Mon Nov 4 9:29am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Wilson continued MVP season
It was a decent week of scoring in fantasy land. It wasn’t super high scoring but not low scoring, either. You could call it a middle of the road week. The receiver spot seemed to enjoy the most success. There were some really big scoring performances from fantasy receivers. Four receivers had double-digit receptions and 10 other receivers hit the 100-yard mark.
The quarterback spot saw much success once again in the pass-first NFL. Many quarterbacks racked up the touchdowns. We even had a five-touchdown performance (Russell Wilson). There were six quarterbacks that had three or more passing touchdowns. Passing yardage was a little down, though, compared to past weeks. We had six 300-yard passers in all.
Running games were decent with eight running backs hitting the 100-yard mark. That is a decent week, especially if you compare that to past weeks. There also were five backs that had multiple rushing touchdowns, making for some good fantasy games.
Here is to hoping you landed on the right side of things in Week 9!
49ers 28, Cardinals 25
Fantasy Stud: Kenyan Drake. Drake made quite the splash in his debut with the Cardinals. He not only got about all the work at running back but excelled in a starting role. He ran 15 times for 110 yards and a touchdown. He also caught four passes for 52 yards, giving him 162 total yards and a score. Drake has value as long as he is starting for the Cardinals going forward. He finally got a chance to start for a good offensive team and showed what he could do in that role. It was quite an impressive showing for Drake.
Fantasy Dud: Tevin Coleman. Coleman laid an egg after his huge Week 8 game. He got the work but ran 12 times for just 23 yards. He also caught just two passes for 13 yards. You just didn’t see this game coming, especially in a favorable matchup with the Cardinals. Coleman can rebound, though, as long as he keeps getting double-digit carries in the 49ers high-powered offensive attack.
Game Notes: Jimmy Garoppolo had his best game of the season, going 28-of-37 for 317 yards and four touchdowns without an interception. This was his second three-touchdown game of the season, but first 300-yard showing.
Emmanuel Sanders led the way at receiver for the 49ers in his second game with the team. He had seven receptions for 112 yards and a touchdown. It was Sanders second 100-yard game of the year and fourth time he hit 85-plus yards.
Texans 26, Jaguars 3
Fantasy Stud: DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins didn’t have a huge yardage game but racked up the catches and scored a touchdown. He had eight receptions for 48 yards and a touchdown, making for a very good fantasy showing. He finished just shy of 20 fantasy points, breaking a streak of two straight games with 20-plus fantasy points. Hopkins isn’t having a huge year but has been solid. He has touchdowns two of three and at least five receptions every game.
Fantasy Dud: D.J. Chark. Chark had a great matchup against a banged up defense but couldn’t take advantage. He had four receptions for 32 yards. Chark has really cooled since a great start to the season. He has fewer than 55 yards three of four games. Chark is still having a great rookie year but been more inconsistent since early in the season.
Game Notes: Carlos Hyde had his second 100-yard game of the year, having 19 carries for 160 yards. He also lost a fumble as he was going in for a score, which put a dent in his fantasy performance. Hyde has 80-plus rushing yards five of nine games.
Duke Johnson had a big game despite getting shutdown on the ground. He ran seven times for 13 yards and a touchdown. Johnson had five receptions for a team-high 68-receiving yards.
Bills 24, Redskins 9
Fantasy Stud: Devin Singletary. Singletary had a big day, leading the way at running back for the Bills. He had nine more carries than Frank Gore, having 20 carries for 95 yards and a touchdown. He also had three receptions for 45 yards, giving him 140 total yard sin the game. Both totals were a career high for Singletary. He has touchdowns two straight and could be emerging as the go-to back in this offense.
Fantasy Dud: Terry McLaurin. McLaurin had another down game, which has been a trend of late. He had four receptions for 39 yards. McLaurin has fewer than 40 yards three straight games. He has really played some good defenses in recent weeks, though, so don’t give up all hope on the rookie. He can get going again.
