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FFL: Offseason | NFL: Week 18

WR Strength of Schedule

Fri May 31 10:52am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

Lamb could top last season


Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the receiver position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to receivers last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the receivers with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the receivers that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.

  WR SOS  
1. Denver Broncos 531.34
2. Los Angeles Chargers 536.08
3. Miami Dolphins 537.31
4. Kansas City Chiefs 549.96
5. Las Vegas Raiders 552.89
6. Pittsburgh Steelers 554.85
7. New England Patriots 555.93
8. Buffalo Bills 556.13
9. Houston Texans 561.75
10. San Francisco 49ers 565.73
11. New Orleans Saints 566.06
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 566.19
13. Cincinnati Bengals 566.32
14. Jacksonville Jaguars 570.07
15. Baltimore Ravens 571.77
16. Seattle Seahawks 573.41
17. Minnesota Vikings 573.91
18. Philadelphia Eagles 574.46
19. Carolina Panthers 575.49
20. Los Angeles Rams 575.79
21. Washington Commanders 575.91
22. Detroit Lions 576.36
23. Atlanta Falcons 577.76
24. New York Jets 577.99
25. Tennessee Titans 578.06
26. Indianapolis Colts 578.18
27. Cleveland Browns 583.5
28. Arizona Cardinals 586.09
29. New York Giants 586.93
30. Chicago Bears 601.21
31. Dallas Cowboys 608.4
32. Green Bay Packers 610.22

 

The Packers have the easiest fantasy schedule for receivers. Jayden Reed and Christian Watson could be setup for career best seasons with this schedule. These are guys you can get a little later come draft day and mid-round options that could be difference makers for fantasy owners.

CeeDee Lamb is considered the No. 1 overall fantasy receiver for many and his schedule helps make that claim even stronger. Lamb has the second most favorable schedule for receivers. Lamb was huge last year and could improve on that even more, especially since the Cowboys could struggle to run the ball with their current options.

The Bears, Giants and Cardinals also round out the top-five most favorable receiver schedules. Chicago has a great trio of receivers with D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen and rookie Rome Odunze.  These guys could produce big as long as rookie Caleb Williams gets the job done at quarterback in year one. Moore has more to compete with for targets this year, but you still have to like his chances for a big season in year two with the Bears.

The Giants and Cardinals both have some question marks at receiver, but a couple rookies lead the way for both teams. Malik Nabers and Marvin Harrison could have big rookie seasons with their new teams. These guys both have a chance to lead all rookie fantasy receivers in scoring.

On the opposite side of things, the Broncos have the most challenging schedule for receivers. The Broncos have all sorts of questions at receiver outside of Courtland Sutton. This is a unit of receivers you just might want to avoid come draft day. This schedule won’t make anything easier for this group.

The Chargers are a similar team to the Broncos, having openings and questions at receiver. So once again, it might be best to let someone else put Chargers receivers on their roster. Plus, the Chargers could be a lot more run heavy with a new coach running the show. The tough schedule and new offense make taking any Chargers receiver a bit of a risk.

There are two really good offenses on the list that have tough schedules for receivers. Both the Dolphins and Chiefs have a top-five least favorable schedule for receivers. The Dolphins have one of the best receiver duos in football, so it is tough to fade them because of this schedule. Both Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle should be able to produce big numbers once again in this offense.

The Chiefs are a little more concerning. This offense is a little matchup proof, but don’t have that elite receiver on their roster. Rashee Rice and Marquise Brown lead the way. Brown hasn’t been great in recent seasons and Rice is facing a suspension. These guys will carry some risk come draft day, especially after seeing this schedule.

Davante Adams is usually another star receiver that is matchup proof, but you have to wonder a little this year. He has some question marks at quarterback, which could hurt his production when you pair it with this schedule. Adams is dealing with the fifth toughest fantasy schedule for receivers.

We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy receivers. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the receivers with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.

  WR PLAYOFF SOS  
1. Los Angeles Rams 501.93
2. Jacksonville Jaguars 515.53
3. Kansas City Chiefs 519.43
4. New York Giants 521.63
5. Miami Dolphins 532.77
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 534.53
7. Houston Texans 538
8. Buffalo Bills 540.87
9. Las Vegas Raiders 541.9
10. Carolina Panthers 549.33
11. Cincinnati Bengals 552.17
12. Detroit Lions 553.73
13. Arizona Cardinals 555.27
14. Cleveland Browns 555.4
15. Minnesota Vikings 560.93
16. New England Patriots 573.03
17. Los Angeles Chargers 573.1
18. Tennessee Titans 575.17
19. Baltimore Ravens 581.27
20. Seattle Seahawks 585.08
21. New York Jets 585.5
22. Denver Broncos 587.2
23. Pittsburgh Steelers 587.8
24. Philadelphia Eagles 589.73
25. Green Bay Packers 590.85
26. Washington Commanders 591.57
27. New Orleans Saints 604.13
28. Dallas Cowboys 609.73
29. Indianapolis Colts 614
30. San Francisco 49ers 641.53
31. Atlanta Falcons 644.93
32. Chicago Bears 647.98

 

The Bears and Cowboys are the teams that make both the top five easiest receiver schedules for both the regular season and playoffs. Chicago has the easiest for the entire playoffs. Once again, their top trio of receivers are looking pretty good come draft day.

