Fri May 31 10:52am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Lamb could top last season
Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the receiver position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to receivers last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the receivers with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the receivers that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.
WR SOS | ||
1. | Denver Broncos | 531.34 |
2. | Los Angeles Chargers | 536.08 |
3. | Miami Dolphins | 537.31 |
4. | Kansas City Chiefs | 549.96 |
5. | Las Vegas Raiders | 552.89 |
6. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 554.85 |
7. | New England Patriots | 555.93 |
8. | Buffalo Bills | 556.13 |
9. | Houston Texans | 561.75 |
10. | San Francisco 49ers | 565.73 |
11. | New Orleans Saints | 566.06 |
12. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 566.19 |
13. | Cincinnati Bengals | 566.32 |
14. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 570.07 |
15. | Baltimore Ravens | 571.77 |
16. | Seattle Seahawks | 573.41 |
17. | Minnesota Vikings | 573.91 |
18. | Philadelphia Eagles | 574.46 |
19. | Carolina Panthers | 575.49 |
20. | Los Angeles Rams | 575.79 |
21. | Washington Commanders | 575.91 |
22. | Detroit Lions | 576.36 |
23. | Atlanta Falcons | 577.76 |
24. | New York Jets | 577.99 |
25. | Tennessee Titans | 578.06 |
26. | Indianapolis Colts | 578.18 |
27. | Cleveland Browns | 583.5 |
28. | Arizona Cardinals | 586.09 |
29. | New York Giants | 586.93 |
30. | Chicago Bears | 601.21 |
31. | Dallas Cowboys | 608.4 |
32. | Green Bay Packers | 610.22 |
The Packers have the easiest fantasy schedule for receivers. Jayden Reed and Christian Watson could be setup for career best seasons with this schedule. These are guys you can get a little later come draft day and mid-round options that could be difference makers for fantasy owners.
CeeDee Lamb is considered the No. 1 overall fantasy receiver for many and his schedule helps make that claim even stronger. Lamb has the second most favorable schedule for receivers. Lamb was huge last year and could improve on that even more, especially since the Cowboys could struggle to run the ball with their current options.
The Bears, Giants and Cardinals also round out the top-five most favorable receiver schedules. Chicago has a great trio of receivers with D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen and rookie Rome Odunze. These guys could produce big as long as rookie Caleb Williams gets the job done at quarterback in year one. Moore has more to compete with for targets this year, but you still have to like his chances for a big season in year two with the Bears.
The Giants and Cardinals both have some question marks at receiver, but a couple rookies lead the way for both teams. Malik Nabers and Marvin Harrison could have big rookie seasons with their new teams. These guys both have a chance to lead all rookie fantasy receivers in scoring.
On the opposite side of things, the Broncos have the most challenging schedule for receivers. The Broncos have all sorts of questions at receiver outside of Courtland Sutton. This is a unit of receivers you just might want to avoid come draft day. This schedule won’t make anything easier for this group.
The Chargers are a similar team to the Broncos, having openings and questions at receiver. So once again, it might be best to let someone else put Chargers receivers on their roster. Plus, the Chargers could be a lot more run heavy with a new coach running the show. The tough schedule and new offense make taking any Chargers receiver a bit of a risk.
There are two really good offenses on the list that have tough schedules for receivers. Both the Dolphins and Chiefs have a top-five least favorable schedule for receivers. The Dolphins have one of the best receiver duos in football, so it is tough to fade them because of this schedule. Both Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle should be able to produce big numbers once again in this offense.
The Chiefs are a little more concerning. This offense is a little matchup proof, but don’t have that elite receiver on their roster. Rashee Rice and Marquise Brown lead the way. Brown hasn’t been great in recent seasons and Rice is facing a suspension. These guys will carry some risk come draft day, especially after seeing this schedule.
Davante Adams is usually another star receiver that is matchup proof, but you have to wonder a little this year. He has some question marks at quarterback, which could hurt his production when you pair it with this schedule. Adams is dealing with the fifth toughest fantasy schedule for receivers.
We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy receivers. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the receivers with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.