Game Notes: Adrian Peterson had his second 100-yard game. He had 18 carries for 108 yards. He has 75-plus rushing yards four straight games.
Dwayne Haskins struggled in a starting role once again. He failed to score a touchdown, going 15-of-22 for 144 yards without a touchdown or an interception.
Eagles 22, Bears 14
Fantasy Stud: Zach Ertz. Ertz finally had one of his big games. He had nine receptions for 103 yards and a touchdown. This was his first 100-yard game of the year and highest reception total of the season. Maybe this is the game that gets Ertz going. He had just one score doing into the game.
Fantasy Dud: Allen Robinson. Robinson had a great matchup and been playing great football, so this was expected to be a big showing for him. Well, that didn’t happen. He had just a catch for six yards. Both were season lows for Robinson. He had at least five receptions five straight games before this dud. With the Bears struggling offensively, Robinson might be a little more erratic going forward.
Game Notes: Mitchell Trubisky had more struggles, going 10-of-21 for 125 yards without a touchdown or interception against a bad Eagles secondary. He has failed to score a touchdown two straight and five of seven games he has played.
David Montgomery got most of the work at running back again and played well, rushing 14 times for 40 yards and two touchdowns. He also had three receptions for 36 yards, finishing with 76 total yards and two scores.
Chiefs 26, Vikings 23
Fantasy Stud: Tyreek Hill. Hill had six receptions for 140 yards and a touchdown. He made several big plays throughout the game. This was his first 100-yard game of the season. He has at least 74 yards four straight games since returning from his knee injury. Hill has been super consistent as the No. 1 target in this offense.
Fantasy Dud: Stefon Diggs. The Vikings had three passing touchdowns and 221-passing yards, but Diggs wasn’t apart of nearly all of the passing attack. He had just a catch for four yards, which was a big surprise, considering his recent play. Diggs had three straight 100-yard games before this performance.
Game Notes: Adam Thielen didn't last long in this game, re-aggravating his hamstring injury. He did not have a catch in the game and left very early. He could miss more time with this one.
Kirk Cousins didn’t have a ton of yardage, but continued his hot play. He had three touchdown passes without a turnover. Cousins has three-touchdown games three of four.
Steelers 26, Colts 24
Fantasy Stud: Jaylen Samuels. Samuels didn’t lead the Steelers in rushing but had a huge game in the passing attack. He had eight carries for just 10 yards, but 13 receptions for 73 yards. He is a huge asset in the passing game when in the starting lineup, giving him a lot of fantasy potential. James Conner remains the starter when healthy, but if he misses more time, Samuels has good fantasy value.
Fantasy Dud: JuJu Smith-Schuster. Smith-Schuster had just three receptions for 16 yards. This gives him fewer than five fantasy points three of five games. Smith-Schuster really needs Ben Roethlisberger back in the starting lineup. His production has really suffered this year.
Game Notes: Jacoby Brissett suffered a leg injury early in the game and was unable to return. He was 4-of-5 for 59 yards before leaving. Brian Hoyer played well in his place. He was 17-of-26 for 168 yards and three touchdowns with an interception.
Trey Edmunds was the surprise leading rusher for the Steelers. He had 12 carries for 73 yards. He won’t have much of a role when Conner is back, but could keep getting carries while he is out.
Dolphins 26, Jets 18
Fantasy Stud: Ryan Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick has re-gained his Fitz-magic. He was 24-of-36 for 288 yards and three touchdowns without a turnover. Fitzpatrick has multiple touchdowns three straight and seems to have a strong grip on the starter’s job in the Dolphins pass-heavy offense. He might be worth a streaming look in the right matchup.
Fantasy Dud: Mark Walton. Walton seemed setup for a good showing, starting against a bad defense with Kenyan Drake not in the mix anymore. Walton got his work but did about nothing with it. He had 12 carries for just 29 yards. He also caught three passes for just 12 yards. Walton is going to be a hard player to trust in this offense going forward - even in a starting role.
