Tue May 28 9:03am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Robinson setup for big season
Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the running back position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to running backs last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the running backs with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the running backs that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.
RB SOS | ||
1. | Green Bay Packers | 356.01 |
2. | Houston Texans | 361.46 |
3. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 361.46 |
4. | Las Vegas Raiders | 361.48 |
5. | Seattle Seahawks | 362.28 |
6. | Buffalo Bills | 363.19 |
7. | Arizona Cardinals | 363.76 |
8. | Dallas Cowboys | 363.9 |
9. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 364.51 |
10. | Washington Commanders | 364.86 |
11. | Chicago Bears | 364.89 |
12. | Indianapolis Colts | 365.41 |
13. | San Francisco 49ers | 365.86 |
14. | New Orleans Saints | 366.49 |
15. | New York Jets | 368.23 |
16. | Detroit Lions | 368.49 |
17. | Philadelphia Eagles | 369.05 |
18. | Minnesota Vikings | 369.06 |
19. | Carolina Panthers | 369.88 |
20. | Cleveland Browns | 370.34 |
21. | Kansas City Chiefs | 371.71 |
22. | New York Giants | 372.21 |
23. | Los Angeles Chargers | 373.19 |
24. | Denver Broncos | 373.32 |
25. | Cincinnati Bengals | 373.66 |
26. | Los Angeles Rams | 374.09 |
27. | Baltimore Ravens | 374.16 |
28. | New England Patriots | 375.60 |
29. | Atlanta Falcons | 376.19 |
30. | Miami Dolphins | 377.49 |
31. | Tennessee Titans | 378.2 |
32. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 378.72 |
The two teams with the easiest fantasy schedules for running backs are the Steelers and Titans, which is interesting because both teams could platoon running backs. The Steelers split the work between Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren. And the Titans are likely to use both Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears. All four backs could be setup for solid seasons with favorable schedules. It is always scary to take a back that might split work but seeing these positive schedules could make pulling the trigger on them a little easier come draft day. All four could be top flex plays for fantasy teams.
The Dolphins had huge success running the ball last year and could have similar solid production this season with the third easiest fantasy schedule for running backs. Devon Achane is really looking good in year two. He is expected to get more work and likely lead the backfield in touches. Raheem Mostert had a career season last year and a great schedule but he carries a little more risk. He is 32 years old and now has rookie Jaylen Wright pushing him for playing time. Just something to keep in mind come draft day.
The Falcons are another team with a top-five favorable running back schedule, making Bijan Robinson a very intriguing pick this year. Robinson had a bit of a disappointing rookie season, but a new coaching staff and really favorable schedule make Robinson a huge breakout candidate. He is moving up draft rankings in a hurry and is capable of finishing first overall in fantasy running back scoring because of his skill set.
Rhamondre Stevenson is a possible rebound candidate. He was slowed by injury last year but is back healthy and with the fifth easiest schedule for running backs. Stevenson has shown in the past he can be a big-time fantasy back. Things are looking up for him this year, making him a good buy-low candidate.
The Packers had the easiest fantasy schedule for quarterbacks but get the toughest for running backs. This isn’t great news for new back Josh Jacobs. It is hard to bet against the productive back, though. You just might want to temper expectations for him this coming year. Jacobs could have a few down weeks, especially for his standards.
The Texans signed Joe Mixon to shore up their running back spot, but he carries some concerns. He wasn’t highly productive the last few seasons besides all his scores and now gets the second toughest schedule for running backs. Plus, the Texans are likely to be a pass heavy team, which could limit his workload a little. Mixon could end up being a boom or bust player.
Tampa also has a unfavorable fantasy schedule for running backs. Rachaad White had a big season last year but padded his numbers because of all his work in the passing game. That might be a similar scenario for him, having a tough time to run with this schedule. The positive for White is he is very good in the passing game. You have to worry about his rushing totals, though.
The Raiders haven’t really settled on a starting running back, but Zamir White is likely to get first shot at the job. That is great news for his fantasy value but the not so great news is his tough fantasy schedule. This could limit the ceiling of White a little. He has risk to begin with because it isn’t 100 percent certain he wins the job. This makes him a bit of a scary pick for fantasy teams.
