of finishing first overall in fantasy running back scoring because of his skill set.
Rhamondre Stevenson is a possible rebound candidate. He was slowed by injury last year but is back healthy and with the fifth easiest schedule for running backs. Stevenson has shown in the past he can be a big-time fantasy back. Things are looking up for him this year, making him a good buy-low candidate.
The Packers had the easiest fantasy schedule for quarterbacks but get the toughest for running backs. This isn’t great news for new back Josh Jacobs. It is hard to bet against the productive back, though. You just might want to temper expectations for him this coming year. Jacobs could have a few down weeks, especially for his standards.
The Texans signed Joe Mixon to shore up their running back spot, but he carries some concerns. He wasn’t highly productive the last few seasons besides all his scores and now gets the second toughest schedule for running backs. Plus, the Texans are likely to be a pass heavy team, which could limit his workload a little. Mixon could end up being a boom or bust player.
Tampa also has a unfavorable fantasy schedule for running backs. Rachaad White had a big season last year but padded his numbers because of all his work in the passing game. That might be a similar scenario for him, having a tough time to run with this schedule. The positive for White is he is very good in the passing game. You have to worry about his rushing totals, though.
The Raiders haven’t really settled on a starting running back, but Zamir White is likely to get first shot at the job. That is great news for his fantasy value but the not so great news is his tough fantasy schedule. This could limit the ceiling of White a little. He has risk to begin with because it isn’t 100 percent certain he wins the job. This makes him a bit of a scary pick for fantasy teams.
Kenneth Walker didn’t have quite the breakout second season many hoped but was fairly productive with his work. And the good news is Zach Charbonnet didn’t really put a big dent in his workload. The Seahawks seem happy with Walker as the lead back. The unfortunate news for Walker is he has the fifth toughest fantasy running back schedule. Walker might fail to reach his lofty expectations once again in year three.
We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy running backs. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the running backs with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.
RB PLAYOFF SOS | ||
1. | San Francisco 49ers | 291.43 |
2. | Washington Commanders | 325.2 |
3. | Houston Texans | 327.8 |
4. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 332.03 |
5. | New York Jets | 337.57 |
6. | Cleveland Browns | 340.8 |
7. | Las Vegas Raiders | 341.1 |
8. | Miami Dolphins | 348.27 |
9. | Chicago Bears | 350.37 |
10. | Buffalo Bills | 350.53 |
11. | Arizona Cardinals | 352.8 |
12. | Dallas Cowboys | 358.87 |
13. | Detroit Lions | 359.7 |
14. | New York Giants | 365.67 |
15. | Kansas City Chiefs | 366.53 |
16. | Green Bay Packers | 368.97 |
17. | Seattle Seahawks | 370.23 |
18. | Carolina Panthers | 377.15 |
19. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 378.37 |
20. | Los Angeles Chargers | 380.73 |
21. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 381 |
22. | Baltimore Ravens | 381.43 |
23. | Cincinnati Bengals | 383.50 |
24. | Philadelphia Eagles | 391.07 |
25. | New England Patriots | 397.95 |
26. | Indianapolis Colts | 398.40 |
27. | Denver Broncos | 399.53 |
28. | Tennessee Titans | 401.63 |
29. | Los Angeles Rams | 403.92 |
30. | New Orleans Saints | 406.33 |
31. | Minnesota Vikings | 407.87 |
32. | Atlanta Falcons | 422.4 |
There are two teams with a top-five favorable schedule for fantasy running backs for both the regular season and playoffs. Those teams are the Falcons and Titans. Atlanta actually has the easiest fantasy playoff schedule for running backs. Robinson was looking good even before hearing this news but looks even better now. He is making a strong case to be the second running back off the board come draft day.
And Pollard and Spears are intriguing running back options with schedules that could produce big for both during the regular season and playoffs. You just have to worry about one back emerging to grab most of the work. If that happens, one of these backs could end up being a bust.
Minnesota has the second easiest playoff schedule for running backs. Aaron Jones has some injury concerns after the last few seasons, but he could be setup for a big workload with an unsettled quarterback situation in Minnesota. Jones has some good upside with his new team, especially during the playoffs.
One other team to mention for the playoff is New Orleans. Alvin Kamara isn’t getting any younger but remains the lead back and still productive. He still seems to have something left in the tank and could be a big fantasy factor for at least one more season, especially when it matters most in the playoffs. He could be a difference maker, having the third easiest fantasy schedule for running backs.
Houston is the lone team in both the top five for the toughest regular season and playoff fantasy running back schedules. This is an obvious concern for Mixon. He is looking more and more like a player you might to avoid come draft day. He might have some big games along the way in this great offense, but you have to wonder about his consistency and playoff performance.