Game Notes: Preston Williams had five receptions for 72 yards and two touchdowns. Williams has at least four receptions all but two games this year. He is making a name for himself in this offense.
Jamison Crowder led the Jets in receiving, catching eight passes for 83 yards and a touchdown. This was his first touchdown of the season, but Crowder has at least four receptions five of eight games.
Panthers 30, Titans 20
Fantasy Stud: Christian McCaffrey. McCaffrey had another one of his game-changing performances. He ran 24 times for 146 yards and two touchdowns. He also had three receptions for 20 yards and a score, giving him 166 total yards and three touchdowns. McCaffrey has touchdown all but a game this year and is making a big-time run at No. 1 overall fantasy back. He is some kind of back.
Fantasy Dud: Jonnu Smith. Smith got another start at tight end with Delanie Walker out, but did little after a couple solid performances. He had three receptions for 18 yards. Smith had 60-plus yards two straight before this game. He still has potential in a starting role in this offense, but isn’t a sure thing by any means.
Game Notes: Ryan Tannehill had his second 300-yard game of the season. He was 27-of-39 for 331 yards and a touchdown with two interceptions. He also ran in a score, giving him multiple touchdowns three straight games in a starting role.
D.J. Moore had his first 100-yard game of the season. He had seven receptions for 101 yards on 10 targets. He has 70-plus yards five of eight games.
Raiders 31, Lions 24
Fantasy Stud: Matthew Stafford. Stafford continued his red hot play, picking apart the Raiders secondary. He was 26-of-41 for 406 yards and three touchdowns with an interception. Stafford has three straight games with 300-plus yards and three-plus touchdowns. He has five three-touchdown games this season. He is having a huge season and performing as well as any fantasy quarterback in the game.
Fantasy Dud: Ty Johnson. Johnson did lead the way at running back for the Lions this week, but still didn’t produce with his chances. He ran nine times for 29 yards and caught three passes for seven yards. So he had 12 touches for 36 yards. Johnson might be the lead back for the Lions but that doesn’t mean you should play him. He is doing very little with this chances. The Lions are suddenly a pass-first team.
Game Notes: Josh Jacobs topped 120 yards for the third time in four games. He ran 28 times for 120 yards and two touchdowns. The only negative for Jacobs in the game was he didn’t have a catch.
Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones both hit the 100-yard mark. Golladay had four receptions for 132 yards and a touchdown. Jones caught eight passes for 126 yards and a touchdown.
Seahawks 40, Bucs 34
Fantasy Stud: Tyler Lockett. There were several big showings in this game, but Lockett gets the nod for “stud” honors. He had 13 receptions for 152 yards and two touchdowns. This is the third time he had double-digit receptions in a game. He also has three 100-yard games and six touchdowns. Lockett is quickly becoming an elite fantasy receiver.
Fantasy Dud: Cameron Brate. Brate got the start with O.J. Howard out once again, but failed to do anything in this game. He didn’t even catch a pass, getting shutout for the first time this year. It was a bad time for Brate to lay an egg in a game that saw the Bucs throw for 300-plus yards and score 34 points. There is not a tight end on the Bucs roster that you can trust.
Game Notes: Russell Wilson continued his MVP season. He was 29-of-43 for 378 yards and five touchdowns without an interception. Wilson has 25 total touchdowns to one interception this season.
Mike Evans had his second straight game with double-digit touchdowns and 100-plus yards. He had 12 receptions for 180 yards and a touchdown. He has 23 receptions for 378 yards and three touchdowns his last two games.
Broncos 24, Browns 19
Fantasy Stud: Noah Fant. Fant had three receptions for 115 yards and a touchdown. It was his first 100-yard game as a pro. He did not have more than 40 yards in a game until this big showing. It was an encouraging performance for the rookie tight end. Maybe the quarterback change will be just the thing to get Fant going for the rest of the year.
