WR Strength of Schedule
Fri May 31 10:52am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Lamb could top last season
Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the receiver position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to receivers last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the receivers with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the receivers that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.
| WR SOS | ||
| 1. | Denver Broncos | 531.34 |
| 2. | Los Angeles Chargers | 536.08 |
| 3. | Miami Dolphins | 537.31 |
| 4. | Kansas City Chiefs | 549.96 |
| 5. | Las Vegas Raiders | 552.89 |
| 6. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 554.85 |
| 7. | New England Patriots | 555.93 |
| 8. | Buffalo Bills | 556.13 |
| 9. | Houston Texans | 561.75 |
| 10. | San Francisco 49ers | 565.73 |
| 11. | New Orleans Saints | 566.06 |
| 12. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 566.19 |
| 13. | Cincinnati Bengals | 566.32 |
| 14. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 570.07 |
| 15. | Baltimore Ravens | 571.77 |
| 16. | Seattle Seahawks | 573.41 |
| 17. | Minnesota Vikings | 573.91 |
| 18. | Philadelphia Eagles | 574.46 |
| 19. | Carolina Panthers | 575.49 |
| 20. | Los Angeles Rams | 575.79 |
| 21. | Washington Commanders | 575.91 |
| 22. | Detroit Lions | 576.36 |
| 23. | Atlanta Falcons | 577.76 |
| 24. | New York Jets | 577.99 |
| 25. | Tennessee Titans | 578.06 |
| 26. | Indianapolis Colts | 578.18 |
| 27. | Cleveland Browns | 583.5 |
| 28. | Arizona Cardinals | 586.09 |
| 29. | New York Giants | 586.93 |
| 30. | Chicago Bears | 601.21 |
| 31. | Dallas Cowboys | 608.4 |
| 32. | Green Bay Packers | 610.22 |
The Packers have the easiest fantasy schedule for receivers. Jayden Reed and Christian Watson could be setup for career best seasons with this schedule. These are guys you can get a little later come draft day and mid-round options that could be difference makers for fantasy owners.
CeeDee Lamb is considered the No. 1 overall fantasy receiver for many and his schedule helps make that claim even stronger. Lamb has the second most favorable schedule for receivers. Lamb was huge last year and could improve on that even more, especially since the Cowboys could struggle to run the ball with their current options.
The Bears, Giants and Cardinals also round out the top-five most favorable receiver schedules. Chicago has a great trio of receivers with D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen and rookie Rome Odunze. These guys could produce big as long as rookie Caleb Williams gets the job done at quarterback in year one. Moore has more to compete with for targets this year, but you still have to like his chances for a big season in year two with the Bears.
The Giants and Cardinals both have some question marks at receiver, but a couple rookies lead the way for both teams. Malik Nabers and Marvin Harrison could have big rookie seasons with their new teams. These guys both have a chance to lead all rookie fantasy receivers in scoring.
On the opposite side of things, the Broncos have the most challenging schedule for receivers. The Broncos have all sorts of questions at receiver outside of Courtland Sutton. This is a unit of receivers you just might want to avoid come draft day. This schedule won’t make anything easier for this group.
The Chargers are a similar team to the Broncos, having openings and questions at receiver. So once again, it might be best to let someone else put Chargers receivers on their roster. Plus, the Chargers could be a lot more run heavy with a new coach running the show. The tough schedule and new offense make taking any Chargers receiver a bit of a risk.
There are two really good offenses on the list that have tough schedules for receivers. Both the Dolphins and Chiefs have a top-five least favorable schedule for receivers. The Dolphins have one of the best receiver duos in football, so it is tough to fade them because of this schedule. Both Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle should be able to produce big numbers once again in this offense.
The Chiefs are a little more concerning. This offense is a little matchup proof, but don’t have that elite receiver on their roster. Rashee Rice and Marquise Brown lead the way. Brown hasn’t been great in recent seasons and Rice is facing a suspension. These guys will carry some risk come draft day, especially after seeing this schedule.
Davante Adams is usually another star receiver that is matchup proof, but you have to wonder a little this year. He has some question marks at quarterback, which could hurt his production when you pair it with this schedule. Adams is dealing with the fifth toughest fantasy schedule for receivers.