Kenneth Walker didn’t have quite the breakout second season many hoped but was fairly productive with his work. And the good news is Zach Charbonnet didn’t really put a big dent in his workload. The Seahawks seem happy with Walker as the lead back. The unfortunate news for Walker is he has the fifth toughest fantasy running back schedule. Walker might fail to reach his lofty expectations once again in year three.
We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy running backs. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the running backs with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.
RB PLAYOFF SOS | ||
1. | San Francisco 49ers | 291.43 |
2. | Washington Commanders | 325.2 |
3. | Houston Texans | 327.8 |
4. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 332.03 |
5. | New York Jets | 337.57 |
6. | Cleveland Browns | 340.8 |
7. | Las Vegas Raiders | 341.1 |
8. | Miami Dolphins | 348.27 |
9. | Chicago Bears | 350.37 |
10. | Buffalo Bills | 350.53 |
11. | Arizona Cardinals | 352.8 |
12. | Dallas Cowboys | 358.87 |
13. | Detroit Lions | 359.7 |
14. | New York Giants | 365.67 |
15. | Kansas City Chiefs | 366.53 |
16. | Green Bay Packers | 368.97 |
17. | Seattle Seahawks | 370.23 |
18. | Carolina Panthers | 377.15 |
19. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 378.37 |
20. | Los Angeles Chargers | 380.73 |
21. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 381 |
22. | Baltimore Ravens | 381.43 |
23. | Cincinnati Bengals | 383.50 |
24. | Philadelphia Eagles | 391.07 |
25. | New England Patriots | 397.95 |
26. | Indianapolis Colts | 398.40 |
27. | Denver Broncos | 399.53 |
28. | Tennessee Titans | 401.63 |
29. | Los Angeles Rams | 403.92 |
30. | New Orleans Saints | 406.33 |
31. | Minnesota Vikings | 407.87 |
32. | Atlanta Falcons | 422.4 |
There are two teams with a top-five favorable schedule for fantasy running backs for both the regular season and playoffs. Those teams are the Falcons and Titans. Atlanta actually has the easiest fantasy playoff schedule for running backs. Robinson was looking good even before hearing this news but looks even better now. He is making a strong case to be the second running back off the board come draft day.
And Pollard and Spears are intriguing running back options with schedules that could produce big for both during the regular season and playoffs. You just have to worry about one back emerging to grab most of the work. If that happens, one of these backs could end up being a bust.
Minnesota has the second easiest playoff schedule for running backs. Aaron Jones has some injury concerns after the last few seasons, but he could be setup for a big workload with an unsettled quarterback situation in Minnesota. Jones has some good upside with his new team, especially during the playoffs.
One other team to mention for the playoff is New Orleans. Alvin Kamara isn’t getting any younger but remains the lead back and still productive. He still seems to have something left in the tank and could be a big fantasy factor for at least one more season, especially when it matters most in the playoffs. He could be a difference maker, having the third easiest fantasy schedule for running backs.
Houston is the lone team in both the top five for the toughest regular season and playoff fantasy running back schedules. This is an obvious concern for Mixon. He is looking more and more like a player you might to avoid come draft day. He might have some big games along the way in this great offense, but you have to wonder about his consistency and playoff performance.
So the top rated fantasy back, Christian McCaffrey, also has the toughest fantasy playoff schedule for running backs. You aren’t fading McCaffrey because of this. He is one of those rare backs that it doesn’t really matter who he plays. McCaffrey will produce. We still think he is the clear No. 1 fantasy back. He can still get it done in the playoffs.
Washington has Brian Robinson and Austin Ekekler likely splitting the work at running back, which hurts both their fantasy values. They also get the second most difficult playoff schedule for running backs. We wouldn’t reach too early for either back because of this.
