Tue Jun 11 11:11am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Bowers could have big year one
Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the tight end position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to tight ends last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the tight ends with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the tight ends that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.
TE SOS | ||
1. | Cincinnati Bengals | 186.39 |
2. | Miami Dolphins | 193.98 |
3. | Philadelphia Eagles | 196.38 |
4. | Washington Commanders | 197.75 |
5. | Houston Texans | 198.15 |
6. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 199.18 |
7. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 199.68 |
8. | New York Giants | 201 |
9. | Dallas Cowboys | 201.18 |
10. | Los Angeles Rams | 201.38 |
11. | Buffalo Bills | 201.39 |
12. | Chicago Bears | 201.66 |
13. | Arizona Cardinals | 201.76 |
14. | New York Jets | 202.56 |
15. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 202.86 |
16. | Baltimore Ravens | 203.04 |
17. | Denver Broncos | 203.95 |
18. | Los Angeles Chargers | 204.02 |
19. | Atlanta Falcons | 204.25 |
20. | Cleveland Browns | 204.59 |
21. | New Orleans Saints | 205.62 |
22. | Seattle Seahawks | 205.73 |
23. | San Francisco 49ers | 206.80 |
24. | Indianapolis Colts | 206.89 |
25. | Detroit Lions | 207.92 |
26. | New England Patriots | 208.23 |
27. | Kansas City Chiefs | 210.92 |
28. | Tennessee Titans | 211.44 |
29. | Green Bay Packers | 212.07 |
30. | Minnesota Vikings | 212.23 |
31. | Carolina Panthers | 213.66 |
32. | Las Vegas Raiders | 213.81 |
A rookie led fantasy tight ends in scoring last year and the top rated rookie tight end this year gets the easiest fantasy schedule for tight end. Brock Browers and the Raiders have the most favorable schedule for tight ends. Sam LaPorta showed last year that a rookie can make an immediate fantasy impact, so don’t discount Browers to have big-time success in year one. He certainly looks the part of an elite tight end.
Another rookie with a good chance to start has the second easiest schedule for tight ends. Panthers tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders will compete with Tommy Tremble to start, but should emerge and be the top pass-catching tight end. He is looking like a good late-round gamble for fantasy teams.
The Vikings, Packers and Titans round out the top-five most favorable schedules for tight ends. T.J. Hockenson would be looking like a great pick if he wasn’t returning from a major injury. He is no sure thing to play early in the year. But once he is healthy, he could help fantasy teams in a big way once again.
Green Bay is likely to have Luke Musgrave and Tucker Kraft split a lot of the work at tight end, hurting both their value. They could produce some big games along the way, though, making them decent No. 2 fantasy tight ends this season. Both produced well in an expanded role last year.
Lastly, Chin Okonkwo didn’t quite have the breakout season many hoped last year, but he wasn’t bad by any means. Maybe he gets a few more chances this year and has some bigger games along the way with this favorable schedule. He is another decent tight end to grab as your backup.
The teams that top the list for toughest fantasy tight end schedules are teams that haven’t really utilized the tight end much in recent seasons. The Bengals have the toughest schedule followed bye the Dolphins. Mike Gesicki is the starter for the Bengals, but probably isn’t worth the risk with this schedule and the Bengals recent track record with tight ends.
Miami uses their tight ends to block more than anything in their offense. They have the occasional big game, but Jonnu Smith is going to be a risky weekly fantasy play. He would have looked much better landing with a different team.
There are a couple big-time fantasy tight ends that have unfavorable schedules. Dallas Goedert has the third toughest schedule. Goedert can be a little hit or miss to begin with in this offense, so this schedule gives him a little more concern. You might want to pass on him come draft day and go with another elite tight end with a better schedule and more consistency.
Dalton Schultz is the other elite tight end with a top-five unfavorable schedule. Schultz had a big first season with the Texans, becoming a favorite target of C.J. Stroud. He should get the targets this year. But he has a challenging schedule and more to compete with for targets, so his consistency might be a little off this year compared to last.
We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy tight ends. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the tight ends with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big-money contests.