We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy receivers. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the receivers with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.
| WR PLAYOFF SOS | ||
| 1. | Los Angeles Rams | 501.93 |
| 2. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 515.53 |
| 3. | Kansas City Chiefs | 519.43 |
| 4. | New York Giants | 521.63 |
| 5. | Miami Dolphins | 532.77 |
| 6. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 534.53 |
| 7. | Houston Texans | 538 |
| 8. | Buffalo Bills | 540.87 |
| 9. | Las Vegas Raiders | 541.9 |
| 10. | Carolina Panthers | 549.33 |
| 11. | Cincinnati Bengals | 552.17 |
| 12. | Detroit Lions | 553.73 |
| 13. | Arizona Cardinals | 555.27 |
| 14. | Cleveland Browns | 555.4 |
| 15. | Minnesota Vikings | 560.93 |
| 16. | New England Patriots | 573.03 |
| 17. | Los Angeles Chargers | 573.1 |
| 18. | Tennessee Titans | 575.17 |
| 19. | Baltimore Ravens | 581.27 |
| 20. | Seattle Seahawks | 585.08 |
| 21. | New York Jets | 585.5 |
| 22. | Denver Broncos | 587.2 |
| 23. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 587.8 |
| 24. | Philadelphia Eagles | 589.73 |
| 25. | Green Bay Packers | 590.85 |
| 26. | Washington Commanders | 591.57 |
| 27. | New Orleans Saints | 604.13 |
| 28. | Dallas Cowboys | 609.73 |
| 29. | Indianapolis Colts | 614 |
| 30. | San Francisco 49ers | 641.53 |
| 31. | Atlanta Falcons | 644.93 |
| 32. | Chicago Bears | 647.98 |
The Bears and Cowboys are the teams that make both the top five easiest receiver schedules for both the regular season and playoffs. Chicago has the easiest for the entire playoffs. Once again, their top trio of receivers are looking pretty good come draft day.
Lamb continues to make his case to be the first receiver selected come draft day. He could have a monster season and finish strong as well with the fifth easiest schedule for the playoffs. Lamb might be the most surefire first-round pick come draft day.
The Falcons, 49ers and Colts also have a top-five favorable playoff schedule for receivers. Atlanta receivers were looking up to begin with, getting a legit quarterback throwing them passes this year. And this schedule makes their options look even better, especially Drake London. He could have a breakout season.
San Francisco has great options at receiver in Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel. They are pretty safe picks come draft day. And they get a very favorable playoff schedule that could make them even more appealing to fantasy owners. These guys both have really solid floors come draft day in this offense.
Michael Pittman keeps getting it done as the No. 1 option for the Colts. If Anthony Richardson can become that true No. 1 at quarterback for Indy, Pittman would look even better. Pittman has produced in recent year despite having some quarterback issues. His game could go to a higher level this year if Richardson breaks out. Pittman could be a league winner if everything breaks his way in 2024.
The Chiefs and Dolphins are two of the best offenses in football but also the only two teams to make the top five most unfavorable receiver schedules for both the regular season and playoffs. This is a tad concerning for both teams, Again, it is tough to bet against Hill, but maybe you drop him down your rankings just few spots behind the other elite guys because of this. You hate to use an early round pick on a receiver to see him maybe not produce what he should come playoff time.
And as mentioned with the Chiefs, their top two receivers already face a few question marks, so maybe their tough schedules make them players to let someone else draft. Both Brown and Rice could be a little erratic.
The Rams actually have the toughest playoff schedule for receivers. They are another team with two of the best receivers in football. It is tough to bet against either Puka Nacua or Cooper Kupp, but the playoff schedule is a little scary, especially for Kupp. He seems to be trending down at this stage of his career.
The Jaguars and Giants are the two other teams with a top-five unfavorable fantasy schedule for the playoffs. The Jags have Christian Kirk and Gabriel Davis as their top two receivers. Kirk is normally pretty steady but Davis can be boom or bust. Seeing his playoff schedule should bump him down a few spots in your rankings. It could be more of the same for Davis with his new team.