The Steelers have the easiest fantasy running back schedule during the playoffs but fourth toughest for the playoffs. This is a tough one. Both backs have potential for good things, showing they can co-exist last year and produce well for fantasy teams. You just have to wonder if fading in the playoffs will make all that good work during the regular season all for nothing.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
Bender's Starts/Sits: Week 17
Philadelphia Eagles tight end Grant Calcaterra recorded one reception on two targets for 34 yards in the team's dominant 41-7 victory over the Dallas Cowboys. Calcaterra flashed his ability with a big gain, but his opportunities remain limited in an offense heavily focused on wide receivers DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown. With the receivers commanding the majority of targets, Calcaterra remains a lower option in the passing game and a tough sell as a consistent fantasy contributor. The Eagles wrap up their regular season in Week 18 against the New York Giants, and Calcaterra's role is unlikely to expand significantly.
From RotoBaller
Cleveland Browns running back Jerome Ford carried the ball six times for 22 yards and was not targeted in the passing game in a 20-3 loss to the Miami Dolphins in Week 17. Ford injured his ankle during the second quarter of the contest but was cleared to return to action in the third quarter. That being said, he did not record a touch in the second half as the Browns stuck with D'Onta Foreman and Pierre Strong Jr. in their backfield. Ford's status for Week 18 against the Baltimore Ravens is in question and it will be worth monitoring his participation in practice throughout the upcoming week.
From RotoBaller
Cleveland Browns running back D'Onta Foreman carried the ball 13 times for 49 yards but failed to corral either of his two targets in a 20-3 loss to the Miami Dolphins in Week 17. Foreman was pressed into service with Jerome Ford injuring his ankle during the second quarter. While Ford was ultimately cleared to return to the game after halftime, he did not record a touch as the Browns stuck with Foreman as their lead running back for the remainder of the contest. Foreman would theoretically be in line to lead the backfield in Week 18's season finale against the Baltimore Ravens if Ford's ankle keeps him out of action. Stay tuned.
From RotoBaller
Philadelphia Eagles kicker Jake Elliott capitalized on the team's offensive dominance in their 41-7 victory over the Dallas Cowboys, hitting both his field goal attempts and all five extra points. Elliott's consistency continues to pay off for fantasy managers, as he delivered his seventh double-digit performance of the season and his third in a row. Philadelphia's high-powered offense has consistently provided him with ample scoring opportunities, keeping him in the conversation as one of the most reliable kickers in fantasy football. Elliott will look to carry this momentum into the Eagles' Week 18 matchup against the New York Giants.
From RotoBaller
Cleveland Browns wide receiver Jerry Jeudy caught 12 of his 18 targets for 94 yards in a 20-3 loss to the Miami Dolphins in Week 17. Jeudy bounced back from a slow two-catch, 20-yard performance in Week 16 to lead the Browns in all receiving categories in the home loss to Miami, although it is worth mentioning that he did so with David Njoku (knee) inactive. Njoku has been Dorian Thompson-Robinson's favorite target in the games the two have played together. Jeudy has enjoyed a career year in his first season with the Browns, setting career bests in catches and receiving yards, and will look to put the finishing touches on it in Week 18's season finale against the Baltimore Ravens.
From RotoBaller
Per head coach Kevin O'Connell, Minnesota Vikings running back Aaron Jones (quad) suffered a quad contusion in Sunday's 27-25 win over the Green Bay Packers. The 30-year-old was apparently stepped on, forcing him to miss a stretch before halftime. He'd return to the game in the third quarter but sat out again in the fourth with the outing seemingly safely at hand. That he could return initially is excellent news for him, though it's worth mentioning that he remained on the sidelines even when the Packers brought the game within one score late. With a crucial matchup on deck with their division-rival Detroit Lions in Week 18, the Vikes will need all the help they can get as they attempt to clinch the division and secure the conference's top seed. Keep an eye on Jones' practice status this week ahead of the season's final slate of action.
From RotoBaller
The New York Jets defense struggled in a 40-14 loss to the Buffalo Bills in Week 17. New York allowed the Bills to rack up 348 yards of total offense including a 21-point third quarter in the blowout loss. The Jets failed to record any sacks or force any turnovers as they offered little resistance to their division foes. New York has a shot at bouncing back in Week 18 against a Tyler Huntley-led Miami Dolphins offense.