WR PLAYOFF SOS | ||
1. | Los Angeles Rams | 501.93 |
2. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 515.53 |
3. | Kansas City Chiefs | 519.43 |
4. | New York Giants | 521.63 |
5. | Miami Dolphins | 532.77 |
6. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 534.53 |
7. | Houston Texans | 538 |
8. | Buffalo Bills | 540.87 |
9. | Las Vegas Raiders | 541.9 |
10. | Carolina Panthers | 549.33 |
11. | Cincinnati Bengals | 552.17 |
12. | Detroit Lions | 553.73 |
13. | Arizona Cardinals | 555.27 |
14. | Cleveland Browns | 555.4 |
15. | Minnesota Vikings | 560.93 |
16. | New England Patriots | 573.03 |
17. | Los Angeles Chargers | 573.1 |
18. | Tennessee Titans | 575.17 |
19. | Baltimore Ravens | 581.27 |
20. | Seattle Seahawks | 585.08 |
21. | New York Jets | 585.5 |
22. | Denver Broncos | 587.2 |
23. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 587.8 |
24. | Philadelphia Eagles | 589.73 |
25. | Green Bay Packers | 590.85 |
26. | Washington Commanders | 591.57 |
27. | New Orleans Saints | 604.13 |
28. | Dallas Cowboys | 609.73 |
29. | Indianapolis Colts | 614 |
30. | San Francisco 49ers | 641.53 |
31. | Atlanta Falcons | 644.93 |
32. | Chicago Bears | 647.98 |
The Bears and Cowboys are the teams that make both the top five easiest receiver schedules for both the regular season and playoffs. Chicago has the easiest for the entire playoffs. Once again, their top trio of receivers are looking pretty good come draft day.
Lamb continues to make his case to be the first receiver selected come draft day. He could have a monster season and finish strong as well with the fifth easiest schedule for the playoffs. Lamb might be the most surefire first-round pick come draft day.
The Falcons, 49ers and Colts also have a top-five favorable playoff schedule for receivers. Atlanta receivers were looking up to begin with, getting a legit quarterback throwing them passes this year. And this schedule makes their options look even better, especially Drake London. He could have a breakout season.
San Francisco has great options at receiver in Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel. They are pretty safe picks come draft day. And they get a very favorable playoff schedule that could make them even more appealing to fantasy owners. These guys both have really solid floors come draft day in this offense.
Michael Pittman keeps getting it done as the No. 1 option for the Colts. If Anthony Richardson can become that true No. 1 at quarterback for Indy, Pittman would look even better. Pittman has produced in recent year despite having some quarterback issues. His game could go to a higher level this year if Richardson breaks out. Pittman could be a league winner if everything breaks his way in 2024.
The Chiefs and Dolphins are two of the best offenses in football but also the only two teams to make the top five most unfavorable receiver schedules for both the regular season and playoffs. This is a tad concerning for both teams, Again, it is tough to bet against Hill, but maybe you drop him down your rankings just few spots behind the other elite guys because of this. You hate to use an early round pick on a receiver to see him maybe not produce what he should come playoff time.
And as mentioned with the Chiefs, their top two receivers already face a few question marks, so maybe their tough schedules make them players to let someone else draft. Both Brown and Rice could be a little erratic.
The Rams actually have the toughest playoff schedule for receivers. They are another team with two of the best receivers in football. It is tough to bet against either Puka Nacua or Cooper Kupp, but the playoff schedule is a little scary, especially for Kupp. He seems to be trending down at this stage of his career.
The Jaguars and Giants are the two other teams with a top-five unfavorable fantasy schedule for the playoffs. The Jags have Christian Kirk and Gabriel Davis as their top two receivers. Kirk is normally pretty steady but Davis can be boom or bust. Seeing his playoff schedule should bump him down a few spots in your rankings. It could be more of the same for Davis with his new team.
And the Giants are an outlier here, having an easy schedule for receivers during the regular season but the fourth toughest for the playoffs. This makes it tough come draft day. Their receivers could be good values for the regular season but disappoint when it counts. You do have to just make the playoffs, though, so we aren’t sure we shy away from Giant receivers just because of their tough playoff schedule. You still might be able to get good value with their options that help you win during the season.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
RTSports Super Bowl Preview
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Dynasty | Joe Burrow was named the NFL's Comeback player of the Year. Dynasty Analysis: Burrow returned from various injuries last year to lead the league in passing yards (4,918) and passing touchdowns (43) and finished third in Total QBR (74.7). You could say he had a good year. With Ja'Marr Chase likely around for the long-term. Burrow is about as good as you can get at quarterback in dynasty leagues at the moment. He should be an elite-level QB1 for many years to come and his ADP could climb this off-season.
Dynasty | Saquon Barkley was named the league's Offensive Player of the Year. Dynasty Analysis: After signing as a free agent, Barkley became just the ninth player to reach 2,000 rushing yards and finished just 100 yards shy of Eric Dickerson's single-season rushing record (2,105). He also had seven 60-plus-yard touchdown runs, the most in a single season. In a word, Barkley was dominant this year for Philly. His ADP has risen this season and he could simply the best "short-term" buy in all of dynasty leagues as he could put up two or three more seasons like this one.
