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FFL: Week 10 | NFL: Week 10

WR Strength of Schedule

Fri May 31 10:52am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

Lamb could top last season


Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the receiver position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to receivers last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the receivers with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the receivers that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.

  WR SOS  
1. Denver Broncos 531.34
2. Los Angeles Chargers 536.08
3. Miami Dolphins 537.31
4. Kansas City Chiefs 549.96
5. Las Vegas Raiders 552.89
6. Pittsburgh Steelers 554.85
7. New England Patriots 555.93
8. Buffalo Bills 556.13
9. Houston Texans 561.75
10. San Francisco 49ers 565.73
11. New Orleans Saints 566.06
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 566.19
13. Cincinnati Bengals 566.32
14. Jacksonville Jaguars 570.07
15. Baltimore Ravens 571.77
16. Seattle Seahawks 573.41
17. Minnesota Vikings 573.91
18. Philadelphia Eagles 574.46
19. Carolina Panthers 575.49
20. Los Angeles Rams 575.79
21. Washington Commanders 575.91
22. Detroit Lions 576.36
23. Atlanta Falcons 577.76
24. New York Jets 577.99
25. Tennessee Titans 578.06
26. Indianapolis Colts 578.18
27. Cleveland Browns 583.5
28. Arizona Cardinals 586.09
29. New York Giants 586.93
30. Chicago Bears 601.21
31. Dallas Cowboys 608.4
32. Green Bay Packers 610.22

 

The Packers have the easiest fantasy schedule for receivers. Jayden Reed and Christian Watson could be setup for career best seasons with this schedule. These are guys you can get a little later come draft day and mid-round options that could be difference makers for fantasy owners.

CeeDee Lamb is considered the No. 1 overall fantasy receiver for many and his schedule helps make that claim even stronger. Lamb has the second most favorable schedule for receivers. Lamb was huge last year and could improve on that even more, especially since the Cowboys could struggle to run the ball with their current options.

The Bears, Giants and Cardinals also round out the top-five most favorable receiver schedules. Chicago has a great trio of receivers with D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen and rookie Rome Odunze.  These guys could produce big as long as rookie Caleb Williams gets the job done at quarterback in year one. Moore has more to compete with for targets this year, but you still have to like his chances for a big season in year two with the Bears.

The Giants and Cardinals both have some question marks at receiver, but a couple rookies lead the way for both teams. Malik Nabers and Marvin Harrison could have big rookie seasons with their new teams. These guys both have a chance to lead all rookie fantasy receivers in scoring.

On the opposite side of things, the Broncos have the most challenging schedule for receivers. The Broncos have all sorts of questions at receiver outside of Courtland Sutton. This is a unit of receivers you just might want to avoid come draft day. This schedule won’t make anything easier for this group.

The Chargers are a similar team to the Broncos, having openings and questions at receiver. So once again, it might be best to let someone else put Chargers receivers on their roster. Plus, the Chargers could be a lot more run heavy with a new coach running the show. The tough schedule and new offense make taking any Chargers receiver a bit of a risk.

There are two really good offenses on the list that have tough schedules for receivers. Both the Dolphins and Chiefs have a top-five least favorable schedule for receivers. The Dolphins have one of the best receiver duos in football, so it is tough to fade them because of this schedule. Both Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle should be able to produce big numbers once again in this offense.

The Chiefs are a little more concerning. This offense is a little matchup proof, but don’t have that elite receiver on their roster. Rashee Rice and Marquise Brown lead the way. Brown hasn’t been great in recent seasons and Rice is facing a suspension. These guys will carry some risk come draft day, especially after seeing this schedule.

Davante Adams is usually another star receiver that is matchup proof, but you have to wonder a little this year. He has some question marks at quarterback, which could hurt his production when you pair it with this schedule. Adams is dealing with the fifth toughest fantasy schedule for receivers.

We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy receivers. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the receivers with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.