From RotoBaller
Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley dominated in the team's 41-7 victory over the Dallas Cowboys, carrying the ball 31 times for an incredible 167 yards. He also added two receptions for two yards. Despite not finding the end zone, Barkley's performance was enough to place him in the Top-5 fantasy running backs of Week 17 heading into Sunday night. Barkley etched his name into the history books during this game, becoming only the ninth player in NFL history to surpass 2,000 rushing yards in a single season. He now sits just 101 yards shy of breaking Eric Dickerson's all-time single-season rushing record. This game was also Barkley's 11th 100-yard rushing performance. The Eagles will rely on Barkley's brilliance again in Week 18 when they host the New York Giants, with a chance to make history on the line.
From RotoBaller
New York Giants running back Devin Singletary rushed for 21 yards on five carries during Sunday's Week 17 win over the Indianapolis Colts. He also converted his lone target into a nine-yard reception. Singletary was more efficient than teammate Tyrone Tracy Jr., but he had 15 fewer touches and played just 26.8 percent of offensive snaps compared to Tracy's 66.1 percent. Singletary remains the No. 2 option out of the backfield in New York, so he'll remain off the fantasy radar as long as Tracy stays healthy heading into Week 18 against the Philadelphia Eagles.
From RotoBaller
Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown had a modest showing in the team's 41-7 victory over the Dallas Cowboys. Brown caught three passes for 36 yards but salvaged his fantasy output with a touchdown, marking his third consecutive game finding the end zone. This week, Brown took a backseat to fellow wideout DeVonta Smith, who led the Eagles in targets, receptions, yards, and touchdowns. While Brown's yardage total was underwhelming, his consistent presence in the red zone has been a bright spot for fantasy managers. The Eagles will look to close the regular season strong in Week 18 when they host the New York Giants.
From RotoBaller
According to Miami Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel, surgery is "not currently on the table" regarding quarterback Tua Tagovailoa's (hip) hip injury. The 26-year-old picked up the ailment in their loss to the Texans two weeks ago and was able to play through it in Week 16. However, that was not the case Sunday after a week of limited sessions. It's reportedly the same hip that required surgery during his collegiate days at Alabama but in a different "spot." Per Marcel Louis-Jacques of ESPN, McDaniel was noncommittal on whether Tagovailoa would play in Week 18's divisional clash against the New York Jets. If the former first-round pick can't suit up for the contest, teammate Tyler Huntley figures to again get a go at manning the helm. With Miami still fighting for a playoff spot, expect an update on him shortly.
From RotoBaller
Cleveland Browns quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson completed 24 of his 47 passes for 170 yards and one interception while adding 10 yards on four carries and losing a fumble in a 20-3 loss to the Miami Dolphins in Week 17. Thompson-Robinson struggled to move the ball on a rainy, windy afternoon in Cleveland as he has failed to throw a touchdown pass in either of his two starts this season. The Dolphins defense didn't help matters as they sacked him once and forced three intentional grounding penalties in the contest. Head coach Kevin Stefanski was non-committal about who would be his quarterback in the regular-season finale against the Baltimore Ravens next week, although it would be a mild surprise if the team goes away from DTR as they are attempting to tank for the best possible draft pick this offseason.
From RotoBaller
Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Josh Downs was limited to just three catches on four targets for 22 yards and no scores in Sunday's 45-33 loss to the Giants. After showing a rapport earlier in the season with Joe Flacco under center, the veteran looked at both Michael Pittman Jr. and Alec Pierce more often with a combined 15 targets between them. Seemingly the No. 1 option around midseason, the 23-year-old has fallen out of favor regardless of who has been at QB, now with four straight contests with exactly three catches for a total of 142 yards and one touchdown over that stretch. The Colts, although eliminated from playoff contention, will get a favorable matchup in the final week of the season in a home contest against the Jaguars and Downs will look to finish the season on a high note.