So the top rated fantasy back, Christian McCaffrey, also has the toughest fantasy playoff schedule for running backs. You aren’t fading McCaffrey because of this. He is one of those rare backs that it doesn’t really matter who he plays. McCaffrey will produce. We still think he is the clear No. 1 fantasy back. He can still get it done in the playoffs.
Washington has Brian Robinson and Austin Ekekler likely splitting the work at running back, which hurts both their fantasy values. They also get the second most difficult playoff schedule for running backs. We wouldn’t reach too early for either back because of this.
The Steelers have the easiest fantasy running back schedule during the playoffs but fourth toughest for the playoffs. This is a tough one. Both backs have potential for good things, showing they can co-exist last year and produce well for fantasy teams. You just have to wonder if fading in the playoffs will make all that good work during the regular season all for nothing.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
Hot Plays, Fades and Sleepers: Week 11
Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster (hamstring) practiced in full on Thursday and Friday and has been cleared to play in Week 11 on Sunday against the Buffalo Bills. Smith-Schuster will return for the first time since getting injured on Oct. 20 but won't be as interesting for fantasy managers now that DeAndre Hopkins is the team's top wideout. In his last game, the 27-year-old went off for 130 receiving yards, prompting many fantasy managers to pick him up off the waiver wire given how depleted KC's receiving corps was at the time. He'll still have a role as a deep threat for quarterback Patrick Mahomes now that he's back, but at best, he'll be the No. 3 target behind Hopkins and stud tight end Travis Kelce. Smith-Schuster should be considered a boom/bust WR4/flex, at best, in his return against the Bills.
From RotoBaller
Green Bay Packers running back MarShawn Lloyd (ankle, hamstring) is dealing with appendicitis and will not be active for the team's Week 11 divisional contest against the Chicago Bears on Sunday. "It is a shame, certainly. This all happened this morning. He felt some pain his abdomen this morning. Not sure if he's had surgery," head coach Matt LaFleur said. Lloyd was designated to return from Injured Reserve at the start of the week and had a shot to make his return to the field this weekend, but that won't happen now. The 23-year-old has been very injury-prone since joining the Packers and has played in just one game in his first season in the NFL. He suffered a high-ankle sprain earlier this year and will now miss an eighth straight game. Lloyd has explosive rushing ability as a backup to Josh Jacobs and is worth a stash in deeper leagues, but it's now unclear if he'll be able to return in Week 12 against the 49ers.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals pass-rusher Trey Hendrickson (neck, personal) will not travel with the rest of the team to Los Angeles for personal reasons but is expected to fly on his own and play on Sunday night against the Chargers in Week 11. Hendrickson is officially listed as questionable on the final injury report, but fantasy managers in IDP leagues should leave the 29-year-old in their starting lineups this weekend. He has been dealing with a neck injury off and on this year, but it hasn't slowed him down, as he heads into Week 11 action as the NFL's sack leader with 11 through 10 weeks. Hendrickson was limited in Wednesday's practice before not practicing on Thursday and Friday. He has not missed a game all year and should be active for Sunday Night Football.
From RotoBaller
As expected, Kansas City Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco (leg) has officially been ruled out for the Week 11 game against the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. Pacheco had his 21-day practice window opened this week in order to return from Injured Reserve, but the 25-year-old isn't expected to return to action until later this month as he continues to recover from a fractured fibula that he suffered way back in Week 2. Fantasy managers must continue to stash him in an IR spot for the time being and hope he returns to his pre-injury form in time for the fantasy playoffs. Meanwhile, Kareem Hunt will continue to be a must-start for fantasy managers as KC's primary back, with Samaje Perine and rookie Carson Steele spelling him. Pacheco was limited in his return to the practice field this week.
From RotoBaller
Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Drake London has been a consistent fantasy producer through 10 weeks, catching at least six passes in seven of those games and finding the end zone six times, putting him well within the top 10 in fantasy scoring at the position. However, it is going to be tough to replicate those numbers in Week 11 against a strong Denver pass defense that has allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to wideouts thus far. The silver lining is that they have been a bit more beatable in recent weeks, allowing five TDs to receivers over the last four weeks compared to just one in the season's first six weeks. With a 25.5% target share and 32.9% of the team's air yards, his role is secure in this offense and figures to be a back-end WR1 in Week 11.
From RotoBaller
Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid said that kicker Harrison Butker (knee) injured his left knee in practice this week and underwent surgery on Friday morning. Reid did not have an official timeline for Butker's return yet, but the club placed him on Injured Reserve, meaning he'll have to miss at least the next four games. The earliest Butker will be able to return will be on Dec. 15 against the Cleveland Browns in Week 15. The 29-year-old veteran had a repair of his meniscus. If fantasy managers have the room on IR, they could consider stashing Butker, as he could be back for the first week of the fantasy playoffs in most leagues. In the meantime, the Chiefs will roll with rookie undrafted kicker Spencer Shrader, who they signed off the New York Jets' practice squad this week. We'd recommend avoiding Shrader as a fantasy streamer this Sunday against Buffalo.