  WR PLAYOFF SOS  
1. Los Angeles Rams 501.93
2. Jacksonville Jaguars 515.53
3. Kansas City Chiefs 519.43
4. New York Giants 521.63
5. Miami Dolphins 532.77
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 534.53
7. Houston Texans 538
8. Buffalo Bills 540.87
9. Las Vegas Raiders 541.9
10. Carolina Panthers 549.33
11. Cincinnati Bengals 552.17
12. Detroit Lions 553.73
13. Arizona Cardinals 555.27
14. Cleveland Browns 555.4
15. Minnesota Vikings 560.93
16. New England Patriots 573.03
17. Los Angeles Chargers 573.1
18. Tennessee Titans 575.17
19. Baltimore Ravens 581.27
20. Seattle Seahawks 585.08
21. New York Jets 585.5
22. Denver Broncos 587.2
23. Pittsburgh Steelers 587.8
24. Philadelphia Eagles 589.73
25. Green Bay Packers 590.85
26. Washington Commanders 591.57
27. New Orleans Saints 604.13
28. Dallas Cowboys 609.73
29. Indianapolis Colts 614
30. San Francisco 49ers 641.53
31. Atlanta Falcons 644.93
32. Chicago Bears 647.98

 

The Bears and Cowboys are the teams that make both the top five easiest receiver schedules for both the regular season and playoffs. Chicago has the easiest for the entire playoffs. Once again, their top trio of receivers are looking pretty good come draft day.

Lamb continues to make his case to be the first receiver selected come draft day. He could have a monster season and finish strong as well with the fifth easiest schedule for the playoffs. Lamb might be the most surefire first-round pick come draft day.

The Falcons, 49ers and Colts also have a top-five favorable playoff schedule for receivers. Atlanta receivers were looking up to begin with, getting a legit quarterback throwing them passes this year. And this schedule makes their options look even better, especially Drake London. He could have a breakout season.

San Francisco has great options at receiver in Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel. They are pretty safe picks come draft day. And they get a very favorable playoff schedule that could make them even more appealing to fantasy owners. These guys both have really solid floors come draft day in this offense.

Michael Pittman keeps getting it done as the No. 1 option for the Colts. If Anthony Richardson can become that true No. 1 at quarterback for Indy, Pittman would look even better. Pittman has produced in recent year despite having some quarterback issues. His game could go to a higher level this year if Richardson breaks out. Pittman could be a league winner if everything breaks his way in 2024.

The Chiefs and Dolphins are two of the best offenses in football but also the only two teams to make the top five most unfavorable receiver schedules for both the regular season and playoffs. This is a tad concerning for both teams, Again, it is tough to bet against Hill, but maybe you drop him down your rankings just few spots behind the other elite guys because of this. You hate to use an early round pick on a receiver to see him maybe not produce what he should come playoff time.

And as mentioned with the Chiefs, their top two receivers already face a few question marks, so maybe their tough schedules make them players to let someone else draft. Both Brown and Rice could be a little erratic.

The Rams actually have the toughest playoff schedule for receivers. They are another team with two of the best receivers in football. It is tough to bet against either Puka Nacua or Cooper Kupp, but the playoff schedule is a little scary, especially for Kupp. He seems to be trending down at this stage of his career.

The Jaguars and Giants are the two other teams with a top-five unfavorable fantasy schedule for the playoffs. The Jags have Christian Kirk and Gabriel Davis as their top two receivers. Kirk is normally pretty steady but Davis can be boom or bust. Seeing his playoff schedule should bump him down a few spots in your rankings. It could be more of the same for Davis with his new team.

