Mon Dec 30 10:16am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Derrick Henry tops 200 yards
It is hard to believe, but that is it. The regular season is over. It was quite the finish to the season, though, with several great games ending the NFL regular season. There were some great games in Week 17, making for some great entertainment if your fantasy season was over. But if you played fantasy games this week, there also were some good performances for fantasy teams. We had plenty of high scoring games and big-time fantasy performances.
Bears 21, Vikings 19
Fantasy Stud: Mike Boone. Boone was supposed to have his huge game last week but that didn’t happen. He showed his potential in this one, though, rushing 17 times for 148 yards and a touchdown as the starter for the Vikings. He also caught two passes for 12 yards, giving him 160 total yards. Boone has a lot in front of him on the depth chart in Minnesota but certainly looks like a talented player deserving of playing time.
Fantasy Dud: Mitchell Trubisky. Trubisky was playing against backups much of the game, but that didn’t lead to good fantasy numbers for him. He didn’t score a touchdown and lost a fumble. Trubisky was 26-of-37 for 207 yards. It was a fitting end to his uneven season.
Game Notes: David Montgomery had his second 100-yard game of the season. He ran 23 times for 113 yards and a touchdown. Montgomery did not have a huge rookie year but established himself as the No. 1 back for the Bears.
Bengals 33, Browns 23
Fantasy Stud: Joe Mixon. Mixon took some time to hit his stride but played his best football late in the year. He had his best showing the last week. Mixon ran 26 times for 162 yards and two touchdowns. He also had a catch for 14 yards. Mixon had 17-plus fantasy points three of his last four games. He also had three 100-yard rushing games during that stretch. He is looking better and better for the 2020 season in this offense.
Fantasy Dud: Nick Chubb. Chubb had a rare down game, rushing 13 times for 41 yards. He also caught just a pass for a yard. Chubb finished his season with two straight dud games, having fewer than 50-rushing yards two straight. He had fewer than six fantasy points each game. Chubb still had a great season, leading the AFC in rushing with nearly 1,500-rushing yards.
Game Notes: Odell Beckham found the end zone for the second straight game. He had three receptions for 81 yards and a touchdown. Beckham had a down year but still topped 1,000 yards for the season.
Chiefs 31, Chargers 21
Fantasy Stud: Damien Williams. Williams had some spectacular runs in this game, leading to a big performance. He ran 12 times for 124 yards and two touchdowns, including a 84-yard touchdown run. He averaged 10.3 yards per carry. Williams also had four receptions for 30 yards. Williams has played better the last two weeks as the lead back for the Chiefs, having 246 total yards and three touchdowns. He is making a case once again to be the top back of the Chiefs going forward.
Fantasy Dud: Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes was not much of a help to his fantasy teams, having a very poor showing for his standards. He was 16-of-25 for 174 yards and a touchdown with an interception. His passing yard total was a season low. Mahomes scored just over 13 fantasy points after having 27-plus fantasy points two straight before this showing. Mahomes had a fine season but wasn’t quite as prolific as last year.
Game Notes: Philip Rivers played a pretty solid game on the road against a good pass defense. This might have been his last start as a Charger. Rivers was 31-of-46 for 281 yards and two touchdowns with two interceptions.
Dolphins 27, Patriots 24
Fantasy Stud: Ryan Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick had some magic once again, leading his team to one of the biggest upsets of the season. Fitzpatrick was 28-of-41 for 3120 yards and a touchdown without a turnover. He also ran in a score, giving him two total touchdowns. Fitzpatrick had a solid fantasy season as the starter for the Dolphins, having 25-plus fantasy points five of his last six games.
Fantasy Dud: Julian Edelman. Edelman was surprisingly quiet in this favorable matchup, catching three passes for 25 yards. His fantasy point total was his second lowest of the season. He was banged up late in the year, though, and it showed in his fantasy production. Edelman had fewer than six fantasy points two of his last three games.
Game Notes: DeVante Parker continued his great play against a top defense, catching eight passes for 137 yards. Parker had two straight 100-yard games to end his season, topping 1,200 yards for the year.
Falcons 28, Bucs 22
Fantasy Stud: Breshad Perriman. Perriman had a spectacular touchdown catch in the corner of the season, helping to give him another good fantasy game. He had five receptions for 134 yards and a touchdown. Perriman had three straight 100-yard games to end his season. He excelled as the No. 1 receiver for the Bucs.
Fantasy Dud: Matt Ryan. Ryan had a pretty mediocre showing in what looked liked a great matchup for him. He was 30-of-51 for 313 yards and a touchdown without an interception. He did lose a fumble, though. Ryan had fewer than 20 fantasy points, breaking a streak of four straight games with 20-plus fantasy points. He had a solid overall season but his numbers were down a little from last year’s big season.