And the Giants are an outlier here, having an easy schedule for receivers during the regular season but the fourth toughest for the playoffs. This makes it tough come draft day. Their receivers could be good values for the regular season but disappoint when it counts. You do have to just make the playoffs, though, so we aren’t sure we shy away from Giant receivers just because of their tough playoff schedule. You still might be able to get good value with their options that help you win during the season.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
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The Paur Report
Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 9
Los Angeles Rams tight end Colby Parkinson will face the Seattle Seahawks in a road matchup this Sunday. The 25-year-old has been mostly quiet this season aside from a 13-target, seven-catch game in Week 5's 24-19 loss to the Green Bay Packers. He'll get a middle-of-the-road matchup in Week 9 against a Seahawks D that's letting up 6.1 yards per pass attempt to opposing offenses -- the twelfth-highest figure in the league. It's possible Parkinson sees more work than usual this week, with wide receivers Puka Nacua (knee) and Jordan Whittington (shoulder) questionable for the contest. Still, he'll be difficult to trust as a viable option due to his lack of consistency. The Stanford alum is RotoBaller's PPR TE27 in this week's rankings.
From RotoBaller
Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Alec Pierce will get a tough draw on Sunday Night Football when his team squares off against the Minnesota Vikings. Pierce has been the epitome of a boom/bust wideout this season, with three outings of at least 16 fantasy points and five others in the single digits, including a goose egg in Week 6 against the Tennessee Titans on 89% of snaps. With veteran quarterback Joe Flacco now in command of the offense, the outlook of all Colts pass-catchers is on the rise. Additionally, Minnesota has been one of the most stout units in the league this season against opposing rushing attacks, allowing just 3.9 yards per attempt. If they can be beaten anywhere, it's through the air. Still, the 24-year-old is little more than a desperation dart throw for the contest. Pierce is RotoBaller's PPR WR63 for Week 9's slate of action.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals tight end Mike Gesicki could again see a large target share in Week 9 when his team lines up against the Las Vegas Raiders at home. The 29-year-old veteran hasn't been the most consistent option this season but has produced two useful spike weeks thus far in his first year as a Bengal, correlating with wide receiver Tee Higgins (quad) missing time. With Higgins listed as doubtful for Sunday, the door is again open for Gesicki to see an increased role in the offense. The Raiders have been decent against opposing passing attacks this season, so it isn't exactly the best matchup. Still, Joe Burrow and the Bengals throw the rock 61.4% of the time (sixth-highest in the league), so the opportunities should be there if Higgins fails to suit up. The former Penn State Nittany Lion is RotoBaller's PPR TE17 in this week's ranks.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers tight end Cade Otton has seen his usage skyrocket lately. The 25-year-old has 17 receptions for 181 yards and two touchdowns over his last two games. The Bucs are banged up at wide receiver with Mike Evans (hamstring) and Chris Godwin (ankle) both sidelined. They've also got Sterling Shepard (hamstring) and Jalen McMillan (hamstring) on the injury report ahead of Monday's game against the Kansas City Chiefs. That being said, Otton could end up seeing a ton of targets with the Bucs limited on options. Fantasy managers should continue to lean on him as a TE1 for Week 9. Otton has been an elite option over the last two games, so fantasy managers should ride the wave.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Rakim Jarrett made his season debut against the Atlanta Falcons last week. Jarrett hauled in all three of his targets for 58 yards in the loss. Normally, Jarrett would serve as depth, but the Bucs are extremely banged up at wideout. Both Mike Evans (hamstring) and Chris Godwin (ankle) are unavailable for Week 9. Also, Sterling Shepard (hamstring) and Jalen McMillan (hamstring) are listed on the injury report ahead of Monday's game against the Kansas City Chiefs. That means, Jarrett and Trey Palmer could end up being the top wideouts for the Bucs this week. Jarrett only saw 27 percent of the snaps last week and still played fairly well. Fantasy managers who plan to start Shepard or McMillan might want to snag Jarrett just in case they sit out.
From RotoBaller
According to Adam Schefter, before Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Christian Kirk's (collarbone) injury, the Pittsburgh Steelers had a deal in the works to acquire him. Per Schefter, league sources told ESPN there was a "reasonable chance" that Kirk would be heading to the Steel City. However, that plan was derailed when the 27-year-old suffered a broken clavicle that effectively ended his season. The NFL Insider noted that Pittsburgh is still looking to upgrade their wide receiver corps before the Nov. 5 trade deadline and that they've been "making calls and checking on any and all available wide receivers." With the last call for trades quickly approaching, we'll know if they're successful or not over the next 36 hours. Stay tuned.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Trey Palmer wasn't able to do much damage during last week's loss to the Atlanta Falcons. The 23-year-old hauled in both of his targets for 29 yards and served as the punt returner as well. Palmer has moved up on the depth chart with Mike Evans (hamstring) and Chris Godwin (ankle) both sidelined. There is more bad news for the Bucs wideouts as Sterling Shepard (hamstring) and Jalen McMillan (hamstring) are both on the injury report for Monday's game against the Kansas City Chiefs. If they both sit, Palmer will likely become the top wideout for this offense. His fantasy value would certainly increase in that case. For now, Palmer is nothing more than a risky flex option given the statuses of McMillan and Shepard are still unknown.
