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FFL: Week 9 | NFL: Week 9

WR Strength of Schedule

Fri May 31 10:52am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

Lamb could top last season


Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the receiver position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to receivers last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the receivers with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the receivers that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.

  WR SOS  
1. Denver Broncos 531.34
2. Los Angeles Chargers 536.08
3. Miami Dolphins 537.31
4. Kansas City Chiefs 549.96
5. Las Vegas Raiders 552.89
6. Pittsburgh Steelers 554.85
7. New England Patriots 555.93
8. Buffalo Bills 556.13
9. Houston Texans 561.75
10. San Francisco 49ers 565.73
11. New Orleans Saints 566.06
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 566.19
13. Cincinnati Bengals 566.32
14. Jacksonville Jaguars 570.07
15. Baltimore Ravens 571.77
16. Seattle Seahawks 573.41
17. Minnesota Vikings 573.91
18. Philadelphia Eagles 574.46
19. Carolina Panthers 575.49
20. Los Angeles Rams 575.79
21. Washington Commanders 575.91
22. Detroit Lions 576.36
23. Atlanta Falcons 577.76
24. New York Jets 577.99
25. Tennessee Titans 578.06
26. Indianapolis Colts 578.18
27. Cleveland Browns 583.5
28. Arizona Cardinals 586.09
29. New York Giants 586.93
30. Chicago Bears 601.21
31. Dallas Cowboys 608.4
32. Green Bay Packers 610.22

 

The Packers have the easiest fantasy schedule for receivers. Jayden Reed and Christian Watson could be setup for career best seasons with this schedule. These are guys you can get a little later come draft day and mid-round options that could be difference makers for fantasy owners.

CeeDee Lamb is considered the No. 1 overall fantasy receiver for many and his schedule helps make that claim even stronger. Lamb has the second most favorable schedule for receivers. Lamb was huge last year and could improve on that even more, especially since the Cowboys could struggle to run the ball with their current options.

The Bears, Giants and Cardinals also round out the top-five most favorable receiver schedules. Chicago has a great trio of receivers with D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen and rookie Rome Odunze.  These guys could produce big as long as rookie Caleb Williams gets the job done at quarterback in year one. Moore has more to compete with for targets this year, but you still have to like his chances for a big season in year two with the Bears.

The Giants and Cardinals both have some question marks at receiver, but a couple rookies lead the way for both teams. Malik Nabers and Marvin Harrison could have big rookie seasons with their new teams. These guys both have a chance to lead all rookie fantasy receivers in scoring.

On the opposite side of things, the Broncos have the most challenging schedule for receivers. The Broncos have all sorts of questions at receiver outside of Courtland Sutton. This is a unit of receivers you just might want to avoid come draft day. This schedule won’t make anything easier for this group.

The Chargers are a similar team to the Broncos, having openings and questions at receiver. So once again, it might be best to let someone else put Chargers receivers on their roster. Plus, the Chargers could be a lot more run heavy with a new coach running the show. The tough schedule and new offense make taking any Chargers receiver a bit of a risk.

There are two really good offenses on the list that have tough schedules for receivers. Both the Dolphins and Chiefs have a top-five least favorable schedule for receivers. The Dolphins have one of the best receiver duos in football, so it is tough to fade them because of this schedule. Both Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle should be able to produce big numbers once again in this offense.

The Chiefs are a little more concerning. This offense is a little matchup proof, but don’t have that elite receiver on their roster. Rashee Rice and Marquise Brown lead the way. Brown hasn’t been great in recent seasons and Rice is facing a suspension. These guys will carry some risk come draft day, especially after seeing this schedule.

Davante Adams is usually another star receiver that is matchup proof, but you have to wonder a little this year. He has some question marks at quarterback, which could hurt his production when you pair it with this schedule. Adams is dealing with the fifth toughest fantasy schedule for receivers.

We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy receivers. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the receivers with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.