And the Giants are an outlier here, having an easy schedule for receivers during the regular season but the fourth toughest for the playoffs. This makes it tough come draft day. Their receivers could be good values for the regular season but disappoint when it counts. You do have to just make the playoffs, though, so we aren’t sure we shy away from Giant receivers just because of their tough playoff schedule. You still might be able to get good value with their options that help you win during the season.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Hot Plays, Fades and Sleepers: Week 10

Player Notes
Matthew Stafford Nov 9 2:50pm ET
Matthew Stafford

Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford could have another successful fantasy outing despite the difficult matchup in Week 10. With both of his top wideouts, Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua back in action, Stafford has averaged an impressive 26.3 PPR points over the past two weeks. In this span, Stafford has thrown at least two passing scores in each game and averaged 288.5 yards per game. On Monday, Stafford will face a tough Miami defense who has allowed the fewest points to opposing QBs this season. However, despite the unappealing matchup, his two star wideouts will provide Stafford with enough upside to consider him a low-end QB1 in all formats.

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Leonard Taylor III Nov 9 2:40pm ET
Leonard Taylor III

New York Jets defensive lineman Solomon Thomas (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's contest against the Arizona Cardinals, according to Adam Schefter of ESPN. Thomas sustained his knee injury during last Thursday's victory over the Houston Texans and was unable to participate in any team practices this week. Thomas will now set his sights on returning in Week 11 to face the Indianapolis Colts. This season, the 29-year-old has tallied 2.5 sacks and 16 tackles (eight solo) with one pass deflection. Fantasy managers should expect Will McDonald, Quinnen Williams, Javon Kinlaw, and Michael Clemons to see the majority of the snaps on the defensive line with Hasson Reddick and Leonard Taylor III rotating in.

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Tank Dell Nov 9 2:30pm ET
Tank Dell

Houston Texans wide receiver Tank Dell (back) is listed as questionable but is expected to suit up on Sunday evening to face the Detroit Lions, according to Aaron Wilson of KPRC2. Dell popped up on the injury report on Friday and was listed as a limited participant. However, given this report, fantasy managers should not be overly concerned with his availability over the weekend. Last week, Dell operated as the top wideout with Nico Collins (hamstring) still sidelined and Stefon Diggs (knee) out with a torn ACL. In that game, Dell brought in a season-high 126 yards off six receptions. Collins is also listed as questionable, but if Dell is able to play, he should be viewed as a solid WR2 given the matchup against the Lions, who have allowed the third-most PPR points to opposing wideouts.

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Tyreek Hill Nov 9 2:20pm ET
Tyreek Hill

Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill (wrist) remains in uncertain status for Monday's game against the Los Angeles Rams. According to Cameron Wolfe of the NFL Network Hill is dealing with a wrist injury that is "heating up." Head coach Mike McDaniel also noted that he will play "if his body lets him." Fantasy managers should continue to monitor his status throughout the weekend as he will likely carry an injury designation for Monday's game. After struggling through most of October without Tua Tagovailoa at quarterback, Hill has gone to eclipse double-digit PPR points in each of the past two games. If Hill is able to suit up, fantasy managers should view him as a high-end WR1. If not, Jaylen Waddle would see the majority of targets and be viewed as a high-end WR2.

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D'Wayne Eskridge Nov 9 2:10pm ET
D'Wayne Eskridge

Miami Dolphins wide receiver Dee Eskridge (personal) will not travel with the team and has been ruled out for Monday's contest against the Los Angeles Rams. Eskridge did not participate in practice on Thursday due to a personal matter and will now set his sights on returning in Week 11 to face the Las Vegas Raiders. Eskridge has been operating as a depth option in the Miami wide receiver room and caught just one pass over the past two weeks. In addition, Tyreek Hill's (wrist) status is also up in the air for Monday's game. This could potentially leave Jaylen Waddle and Odell Beckham Jr. as the lone wideouts for Miami on Monday.