Lamb continues to make his case to be the first receiver selected come draft day. He could have a monster season and finish strong as well with the fifth easiest schedule for the playoffs. Lamb might be the most surefire first-round pick come draft day.

The Falcons, 49ers and Colts also have a top-five favorable playoff schedule for receivers. Atlanta receivers were looking up to begin with, getting a legit quarterback throwing them passes this year. And this schedule makes their options look even better, especially Drake London. He could have a breakout season.

San Francisco has great options at receiver in Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel. They are pretty safe picks come draft day. And they get a very favorable playoff schedule that could make them even more appealing to fantasy owners. These guys both have really solid floors come draft day in this offense.

Michael Pittman keeps getting it done as the No. 1 option for the Colts. If Anthony Richardson can become that true No. 1 at quarterback for Indy, Pittman would look even better. Pittman has produced in recent year despite having some quarterback issues. His game could go to a higher level this year if Richardson breaks out. Pittman could be a league winner if everything breaks his way in 2024.

The Chiefs and Dolphins are two of the best offenses in football but also the only two teams to make the top five most unfavorable receiver schedules for both the regular season and playoffs. This is a tad concerning for both teams, Again, it is tough to bet against Hill, but maybe you drop him down your rankings just few spots behind the other elite guys because of this. You hate to use an early round pick on a receiver to see him maybe not produce what he should come playoff time.

And as mentioned with the Chiefs, their top two receivers already face a few question marks, so maybe their tough schedules make them players to let someone else draft. Both Brown and Rice could be a little erratic.

The Rams actually have the toughest playoff schedule for receivers. They are another team with two of the best receivers in football. It is tough to bet against either Puka Nacua or Cooper Kupp, but the playoff schedule is a little scary, especially for Kupp. He seems to be trending down at this stage of his career.

The Jaguars and Giants are the two other teams with a top-five unfavorable fantasy schedule for the playoffs. The Jags have Christian Kirk and Gabriel Davis as their top two receivers. Kirk is normally pretty steady but Davis can be boom or bust. Seeing his playoff schedule should bump him down a few spots in your rankings. It could be more of the same for Davis with his new team.

And the Giants are an outlier here, having an easy schedule for receivers during the regular season but the fourth toughest for the playoffs. This makes it tough come draft day. Their receivers could be good values for the regular season but disappoint when it counts. You do have to just make the playoffs, though, so we aren’t sure we shy away from Giant receivers just because of their tough playoff schedule. You still might be able to get good value with their options that help you win during the season.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Bender's Starts/Sits: Week 17

Player Notes
Chigoziem Okonkwo Jan 3 2:00am ET
Chigoziem Okonkwo

Tennessee Titans tight end Chig Okonkwo (abdomen) was added to the injury report after logging a limited practice on Thursday. The 25-year-old was not previously known to have an injury, so his status warrants monitoring as the Titans' Week 18 contest against the Houston Texans draws closer. Okonkwo has never missed a game through nearly three seasons in the NFL. He has come on quite strong lately, catching 22 of 28 targets for 182 yards over his last three games. If active this Sunday, he'll continue to rank as a fringe top-12 fantasy tight end.

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Juwan Johnson Jan 3 2:00am ET
Juwan Johnson

New Orleans Saints tight end Juwan Johnson (knee) was a limited participant during practice on Thursday. This was the second day in a row that he had limited involvement. The 28-year-old has not yet missed a game this season, amassing 44 catches, 468 yards, and three touchdowns through 16 contests. His production seemed to be declining with Derek Carr (hand) sidelined, but that changed last week as he caught six of 10 targets for 66 yards through the air. If he can maintain this type of workload in Week 18, Johnson will be a viable low-end TE1 in fantasy football.