  WR PLAYOFF SOS  
1. Los Angeles Rams 501.93
2. Jacksonville Jaguars 515.53
3. Kansas City Chiefs 519.43
4. New York Giants 521.63
5. Miami Dolphins 532.77
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 534.53
7. Houston Texans 538
8. Buffalo Bills 540.87
9. Las Vegas Raiders 541.9
10. Carolina Panthers 549.33
11. Cincinnati Bengals 552.17
12. Detroit Lions 553.73
13. Arizona Cardinals 555.27
14. Cleveland Browns 555.4
15. Minnesota Vikings 560.93
16. New England Patriots 573.03
17. Los Angeles Chargers 573.1
18. Tennessee Titans 575.17
19. Baltimore Ravens 581.27
20. Seattle Seahawks 585.08
21. New York Jets 585.5
22. Denver Broncos 587.2
23. Pittsburgh Steelers 587.8
24. Philadelphia Eagles 589.73
25. Green Bay Packers 590.85
26. Washington Commanders 591.57
27. New Orleans Saints 604.13
28. Dallas Cowboys 609.73
29. Indianapolis Colts 614
30. San Francisco 49ers 641.53
31. Atlanta Falcons 644.93
32. Chicago Bears 647.98

 

The Bears and Cowboys are the teams that make both the top five easiest receiver schedules for both the regular season and playoffs. Chicago has the easiest for the entire playoffs. Once again, their top trio of receivers are looking pretty good come draft day.

Lamb continues to make his case to be the first receiver selected come draft day. He could have a monster season and finish strong as well with the fifth easiest schedule for the playoffs. Lamb might be the most surefire first-round pick come draft day.

The Falcons, 49ers and Colts also have a top-five favorable playoff schedule for receivers. Atlanta receivers were looking up to begin with, getting a legit quarterback throwing them passes this year. And this schedule makes their options look even better, especially Drake London. He could have a breakout season.

San Francisco has great options at receiver in Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel. They are pretty safe picks come draft day. And they get a very favorable playoff schedule that could make them even more appealing to fantasy owners. These guys both have really solid floors come draft day in this offense.

Michael Pittman keeps getting it done as the No. 1 option for the Colts. If Anthony Richardson can become that true No. 1 at quarterback for Indy, Pittman would look even better. Pittman has produced in recent year despite having some quarterback issues. His game could go to a higher level this year if Richardson breaks out. Pittman could be a league winner if everything breaks his way in 2024.

The Chiefs and Dolphins are two of the best offenses in football but also the only two teams to make the top five most unfavorable receiver schedules for both the regular season and playoffs. This is a tad concerning for both teams, Again, it is tough to bet against Hill, but maybe you drop him down your rankings just few spots behind the other elite guys because of this. You hate to use an early round pick on a receiver to see him maybe not produce what he should come playoff time.

And as mentioned with the Chiefs, their top two receivers already face a few question marks, so maybe their tough schedules make them players to let someone else draft. Both Brown and Rice could be a little erratic.

The Rams actually have the toughest playoff schedule for receivers. They are another team with two of the best receivers in football. It is tough to bet against either Puka Nacua or Cooper Kupp, but the playoff schedule is a little scary, especially for Kupp. He seems to be trending down at this stage of his career.

The Jaguars and Giants are the two other teams with a top-five unfavorable fantasy schedule for the playoffs. The Jags have Christian Kirk and Gabriel Davis as their top two receivers. Kirk is normally pretty steady but Davis can be boom or bust. Seeing his playoff schedule should bump him down a few spots in your rankings. It could be more of the same for Davis with his new team.

And the Giants are an outlier here, having an easy schedule for receivers during the regular season but the fourth toughest for the playoffs. This makes it tough come draft day. Their receivers could be good values for the regular season but disappoint when it counts. You do have to just make the playoffs, though, so we aren’t sure we shy away from Giant receivers just because of their tough playoff schedule. You still might be able to get good value with their options that help you win during the season.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 9

Player Notes
Garrett Wilson Nov 2 1:50pm ET
Garrett Wilson

The Athletic's Dianna Russini doesn't expect the New York Jets to move wide receivers Garrett Wilson and Davante Adams and cornerback D.J. Reed by Tuesday's NFL trade deadline. The Jets have been receiving calls about the availability of Wilson and Reed lately. New York needs to do a lot of work to even be in the playoff picture by the end of the regular season, but they took a step forward by beating the Houston Texans on Thursday night to improve their record to 3-6. Wilson caught nine of his 10 targets for 90 yards and two touchdowns in the 21-13 win and is still a must-start for fantasy managers despite the recent addition of Adams. Adams also had a strong game in Week 8, going for seven receptions on 11 targets for 91 yards and a score against Houston. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers will continue to lean heavily on his top two pass-catchers.