Fantasy Dud: Royce Freeman. Freeman had his worst game of the season. He ran five times for just 15 yards and caught a pass for a negative game. He had touchdowns two straight and 60-plus total yards three of four games, so this game was a surprise for his fantasy owners. He had been posting pretty consistent numbers. It is not a surprise to see him posting poor numbers, though, since he splits carries with Phillip Lindsay at running back. This could happen more often going forward.
Game Notes: Phillip Lindsay had just nine carries but still had 92-rushing yards and a touchdown. He averaged 10.2 yards per carry. Lindsay has touchdowns three of five games.
Baker Mayfield played one of his better games of the season. He was 27-of-42 for 273 yards and a touchdown without a turnover. He still has not thrown for multiple touchdowns in a game this year, though.
Chargers 26, Packers 11
Fantasy Stud: Melvin Gordon. Gordon finally had a big overall game. He ran 20 times for 80 yards and two touchdowns. He also had three receptions for 29 yard, giving him 109 total yards and two scores. This was the first time all season he had more than 50 total yards in a game. He has scores three straight, though, and seems to be hitting his stride at the right time for fantasy owners.
Fantasy Dud: Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers had been red hot but was a bust this week. He didn’t even hit 200 yards. He was 23-of-35 for 161 yards and a touchdown without an interception. It was the first time all year he didn’t top 200 yards. You didn’t see this game coming after watching Rodgers scores 10 touchdowns his last three games.
Game Notes: Davante Adams returned from injury and led the Packers in receptions, catching seven passes for 41 yards. Adams has seven or more receptions three of five games this season.
Mike Williams had his first 100-yard game for the season. He had three receptions for 111 yards. He is starting to produce better, having 69-plus yards four of five games.
Ravens 37, Patriots 20
Fantasy Stud: Lamar Jackson. The best defense in football couldn’t slow Jackson. He scored three touchdowns in the game, leading his team to 37 points. He was 17-of-23 for 163 yards and a touchdown without a turnover. He also ran 16 times for 61 yards and two touchdowns. Jackson has at least 23 fantasy points all but one game this year. He is having a breakout fantasy season, making a run at top fantasy quarterback in the game.
Fantasy Dud: Sony Michel. Michel was not a big part of the offense for really the first time this year. He had four carries for just 18 yards and one catch for 12 yards. This was his first game not getting at least nine carries in a game. It also was his first game all season with fewer than five fantasy points. It was a disappointing showing for the Patriots starting back.
Game Notes: Mohamed Sanu had a great second game with the Patriots. He had 10 receptions for 81 yards and a touchdown. His stock is going up on a weekly basis in this offense.
Mark Ingram hit the 100-yard mark for the first time since Week 3. He ran 15 times for 116 yards and caught two passes for 29 yards. Ingram broke a streak of three straight games failing to top 55-rushing yards in a game.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at email@example.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
June 5th: Best Ball Strategy
Pro Football Focus rates Houston Texans left tackle Laremy Tunsil as the third-highest tackle in pass blocking among those with a minimum of 300 snaps, having only allowed 29 pressures in 656 pass-protection snaps, including the playoffs. His individual impact in both pass and run snaps combined for the highest win-contribution metric among left tackles by a slim margin. Houston's offensive-line production went from right near the bottom in 2018 to 19th overall last season with the help of Tunsil on the left side. The 25-year-old became the highest-paid left tackle in the league this offseason as a result. The franchise left tackle is tasked with protecting the franchise QB in Deshaun Watson long term.
San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle led the league in receiving yards per route run in 2019 with 3.3, among those that ran a minimum of 100 routes, per Next Gen Stats. He recorded 75.2 receiving yards per game over 14 games, which was the second-highest rate among qualified tight ends, and the fourth-best catch percentage (79.4). But while Kittle is one of the best receiving tight ends in the game, he's also one of the best blocking tight ends in the NFL. The 26-year-old has 2,430 yards and 10 touchdowns in the last two seasons, and he played injured for most of the 2019 campaign. With better health an improved receiving corps around him in 2020, it's scary to think that Kittle could do even more damage. Kittle is in consideration as the top fantasy tight end alongside Travis Kelce.
