Guest of the League
USFFL Est. 2015
FFL: Week 11 | NFL: Week 11

WR Strength of Schedule

Fri May 31 10:52am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

Lamb could top last season


Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the receiver position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to receivers last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the receivers with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the receivers that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.

  WR SOS  
1. Denver Broncos 531.34
2. Los Angeles Chargers 536.08
3. Miami Dolphins 537.31
4. Kansas City Chiefs 549.96
5. Las Vegas Raiders 552.89
6. Pittsburgh Steelers 554.85
7. New England Patriots 555.93
8. Buffalo Bills 556.13
9. Houston Texans 561.75
10. San Francisco 49ers 565.73
11. New Orleans Saints 566.06
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 566.19
13. Cincinnati Bengals 566.32
14. Jacksonville Jaguars 570.07
15. Baltimore Ravens 571.77
16. Seattle Seahawks 573.41
17. Minnesota Vikings 573.91
18. Philadelphia Eagles 574.46
19. Carolina Panthers 575.49
20. Los Angeles Rams 575.79
21. Washington Commanders 575.91
22. Detroit Lions 576.36
23. Atlanta Falcons 577.76
24. New York Jets 577.99
25. Tennessee Titans 578.06
26. Indianapolis Colts 578.18
27. Cleveland Browns 583.5
28. Arizona Cardinals 586.09
29. New York Giants 586.93
30. Chicago Bears 601.21
31. Dallas Cowboys 608.4
32. Green Bay Packers 610.22

 

The Packers have the easiest fantasy schedule for receivers. Jayden Reed and Christian Watson could be setup for career best seasons with this schedule. These are guys you can get a little later come draft day and mid-round options that could be difference makers for fantasy owners.

CeeDee Lamb is considered the No. 1 overall fantasy receiver for many and his schedule helps make that claim even stronger. Lamb has the second most favorable schedule for receivers. Lamb was huge last year and could improve on that even more, especially since the Cowboys could struggle to run the ball with their current options.

The Bears, Giants and Cardinals also round out the top-five most favorable receiver schedules. Chicago has a great trio of receivers with D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen and rookie Rome Odunze.  These guys could produce big as long as rookie Caleb Williams gets the job done at quarterback in year one. Moore has more to compete with for targets this year, but you still have to like his chances for a big season in year two with the Bears.

The Giants and Cardinals both have some question marks at receiver, but a couple rookies lead the way for both teams. Malik Nabers and Marvin Harrison could have big rookie seasons with their new teams. These guys both have a chance to lead all rookie fantasy receivers in scoring.

On the opposite side of things, the Broncos have the most challenging schedule for receivers. The Broncos have all sorts of questions at receiver outside of Courtland Sutton. This is a unit of receivers you just might want to avoid come draft day. This schedule won’t make anything easier for this group.

The Chargers are a similar team to the Broncos, having openings and questions at receiver. So once again, it might be best to let someone else put Chargers receivers on their roster. Plus, the Chargers could be a lot more run heavy with a new coach running the show. The tough schedule and new offense make taking any Chargers receiver a bit of a risk.

There are two really good offenses on the list that have tough schedules for receivers. Both the Dolphins and Chiefs have a top-five least favorable schedule for receivers. The Dolphins have one of the best receiver duos in football, so it is tough to fade them because of this schedule. Both Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle should be able to produce big numbers once again in this offense.

The Chiefs are a little more concerning. This offense is a little matchup proof, but don’t have that elite receiver on their roster. Rashee Rice and Marquise Brown lead the way. Brown hasn’t been great in recent seasons and Rice is facing a suspension. These guys will carry some risk come draft day, especially after seeing this schedule.

Davante Adams is usually another star receiver that is matchup proof, but you have to wonder a little this year. He has some question marks at quarterback, which could hurt his production when you pair it with this schedule. Adams is dealing with the fifth toughest fantasy schedule for receivers.

We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy receivers. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the receivers with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.