From RotoBaller

Cooper Kupp Nov 2 1:50pm ET
Cooper Kupp

The Athletic's Dianna Russini doesn't expect the Los Angeles Rams to trade veteran wide receiver Cooper Kupp by Tuesday's NFL trade deadline despite being open to moving him this time a week ago. On the flip side, the Rams are trying to move cornerback Tre'Davious White. Kupp returned last Thursday night in the win over the Minnesota Vikings from an ankle injury that he suffered in Week 2. The 31-year-old caught five of his eight target for 51 yards and a touchdown and now has 23 catches on 35 targets for 198 yards and two touchdowns in his three games played in 2024. Kupp took a back seat to second-year wideout Puka Nacua, who was returning from a knee injury he suffered in Week 1, but as long as Kupp is able to remain healthy the rest of the way, he'll be a must-start fantasy receiver. He should be considered a low-end WR1 on Sunday versus the division-rival Seattle Seahawks.

From RotoBaller

Kayvon Thibodeaux Nov 2 1:40pm ET
Kayvon Thibodeaux

The New York Giants, who are sitting in last place in the NFC East heading into Week 9 action, are reportedly shopping young edge rusher Azeez Ojulari. The Atlanta Falcons, Arizona Cardinals and Cincinnati Bengals are three teams that are known to be monitoring Ojulari. The Giants are already paying linebacker Brian Burns and spent a top-five draft selection on Kayvon Thibodeaux. It makes sense that the G-Men and general manager Joe Schoen are trying to get something in return for Ojulari now since he's set to hit the free-agent market after the season. The 24-year-old is a big reason why the Giants lead the NFL in sacks. He had two more sacks in the Monday night loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers and is now up to six on the year, which is third on the Giants. The fourth-year player needs just three more sacks in 2024 to set a new career-high.

From RotoBaller

Bo Nix Nov 2 1:40pm ET
Bo Nix

The Baltimore Ravens defense/special teams has been nowhere close to the level of play they've shown in the past. They have one of the worst units against the pass this season and sit as the 23rd-ranked fantasy defense of the year. They're averaging 5.0 fantasy points per game and lost to the Cleveland Browns in Week 8. Now they take on the Denver Broncos in Week 9, a team that has proven that they have the ability to put up some big scoring weeks with rookie quarterback Bo Nix under center. Usually, the Ravens are good against rookie quarterbacks, but this year has been nothing like years past, so they're not the best option this week.

From RotoBaller

Drake Maye Nov 2 1:40pm ET
Drake Maye

New England Patriots rookie quarterback Drake Maye (concussion) has cleared the league's concussion protocol and has been removed from the Week 9 injury report on Saturday. Maye was officially listed as questionable on Friday to play in Sunday's contest against the Tennessee Titans after being limited in practice all week as he worked his way through the protocols. The 22-year-old first-rounder suffered a concussion in the Week 8 win over the division-rival New York Jets but won't be forced to miss any time. Maye only attempted six passes before getting knocked out of last Sunday's contest, but he threw for a season-high 276 yards and two touchdowns the previous week in London against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Now that he's in the clear for Week 9, Maye should be considered a low-end QB2 in superflex fantasy leagues against a Titans defense that has been stingy against opposing QBs in 2024.

From RotoBaller

Dan Quinn Nov 2 1:30pm ET
Dan Quinn

The red-hot Washington Commanders are calling around in search of a cornerback as Tuesday's NFL trade deadline nears, according to The Athletic's Dianna Russini. Head coach Dan Quinn knows that the team's secondary is a weakness. Washington is 6-2, but if they want to get past the Philadelphia Eagles and their excellent group of receivers in the NFC East, they need to improve their pass defense in the second half of the season. Despite the Commanders' glaring weakness in their secondary, they are only allowing 202.1 passing yards per game through eight weeks, which ranks as the sixth-fewest in the league. Still, it won't be a surprise if Washington adds help at cornerback before the NFL's trade deadline this coming Tuesday.

From RotoBaller

Tee Higgins Nov 2 1:20pm ET
Tee Higgins

The Athletic's Dianna Russini was told that the Cincinnati Bengals are not trading wide receiver Tee Higgins (quadriceps) by Tuesday's NFL trade deadline. The Bengals have only landed two players in a trade in 52 years, but they are looking to make a splash in 2024. Cincy has a strong belief that they can get back to the AFC title game despite sitting at 3-5 entering Week 9 play, and they've been looking around for a cornerback and a defensive lineman that could give defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo a boost. Right now, edge rusher Trey Hendrickson is seen as the team's only defensive threat. In fantasy, the Bengals' defense/special teams unit currently ranks 24th. They also rank all the way down at 29th in the NFL with only 12 sacks, so Hendrickson could certainly use the help on the D-line if the Bengals hope to make the postseason.