Arizona Cardinals wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins was NFL Network's Cynthia Frelund's highest-rated on- and off-ball receiver in 2019. He ranked third in receiving first downs with 68 (behind just Michael Thomas and Julio Jones). Half of those first downs came on second down (30), and 19 of them were earned on second-and-seven-plus yards, which was the most in the NFL. Hopkins moved from Houston to Arizona this offseason and should be targeted like a true No. 1 wideout by Kyler Murray in the team's spread offense. Competing for targets with Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk might drop Hopkins' elite ceiling just a tad, but he's still a strong WR1 candidate worth considering at the end of Round 1/beginning of Round 2.
New Orleans Saints wide receiver Michael Thomas set an NFL record with 149 catches in 2019, 91 of which netted the team a first down (most in the NFL), including nine touchdowns. Next Gen Stats shows that 97 of his catches came on short passes, which was 35 more than any other receiver. Thomas also caught 68.3 percent of his targets of 10-plus air yards, which was the best rate in the NFL among those with a minimum of 25 such targets. When Thomas wasn't targeted, he ranked third last year in his ability to attract an opponent's best and/or multiple defensive backs. The 27-year-old typically doesn't have massive weekly performances, but he sees a ton of looks from Drew Brees and is the safest receiver option you can find in fantasy. Thomas is worth considering as a top-five fantasy pick as the top wideout off the board in the first round.
Dallas Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott was ranked ahead of Saquon Barkley, Miles Sanders, and Adrian Peterson in a recent Sports Illustrated poll, a list compiled with the assistance of NFL scouts, ranking the best backs in the NFC East. The former Buckeye had one of his best seasons to date in 2019 by finishing with 1,357 yards and 12 touchdowns off of 301 touches. He also added 54 catches and two additional scores while also ranking sixth in YAC. With the 24-year-old also rumored to be more involved in the team's passing attack under new head coach Mike McCarthy, his stock appears higher than ever. While he is slotted behind Barkley in most fantasy rankings, a case can be easily made for Elliott to get picked up as the No. 2 overall draft choice behind Christian McCaffrey in fantasy drafts heading into the 2020 campaign.
Carolina Panthers running back Christian McCaffrey led the NFL in scrimmage yards with 2,392 last year, with the next closest player (Ezekiel Elliott) at 1,777 yards. McCaffrey played 93.4 percent of Carolina's offensive snaps, which was the highest in the league among running backs. His 1,262 scrimmage yards on first down were the most for any player by almost 200 yards -- Derrick Henry came in second at 1,098 -- and he also added nine total first-down touchdowns. McCaffrey averaged 5.0 yards per rush inside the tackles, which was second in the NFL among those with a minimum of 75 inside runs. New head coach Matt Rhule hinted that McCaffrey might not be used as much this year, but even if that's true, the running back is still head and shoulders above the competition because of his capabilities as both a runner and receiver. He should be the first overall pick in all fantasy leagues.
Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry earned more rushing first downs on first down (31) than any other running back in the league last season. Henry also had nine rushing touchdowns on first down (second-most in the NFL) and another on a pass. His yards per rush after contact of 4.2 was the best in the league among those with a minimum of 100 rushes, including the playoffs, according to Pro Football Focus. In a run-first offense, Henry was the key cog in Tennessee's machine, helping them to an AFC Championship appearance. The 26-year-old led the league in rushing attempts (303), rushing yards (1,540), rushing TDs (16) and rushing yards per game (102.7). While Henry is an obvious RB1, his lack of involvement in the passing game can make him volatile on a weekly basis.