  WR PLAYOFF SOS  
1. Los Angeles Rams 501.93
2. Jacksonville Jaguars 515.53
3. Kansas City Chiefs 519.43
4. New York Giants 521.63
5. Miami Dolphins 532.77
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 534.53
7. Houston Texans 538
8. Buffalo Bills 540.87
9. Las Vegas Raiders 541.9
10. Carolina Panthers 549.33
11. Cincinnati Bengals 552.17
12. Detroit Lions 553.73
13. Arizona Cardinals 555.27
14. Cleveland Browns 555.4
15. Minnesota Vikings 560.93
16. New England Patriots 573.03
17. Los Angeles Chargers 573.1
18. Tennessee Titans 575.17
19. Baltimore Ravens 581.27
20. Seattle Seahawks 585.08
21. New York Jets 585.5
22. Denver Broncos 587.2
23. Pittsburgh Steelers 587.8
24. Philadelphia Eagles 589.73
25. Green Bay Packers 590.85
26. Washington Commanders 591.57
27. New Orleans Saints 604.13
28. Dallas Cowboys 609.73
29. Indianapolis Colts 614
30. San Francisco 49ers 641.53
31. Atlanta Falcons 644.93
32. Chicago Bears 647.98

 

The Bears and Cowboys are the teams that make both the top five easiest receiver schedules for both the regular season and playoffs. Chicago has the easiest for the entire playoffs. Once again, their top trio of receivers are looking pretty good come draft day.

Lamb continues to make his case to be the first receiver selected come draft day. He could have a monster season and finish strong as well with the fifth easiest schedule for the playoffs. Lamb might be the most surefire first-round pick come draft day.

The Falcons, 49ers and Colts also have a top-five favorable playoff schedule for receivers. Atlanta receivers were looking up to begin with, getting a legit quarterback throwing them passes this year. And this schedule makes their options look even better, especially Drake London. He could have a breakout season.

San Francisco has great options at receiver in Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel. They are pretty safe picks come draft day. And they get a very favorable playoff schedule that could make them even more appealing to fantasy owners. These guys both have really solid floors come draft day in this offense.

Michael Pittman keeps getting it done as the No. 1 option for the Colts. If Anthony Richardson can become that true No. 1 at quarterback for Indy, Pittman would look even better. Pittman has produced in recent year despite having some quarterback issues. His game could go to a higher level this year if Richardson breaks out. Pittman could be a league winner if everything breaks his way in 2024.

The Chiefs and Dolphins are two of the best offenses in football but also the only two teams to make the top five most unfavorable receiver schedules for both the regular season and playoffs. This is a tad concerning for both teams, Again, it is tough to bet against Hill, but maybe you drop him down your rankings just few spots behind the other elite guys because of this. You hate to use an early round pick on a receiver to see him maybe not produce what he should come playoff time.

And as mentioned with the Chiefs, their top two receivers already face a few question marks, so maybe their tough schedules make them players to let someone else draft. Both Brown and Rice could be a little erratic.

The Rams actually have the toughest playoff schedule for receivers. They are another team with two of the best receivers in football. It is tough to bet against either Puka Nacua or Cooper Kupp, but the playoff schedule is a little scary, especially for Kupp. He seems to be trending down at this stage of his career.

The Jaguars and Giants are the two other teams with a top-five unfavorable fantasy schedule for the playoffs. The Jags have Christian Kirk and Gabriel Davis as their top two receivers. Kirk is normally pretty steady but Davis can be boom or bust. Seeing his playoff schedule should bump him down a few spots in your rankings. It could be more of the same for Davis with his new team.

And the Giants are an outlier here, having an easy schedule for receivers during the regular season but the fourth toughest for the playoffs. This makes it tough come draft day. Their receivers could be good values for the regular season but disappoint when it counts. You do have to just make the playoffs, though, so we aren’t sure we shy away from Giant receivers just because of their tough playoff schedule. You still might be able to get good value with their options that help you win during the season.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

Top Headlines
The Paur Report

Hot Plays, Fades and Sleepers: Week 11

Player Notes
Austin Ekeler Nov 15 12:30am ET
Austin Ekeler

Washington Commanders running back Austin Ekeler rushed for just seven yards on two carries during Thursday's loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. He was much more heavily involved in the passing game, catching eight of his nine targets for an additional 89 yards through the air. The veteran running back was the Commanders' leading receiver as quarterback Jayden Daniels threw a heavy amount of short-range passes on Thursday night. The 29-year-old has posted at least 17 fantasy points (PPR) in each of his last three games and should be treated as a strong RB3 option going into Week 12 against the Dallas Cowboys.

From RotoBaller

Jayden Daniels Nov 15 12:30am ET
Jayden Daniels

Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels completed 22 of his 32 pass attempts for 191 yards, one touchdown, and one interception during Thursday's Week 11 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. He also took three sacks and rushed for just 18 yards on seven attempts. Daniels got off to an incredibly hot start in his rookie season, but he has quieted down over the last two games, tallying one touchdown, one turnover, six sacks, and 23 rushing yards during that span. This year's No. 2 overall pick still has an impressive track record through just half a season in the NFL and should be treated as a mid-to-low fantasy QB1 heading into Week 11 versus Dallas.