From RotoBaller

Justin Tucker Nov 2 1:10pm ET
Justin Tucker

Baltimore Ravens kicker Justin Tucker suffered a down week in Week 8 against the Cleveland Browns. While he made all three of his extra-point attempts, he only made one of two field goal attempts throughout the game. His lone make came from 49 yards, but he still finished as a low-end K2. The Denver Broncos, their Week 9 opponent, only give up 6.6 fantasy points per game to opposing kickers, but the Ravens offense should be able to at least move the ball into field goal range. Tucker carries K1 potential, but the tougher matchup does mean there are some better options out there.

From RotoBaller

Aidan Hutchinson Nov 2 1:10pm ET
Aidan Hutchinson

Detroit Lions head coach Dan Campbell and general manager Brad Holmes have been hunting for an edge rusher since they lost star pass-rusher Aidan Hutchinson (leg) to a season-ending broken left tibia and fibula, according to The Athletic's Dianna Russini. The Lions have checked in with several teams around the NFL, including the Cleveland Browns, with hopes of acquiring Za'Darius Smith. Hutchinson hasn't played since Oct. 13 but is still third in the league in sacks with 7.5. As things stand right now heading into Week 9, Detroit's defense is tied for 12th with 20 total defensive sacks. However, if they want to realize their goal of reaching the Super Bowl after losing in the NFC Championship a year ago to the San Francisco 49ers, the Lions are probably going to need more help in the pass-rush department with Hutchinson out the rest of the way.

From RotoBaller

Joe Flacco Nov 2 1:00pm ET
Joe Flacco

The Minnesota Vikings defense/special teams is again a top option this Sunday when they host the visiting Indianapolis Colts in Week 9. The Vikings' defense has given up a good amount of yards through the air this season but leads the league with 12 interceptions in just seven games played. Additionally, they've been one of the most staunch units against opposing ground attacks, letting up 3.9 yards per rush attempt -- the third-lowest figure in the league -- and a league-low three rushing scores on the season. While veteran quarterback Joe Flacco poses a significantly more competent test as the Colts' signal-caller, fantasy managers can confidently start the D/ST as they should shut down Indy's rushing attack. Minnesota's D ranks as RotoBaller's D/ST6 ahead of Week 9's slate of games.

From RotoBaller

Diontae Johnson Nov 2 1:00pm ET
Diontae Johnson

Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Diontae Johnson just joined the team earlier in the week and was a full participant at practice each day. All signs are pointing to the new Raven suiting up on Sunday against the Denver Broncos, but his workload is a big question mark. Less than a week of practice isn't enough to learn much of the offense, so he may not be featured on many snaps immediately. Fantasy managers will want to wait a week or two and see how the trend of snaps and targets moves as he's more incorporated into the offensive system. So, he's not on the fantasy radar outside of desperate situations in Week 9, especially against a good defense like the Broncos.

From RotoBaller

Mark Andrews Nov 2 12:50pm ET
Mark Andrews

Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews has turned around his fantasy season in a big way over the last few weeks. He's found the end zone in three straight games and finished inside TE1 territory in each one. The Ravens' offense gets another tough test, however, as they play against the Denver Broncos in Week 9. They currently allow 8.2 fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends in half-PPR leagues which ranks 21st in the league. One other issue is the addition of Diontae Johnson which could mean fewer targets for Andrews again. However, Johnson has only participated in less than a week of practices, so Andrews should have TE1 potential for at least one more week.

From RotoBaller

Mo Alie-Cox Nov 2 12:40pm ET
Mo Alie-Cox

Indianapolis Colts tight end Mo Alie-Cox gets an upgrade at quarterback in Week 9 with Joe Flacco under center, with eight of Cox's 13 total targets coming during Flacco's playing time earlier this season while Anthony Richardson dealt with an injury. In Weeks 5 and 6 combined, Cox caught all eight of his targets for 78 yards (he has just 100 on the season) and a touchdown. In Week 4 when Flacco came on in relief of Richardson, the veteran QB hit tight end Drew Ogletree for a 15-yard touchdown pass, so Cox and the TE group as a whole should be much more involved going forward. Cox leads the Colts TEs in targets on the season with 13, which is four more than Kylen Granson and six more than Ogletree. There are surely more proven TE options available on the waiver wire that have already been integrated into their offenses, but for fantasy managers looking for an under-the-radar dart throw with upside this week, Cox should be under consideration.