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Tyler Boyd Jan 3 12:50am ET
Tyler Boyd

Tennessee Titans wide receiver Tyler Boyd (foot) did not participate in Thursday's practice. Boyd was sidelined for the second day in a row, casting serious doubt about his availability for Week 18 against the Houston Texans. He hasn't been inactive yet this season but could be at risk of missing Sunday's regular-season finale. The veteran receiver has caught 39 passes for 390 yards through 16 games, but he's still searching for his first touchdown as a member of the Titans. If Boyd can't suit up, we'd expect some combination of Mason Kinsey and Bryce Oliver in the No. 3 receiver role behind Calvin Ridley and Nick Westbrook-Ikhine.

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Nick Folk Jan 3 12:50am ET
Nick Folk

Tennessee Titans kicker Nick Folk (abdomen) was a limited participant during Thursday's practice. This was an improvement for the 40-year-old after being estimated as a non-participant on Wednesday. Folk kicked in each of the Titans' first 14 games this season, but he has missed the last two contests due to injury. His return to practice on Thursday comes one day after the Titans released Matthew Wright from their active roster. All signs point to Folk suiting up for Sunday's regular-season finale against the Houston Texans.

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Xavier Legette Jan 3 12:30am ET
Xavier Legette

Carolina Panthers wide receiver Xavier Legette (hip, wrist) was limited during practice on Thursday. The rookie had been a full participant on Wednesday, so this latest update does raise some concerns about his availability for Week 18. The 23-year-old has caught 46 passes for 467 yards and four touchdowns while operating behind Adam Thielen this season. He continues to lose some targets to Jalen Coker and David Moore, but he remains an intriguing dynasty target as he wraps up a solid first campaign in the NFL. In the short term, Legette's status for Week 18 remains up in the air, but we should get more clarity on his status when the Panthers release their Friday injury report.

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Bailey Zappe Jan 2 11:50pm ET
Bailey Zappe

The Baltimore Ravens defense/special teams has put up some respectable numbers during the later part of this season. They've played their way to the 11th highest-scoring fantasy unit from Week 13 until now, and they draw quite the favorable matchup. The Ravens are 20.5-point favorites since the Cleveland Browns are starting Bailey Zappe and will be without Nick Chubb (foot), Jerome Ford (ankle), and David Njoku (knee). This is the type of matchup that defenses usually feast on, so fantasy managers can look forward to deploying the Ravens in plenty of lineups.

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Zay Flowers Jan 2 10:30pm ET
Zay Flowers

Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Zay Flowers didn't get in on the scoring action during the blowout win over the Houston Texans in Week 17. After being the first receiver named to the Pro Bowl in franchise history, Flowers will look to build some momentum going into the playoffs against the Cleveland Browns in Week 18. The last time the two teams faced off in Week 8, he finished as a WR2, and they'll be without Denzel Ward (shoulder) while Grant Delpit is playing through shoulder and knee injuries. Flowers holds high-end WR2 value again in a game that could decide the winner of the AFC North.

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Justin Tucker Jan 2 10:30pm ET
Justin Tucker

Baltimore Ravens kicker Justin Tucker registered his second finish in K1 territory in a row. He knocked through his lone field goal attempt of 52 yards and made all four of his extra points. Now, he returns home to face the Cleveland Browns in a game that could decide the winner of the AFC North and the third seed for the AFC. With the Browns fielding a mix-and-match roster due to rest and injuries, the Ravens' offense should be able to move the ball into Tucker's range. He remains a solid fantasy start in the season finale.

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Aaron Jones Jan 2 10:23pm ET
Aaron Jones

Dynasty | Vikings running back Aaron Jones wants to stay in Minnesota beyond this season. Dynasty Analysis: Jones was signed to a one-year $7 million "prove it" contract and, well, proved it with over 1,000 rushing yards, 46 catches, nearly 400 receiving yards and seven touchdowns with a game to play. The Vikings have some serious decisions to make in regards to their offense as both Jones and Sam Darnold proved to be amazing veteran additions. At this point, it would be surprising to see Minnesota just let him leave in free agency unless he was somehow offered a high-money multi-year deal somewhere else, which seems unlikely given his age. Jones is a solid veteran in dynasty leagues and should retain his value regardless of what happens here moving forward.

Myles Garrett Jan 2 10:23pm ET
Myles Garrett

Cleveland Browns DE Myles Garrett's 14.0 sacks are tied for the most in the NFL, and his 21 tackles for loss lead the league.

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Rashod Bateman Jan 2 10:10pm ET
Rashod Bateman

Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Rashod Bateman has been a boom-or-bust option all season long despite logging the best year of his career so far. He remains the most consistent deep threat on the team as he averages 17 yards per reception and 10.6 yards per target. The Cleveland Browns are a bit banged up and don't have any playoff aspirations, so Bateman could find his way behind the defense for another long touchdown play. His boom-or-bust nature leaves him as more of a flex play though.