Dynasty | Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels was the NFL's Offensive Rookie of the Year. Dynasty Analysis: This was a no-brainer in the land of no-brainers. Daniels became only the sixth rookie quarterback to lead his team to a conference championship game and had the league's best win (at Detroit) in the process. He also rushed for more yards (891) than any other rookie quarterback in history and threw for a whopping 3,568 passing yards. and 25 touchdowns, becoming the league's fourth best passer in terms of total QBR. In short, he was a stud. He'll be a top-flight QB1 for years to come.
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According to Jeremy Fowler of ESPN, defensive back Paulson Adebo (leg) could draw significant interest on the free agent market. Fowler noted that several teams view him as a "top-three" cornerback option in the free-agent class. The 25-year-old suffered a broken femur in October but is expected to be ready for training camp. Before the injury, Adebo tallied 52 tackles (43 solo) with nine assists, 10 deflections, and three interceptions in seven games. He was deployed as a starter in the New Orleans secondary. In 2023, Adebo tallied 76 tackles with 18 deflections and four interceptions. Fantasy managers should continue to monitor the former third-round selection's status during the offseason, as he could be in store for a pay increase. If he were to leave New Orleans, Kool-Aid McKinstry would open the 2025 season as the No. 1 cornerback.
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According to Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com, wide receiver Tutu Atwell is unlikely to return to the Los Angeles Rams for the 2025 season. Atwell will hit the free-agent market but is not expected to pursue a reunion with the Rams. During his four-year tenure in Los Angeles, Atwell was typically deployed as a rotational piece in the wide receiver room. This past season, he set a career-high in yards (562) but did not find the back of the end zone. Atwell played in just under 40% of the team's offensive snaps and saw two or fewer targets in 10 of his games. The Rams could have a new wide receiver room in 2025 as the team is expected to pursue a trade for Cooper Kupp, and No. 3 wide receiver Demarcus Robinson will be a free agent. Atwell will likely find a new suitor and be deployed as a No. 3/No. 4 option that carries little fantasy value. If Atwell were to leave Los Angeles, Jordan Whittington and Tyler Johnson could have an increased role during the 2025 season.
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According to Sara Barshop of ESPN.com, free-agent wide receiver Demarcus Robinson could return to the Rams for the 2025 season. Barshop noted that Robinson would provide the Rams with a depth option in the wide receiver room that is familiar with the playbook. In addition, with the team exploring potential trade partners for Cooper Kupp, Robinson would be a stable option in their starting lineup. This past season, Robinson found the back of the end zone seven times, which set a career-high. He caught 31 passes for 505 yards. While the 30-year-old opened the season as the No. 3 option behind Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp, both wideouts missed during the season, which opened up targets for Robinson for several weeks. If Robinson re-signs in Los Angeles, fantasy managers should expect him to return to a similar role and be a viable option in deeper formats.
From RotoBaller
ESPN's Dan Graziano expects the Washington Commanders to be aggressive this offseason in pursuing upgrades on defense after they were able to reach the NFC Championship with rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels. The Commanders know they have something special in Daniels and want to maximize his rookie-contract window. If the Cleveland Browns decide to trade disgruntled All-Pro pass-rusher Myles Garrett eventually, the Commanders are one team that could go all out to acquire him. If it's not Garrett, the Commanders will still likely go after an impact player or two this offseason as they look to improve their defense, which was a weakness in 2024 -- Washington's defense ranked 19th in defensive EPA this year.
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ESPN's Dan Graziano writes that Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen, who won the 2024 NFL Most Valuable Player award, could be looking for a new contract in the near future. He's scheduled to average around $32 million per year over the four remaining years on his current deal and just made $14.5 million this past season. The problem for Allen is that with four years still left on his current contract, the Bills are unlikely to be in any kind of rush to extend him. However, Graziano suggests the Bills could find some ways to adjust Allen's deal to bring him more in line with the QB market, much like the Kansas City Chiefs have done with superstar QB Patrick Mahomes since he signed his big deal in 2020. Despite falling short of the 4,000-yard passing mark for the first time since 2019, Allen threw 28 touchdowns and a career-low six picks and has 27 rushing TDs the last two years to finish as a top-five fantasy QB.
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Pittsburgh Steelers impending free-agent quarterback Russell Wilson has been connected to the New York Giants by a few people during Super Bowl week, according to ESPN's Jeremy Fowler. Wilson visited with the Giants in free agency last year before joining the Steelers, and the Giants could be on his radar once again in 2025. Ex-Steelers players told Fowler this week that some people in Pittsburgh's building prefer Justin Fields (also a free agent) over Wilson due to his age and mobility. However, head coach Mike Tomlin's loyalty to Wilson means something, and Fields could price himself out of Pittsburgh's range if his market is strong this offseason. Although Wilson enjoyed Pittsburgh, he's taking a wait-and-see approach to free agency and has also been connected to the Las Vegas Raiders, who recently hired his ex-Seahawks head coach in Pete Carroll.