From RotoBaller

Andrei Iosivas Nov 2 12:40pm ET
Andrei Iosivas

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Andrei Iosivas was held without a catch in the Week 8 loss to the Eagles. With Tee Higgins (quadriceps) sidelined for that one, most expected Iosivas would be more involved. However, that didn't happen. With Higgins in line to miss Sunday's game against the Las Vegas Raiders, targets will be up for grabs. Of course, Ja'Marr Chase will remain Joe Burrow's preferred option on the receiving end. Still, Iosivas has an excellent chance of getting it together on Sunday, so fantasy managers can still consider him a flex option.

From RotoBaller

Will Reichard Nov 2 12:40pm ET
Will Reichard

Minnesota Vikings kicker Will Reichard will again be a strong play this Sunday when his team lines up against the Indianapolis Colts at U.S. Bank Stadium. The rookie has been one of the most reliable kickers in the NFL thus far in 2024 and has an excellent chance to put together another solid outing against a poor Colts defense in Week 9. Despite Indy giving up a ton of yards to opposing offenses, they've only allowed 21.5 points per game -- paving the way for some built-in opportunities for the 23-year-old in a juicy matchup. The Alabama product has connected on all 14 of his field goal attempts this season and nailed all 20 extra-point attempts, too. Fire him up confidently as RotoBaller's K5 in this week's rankings.

From RotoBaller

Zay Flowers Nov 2 12:40pm ET
Zay Flowers

Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Zay Flowers has been the number-one target in most games this season, but now has some more competition for throws. Diontae Johnson enters the fold and will undoubtedly command some more targets than Nelson Agholor did. In the first week since the trade, however, Flowers should lead the pass-catchers in targets. He'll have to go up against Patrick Surtain II and the Denver Broncos defense who give up the fewest fantasy points per game to opposing receiver groups. Flowers should have some more value in PPR formats but isn't likely to be a WR1 given the tougher matchup.

From RotoBaller

Chase Brown Nov 2 12:30pm ET
Chase Brown

Cincinnati Bengals running back Chase Brown has taken over as the undisputed option out of the backfield. Granted, Zack Moss (neck) has remained involved. However, with Moss doubtful for the Week 9 matchup with the Las Vegas Raiders, that should mean even more work for Brown. The 24-year-old has found the end zone at least once in four of the Bengals' previous five contests. Although he has averaged only 4.6 yards per carry, he's made up for it (to a degree) by getting some targets from Joe Burrow. His chances of seeing more attention from Burrow will increase if Moss and Tee Higgins (quadriceps) are ruled out. But even if those players are miraculously on the field versus Vegas, Brown should continue to be considered a starting fantasy option.

From RotoBaller

Ja'Marr Chase Nov 2 12:30pm ET
Ja'Marr Chase

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase has been one of the best wideouts in the National Football League this season, as expected. While he got off to a slow start, he's been on a roll by finding the end zone seven times since the Monday night loss to the Washington Commanders. With Tee Higgins (quadriceps) in line to miss the Week 9 matchup with the Las Vegas Raiders, Chase should continue to see plenty of targets from Joe Burrow. Keep the 24-year-old starting, although that goes without saying.

From RotoBaller

Joe Burrow Nov 2 12:20pm ET
Joe Burrow

Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow couldn't lift his squad to a win over the Philadelphia Eagles. With Cincinnati sitting at 3-5 on the season, the signal-caller will try to get the Bengals on track with a win over the Raiders on Sunday. Burrow had thrown at least two touchdowns in five of his seven appearances leading up to the meeting with Philly. But he was a step above mediocre in Week 8, ending the game by throwing for 234 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Fortunately, Burrow and company have an excellent chance of earning a win over the 2-6 Raiders, and the former LSU Tiger will have the luxury of facing a team that has allowed 26.3 points per game during the 2024-25 campaign, one of the worst marks in the National Football League. Although Burrow likely won't have Tee Higgins (quadriceps) or Zack Moss (neck), he'll still have Ja'Marr Chase, Chase Brown, and others to increase his odds of having a productive afternoon for fantasy managers.

From RotoBaller

Ty Chandler Nov 2 12:20pm ET
Ty Chandler

Minnesota Vikings running back Ty Chandler will square off against the Indianapolis Colts at home this Sunday in one of the better on-paper matchups of Week 9. While Minnesota projects to have its way with a non-existent Colts defense, Chandler still won't be a recommended option in the juicy matchup. The 26-year-old back is a distant second option out of the Vikings backfield behind veteran Aaron Jones and likely won't put together a valuable fantasy performance unless Jones misses time or Minnesota blows Indy out of the water. Neither of these outcomes is exactly projectable. As RotoBaller's RB52 in PPR formats in this week's ranks, Chandler presents as little more than a desperation play as the handcuff to own behind Jones.

From RotoBaller