From RotoBaller

Noah Brown Nov 15 12:20am ET
Noah Brown

Washington Commanders wide receiver Noah Brown caught just one of four targets for four yards during Thursday's Week 11 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. Although Brown had his quietest game of the season, it's still promising given that he led the Commanders' wide receiver room in snaps, targets, and routes run. He was even more involved than Terry McLaurin. Brown should be treated as a high-end fantasy WR4 heading into next week's battle with the Dallas Cowboys.

From RotoBaller

Anders Carlson Nov 14 10:00pm ET
Anders Carlson

New York Jets kicker Anders Carlson is likely to handle the kicking duties during the Week 11 matchup against the Indianapolis Colts. It has been musical chairs at the kicker spot for the Jets over the last few weeks. Carlson figures to become the fourth kicker for the team over the four games. Spencer Shrader was kicking for the Jets last week, but he has been signed to the Kansas City Chiefs active roster. Carlson is 5-for-5 on field goal attempts this season from his two-game run with the San Francisco 49ers. Carlson struggled as a rookie last season, but maybe can settle down with the Jets and become their full-time kicker.

From RotoBaller

D'Ernest Johnson Nov 14 9:40pm ET
D'Ernest Johnson

Jacksonville Jaguars running back D'Ernest Johnson (hamstring) was a limited participant during Thursday's practice. This is now back-to-back days that Johnson has been limited due to a lingering hamstring issue. Johnson has been quiet lately and only played four offensive snaps during last week's loss to the Minnesota Vikings. However, Johnson could see a bigger role this weekend with Tank Bigsby (ankle) unable to practice yet this week. Johnson would be the primary backup if Bigsby is unable to play, which would give him an uptick in value.

From RotoBaller

Hunter Henry Nov 14 9:30pm ET
Hunter Henry

New England Patriots tight end Hunter Henry (foot) was upgraded to a full participant during Thursday's practice session. Henry was limited to open the week, but the veteran tight end appears to be fine now. Fantasy managers shouldn't be worried about his status for this weekend after Henry got in a full practice session here. He figures to be ready to play against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 1. Henry is looking to bounce back after posting a dud against the Chicago Bears last week. The 29-year-old has looked solid as the safety blanket for rookie quarterback Drake Maye.

From RotoBaller

Harrison Bryant Nov 14 9:30pm ET
Harrison Bryant

Las Vegas Raiders tight end Harrison Bryant (ankle) was able to get through a limited practice session on Thursday. Bryant suffered an ankle injury during the Week 9 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals. He was off last week with the Raiders having a bye week. Bryant didn't practice to open the week, but returned as a limited participant on Thursday. He seems to have a decent chance at suiting up for the Week 11 matchup against the Miami Dolphins. Bryant has seven receptions for 65 yards over his last three games, but doesn't have much fantasy value with Brock Bowers ahead of him on the depth chart.

From RotoBaller

Noah Fant Nov 14 9:20pm ET
Noah Fant

Seattle Seahawks tight end Noah Fant (groin) was unable to suit up for practice on Thursday. This is now back-to-back missed practices for Fant to start the week. This is not a good sign for Fant coming out of the bye week. He appears to be trending in the wrong direction ahead of the Week 11 matchup against the San Francisco 49ers. If he sits, AJ Barner figures to see a majority of the snaps as the starting tight end. The rookie tight end hauled in four of his seven targets for 27 yards in Week 9. He's a possible deep league option if Fant is unable to play this weekend.

From RotoBaller

D.K. Metcalf Nov 14 8:50pm ET
D.K. Metcalf

Seattle Seahawks wide receiver DK Metcalf (knee) was able to practice in full for the second straight day this week on Thursday. Metcalf appears to be much healthier coming out of the team's Week 10 bye after missing each of the previous two games with a sprained MCL that he suffered in Week 7. Barring a setback on Friday, it seems as though he'll be cleared to play on Sunday against the division-rival San Francisco 49ers. The 26-year-old should see a normal workload in his return, too, meaning fantasy managers should be ready to throw him back into their starting lineups if he's cleared to face the Niners. Metcalf only had three catches on 11 targets for 48 yards in the first meeting with San Fran on Oct. 10, but he's averaging 13.2 half-PPR points per game, which ranks 13th among all receivers. Metcalf's impending return inevitably means fewer targets for both Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Tyler Lockett.