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George Kittle Nov 9 2:10pm ET
George Kittle

San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle will take on the Buccaneers in Tampa for the team's Week 10 contest on Sunday. In Week 8 against Dallas, Kittle had a week-winning game, catching six of seven targets for 128 yards and a touchdown. The book on Kittle in fantasy has been boom/bust for years, but in 2024 it's been all boom. After a six-point game in Week 1, Kittle has outperformed projections in each subsequent game. He is now averaging 15.2 half-PPR points per game, while the second-ranked TE Brock Bowers sits at 11.2 PPG. It remains to be seen what the effect of an active Christian McCaffrey (Achilles) will be on Kittle's target share, but even if he takes a slight hit, he'll remain an elite option at an otherwise frustrating position. The Bucs present an excellent opportunity to keep the good times rolling, having allowed the third-most TE fantasy points this year. Unsurprisingly, Kittle is projected as the overall TE1 coming into Week 10.

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Cooper Kupp Nov 9 1:40pm ET
Cooper Kupp

Miami Dolphins safety Jevon Holland (hand, knee) is optimistic that he will be able to play on Monday Night Football in Week 10 against the Los Angeles Rams, according to head coach Mike McDaniel. While Holland is hoping to be able to play, he said on Friday that he'll be a game-time decision on Monday. The 24-year-old defensive back injured his knee in the Week 8 loss to the Arizona Cardinals and was not active for last week's loss to the division-rival Buffalo Bills. After missing practice on Thursday this week, Holland put in a limited session on Friday, giving him a chance to return on Monday. The Dolphins defense could surely use Holland back on the field against a high-octane Rams passing attack that has both receivers Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua back. In six games this year, Holland has 26 tackles (18 solo), two pass breakups and a forced fumble.

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Laquon Treadwell Nov 9 1:30pm ET
Laquon Treadwell

The Indianapolis Colts elevated wide receiver Laquon Treadwell from the practice squad to the active roster for Sunday's game against the Buffalo Bills after the team ruled out Michael Pittman Jr. (back) for Week 10. It will be the first week that Treadwell has been active for the Colts in 2024, and he'll be unlikely to make any noise in fantasy as receiver depth for Indy. With Pittman inactive, Josh Downs should serve as quarterback Joe Flacco's favorite target, with Alec Pierce and rookie Adonai Mitchell also seeing more opportunities. Treadwell, 29, only played in five games last year with the Baltimore Ravens and caught just one of three targets for a 16-yard gain. The previous year he caught six of 10 targets for 42 scoreless yards in six contests with the Seattle Seahawks.

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Tua Tagovailoa Nov 9 1:20pm ET
Tua Tagovailoa

Miami Dolphins right tackle Austin Jackson (knee) will not play in the Monday night game against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 10. Head coach Mike McDaniel said Jackson popped up with a knee injury after the Week 9 loss to the division-rival Buffalo Bills. It's unknown if Jackson will need surgery, but thankfully his injury doesn't appear to be season-ending. With Jackson sidelined on Monday, veteran Kendall Lamm and rookie Patrick Paul are both options to replace him on the right side of the offensive line against the Rams. Miami comes into Week 10 action riding a three-game losing streak despite quarterback Tua Tagovailoa back in the starting role under center the last two weeks. The Dolphins currently sit at 2-6 and are 2.5 games behind the Denver Broncos for the seventh seed in the AFC.

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Christian McCaffrey Nov 9 1:20pm ET
Christian McCaffrey

San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey (Achilles), who is listed as questionable to play in Week 10 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, said he feels great and is ready to make his 2024 debut on Sunday. McCaffrey missed the first eight games with bilateral Achilles tendonitis but completed his first full week of practice and will be activated from Injured Reserve on Saturday. CMC also dealt with a calf strain in early August and missed most of training camp in the summer. Now that the reigning Offensive Player of the Year is back, fantasy managers want to know how effective he'll be against Tampa and how much work he'll get. While McCaffrey should operate as San Fran's lead back on Sunday, he'll more than likely have his workload monitored, which will make him a more risky RB1. Jordan Mason will now lose most of his fantasy value as he reverts to a backup role.