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson won the 2019 NFL MVP with a blend of exceptional skills, the right play-calling and a supporting cast that helped make the most of his attributes. The second-year quarterback threw for 11 touchdowns and zero interceptions on play-action passes last season, which was the best TD-to-interception ratio in the league, per Next Gen Stats. Jackson also had 24 touchdown passes and only two picks against the blitz, which was 10 more TD tosses against the blitz than any other QB in the league. He's only 23 years old and already set the single-season rushing record for quarterbacks as well. While it might be tough for Jackson to top his 2019 numbers, his elite dual-threat abilities put him in contention with Patrick Mahomes as fantasy's top QB.
Atlanta Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan said he's done field work with running back Todd Gurley II "a handful of times" and came away "really impressed" with his new running back. The two have spent time together in recent weeks in Southern California. The Falcons are hoping Gurley, the 2017 NFL Offensive Player of the Year, can help boost a running game that ranked 30th in the league last year with 85.1 rushing yards per game. "I think he's going to be an awesome fit for us," Ryan said of Gurley. "And I'm glad we have him." Ryan's workouts have also included receivers Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley and Russell Gage, tight ends Hayden Hurst and Jaeden Graham and fullback Keith Smith. Knee issues have slowed Gurley in recent seasons, but he still remains an effective back when on the field and could bounce back to RB1 status in his new home in Atlanta.
New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones held up quite well under pressure behind a porous offensive line in his rookie season. His numbers under pressure were comparable to Falcons QB Matt Ryan, which is incredibly impressive. Jones had an 8:6 touchdown-to-interception ratio and nearly 1,000 passing yards while under pressure in 2019. The 23-year-old from Duke also posted two of the top-10 single performances by a quarterback last year, which demonstrates the kind of upside he possesses heading into his first full season as the Giants starter under center. With an excellent offensive cast on his side, Jones has a bright NFL future, in 2020 and beyond. Draft him as a high-end QB2 with QB1 upside.
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen was the only player on NFL.com's Nick Shook's list of top-10 QBs under pressure to have a negative completion percentage above expectation in 2019, but his passer rating under pressure (80) and TD-to-interception ratio of 5:2 land him at No. 9. He took three and a half seconds on average to get rid of the football when under pressure, something he faced 125 times while completing 87 passes. Allen's legs give him considerable fantasy upside at his position, but if he can improve his decision-making and accuracy down the field, he has realistic top-five upside in 2020. Gaining wide receiver Stefon Diggs as his new No. 1 target certainly won't hurt.
Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott completed exactly the amount of pressured passes as was expected in 2019, but he also attempted the third-most pressured passes (144) of anyone on NFL.com's Nick Shook's list of top-10 QBs under pressure. He's also one of just two passers on the list to break 1,000 passing yards under pressure. Prescott's 7:3 touchdown-to-interception ratio while under pressure looks pretty good. The young passer is tied with Philip Rivers for the fourth-most TD passes completed under pressure since 2016, with 19. He also has the highest single-season completion percentage above expectation under pressure in a single season since 2016. With or without a long-term contract extension in Dallas this summer, Prescott will likely be the third QB off the board in fantasy drafts behind Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes.
Nobody in the NFL faced more pressures last season than Atlanta Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan with 216. And despite all that pressure, he still managed to post a passer rating under pressure that was more than 12 points higher than the league average of 66.2. Ryan's passer rating under pressure of 87.9 is the highest among QBs in every season combined since 2016. Only Tom Brady has thrown more touchdown passes while under pressure (30) than Ryan (27) since 2016. His 104.9 passer rating from 2016 sits third in the top-five passer ratings under pressure since 2016. Ryan also tied for the third-most TD passes thrown under pressure in a single season with nine in 2018. If Atlanta's offensive line can actually give him more time to throw, the consistent 35-year-old should have top-five QB1 upside in 2020.
Detroit Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford played in just eight games last season because of injury, but he remained consistent under pressure when he was on the field. His passer rating of 84.2 while under pressure and his plus-2.2 percent completion rate above expectation are impressive considering that he threw more than 30 percent of his under-pressure throws into tight windows. Stafford's combined passer rating under pressure of 83.8 is the third-best mark of any qualified quarterback since 2016, trailing just Matt Ryan and Alex Smith. The 32-year-old was on pace for a great finish in 2019 if he hadn't gotten hurt, and many expect him to pick up right where he left off in 2020. Stafford is a borderline QB1 and makes for a great fantasy backup.
Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins has mostly been successful in the NFL when pressured. While he doesn't face as much pressure as he once did, Cousins remains a top-five QB when under duress. His passer rating (91.5) was fifth-best in 2019, his completion percentage under pressure (58.1) was fourth-best and his completion percentage above expectation (plus-3.8) was in the top five. The 31-year-old is often overshadowed by some of the league's stars at the position, but he also lost his No. 1 receiver in Stefon Diggs and his offensive coordinator in Kevin Stefanski. He could take a step back in 2020 in an offense that will lean heavily on the running game. Target Cousins as a midrange QB2 with a low ceiling.
Not only did Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson set a new single-season rushing record for QBs in 2019, but he also ranked No. 4 on NFL.com's Nick Shook's list of best quarterbacks under pressure. He had a touchdown-to-interception ratio under pressure of 8:3, which means almost a quarter (22 percent) of his 36 touchdown passes came while under pressure. Jackson had less than 470 passing yards under pressure while also completing 49.2 percent of his 65 pressured attempts. His dual-threat abilities as a passer and runner are what made Baltimore's offense so explosive in 2019, and will for years to come. Jackson is an explosive runner and thrives under pressure as a passer. What else do you want as the No. 1 fantasy QB?
Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Derek Carr posted the third-best passer rating (103.7) while under pressure in 2019, and his completion percentage of 66.7 under pressure was the best of any qualifying signal-caller in the league last year. Carr's completion percentage above expectation of plus-5.9 had to do with the fact that he targeted open receivers at a rate of 56.9 percent, which was tops in the NFL. There are a lot of knocks on Carr as a passer and his leash might be short in 2020 with Marcus Mariota behind him, but he did find open receivers in the face of pressure last year with regularity. Not many fantasy owners will be targeting him, even as a QB2, but Carr could surprise and hold off Mariota with some new weapons that the Raiders gave him in the draft, mainly wide receiver Henry Ruggs III.
New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees' 105.9 passer rating under pressure in 2019 is the second-best mark in a single season since 2016, trailing only Ryan Tannehill from last season. The future Hall of Famer found success under pressure by getting rid of the ball quickly (3.01 second on average per pressured throw) to nearby targets, averaging 9.6 air yards per pressured attempt. Brees led all quarterbacks on NFL.com's Nick Shook's list with a 41.7 percent success rate on pressured pass attempts. While the 41-year-old is still good despite his age and now has Emmanuel Sanders to lean on, he isn't taking as many deep shots as he once did. Brees' ceiling just isn't as high as it once was, making him more of a low-end QB1 in what will likely be his final season.
New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones flashed big potential in his rookie season but was plagued by one key issue: He led the NFL with 18 fumbles. Limiting turnovers will be key if Jones is to take the next step in his development, and he has been working since the season ended with David Cutcliffe, his coach at Duke. If Jones can hold onto the ball, he has big upside for fantasy owners. He averaged 233 yards per game last season and threw 24 touchdowns in 13 games (12 starts). He is currently the 13th QB off the board but has the upside to finish as a top-10 fantasy passer with the weapons he has in New York.
Although Tennessee Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill didn't play a full season in 2019, NFL.com's Nick Shook has him ranked No. 1 on the list of the top-10 QBs under pressure last season. The former first-round pick had the only passer rating above 110 in the league while being pressured in the pocket among those with a minimum of 250 total pass attempts. Tannehill also did so while targeting receivers in tight windows on 23.9 percent of such attempts. He became the only qualified passer to average 10-plus yards per attempt under pressure in a season since 2016. It all helped Tannehill become the NFL Comeback Player of the Year while leading his team to the AFC Championship. Tannehill has been efficient as a passer, but the problem is that the Titans don't throw the rock enough to make him anything more than a passable fantasy backup.