TE PLAYOFF SOS | ||
1. | Atlanta Falcons | 175 |
2. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 182.37 |
3. | Philadelphia Eagles | 184.73 |
4. | Arizona Cardinals | 187.67 |
5. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 187.77 |
6. | New England Patriots | 189.83 |
7. | Miami Dolphins | 190.37 |
8. | New Orleans Saints | 191.3 |
9. | Los Angeles Rams | 192.17 |
10. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 192.43 |
11. | Cincinnati Bengals | 196.1 |
12. | Detroit Lions | 196.12 |
13. | Houston Texans | 196.2 |
14. | Indianapolis Colts | 198.97 |
15. | Buffalo Bills | 199.63 |
16. | Kansas City Chiefs | 203.03 |
17. | New York Jets | 204.13 |
18. | Carolina Panthers | 205.7 |
19. | Baltimore Ravens | 205.9 |
20. | Green Bay Packers | 207.7 |
21. | Chicago Bears | 213.73 |
22. | New York Giants | 214.27 |
23. | Seattle Seahawks | 214.72 |
24. | Cleveland Browns | 214.97 |
25. | Dallas Cowboys | 215.8 |
26. | Las Vegas Raiders | 219.4 |
27. | Washington Commanders | 220.13 |
28. | Denver Broncos | 220.8 |
29. | Minnesota Vikings | 221.72 |
30. | Tennessee Titans | 223.73 |
31. | San Francisco 49ers | 225.53 |
32. | Los Angeles Chargers | 228.53 |
The Titans and Vikings are the only two teams with the most favorable fantasy schedule for tight ends during the regular season and playoffs. Hockenson is the intriguing one because he might not be fully healthy until late in the season. So while he might not be a huge fantasy factor for the regular season, Hockenson might be a difference maker in the playoffs.
Okonkwo is looking like a player worth grabbing as a No. 2 fantasy tight end, especially if you have an established starter ahead of him. Okonkwo has a high fantasy ceiling for the coming year because of a schedule that could facilitate a breakout season for him.
The Chargers actually have the best fantasy playoff schedule for tight ends. Donald Parham is the likely starter and has some potential in an offense looking for playmakers in the passing game. This could be his best season to date, making him an intriguing late-round gamble.
George Kittle is the biggest name on the list for top-five favorable fantasy tight end playoff schedules. He is going to produce big and could be even better down the stretch with a schedule setup for success.
The Falcons have the most challenging playoff schedule for fantasy tight ends. This is not good news for Kyle Pitts. He is already a polarizing fantasy player, so this schedule won’t do him any favors to get in good graces with more fantasy owners. Many think he could finally turn things around this year with a new coaching staff in place, but nothing is certain with this situation. Pitts could be a boom or bust pick once again.
The Eagles are the only team on both the top five most difficult fantasy schedules for tight ends for the regular season and playoffs. Goedert is looking like a player you might want to let someone else grab come draft day. There are a lot of good, young options at tight end this year. Going with one of those guys over Goedert might be the play on draft day.
Trey McBride is a favorite for many fantasy owners this year for a breakout season. He had a huge finish to last year and is shooting up draft boards. We wouldn’t avoid him come draft day because he has the fourth toughest fantasy playoff schedule. It is a little bit of a concern, but not a huge red flag for the talented tight end. Maybe just prepare for his numbers to dip a tad during the playoffs.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 9
Las Vegas Raiders cornerback Nate Hobbs (ankle) and left tackle Kolton Miller (ankle) have been ruled out for the remainder of Week 9 against the Cincinnati Bengals. Both players were initially listed as questionable upon exiting but eventually downgraded to out. Hobbs had registered five tackles prior to his departure, bringing his season total to 43. Darnay Holmes and Decamerion Richardson should earn more defensive snaps for the duration of Hobbs' absence. On the offensive side of the ball, Miller's departure is bad news for Gardner Minshew II and Alexander Mattison. He had not previously missed a snap this season. Miller was initially replaced by Andrus Peat at left tackle, but then Peat exited with an ankle injury of his own, leaving Thayer Munford and Delmar Glaze as the Raiders' only healthy tackles.
