Sat Dec 7 3:36pm ET
By CHARLIE WIEGERT
For most leagues, this week becomes the first week of the playoffs. Win and you’re still playing for a championship. Lose and wait till next year.
There are two good versus bad matchups. Hopefully, you have players on the good teams to use. Green Bay welcomes the Redskins to the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field. Just the idea of playing in December in Green Bay puts a chill in most players. Plus, you’ve got a Washington team with little to play for at this point of the year. Stay away from Redskins players and look for big performances from the Packers stars; Aaron Rodgers, DeVante Adams, and Aaron Jones, especially if Jamaal Williams is unable to play.
The other great matchup features the Vikings hosting the Lions. Kurt Cousins, Dalvin Cook, Stephon Diggs and Kyle Rudolph should put up double-digit fantasy points, although I’m a little worried about Cook. I can’t see the Vikings risking using him too much as he’s ailing some, so Alexander Mattison could be a nice sneaky play.
There are three good versus good matchups. The featured game from a scoring standpoint being the Chiefs at the Patriots. This game has the largest over/under on the slate at 48.5. So expect some scoring on both sides. The toughest thing to figure out is who will be getting the most carries for the Patriots against the Chiefs weak run defense, allowing over five yards per carry and seven 100-yard rushers this year. I think the split will favor Sony Michel with James White also getting his share. Both are probably good plays.
The other two matchups are the Ravens at the Bills, and the 49ers at the Saints. Both games have huge playoff implications, so expect to see all four teams doing what they can to win, and the stars on those teams to put up nice fantasy points. If you’ve got them, play ‘em.
Here are my top picks for week.
Quarterbacks: The top three will be Lamar Jackson, Jameis Winston and DeShaun Watson. No surprises. But a few others worthy of putting up top-ten fantasy performances this week are Jacoby Brissett against a Tampa Bay passing defense giving up 280-passing yards a game and 27-passing touchdowns this year. Sadly, it looks like he’ll be missing T.Y. Hilton and Eric Ebron, but that opens the doors for others to shine.
Sam Darnold gets the porous Dolphins defense. He has the receivers to expose their really weak secondary. The same is true for Carson Wentz against a Giants defense on Monday night. The New York defense is eighth in the league giving up passing yards and touchdowns.
A couple sleeper picks are Baker Mayfield against the Bengals, and the return of Eli Manning, filling in for the injured Daniel Jones against a weak Eagles defense. This is Manning’s chance to show he’s still capable of being an NFL starter.
Runnings Backs: The top three are no surprises: Christian McCaffery, Alvin Kamara and Leonard Fournette. I actually like Fournette’s matchup the best of the three and expect him to be the top fantasy point earner with most of his points coming through the air, getting eight to 10 receptions.
Some others I expect a big week out of are Nick Chubb and even Kareem Hunt because the Browns get a Bengals rush defense giving up over 150-yards per game. Le’Veon Bell is in a good situation with the Jets at Miami, but the last time they met a month ago, he only had 66 yards. And he hasn’t done anything to impress me yet this year.
My sleeper pick is the Falcons Devonta Freeman against a scrambling Carolina team with a new coach.
Wide Receivers: The top three are Michael Thomas, DeVante Adams and D.J. Moore. Moore may be a bit of a surprise, but he has been very consistent all year and a key to getting McCaffery running room.
Some others I like are Will Fuller, Deebo Samuel and James Washington. My sleeper pick is Zack Pascal. If Brissett has a big day, so will Pascal.
Tight Ends: The top three don’t offer any surprises: Travis Kelce, Darren Waller and George Kittle (if healthy). But what I’ve been looking for every week is the team playing against the Cardinals defense, a team that doesn’t seem to realize they have to cover a tight end. This week the lucky recipient is Vance McDonald. Look for close to 100 yards receiving and a touchdown from McDonald in this matchup. Tyler Higbee, who had the career day against the Cardinals last week, is in line for another nice day against the Seahawks with Gerald Everett still out. And while I don’t like recommending Dolphins players, Mike Gesicki could be a good play this week against the Jets.
Defense: The good versus the bad says Packers and Vikings. And the Browns might have a good day confusing Andy Dalton.
Good luck, and I hope you’re still playing for something next week!
Charlie Wiegert was the sixth person to be inducted in the Fantasy Sports Hall Of Fame in 2001. He is a founder of CDM Fantasy Sports and Fantasy Sports Trade Association. He has been playing and winning fantasy baseball leagues since 1984. If you have any questions for Charlie, email them to email@example.com. Follow him on Twitter @GFFantasySports.