From RotoBaller

Jauan Jennings Nov 14 8:20pm ET
Jauan Jennings

San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Jauan Jennings (ankle) was added to the Week 11 injury report on Thursday after putting in a limited practice. It's a new injury for Jennings, and it could put him in danger of missing the Week 11 game against the division-rival Seattle Seahawks on Sunday. We should have a better idea of the 27-year-old's status after another practice on Friday. Jennings caught seven of 11 targets for 93 yards in the Week 10 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the second time this season he's been targeted double-digit times. Before that, he missed Weeks 7 and 8 due to injury before going on bye in Week 9. Jennings' rest-of-season value is buoyed by the fact that Brandon Aiyuk (knee) is done for the year, although he might be in danger of missing Sunday's game. If Jennings is out or limited, rookie Ricky Pearsall could be the No. 3 target behind Deebo Samuel Sr. and George Kittle (hamstring).

From RotoBaller

Christian McCaffrey Nov 14 8:10pm ET
Christian McCaffrey

San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey (Achilles) was limited for the second straight day in practice this week on Thursday. McCaffrey made his 2024 debut in the Week 10 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers but will most likely continue to have his workload monitored in practice the rest of the season. In his debut last Sunday, the 28-year-old All-Pro back had 19 touches for 107 scrimmage yards while playing 88 percent of the offensive snaps. We'd expect CMC to be removed from the final Week 11 injury report and be San Fran's lead back in a divisional clash against the Seattle Seahawks. Backups Jordan Mason and Isaac Guerendo had a combined two carries for five yards in McCaffrey's return. McCaffrey will be looking to build on his debut last week and is a must-start in all fantasy lineups.

From RotoBaller

George Kittle Nov 14 8:00pm ET
George Kittle

San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle (hamstring) upgraded to a limited practice on Thursday after he did not practice at all on Wednesday. Kittle is dealing with some hamstring irritation, but head coach Kyle Shanahan said he wasn't really worried about the tight end's status heading into a Week 11 divisional showdown versus the Seattle Seahawks this Sunday. As long as the 31-year-old veteran doesn't have a setback with his hamstring on Friday, he should be active in Week 11. He has scored seven touchdowns in eight games played in 2024 to put him atop the TE ranks in terms of fantasy points. In addition to his league-high seven touchdowns, Kittle has 43 receptions on 53 targets for 560 yards. On Oct. 10 in the first meeting against Seattle, he had five catches for 58 yards and two TDs. Kittle is a must-start, high-end TE1 for fantasy managers again this week.

From RotoBaller

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Nov 14 7:20pm ET
Chris Rodriguez Jr.

With Washington Commanders running back Brian Robinson Jr. (hamstring) returning to action on Thursday night against the division-rival Philadelphia Eagles, Chris Rodriguez Jr. is a healthy inactive. Robinson missed the team's previous two games, which afforded Rodriguez 13 carries for 56 yards as a change-of-pace option behind Austin Ekeler. With B-Rob back in the fold, the Commanders will roll with Robinson, Ekeler and Jeremy McNichols as their three backs against Philly. The 24-year-old Rodriguez has played in only four games in 2024 in his second year in the league, with all his statistics coming in the last two games with Robinson sidelined. Obviously, the former sixth-rounder in 2023 out of Kentucky is off the fantasy radar.

From RotoBaller

DeForest Buckner Nov 14 7:10pm ET
DeForest Buckner

Indianapolis Colts defensive lineman DeForest Buckner (foot) put in a full practice on Thursday after picking up a DNP for the first practice of the week on Wednesday. Safety Julian Blackmon (shoulder) has been practicing in full this week, while linebacker E.J. Speed (knee) has put in two limited practices. Unless he has a setback on Friday, Buckner should be good to play on Sunday against the New York Jets while getting after quarterback Aaron Rodgers. The 30-year-old veteran missed Weeks 3-7 while on Injured Reserve but has been active the last three weeks, picking up nine solo tackles, two sacks, two tackles for loss and six QB hits. The Colts defense/special teams unit is a fade in fantasy this week against the Jets, but Buckner is certainly in play as a starting defensive lineman in IDP formats.

From RotoBaller

J.J. McCarthy Nov 14 7:00pm ET
J.J. McCarthy

Minnesota Vikings rookie quarterback J.J. McCarthy (knee) had a biologic injection to deal with intermittent swelling in his right knee, according to a source, not a second surgery, as was reported on Wednesday. There has been no change in McCarthy's recovery timeline. "He's really knocked it out of the park every step of the way, and as his rehab has picked up, we noticed a little swelling in there. He's been doing everything we asked of him, but just wanted to make sure that there was no cause for concern, and all reports were very positive," head coach Kevin O'Connell said. The 21-year-old first-rounder had surgery for a torn meniscus on Aug. 14, assuring he won't make his NFL debut until 2025. McCarthy should be rostered in all dynasty/keeper formats with the Vikings hoping he can be their QB of the future. Current starter Sam Darnold has faded a bit after a hot start in 2024.