From RotoBaller
As reported by the NFL's Dianna Russini, the Los Angeles Rams expect wide receiver Puka Nacua (knee) to play in Week 9. It's excellent news for the Rams and fantasy managers, as it appears Nacua's reaggravation of his preseason knee injury won't force him to miss Sunday's contest. The superstar wideout returned from a near-two month absence in Week 8 to post seven catches and 106 yards on just 57% of the team's snaps. He may see a diminished snap share again when LA lines up against the Seattle Seahawks on the road. However, he's already proven his effectiveness on limited snaps once. If he's active, fantasy managers should have no fears of firing him up. If not, wide receiver Cooper Kupp stands to see a ton of work, with fellow wideouts Demarcus Robinson and Tutu Atwell picking up the slack.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Sean Tucker has been quiet since his 136-yard outburst in Week 6. However, Tucker could see more action against the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday. The Bucs have gone to a committee approach in the backfield. Tucker is normally the third option, but he could see more chances with Bucky Irving (toe) questionable for Week 9. If he sits, Tucker would split up the backfield duties with Rachaad White who has struggled on the ground. Fantasy managers shouldn't expect another 100-yard performance from Tucker, but he might have some low-end flex appeal if Irving is unable to play.
From RotoBaller
Per Easton Freeze of the NFL, the Tennessee Titans are optimistic that running back Tony Pollard (foot) will play Sunday in Week 9. Pollard was a non-participant this week in Titans' practice and is officially listed as questionable for this weekend's home tilt against the New England Patriots. However, it appears the team is still hoping for him to be active. With backfield mate Tyjae Spears (hamstring) ruled out for the contest, third-year back Julius Chestnut will already be in line for an elevated role in Tennessee's offense. If Pollard can't go, Chestnut will get all the work he can handle, with teammate Joshua Kelley likely to rotate in behind him. Fantasy managers should continue monitoring the 27-year-old, as a decision may get made close to game time -- fortunately, the Titans and Patriots square off at 1:00 pm EST.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Rachaad White hasn't found much success on the ground this season. He has fallen into a running back committee which has decreased his rushing attempts. However, fellow back Bucky Irving (toe) is listed as questionable ahead of the Week 9 matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs. If Irving sits, White would likely see more chances on the ground but he hasn't done much with his chances this season. Luckily, White has been able to salvage his fantasy value in the receiving game. The Bucs are going to White more often with Mike Evans (hamstring) and Chris Godwin (ankle) sidelined. He has seen six targets in each of the last two games. That figures to continue happening with the Bucs limited on passing options. White should be a strong PPR option and a possible RB2 for this Monday Night matchup.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield has been slinging the ball all season long. In fact, Mayfield has thrown for over 325 yards in each of the last three games. There was some concern that Mayfield would struggle without his top wide receivers in Chris Godwin (ankle) and Mike Evans (hamstring) last week. That was not the case as Mayfield tossed three touchdowns and exceeded 300 passing yards in what ended up being a loss to the Atlanta Falcons. However, Mayfield will head into a tougher matchup against the Chiefs on Monday. A defensive unit that has allowed the sixth-fewest passing yards this season. Despite that, Mayfield continues to prove the critics wrong, so ride with him as a QB1.
From RotoBaller
New York Giants kicker Greg Joseph (abdomen) has been placed on the injured reserve ahead of the Week 9 matchup against the Washington Commanders. The Giants brought in Joseph after kicker Graham Gano (quad) got injured during the season opener. Now, Joseph will miss at least the next four games. That means, Jude McAtamney will be elevated from the practice squad this weekend. He'll make his NFL debut after looking solid in the preseason. However, McAtamney isn't an ideal streaming option given the Giants struggles on offense.