From RotoBaller
Tennessee Titans tight end Chig Okonkwo caught five receptions for 42 yards in Sunday's 20-13 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars, also carrying the ball once for 17 yards on the ground. With seven targets, it was Okonkwo's third straight game leading his team in looks through the air; the rapport with quarterback Mason Rudolph seems as though it's here to stay. While not an especially dazzling performance against a poor Jags defense, it was a solid day for a fantasy tight end, especially on nobody's radar just a month ago. Heading into the final game of the season, Okonkwo has proven to be his QB's favorite option and is faced with a Texans defense allowing the 13th-most fantasy points to tight ends this year.
From RotoBaller
Tennessee Titans wide receiver Nick Westbrook-Ikhine managed three catches for 37 yards in a 20-13 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars. On the bright side, Westbrook-Ikhine was thrown to six times-;good enough to be tied for second-most on his team and his personal best since Week 13. While it was one of his best performances over the last month, it wasn't much to write home about as the Titans wideout's struggles continue. His consistently disappointing showings lately have diminished his fantasy value harshly, and heading into the season finale against Houston, Westbrook-Ikhine will struggle to find his way into managers' lineups.
From RotoBaller
New York Jets tight end Tyler Conklin caught all eight of his targets for 57 yards and a touchdown while catching a two-point conversion in a 40-14 loss to the Buffalo Bills in Week 17. Conklin finished second on the team in receiving while hauling in a 20-yard touchdown pass from Tyrod Taylor in the fourth quarter, his third touchdown catch of the season. The veteran tight end has come on strong over the past two games, having caught 13 passes for 116 yards and a touchdown over that span. He will cap off his 2024 season against the Miami Dolphins in Week 18.
From RotoBaller
Carolina Panthers running back Raheem Blackshear rushed for 20 yards on eight carries during Sunday's Week 17 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He was not targeted in the passing game. Blackshear earned his first start of the season after Chuba Hubbard (calf, knee) was placed on injured reserve Saturday morning. While Blackshear did lead the Panthers in carries and rushing yards, his inefficiency and lack of productivity certainly proved unfortunate for any fantasy managers streaming him in Week 17. Even with a slightly more favorable matchup against the Atlanta Falcons in Week 18, Blackshear will remain off the fantasy radar going forward. The same goes for his fellow running back, Mike Boone, who had just 11 rushing yards on two carries.
From RotoBaller
Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Kenny Pickett completed 10 of 15 passes for 143 yards and a touchdown in the team's dominant 41-7 win over the Dallas Cowboys. He added three rushing attempts for three yards and a rushing touchdown before exiting the game in the third quarter with a rib injury. Pickett's fantasy output was decent thanks to Dallas providing open gaps throughout the game; however, he finished near the bottom of quarterbacks this week. After his exit, backup Tanner McKee threw two touchdown passes to seal the victory. Heading into Week 18 against the New York Giants, the Eagles will hope Jalen Hurts clears concussion protocol and returns under center to lead the team into the postseason.
From RotoBaller
New York Jets kicker Greg Zuerlein did not attempt any field goals or extra points in a 40-14 loss to the Buffalo Bills in Week 17. Zuerlein, who was activated from injured reserve earlier in the week after missing some time with a knee injury, stood by as the Jets attempted two-point conversions following their two touchdowns in the blowout loss. He will look for more work in the regular-season finale against the Miami Dolphins in Week 18.
From RotoBaller
Carolina Panthers running back Mike Boone rushed for 11 yards on two carries during Sunday's Week 17 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He was also targeted twice in the passing game but was not able to catch a pass. Boone was promoted to the No. 2 running back role after Carolina placed Chuba Hubbard (calf, knee) on injured reserve, but it didn't have much bearing on the 29-year-old's fantasy football contributions. He operated behind Raheem Blackshear, who was also relatively unproductive with just eight carries and 20 rushing yards. It's possible that Blackshear and Boone earn increased carries against the Atlanta Falcons in Week 18, but it's too risky to trust either player in fantasy football going forward.
From RotoBaller