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Antoine Winfield Jr. Jan 2 10:00pm ET
Antoine Winfield Jr.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers safety Antoine Winfield Jr. (knee) was a limited participant during Thursday's practice session. It's nice to see Winfield back at practice considering he hasn't played since suffering a knee injury in Week 14. A limited session on Thursday indicates that Winfield has a decent chance at playing against the New Orleans Saints on Sunday. If so, that would be a huge upgrade for this secondary who desperately misses Winfield. This season, Winfield has 60 tackles, two sacks, and three passes defended in nine games.

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Mark Andrews Jan 2 10:00pm ET
Mark Andrews

Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews is the TE5 on the season in half-PPR formats and has hauled in a touchdown in each of the last five games. The Ravens will go up against the Cleveland Browns on Saturday with a chance at winning the AFC North, so the starters will suit up against a team that has a laundry list of injuries. Andrews remains a TE1 heading into the season finale especially with a TE1 finish against the Browns the last time they played in Week 8.

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Payne Durham Jan 2 9:50pm ET
Payne Durham

Tampa Bay Buccaneers tight end Payne Durham (quad) was a limited participant during Thursday's practice session. This is good news after Durham sat out to open the week due to a quad issue. Durham has seen a bigger role on offense lately with Cade Otton (knee) missing the last two games. Otton was able to get back on the practice field on Thursday as well. The return of Otton would basically end the streaming value that Durham has created for himself. Possibly, Durham has played well enough to remain involved, but he'll fall further on the pecking order if Otton returns for this weekend's matchup against the New Orleans Saints.

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Harrison Smith Jan 2 9:40pm ET
Harrison Smith

Minnesota Vikings safety Harrison Smith (foot) was upgraded to a full participant during Thursday's practice session. Smith opened the week as a limited participant after battling through a foot injury during last week's win over the Green Bay Packers. The fact that Smith was able to get through a full practice session on Thursday means that he should be good to go for Sunday's game against the Detroit Lions. The All-Pro safety is a big part of this defense with 83 tackles, nine passes defended, and two interceptions in 15 games this season.

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Dustin Hopkins Jan 2 9:40pm ET
Dustin Hopkins

Cleveland Browns kicker Dustin Hopkins made his lone field-goal attempt in a Week 17 loss to the Miami Dolphins. He will look to finish up what has been a tough season for him in a Week 18 road matchup against the Baltimore Ravens on Saturday. The Ravens have been decent against kickers this season, allowing the 13th-most fantasy points per game to the position. Neither Hopkins nor the Cleveland offense has done much to inspire confidence in fantasy this season, leaving him as a low-end option heading into Week 18.

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Sterling Shepard Jan 2 9:40pm ET
Sterling Shepard

Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Sterling Shepard (hamstring) remained a limited participant during Thursday's practice session. This marks two days in a row that Shepard has been limited after missing last week's win over the Carolina Panthers. There is a decent chance that Shepard returns this weekend, but his fantasy outlook is bleak. Rookie wideout Jalen McMillan has taken a major step forward over the last few weeks. Both McMillan and Mike Evans figure to be the focal point in the receiving game going forward. The absence of Shepard could mean more snaps for Trey Palmer, but he hasn't done anything noteworthy lately.

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Trey Hendrickson Jan 2 9:33pm ET
Trey Hendrickson

Cincinnati Bengals DE Trey Hendrickson is tied for the league lead with 14.0 sacks, and he ranks second with 31 quarterback hits and a pass rush win rate of 24.1%.

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Kalif Raymond Jan 2 9:30pm ET
Kalif Raymond

Detroit Lions wide receiver Kalif Raymond (foot) was a full participant in practice for the second straight day on Thursday. Raymond was designated to return from the injured reserve last Thursday. Afterwards, Raymond was a full participant in practice, but remained sidelined for Monday's game against the San Francisco 49ers. It remains to be seen if the Lions will let him back get on the field for the regular season finale against the Minnesota Vikings this weekend. Raymond has 16 receptions for 204 yards and two touchdowns this season. If active, fantasy managers shouldn't expect Raymond to be a difference maker during Sunday's game.

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Elijah Moore Jan 2 9:30pm ET
Elijah Moore

Cleveland Browns wide receiver Elijah Moore will finish off his 2024 season with a road matchup against the Baltimore Ravens on Saturday. Moore has been quiet of late, having caught just eight passes for 55 yards over his past four contests. The Ravens have struggled against wide receivers this season, allowing the fourth-most fantasy points per game to the position. The entire Cleveland passing attack gets a small upgrade as the team will start Bailey Zappe in place of Dorian Thompson-Robinson in the season finale. That being said, Moore hasn't been consistent enough to trust as anything more than a WR5 in fantasy heading into Week 18.

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