From RotoBaller

Jamaal Williams Nov 14 7:00pm ET
Jamaal Williams

New Orleans Saints running back Jamaal Williams (groin) was not seen at practice on Thursday for the second straight day this week. Williams has not played in each of the team's last two games, and with no practice yet after two days, he's once again trending towards not playing this Sunday in Week 11 against the visiting Cleveland Browns. Kendre Miller (hamstring) is on Injured Reserve, so the Saints are down to Jordan Mims as the backup to workhorse back Alvin Kamara. Tight end Taysom Hill has gotten more involved in the backfield as well, but Kamara will most likely continue to see the lion's share of opportunities for the Saints. The 29-year-old Williams has only 32 carries for 124 yards (3.9 yards per carry) and one touchdown in 2024 and is only a handcuff for Kamara in deeper fantasy leagues.

From RotoBaller

Tyler Allgeier Nov 14 6:50pm ET
Tyler Allgeier

Atlanta Falcons running back Tyler Allgeier (quadriceps) is on his way to being available to play in Week 11 on the road against the Denver Broncos on Sunday after putting in a full practice on Thursday. Allgeier started the week off with a limited session on Wednesday. The matchup on the road against a top-five defense in the NFL isn't an ideal one for fantasy purposes, but the 24-year-old should remain involved alongside Bijan Robinson in Atlanta's offense. Allgeier has had double-digit touches in three of the last five games, including valuable ones near the goal line. Denver's defense has been good, but they've also been vulnerable on the ground in recent weeks. Allgeier ranks 32nd among RBs with 85 carries and is averaging a career-high 5.0 yards per carry. The ceiling is obviously limited behind Robinson, but Allgeier should remain an RB3/flex consideration in fantasy.

From RotoBaller

Jake Ferguson Nov 14 6:40pm ET
Jake Ferguson

Dallas Cowboys tight end Jake Ferguson (illness) was under the weather and unable to practice on Thursday, the team's first session of the week. Ferguson has an extra day to recover in Week 11 with the team's contest falling on Monday night versus the Houston Texans. He still has two more days to return to practice, and we think there's a good chance he'll play against the in-state rivals. If for some reason the 25-year-old is questionable to play on Monday night, fantasy managers may be in a quandary at the position. On top of it, the 25-year-old's fantasy stock will be down the rest of the year with quarterback Dak Prescott (hamstring) done for the season. In his first game taking passes from Cooper Rush, Ferguson caught four of five targets for 24 yards. Luke Schoonmaker is the backup in Dallas if Ferguson is too ill to play by Monday.

From RotoBaller

Josh Jacobs Nov 14 6:30pm ET
Josh Jacobs

Green Bay Packers running back Josh Jacobs (quadriceps) was limited in practice on Thursday for the second straight day this week after coming off the team's bye. In addition to Jacobs, rookie RB MarShawn Lloyd (ankle, hamstring) has practiced on a limited basis twice this week after the team opened his 21-day window to return from Injured Reserve. We should have a better idea of Jacobs' status for the Week 11 divisional game against the Chicago Bears after Green Bay releases their final injury report on Friday, but it would be a surprise if Jacobs wasn't active. Lloyd could be a threat to Jacobs' volume down the stretch, but only an injury would supplant the former Raiders RB from top-dog status in the Packers' backfield. As long as Jacobs is active, consider him a high-end RB2 against a Bears defense that has been more vulnerable to the RB position in recent weeks.

From RotoBaller

Brian Thomas Jr. Nov 14 6:30pm ET
Brian Thomas Jr.

Jacksonville Jaguars wide receivers Brian Thomas Jr. (chest) and Gabe Davis (shoulder) were both limited in practice on Thursday for the second straight day this week. Thomas suffered a chest injury in the Week 8 loss to the New England Patriots and has been limited in practice ever since, but he hasn't missed a game. Davis, meanwhile, has been on the injury report for most of the year with various ailments. Neither wideout is expected to be in danger of missing the Week 11 game at the Detroit Lions, but both Thomas' and Davis' fantasy floor will remain low for however long quarterback Mac Jones is running this offense -- Trevor Lawrence (shoulder) was ruled out for a second straight game in Week 11. Thomas has been Jacksonville's leading receiver in his first year in the NFL and is the better fantasy option, but his stock has fallen to WR3/flex value.

From RotoBaller