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Dak Prescott Nov 9 1:10pm ET
Dak Prescott

Although the move isn't yet official, the Dallas Cowboys will put quarterback Dak Prescott (hamstring) on Injured Reserve, which means he'll be required to miss at least the next four games, according to executive vice president Stephen Jones. Multiple sources said Prescott is expected to need six to eight weeks of recovery for the partial avulsion of his hamstring that he suffered in the Week 9 loss to the Falcons. If he need surgery, Prescott would miss the rest of the regular season. If he doesn't have surgery and recovers quickly, Prescott would be eligible to return on Dec. 9 against the Bengals in Week 14. However, the prevailing sentiment is that Prescott will likely need more time than that to recover. It's a huge blow to the already disappointing 3-5 Cowboys. Their offense will now be led by backup QB Cooper Rush, who will be no better than a low-end QB2 in superflex fantasy leagues moving forward.

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Tyreek Hill Nov 9 1:10pm ET
Tyreek Hill

Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill (wrist) is "doing everything possible" in order to play on Monday night against the Los Angeles Rams after he was added to the Week 10 injury report after missing practice on Friday, according to head coach Mike McDaniel. The head coach said Hill's wrist injury has been "heating up," and the team wants to give it a chance to "cool down." Miami is taking things day-to-day with Hill, who sounds likely to get a questionable tag on Saturday's final injury report. For what it's worth, McDaniel is optimistic Hill will be able to play. The Cheetah leads all Dolphins players with 446 receiving yards in 2024, but he has just one TD and it's his worst statistical start since coming to Miami in 2022. The good news is he has averaged 76 yards in the last two games with quarterback Tua Tagovailoa back. If Hill can't play, it will put Jaylen Waddle in the No. 1 role against LA.

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Patrick Mahomes Nov 9 12:30pm ET
Patrick Mahomes

The Denver Broncos defense/special teams unit is tied for third in the league with the Chicago Bears in overall fantasy points, but they represent a shaky fantasy option as they head into a tough Week 10 matchup against the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes. While KC's offense hasn't been as explosive as in years past, they are definitely more dangerous now after trading for receiver DeAndre Hopkins. And while Denver's D has been one of the stingier units in 2024 -- they're allowing the third-fewest points per game (17.9) -- the Ravens proved last week that they can still be dominated. The Chiefs offense hasn't been perfect with 12 giveaways on the season, but they also haven't been an ideal matchup for opposing defenses, allowing only 5.0 fantasy points per game. There just isn't a ton of upside for Denver's D/ST on the road against the defending Super Bowl champs.

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Devaughn Vele Nov 9 12:20pm ET
Devaughn Vele

Denver Broncos rookie wide receiver Devaughn Vele probably isn't going to break out in the team's Week 10 matchup on the road against the division-rival Kansas City Chiefs, a defense that has allowed the eighth-fewest half-PPR fantasy points to opposing receivers this year. The seventh-round pick out of Utah has some intriguing long-term upside working with quarterback Bo Nix in Denver, but he's just not anywhere near the fantasy radar in single-year leagues. In just five games played in his first year in the NFL, Vele has 18 catches on 23 targets for 176 yards and no touchdowns. Courtland Sutton, the clear WR1 in Denver, is really the only fantasy relevant receiver that the Broncos have to offer in 2024. Even with Josh Reynolds (finger) on Injured Reserve, Vele just hasn't managed to stand out while competing for targets with Lil'Jordan Humphrey and fellow rookie Troy Franklin.

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Wil Lutz Nov 9 12:20pm ET
Wil Lutz

Fantasy managers should be able to find more reliable kicking options in Week 10 than Denver Broncos kicker Wil Lutz, who has been disappointing each of the last two weeks. Lutz checks in as the No. 7 kicker in overall fantasy points entering a Week 10 showdown against the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs, but he's managed just one field goal and five extra points in Weeks 8 and 9 against the Carolina Panthers and Baltimore Ravens, respectively. The 30-year-old has been one of the most accurate in the league, missing just one of his 19 field-goal attempts on the year while making all 17 of his extra points, but volume may be hard to come by on Sunday in a hostile environment against a KC defense that has allowed just 18.4 points per game, fourth-fewest in the NFL. Lutz has been money when given opportunities in 2024, but there's minimal fantasy upside for him this weekend.