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NFL executives believe Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp will have a solid trade market this offseason because he's quarterback-friendly, makes contested catches and is an extremely hard worker. There are questions about the 31-year-old's lower-body injuries, but he did manage 67 receptions for 710 yards and six touchdowns while missing five games in 2024. The Rams might have to eat some of the $20 million Kupp is due in 2025 to facilitate a trade, but ESPN's Jeremy Fowler mentions the New England Patriots, Pittsburgh Steelers, Detroit Lions, Washington Commanders and Kansas City Chiefs as a few teams that could be interested. An AFC executive said the Pats would be "foolish" not to look at Kupp, while the Steelers were already interested in Kupp at last year's trade deadline. All but $5 million of his $20 million salary in 2025 is guaranteed in the form of a roster bonus.
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ESPN's Dan Graziano has talked with multiple people who believe that the Tennessee Titans could trade out of the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 NFL draft and look for their next quarterback elsewhere. It could mean that the Titans give former second-rounder Will Levis another shot in 2025, or they could add a free-agent option such as Sam Darnold or Justin Fields. If the Titans aren't absolutely sold on one of the top QBs in this year's class, they could be better off seeing what other teams will offer while focusing on other extensive needs on their roster first. And if they trade back to somewhere between picks No. 2-7, they could still land a cornerstone player and be in a position to address their QB need in next year's draft. If the Titans don't trade out of the No. 1 spot, most folks believe they will be taking either Miami QB Cam Ward or Colorado QB Shedeur Sanders.
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Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford is expected to return for another season in 2025, but ESPN's Dan Graziano writes that the Rams will likely need to restructure Stafford's contract again. His current salary cap hit for 2025 is around $50 million, so the Rams will likely convert his salary into bonuses again to lower the cap hit and move Stafford's 2025 compensation into the range of a good starting QB. Although Stafford is now 37 and strictly a pocket passer, he ranked 12th in QBR (64.7) in 2024 and can still pick apart defenses with his strong arm. From all accounts, he appeared to be happy with the direction of the team, and multiple sources with the team don't believe drastic changes are coming this offseason. If the Rams do entertain trading Stafford, he'll be one of the most coveted signal-callers available.
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ESPN's Jeremy Fowler writes that New York Jets wide receiver Davante Adams is intrigued by a potential return to the West Coast and would be open to joining the Los Angeles Chargers or Los Angeles Rams if he gets released this offseason. Fowler also puts the San Francisco 49ers in the conversation, as Adams grew up in Northern California. The Jets are going to need to address Adams' situation, as his $38.3 million salary cap hit is untenable. The three-time All-Pro wideout had 854 receiving yards and seven touchdowns in 11 games after the Jets acquired him from the Las Vegas Raiders last year, but his addition failed to turn the Jets offense around as a whole, and quarterback Aaron Rodgers may not play out his contract in New York. Adams still managed his fifth straight 1,000-yard season and would be an intriguing addition for the Chargers, Rams or 49ers.
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Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley enters the Super Bowl against the Kansas City Chiefs amid a historic postseason run. He has racked up 344 yards on outside runs in the playoffs, averaging an incredible 9.3 yards per carry. However, he now faces a Chiefs defense that has not allowed a 100-yard rusher this season, and in 18 consecutive playoff games. Barkley's usage remains elite, as the Eagles run the ball more than any other team in early downs and inside the red zone. While Kansas City will key in on stopping him, Philadelphia's dominant offensive line should create opportunities. The Chiefs may force Jalen Hurts to beat them, but Barkley's explosiveness and ability to break tackles make him a serious threat if given enough volume.
From RotoBaller
Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown takes on the Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl, hoping to build on his strong NFC Championship performance. Brown has had a volatile season due to the Eagles' run-heavy approach, but when they pass, he dominates targets. He leads all receivers in air yard share (52%) and holds a 34% target share, ranking second in the league. When the Eagles have thrown 25+ times this season, Brown has thrived, averaging 10 targets for 100 yards. Against a Chiefs defense that will likely key in on Saquon Barkley, Philadelphia may need to air it out, giving Brown a prime opportunity to shine. Expect a more balance offensive attack, making Brown a crucial factor in this matchup.
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Philadelphia Eagles kicker Jake Elliott will need to be at his best against the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LVIII, but recent struggles raise concerns. Elliott finished the regular season with a solid 28-of-36 mark on field goals and nearly perfect PAT accuracy (47-of-48). However, his issues from long range were evident, going just 1-of-7 on attempts from 50+ yards. His postseason performance has been mixed, making six of seven field goals but missing three extra pointsan uncharacteristic trend that could be costly in a close game. Given how tight Super Bowl matchups can be, every point matters. If the game comes down to a clutch kick, the Eagles will need Elliott to shake off his recent inconsistencies.
From RotoBaller