Game Notes: Jameis Winston had maybe the most fitting end to any season, getting picked off in overtime. The Falcons returned the interception for a touchdown, ending the game. Winston was 13-of-24 for 201 yards and two touchdowns with two interceptions. Winston finished the year with 33 passing touchdowns and 30 interceptions, which was an NFL first.
Packers 23, Lions 20
Fantasy Stud: Davante Adams. Adams had a big game to finish his season, catching seven passes for 93 yards and a touchdown. Adams had a great finish to his season, topping 22 fantasy points three of his last four games. Adams scored touchdowns four of his last six games. He missed four games because of injury but still finished three yards shy of a 1,000-yard season and scored five touchdowns.
Fantasy Dud: Danny Amendola. Amendola was really the last man standing for the Lions passing game but didn’t take advantage of that scenario. He had a chance to get a lot more targets but was unable to get open, catching two passes for 16 yards. You had higher hopes for Amendola with Marvin Jones out and Kenny Golladay leaving early because of injury.
Game Notes: Kenny Golladay was on his way to a big game but suffered a concussion, leaving early in the game. He had three receptions for 72 yards before departing with the concussion.
Jets 13, Bills 6
Fantasy Stud: Duke Williams. With the Bills resting starters, Williams took advantage of his opportunities. He had six receptions for 108 yards. Williams had just six receptions all season heading into this game, so it was a big surprise to see Williams produce such good numbers. Don’t expect a repeat in the playoffs.
Fantasy Dud: Robby Anderson. Anderson had his struggles, catching three passes for 18 yards. He had shown some signs of life late in the year, but was unable to get much going against the backup for the Bills. The conditions weren’t the best, though, because of rain and wind. Anderson had a really uneven season as the No. 1 target for the Jets.
Game Notes: Jamison Crowder had eight receptions for 66 yards and a touchdown. Crowder scored touchdowns two of his last three games.
Saints 42, Panthers 10
Fantasy Stud: Drew Brees. Brees was 19-of-30 for 253 yards and three touchdowns without a turnover. Brees had four straight three-touchdown games to end his season. He had a big year despite missing five games because of injury. He had 28 total touchdowns to just four interceptions. Brees showed he still has plenty left in the tank at this stage of his career.
Fantasy Dud: Curtis Samuel. Samuel was supposed to be the top target in the passing game with D.J. Moore out, but didn’t lead the way in receiving by any means. He had just two receptions for 13 yards. Samuel seemed setup for a much better showing but was unable to get it going the last game of the season.
Game Notes: Will Grier was a disaster as the starter, going 1-of-8 for four yards. He also was banged up in the game, taking several big hits. Kyle Allen was a little better in relief, going 25-of-41 for 295 yards with an interception.
Cowboys 47, Redskins 16
Fantasy Stud: Michael Gallup. Gallup sure finished his season on a high note, scoring three touchdowns. He had five receptions for 98 yards and three scores. Gallup had 95-plus yards three of his last four games. He had more than 1,100 yards this year and six touchdowns. He had a breakout season as the No. 2 receiver in this offense. Things are looking up for Gallup.
Fantasy Dud: Jason Witten. With this possibly being his last game, many thought Witten might go out with a bang. That wasn’t the case, though. He had four receptions for 24 yards. He was pretty quiet much of the season, having fewer than 50 yards eight straight games to end his season. This probably was his last game in the NFL, ending a great career as the top tight end for the Cowboys.
Game Notes: Dak Prescott was 23-of-33 for 303 yards and four touchdowns without an interception. Prescott had his best fantasy season to date, finishing 88 yards shy of a 5,000-yard season while scoring 33 total touchdowns to just 11 interceptions.
Broncos 16, Raiders 15
Fantasy Stud: Hunter Renfrow. Renfrow had six receptions for 102 yards and a touchdown. He had 100-yard games and touchdowns each of his last two, ending his season with his best numbers of his rookie year. Renfrow looks to be a big part of this offense for years to come, serving as the top slot receiver for the Raiders.
Fantasy Dud: Courtland Sutton. Sutton had a pretty mediocre finish to his season, catching four passes for 52 yards. He had a breakout year, topping 1,100 yards, but was a little down late in the year. He had fewer than 55 yards three of his last four games. He still has a very bright future as the top target in this passing game.
Game Notes: Darren Waller had six receptions for 107 yards. This was his fifth 100-yard game of the season.
Rams 31, Cardinals 24
Fantasy Stud: Tyler Higbee. Higbee continued his red hot play down the stretch, catching eight passes for 84 yards and a touchdown. Higbee was arguably the best fantasy tight end in the game the last five games of the season. Higbee had 43 receptions for 522 yards and two touchdowns his last five games. It was some finish to the season for Higbee, who start get to start from day one in 2020.