From RotoBaller
Minnesota Vikings running back Aaron Jones (ribs) has been removed from the injury report ahead of the Week 11 matchup against the Tennessee Titans. Jones has been limited in practice this week due to a ribs issue. Despite that, Jones has been cleared to play, so he should be feeling better. Jones has seen a fairly heavy workload with 14 carries or more in each of the last four games. He'll get a tough matchup against the Titans defense, but remains a RB2 for this weekend.
From RotoBaller
Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Darnell Mooney (Achilles) has been removed from the injury report ahead of the Week 11 matchup against the Denver Broncos. There was some concern over Mooney's status after he was a limited participant in practice on Thursday. Although, Mooney doesn't appear to be dealing with anything serious as he has already been removed from the injury report. Mooney has been a solid fantasy option this season. He has five receptions for over 80 yards in each of the last two games. He does draw a tough matchup against the Broncos secondary, but fantasy managers should still be able to trust Mooney to produce as a WR3.
From RotoBaller
Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold (hand) has been removed from the injury report ahead of the Week 11 matchup against the Tennessee Titans. Darnold has been limited in practice this week, but appears ready to play this weekend. He's coming off a rough performance against the Jacksonville Jaguars where he threw three interceptions in the win. The hope is that Darnold will rebound this weekend now that the hand issue is hopefully behind him. Fantasy managers should be able to count on Darnold to play better in Week 11.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins (quad) has been removed from the injury report ahead of the Week 11 matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers. Higgins appears to be ready to play for the first time since Week 7. He missed three games due to a quad issue, but the fact he was removed from the injury report means that he'll play this weekend. Before going down, Higgins was a significant part of the offense with seven of more targets in four of his five games this season. It's worth noting that the Chargers defense has been tough to pass against this season. That being said, Higgins falls more into the low-end WR2 conversation for Week 11.
From RotoBaller
Miami Dolphins defensive back Kendall Fuller (concussion) is likely to miss some time after suffering his second concussion during last week's win over the Los Angeles Rams. Head coach Mike McDaniel confirmed that Fuller is currently considered week-to-week. They haven't placed him on the injured reserve, which is a good sign. Fuller won't suit up this weekend against the Las Vegas Raiders. That means, Cam Smith is likely to serve as the opposite corner to Jalen Ramsey for at least one game. The loss of Fuller hurts the Dolphins secondary, but they should still have streaming appeal against the struggling Raiders offense.
From RotoBaller
New York Jets wide receiver Davante Adams (illness, wrist) is expected to play in Week 11 on Sunday versus the Indianapolis Colts, according to interim head coach Jeff Ulbrich. In addition to an illness that caused him to miss practice on Wednesday and Thursday, Adams is dealing with a minor wrist issue. He was able to get back on the practice field on Friday, though, and should be active on Sunday as the Jets look to turn things around. Although fantasy managers may have been expecting more from the All-Pro wideout after being traded to the Jets, Adams should remain a must-start in fantasy lineups as long as he's active. The 31-year-old veteran has 20 catches on 39 targets for 206 yards and a touchdown in his four games with the Jets and gets a nice matchup against a Colts defense that has allowed the 10th-most half-PPR points per game to receivers this year.
From RotoBaller
New York Jets linebacker C.J. Mosley (neck) and left tackle Tyron Smith (neck) have both been ruled out for the Week 11 game against the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday. The Jets will re-evaluate Mosley after the Week 12 bye, and the team is still gathering more information on Smith's injury, according to interim head coach Jeff Ulbrich. Meanwhile, safety Chuck Clark (ankle) is being activated from Injured Reserve. Mosley is missing his fourth straight game but hopefully will have a shot to return when the team returns from their bye to take on the Seattle Seahawks in Week 13. With the 32-year-old out again, it will mean more opportunities for both linebackers Quincy Williams and Jamien Sherwood. The 33-year-old Smith suffered a neck injury in the Week 10 loss to the Arizona Cardinals and may not be ready coming out of next week's bye.
From RotoBaller
Baltimore Ravens head coach John Harbaugh said he's optimistic that All-Pro safety Kyle Hamilton (ankle) will be able to suit up in Week 11 to face the division-rival Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday. Hamilton was injured in last Thursday night's one-point win over the division-rival Cincinnati Bengals but was able to practice on Wednesday and Thursday. It's excellent news for IDP fantasy managers and Baltimore's secondary with a tough matchup against an improving Steelers offense under quarterback Russell Wilson. Hamilton sprained his right ankle last Thursday but is trending in the right direction to play this weekend. If he's active, he should be in starting lineups in the defensive back spot in IDP formats. The 23-year-old is currently the No. 4 fantasy DB with 50 total tackles, two sacks, seven pass breakups, a forced fumble and a fumble recovery in 10 games played.