From RotoBaller
Chicago Bears defensive lineman Montez Sweat (shin) is inactive for their Week 9 contest against the Arizona Cardinals. Sweat has been a key piece to the team's pass rush while he has amassed 3.5 sacks, 15 combined tackles (10 solo), and five tackles for loss. Darrell Taylor is the next defensive end on the depth chart, so he'll likely rotate in with some other linemen for this game.
From RotoBaller
Tennessee Titans free safety Quandre Diggs (foot) has been ruled out for the remainder of Sunday's game against the New England Patriots. At the time of his departure, he had registered three tackles, bringing his season total to 42. Look for Mike Brown to step in as the Titans' primary free safety until Diggs is able to return.
From RotoBaller
Green Bay Packers running back Josh Jacobs (ankle) is officially active for Week 9 against the Detroit Lions. He had been listed as questionable after logging a pair of limited practices prior to this weekend. The 26-year-old has been quite productive in his first season with Green Bay, tallying 667 rushing yards, 115 receiving yards, and four touchdowns while ranking as the overall RB11. He's worth deploying as a low-end RB1 this week, especially with rainy conditions expected to necessitate a run-heavy gameplan for both Green Bay and Detroit.
From RotoBaller
Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (groin) is officially active for Week 9 against the Detroit Lions. He had been listed as questionable after logging two consecutive limited practices. While Love is going to start, the Packers are expected to be cautious with him, which means they'll monitor his pain levels and performance throughout the duration of Sunday's game. In the event that he can't finish the game, Malik Willis would be next in line at the quarterback position. Between his injury, a tough matchup against the Lions, and some rainy conditions in Green Bay, Love drops to the QB2 tier in fantasy football this week.
From RotoBaller
Chicago Bears running back Khalil Herbert appeared on the inactive report ahead of the team's Week 9 matchup with the Arizona Cardinals. The Bears decided to roll with D'Andre Swift, Roschon Johnson, and Travis Homer as their three backs for the week. Herbert is now falling out of the lineup and shouldn't be on anyone's fantasy radar.
From RotoBaller
Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Puka Nacua (knee) is officially active for Week 9 against the Seattle Seahawks. Nacua had been listed as questionable, and there were real concerns about his availability after he missed practice on Friday. In the end, though, he'll suit up for Sunday's divisional battle. Nacua is coming off a seven-catch, 106-yard performance and should continue to be treated as a low-end fantasy WR1 versus Seattle.
From RotoBaller
Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Gabe Davis (shoulder) was already considered a longshot to play in Week 9, but he's been confirmed as inactive for their late afternoon contest. Brian Thomas Jr. (chest), on the other hand, was ruled as active and should see plenty of targets with Christian Kirk (collarbone) out for the rest of the season. Parker Washington will also see more opportunities as the second receiver in this game.
From RotoBaller
Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Jordan Whittington (shoulder) is officially inactive for Sunday's game against the Seattle Seahawks. He had been listed as questionable after logging limited practices ahead of Week 9. The 24-year-old has been dealing with an injury ever since Week 7, and it's going to result in him being sidelined for at least one more game. Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua continue to be the only must-start fantasy receivers within the Rams' offense.
From RotoBaller
Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. (chest) was expected to play in Week 9 and the inactive list has confirmed that he will, in fact, suit up against the Philadelphia Eagles. The rookie pass-catcher has been a big part of this offense and is expected to take on a bit more of the target share with Christian Kirk (collarbone) out for the rest of the year and Gabe Davis (shoulder) ruled out. Thomas even draws a matchup in his favor as the Eagles are in the top 10 in terms of fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers.
From RotoBaller
Jacksonville Jaguars running back Tank Bigsby (ankle) is officially active for the Week 9 game against the Philadelphia Eagles. His fellow running mate, Travis Etienne Jr. (hamstring), is also active so the two of them should return to a timeshare in this game. With that being said, it could be a tough fantasy week for the backfield against an Eagles defense that allows the fourth-fewest fantasy points per game to opposing backfields.
From RotoBaller
Green Bay Packers cornerback Jaire Alexander (knee) is inactive for Week 9 against the Detroit Lions. He had been listed as questionable but was trending in the wrong direction after missing three consecutive practices. The 27-year-old will now have extra time to get healthy between today's absence and the Packers' Week 10 bye. For now, Eric Stokes and Corey Ballentine should see extra opportunities in the secondary.