From RotoBaller
New Orleans Saints wide receiver Bub Means (ankle) and running back Kendre Miller (hamstring) have been placed on the injured reserve on Saturday. The Saints are going to be thin on depth as the injuries keep piling up on them. The absence of Means should give Marquez Valdes-Scantling more snaps, but fantasy managers shouldn't trust him as a reliable option. Miller has missed most of the season, but returned for each of the last two games. Now, Alvin Kamara should see a heavy workload with Miller out and Jamaal Williams (groin) doubtful to play. Kamara should be an elite fantasy option against the below average Carolina Panthers defense.
From RotoBaller
Baltimore Ravens running back Keaton Mitchell (knee) is not expected to suit up ahead of the Week 9 matchup against the Denver Broncos. Mitchell is recovering from an ACL injury that he suffered last season. He has yet to play this season, but was able to practice this week. He's a little over a week into his 21-day practice window. The team still has some time to get Mitchell ready to play before his window ends. He figures to be mixed in as a change-of-pace back once he's healthy to play. However, Mitchell probably won't have a huge role behind Derrick Henry in the backfield.
From RotoBaller
Tennessee Titans quarterback Trevor Siemian has been elevated from the practice squad ahead of the Week 9 matchup against the New England Patriots. The move to bring up Siemian means that quarterback Will Levis (shoulder) is likely in line to miss another game. Mason Rudolph figures to draw another start under center this weekend. Rudolph will have a tough challenge against the Patriots defense in Week 9. He has thrown for 566 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions in three games this season. Fantasy managers should be able to find a better streaming option than Rudolph ahead of this Week 9 contest.
From RotoBaller
Tampa Bay Buccaneers safety Antoine Winfield Jr. (foot) is currently listed as questionable ahead of Monday's Week 9 matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs. Winfield popped up on the injury report on Friday due to a foot issue. That is concerning considering Winfield missed time earlier in the season due to a foot injury. However, head coach Todd Bowles said that Winfield will be fine for Monday's game. The absence of Winfield would be a significant hit to an already struggling Bucs secondary. Regardless of Winfield's status, the Bucs defense isn't an ideal streaming option against Patrick Mahomes.
From RotoBaller
The Denver Broncos defense/special teams has surprisingly been a top-five fantasy unit through eight weeks of 2024, but managers should lower their expectations in Week 9 against the high-powered Baltimore Ravens on the road. Denver's D has allowed the third-fewest points per game (15.0), but Baltimore's offense has put up 30.3 points per game, the most in football. The game will likely be decided by whether the Broncos' defense can stop a Ravens ground game that leads the league with 200 rushing yards per game. Denver's defense and play-calling has been mighty impressive this year, but they'll have a tall task on their hands in slowing down both quarterback Lamar Jackson and running back Derrick Henry. We certainly wouldn't recommend Denver's D/ST in DFS against a Ravens offense that has been the third-worst matchup for defensive units this year.
From RotoBaller
Denver Broncos kicker Wil Lutz will be looking for a bounce-back performance in Week 9 versus the Baltimore Ravens in Week 9 after making just four extra points the week prior in a 28-14 win over the Carolina Panthers. Lutz certainly has it in him in a Broncos offense that has looked much more efficient in the last few weeks under rookie QB Bo Nix. The 30-year-old veteran kicker has missed just one of his 18 field-goal tries and is a perfect 16-for-16 on extra points in eight weeks in 2024 to make him the No. 5 fantasy kicker in overall points. Lutz always has bust potential in fantasy, but the opportunity is certainly there going up against a Ravens defense that is tied for the 11th-most fantasy points allowed to kickers per game. Baltimore's struggling defense gives Lutz a safer floor as a streaming option in deeper fantasy leagues.
From RotoBaller
Arizona Cardinals wide receiver Michael Wilson would be a risky flex play in Week 9 when the Cardinals host the Chicago Bears. Wilson has recently put together some solid fantasy performances, including a five-catch, 31-yard, and one-touchdown game against the Miami Dolphins in Week 8. Although he is becoming more involved in the Cardinals' passing offense, he remains a touchdown-dependent fantasy player. With the Cardinals facing the stout Bears defense, there may be fewer scoring opportunities for the offense, which could limit production. However, Wilson is still capable of delivering a solid fantasy outing. He would be a risky flex option for managers in Week 9.
From RotoBaller