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Lil'Jordan Humphrey Nov 9 12:10pm ET
Lil'Jordan Humphrey

Denver Broncos wide receiver Lil'Jordan Humphrey simply cannot be trusted in fantasy for a Week 10 divisional matchup this Sunday on the road against the 9-0 Kansas City Chiefs. Humphrey ranks third on the Broncos in targets (32), receptions (21) and receiving yards (188), but the lack of production speaks for itself, and he has yet to get into the end zone in nine games played. The 26-year-old does have some impressive yards-after-the-catch skills, but he's only gone over four catches in a game once this year and still has yet to eclipse 50 yards in a game. Denver's offense could struggle to move the ball for the second straight week against a Chiefs defense that has allowed the eighth-fewest half-PPR points to opposing pass-catchers this season. There's no reason for Humphrey to be rostered in 12-team fantasy leagues.

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Cam Little Nov 9 12:00pm ET
Cam Little

Jacksonville Jaguars kicker Cam Little isn't a great option this week in fantasy against the Minnesota Vikings. The Jaguars are dealing with a lot of injuries on offense, including quarterback Trevor Lawrence, who seems likely to be replaced by Mac Jones. With the offense's upside lower than usual, the already mid-tier fantasy kicker is even worse of a fantasy option than he has been this season. To top it all off, the Vikings defense has been one of the best defenses in fantasy against kickers. If all of the banged up receiving options, such as Brian Thomas Jr. and Gabe Davis, are healthy, he could have a decent day, but the upside for fantasy points is extremely limited. Unless fantasy managers believe in Mac Jones, Little is best left out of lineups in Week 10.

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Parker Washington Nov 9 11:50am ET
Parker Washington

Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Parker Washington will be tasked with stepping up once again against the Minnesota Vikings. In Week 9, Washington had just three catches for 41 yards on six targets last week in relief of Christian Kirk and Gabe Davis. Brian Thomas Jr. was a game-time decision but played. Kirk is out for the rest of the season and Davis and Thomas Jr. are questionable once again, so Washington should have a similar role against the Minnesota Vikings. His main competition is tight end Evan Engram, the healthiest receiving option currently on the team. Washington will have to deal with Mac Jones potentially taking over for Trevor Lawrence as well this week due to an injury of his own, but the two did play together a bit during preseason. It's risky, but Washington is a potential deep league flex play once again in Week 10.

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Drake Maye Nov 9 11:00am ET
Drake Maye

The Chicago Bears' defense and special teams are looking to rebound in Week 10 as they face off against the New England Patriots. After a somewhat strong showing in Week 9, where they kept things competitive despite a tough loss to the Arizona Cardinals, the Bears now turn their attention to rookie quarterback Drake Maye. Maye has been impressed, managing a solid performance despite working with a below-average group of skill players. The Bears' defense will need to key in on Hunter Henry, his top weapon in the passing game if they hope to neutralize the Patriots' attack. Rhamondre Stevenson will be a key focus on the ground, especially after the Bears were gashed by the Cardinals' rushing attack last week. While the Bears' defense is still a startable fantasy option in Week 10, their floor is lower than expected, and fantasy managers should be cautious, given the potential for big plays from Stevenson and Henry. With Maye showing poise and the Patriots having some weapons, the Bears could be in for a more challenging outing than anticipated.

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Kyler Murray Nov 9 11:00am ET
Kyler Murray

The New York Jets defense/special teams will head on the road to take on the Arizona Cardinals in Week 10. New York's pass rush was a problem in a Week 9 win over the Houston Texans as they notched eight sacks in the win. They will look to keep it going against Kyler Murray and company this weekend. The Cardinals have been a tough matchup for fantasy defenses this season, however, as they are allowing the 12th-fewest fantasy points per game to the position thus far. The Jets settle in as a top-15 fantasy defense heading into Week 10.

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