From RotoBaller
Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Drake London (hip) has officially been downgraded to out for the rest of their Week 9 matchup against the Dallas Cowboys. Darnell Mooney, Ray-Ray McCloud III, and Kyle Pitts will all see added opportunities while KhaDarel Hodge could see some snaps as well. London finishes the game with two catches for 27 yards and one touchdown on two targets. The team will likely perform some tests on his hip following the game and into Monday morning.
From RotoBaller
Cincinnati Bengals tight end Erick All Jr. (knee) has been tagged as doubtful to return to their Week 9 contest against the Las Vegas Raiders. The rookie was enjoying a solid start to their game but had to leave in the first half with a knee injury. If he doesn't return, he'll finish with two receptions for 24 yards on two targets. If All remains out, Mike Gesicki should see an uptick in snaps, while Tanner Hudson will see some more opportunities as well.
From RotoBaller
Jacksonville Jaguars running back Travis Etienne Jr. (hamstring) has been deemed as active ahead of their late afternoon kickoff. The 25-year-old was expected to play in this one, so it's not a complete surprise, but at least he's been confirmed. Tank Bigsby (ankle) has also been ruled as active, so they'll go back to a timeshare in the backfield. It could be tough sledding though as the Philadelphia Eagles are one of the toughest teams against opposing backfields.
From RotoBaller
New Orleans Saints wide receiver Chris Olave (concussion) won't return to Sunday's game against the Panthers. He took a hard hit in the first quarter and was carted off the field, so most had already assumed he wouldn't be back. However, with Olave already suffering a concussion this season, there's a good chance he could miss time moving ahead. Of course, fantasy managers will be anxiously awaiting an update. Fortunately, the wideout was moving all of his extremities. But without Olave in the mix, Juwan Johnson, Cedrick Wilson Jr., and Mason Tipton could see more attention on the receiving end.
From RotoBaller
Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Drake London (hip) is questionable to return to Sunday's matchup versus the Dallas Cowboys. The wideout was busy early in Week 9, amassing two catches for 27 yards and a touchdown, finding the end zone off a nine-yard toss from Kirk Cousins. Hopefully, the hip issue won't keep him off the field for the remainder of the contest. But if London doesn't return, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts, and Ray-Ray McCloud III would be in line to see more attention from Cousins.
From RotoBaller
New Orleans Saints wide receiver Chris Olave (head) exited Sunday's meeting with the Carolina Panthers with what appeared to be a head injury. The wideout took a hard hit in the first quarter and remained down for several minutes before eventually being carted off. It's not an ideal scenario for the team, and it's also not good news for Olave, considering he missed time already this season because of a concussion. While it's too early to speculate, there's a good chance he won't return. If that's the case, he'll finish with one catch for 13 yards. For now, fantasy managers should at least consider Olave as questionable, with Juwan Johnson, Cedrick Wilson Jr., and Mason Tipton in line to see more targets.
From RotoBaller
Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (groin) is expected to start in Sunday's game against the Lions. However, Jay Glazer of Fox Sports reported that the team will monitor the signal-caller throughout the contest. If Love begins to show any signs of discomfort related to the groin strain suffered in Week 8 against the Jaguars, he'll be pulled, opening the door for Malik Willis to take over under center. While fantasy managers were certainly thrilled to hear the news regarding Love's availability in Week 9, he'll remain a risky option, considering he could be pulled at any point during the game.
From RotoBaller
Dallas Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott didn't travel with the team to Atlanta and was held out of the Week 9 matchup with the Falcons due to disciplinary reasons. While details were scarce when news broke on Saturday, Fox's Jay Glazer provided an update, reporting that Elliott was declared inactive because of missed meetings and "habitual tardiness." As a result, the team elevated Dalvin Cook off the practice squad, who will back up starter Rico Dowdle versus the Falcons. Now, fantasy managers are left wondering if Elliott will be back on the field for the Week 10 NFC East clash with the Philadelphia Eagles. If he's not, Cook will presumably continue to support Dowdle as the No. 2 option out of the backfield.
From RotoBaller