From RotoBaller
Indianapolis Colts head coach Shane Steichen said that wide receiver Michael Pittman Jr. (back) will play in Week 11 on Sunday against the New York Jets after missing the Week 10 loss to the Buffalo Bills. Pittman has been dealing with a back injury for a while now, but it finally caused him to miss a game last week. The writing was on the wall for him to return this weekend, though, after he returned to a full practice on Wednesday. It's good news for the Colts' offense, but the 27-year-old pass-catcher will still be a shaky fantasy play with quarterback Anthony Richardson and his accuracy issues returning to the starting job. Additionally, the Jets defense has allowed the fewest half-PPR points per game to opposing receivers in 2024. Pittman has been outside the top-50 receivers in terms of average PPR points scored per game this season.
From RotoBaller
Tennessee Titans offensive coordinator Nick Holz said that wide receiver Tyler Boyd (shoulder) has been limited with a shoulder injury, but now he's now as healthy as he's been in recent weeks heading into the Week 11 contest versus the Minnesota Vikings and is expected to be more of a factor on offense moving forward. Boyd's lack of production/involvement recently was more of a health issue than anything else. The 30-year-old veteran played a season-low 29% of the offensive snaps in Week 9 overtime win over the New England Patriots but bumped up to 61% in the Week 10 loss to the to the Los Angeles Chargers. Boyd wasn't targeted in either of those games while seeing one carry for three yards. He has failed to go over 43 receiving yards in any of his nine games in his first year in Tennessee in 2024 and should remain on the waiver wire in most fantasy leagues.
From RotoBaller
Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert has a good matchup in a Week 11 game against the Cincinnati Bengals. Herbert got off to a slow start this season due in part to play calling, but also in part due to an injury he was still recovering from. Now fully healthy, Herbert has been the overall fantasy QB9 since Week 7, ranking third in yards per attempt and in passer rating. While he only had to throw 18 times last week against the Titans, he was still extremely efficient and added 32 yards and a touchdown on the ground to boost himself to a QB8 finish for Week 10. This week, on Sunday Night Football, Herbert and the Chargers will likely have to throw the ball more often. The Bengals defense hasn't been able to stop much this season, especially lately, which could lead to a high-scoring shootout on Sunday Night Football. Herbert should be a QB1 with upside this week.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots head coach Jerod Mayo said that wide receiver Kendrick Bourne is expected to play in Week 11 against the visiting Los Angeles Rams. The Patriots have prioritized playing time for their younger players of late, but Bourne should be on the field this Sunday. The 29-year-old was active in the Week 10 win over the Chicago Bears but didn't play a single snap on offense after catching four passes for 41 yards the previous week in the loss to the Tennessee Titans. Bourne should be more involved on offense this weekend, but it doesn't mean that he's going to suddenly be on the fantasy radar. DeMario Douglas and Kayson Boutte will still likely be quarterback Drake Maye's favorite targets, with Bourne competing for targets alongside K.J. Osborn and rookie Ja'Lynn Polk as well. Bourne got a late start to the year due to injury and has just eight catches for 70 yards in five games.
From RotoBaller
The Kansas City Chiefs officially signed rookie kicker Spencer Shrader to their active 53-man roster on Friday from the New York Jets' practice squad and officially placed kicker Harrison Butker (knee) on Injured Reserve. Shrader will get the first crack at replacing Butker as KC's primary kicker moving forward. With Butker on IR, he will be required to miss at least the next four games. Shrader, an undrafted rookie out of Notre Dame, has kicked in two games in his first year in the NFL -- one with the Jets and one with the Indianapolis Colts -- making both of his field-goal attempts and all three of his extra points. The 25-year-old made 68.3 percent of his field goals in college and will not be a recommended streaming option at the position in his first game with the Chiefs in a Week 11 showdown on the road against the Buffalo Bills.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals head coach Zac Taylor told reporters on Friday that wide receiver Tee Higgins (quadriceps) is expected to play in Week 11 against the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday Night Football. Higgins hasn't played since Oct. 20, though, which makes him a much riskier option for starting fantasy lineups if he is indeed active on Sunday night. The 25-year-old has a history of playing limited snaps in his first game back from injury as well, so fantasy managers will be rolling the dice with him if they put him in their starting lineups this weekend against a strong Chargers defense on the road. Higgins' return will also make Andrei Iosivas and tight ends Mike Gesicki and Tanner Hudson less attractive as streaming options in Cincy's offense. When healthy, Higgins has excelled for fantasy managers this year, averaging 10.4 half-PPR points per game, which ranks 11th among all wideouts.
From RotoBaller