The Green Bay Packers Defense faces a tough task this weekend in the NFC Championship game against the San Francisco 49ers. In their regular-season meeting, the Packers gave up 37 points and only dropped Jimmy Garoppolo only three times. They also failed to generate any turnovers. Green Bay's defense may need to lend their offense a helping hand by creating a turnover or two to swing the field position game. If Za-Darius and Preston Smith can ramp up the pressure, the Packers will have a good chance of generating a turnover or two and winning the game. It certainly won't be easy, considering how formidable the 49ers offense has been this season.
Green Bay Packers tight end Jimmy Graham gets a tough matchup against the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship game. Graham has back-to-back 49-year receiving performances, but those games came against teams that struggle to defend the tight end position. The 49ers are not one of those teams. They allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to tight ends all season and were the league's stingiest pass defense. Maybe Graham makes a play in the red zone. Still, he's a cheaper DFS play but by no means a comfortable one.
Green Bay Packers wide receiver Geronimo Allison (illness) is trending in the right direction to play in the NFC Championship game this weekend against the San Francisco 49ers. Even if available, Allison isn't an option in any fantasy format. The 25-year-old hasn't caught more than four passes in a game this season. It sure doesn't seem like he'll eclipse that mark against the league's best defense with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line.
Green Bay Packers wide receiver Allen Lazard (ankle) is currently questionable for the NFC Championship game against the San Francisco 49ers. There's certainly a risk for injury, considering he re-aggravated the ankle in last week's playoff game. Still, it's hard to ignore the two-game stretch Lazard had to end the season, where he saw 17 targets. That alone makes him worth a gamble, particularly in a must-win game for a Packers team in desperate need of another threat at receiver. Just beware, the matchup isn't ideal. The 49ers allowed only 172 passing yards to the Vikings last week.
Green Bay Packers wide receiver Davante Adams gets a tough matchup against the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship game this weekend. Adams produced only 43 receiving yards and a score against San Francisco in the regular season but still had 12 targets. The star receiver has seen double-digit targets in nine of 13 games played this year. There's not many receivers that you can virtually pencil in for double-digit targets- but Adams is one of them. If fellow receivers Geronimo Allison (illness) and Allen Lazard (ankle) suit up, they may be limited. Adams could be looking at more work than usual, even in a matchup this difficult.
The San Francisco 49ers Defense enter Championship weekend as the highest-priced fantasy defense. The Niners face the Green Bay Packers, who they demolished 37-8 in Week 12. In that previous contest, the Niners relentlessly harassed future Hall of Famer quarterback Aaron Rodgers, dropping him five times and forcing a fumble. The Packers were a meager one for 15 on third down conversions. The 49ers will need to follow that blueprint again in the critical NFC Championship to emerge victorious. With a higher-intensity contest expected, it could be difficult to splurge on a defense in fantasy compared to other addressable positions.
San Francisco 49ers wide receivers Deebo Samuel and Emmanuel Sanders both offer solid fantasy value in the NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers. Both players were limited to under 45 yards apiece in last weekends Divisional Round blowout but were featured early on when the game was still in question. The rookie Samuel has emerged as a consistent dual threat in the latter half of 2019 and is likelier the safer floor. Sanders, the savvy vet has proven himself as a reliable chain-mover with big-play potential. Against the Packers 10th-best pass defense by DVOA, either option seem primed to pop in Sundays winner-take-all battle.
Green Bay Packers running back Jamaal Williams will face off with the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship game this weekend. Williams has been playing second fiddle to Aaron Jones quite a lot recently, as he hasn't seen double-digit carries since Week 13 against the Giants. It's worth noting that Williams played a large role in the regular-season game against the 49ers, which saw him rack up 18 touches. Green Bay very well could utilize Williams in spurts to keep San Francisco guessing, though his recent downtrend in usage makes him hard to trust.
San Francisco 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo is a reasonable DFS bet for Sundays NFC Championship matchup against the Green Bay Packers. Priced as the third-best quarterback, Jimmy G squares off against a strong Packers defensive line that ranked 12th-best in adjusted sack rate during the regular season. Garoppolo was not pressed into service in the Divisional Round blowout win, but will likely be tasked with a tougher test on Sunday. While the Niners have mostly ridden its dominant running game throughout the year, Garoppolo has answered the bell in multiple occasions with three four-touchdown games. With dangerous weapons surrounding him, Garoppolo shouldnt be ruled out in the biggest game of his career to-date.
Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones will take on the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship game this weekend. The 49ers Defense held Jones to just 38 rushing yards in their regular-season meeting. However, the star back has been playing some seriously good football in his last five games, with 501 rushing yards and seven rushing touchdowns. He's also had 20-plus carries in three straight contests. Expect Green Bay to utilize Jones early and often in screens and runs to combat the 49ers mighty pass rush. Even if Jones doesn't pile up over 100 yards, his propensity to find the end zone and role in the passing game make him a safer play this weekend.
Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers will take on the San Francisco 49ers this weekend with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line. The 49ers Defense held Rodgers to just 104 passing yards and one touchdown in their regular-season meeting. However, there are a couple things that are different ahead of this matchup. First, tackle Bryan Bulaga will play in this game after being injured in the first quarter against the 49ers previously. Rodgers should have better protection than he had when these teams met. Secondly, Rodgers himself is playing better football than he was during the regular season before this matchup. He has 566 passing yards and four touchdowns in his last two contests. There is also the added motivation of denying a Super Bowl berth to the team that could have drafted him. Play Rodgers on Sunday, despite the tough matchup.
San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Kendrick Bourne is worth a gamble for Sundays NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers. Bourne scored the only receiving touchdown for the Niners in the Divisional Round, adding to his 2019 resume as a legitimate red-zone threat. The third-year pro has just 33 catches this year, including the playoffs, but collected six scores. Despite his risks as a zero-floor fantasy option, Bourne has emerged as a trustworthy target in clutch situations.
San Francisco 49ers running backs Tevin Coleman and Raheem Mostert are both bankable DFS options in Sundays NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers. The two backs combined for 163 rushing yards in the Divisional Round, with Coleman riding a hot hand to two touchdowns. Considered a backup for the latter half of the regular season, Coleman played 46 percent of snaps last Sunday compared to Mosterts 34 percent. While the touch forecast for either back is cloudy, the Niners draw one of the worst run defenses in the NFL. The Packers ranked 23rd in rushing DVOA during the regular season with the second-worst defensive line in the league, yielding 4.96 adjusted yards per carry. With a likely floor of 10 touches for each Coleman and Mostert, both runners have great opportunities to make a splash.
San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle (ankle) was a full participant in Thursdays practice and should be fine for Sundays NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers. Kittle scared Niner Nation with soreness on the left ankle he chipped earlier this year, but confirms he feels fabulous. Kittle factored more as a blocker in last Sundays Divisional Round blowout but the Niners passed just 19 times. The All-Pro is an integral piece in all facets of the offense so is worth his premium TE1 price in DFS on Sunday.
Detroit Lions WR Danny Amendola is set to become an unrestricted free agent, but he's a 'prime candidate' to be re-signed, in the opinion of The Detroit Free Press' Dave Birkett.
Free-agent WR Antonio Callaway (Browns) signed with the Tampa Bay Vipers of the XFL Thursday, Jan. 16.
Kansas City Chiefs RB LeSean McCoy (illness) remained out of practice Thursday, Jan. 16.
Fantasy Spin: McCoy played just one offensive snap in last week's Divisional Round game against the Houston Texans. He's clearly behind RB Damien Williams and is no longer worth starting.
Kansas City Chiefs QB Matt Moore (illness) and DT Chris Jones (calf) didn't participate in practice Thursday, Jan. 16. DT Khalen Saunders (knee), CB Morris Claiborne (shoulder), CB Kendall Fuller (knee), DE Tanoh Kpassagnon (neck), C Austin Reiter (wrist) and G Andrew Wylie (ankle) practiced in full.
Green Bay Packers DL Kenny Clark (back), TE Marcedes Lewis (non-injury), LB Preston Smith (ankle), FB Danny Vitale (knee) and CB Tramon Williams (non-injury) were limited participants in practice Thursday, Jan. 16. S Adrian Amos (chest), OT Bryan Bulaga (non-injury), WR Ryan Grant (non-injury), LB Blake Martinez (hand) and OL Billy Turner (ankle) practiced in full.
Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce (knee) remained limited at practice Thursday, Jan. 16.
Fantasy Spin: Kelce earned a light practice week while catching 10 of 12 targets for 134 yards and three touchdowns against the Houston Texans in the Divisional Round. He's the week's top tight end option once against this week so long as he takes the field.