Fantasy Dud: Larry Fitzgerald. Fitzgerald is another player that might have played his last game but finished with a bit of a thud. He had four receptions for 45 yards. You expected better from Fitzgerald, especially with the Cardinals throwing for more than 300 yards. Fitzgerald had four straight games with fewer than 50 yards to end his season.
Game Notes: Kyler Murray was able to play with his hamstring injury and did pretty well, finishing 26-of-42 for 325 yards and two touchdowns with two interceptions. The injury did limit him on the ground, though, rushing two times for no gain.
Eagles 34, Giants 17
Fantasy Stud: Boston Scott. Scott took advantage of more chances because of an injury to Miles Sanders. Scott had big game, finding the end zone three times. He ran 19 times for 54 yards and three scores. He also had four receptions for 84 yards, giving him 138 total yards and three touchdowns. Scott could be the starter next week if Sanders is unable to go.
Fantasy Dud: Dallas Goedert. Goedert seemed setup for a ton of work with Zach Ertz out, but he was unable to capitalize with a big fantasy performance. He had four receptions for 65 yards. His numbers weren't terrible but you just thought better things were coming from Goedert in Week 17.
Game Notes: Saquon Barkley topped 100 total yards for the third straight game. He ran 17 times for 92 yards and a touchdown. He also had three receptions for 25 yards, giving him 117 total yards.
Jaguars 38, Colts 20
Fantasy Stud: Gardner Minshew. Minshew made a strong case to be the starter from day one next year for the Jaguars. He had a great last game, going 27-of-39 for 295 yards and three touchdowns with an interception. He had a little bit of an up and down rookie year, but showed some very good things along the way. He could be the starter for the Jaguars in 2020.
Fantasy Dud: D.J. Chark. The Jaguars had three passing touchdowns and threw for nearly 300 yards, but Chark was not part of the fun. He had four receptions for 34 yards. Chark had a great rookie season, hitting the 1,000-yard mark. He was a little banged up down the stretch, though, leading to a poor finish. He had fewer than 50 yards four of his last five games.
Game Notes: Marlon Mack had his first multiple touchdown game of the season. He ran 15 times for 77 yards and two scores. He found the end zone three of his last four games.
Ravens 28, Steelers 10
Fantasy Stud: Benny Snell. Snell was one of the few bright spots offensively in this game. He ran 18 times for 91 yards and a touchdown. Snell showed pretty well his rookie year, finishing with 426-rushing yards despite having double-digit carries just five times all year. He could have an expanded role from day one next year.
Fantasy Dud: Robert Griffin. Griffin didn’t have quite the start as expected, but tough conditions (rain, wind) were a big factor in his poor fantasy production. He was 11-of-21 for 96 yards with an interception. The only positive for Griffin was his rushing totals, running eight times for 50 yards.
Game Notes: Gus Edwards led the way at running back for the Ravens and ran 21 times for 130 yards. Edwards was not the starter for the Ravens all season but still managed 711-rushing yards as the No. 2 back for the Ravens.
Titans 35, Texans 14
Fantasy Stud: Derrick Henry. Henry had his first 200-yard rushing game of the season, running 32 times for 211 yards and three touchdowns. This is the second straight season Henry had monster numbers to end his year. He had 100-yard games five of the last six games he played. He led the AFC in rushing and scored 18 touchdowns. Henry was one of the best fantasy backs in the game.
Fantasy Dud: Jonnu Smith. Smith started to get more touches down the stretch but was a nonfactor in this game. He didn’t even catch a pass. He wasn’t even targeted. Smith did run once for seven yards, though, so at least he got some yards. Smith is a big-play threat at the position but hasn’t enjoyed the consistency to earn a starting job just yet.
Game Notes: A.J. Brown hit the 100-yard mark for the fifth time this season. He had four receptions for 124 yards and a touchdown. He went over the 1,000-yard mark for the season with his big performance.
49ers 26, Seahawks 21
Fantasy Stud: Deebo Samuel. Samuel just seems to get better every week. He had five receptions for 102 yards. Samuel also ran two times for 33 yards and a touchdown, giving him 135 total yards in the game. Samuel has touchdowns two straight and three 100-yard receiving games this season. He is a playmaker that should be a big part of this offense for years to come.
Fantasy Dud: Jimmy Garoppolo. Garoppolo didn’t have a bad game but it wasn’t a good one for fantasy teams. He failed to score a touchdown, going 18-of-22 for 285 yards without a touchdown or an interception. He moved the offense and won the game on the road, but didn’t score many fantasy points in the victory.
Game Notes: Marshawn Lynch just signed this week but led the Seahawks backfield in carries. He ran 12 times for 34 yards and a touchdown. Lynch looked pretty good considering he had not played a game all season.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at firstname.lastname@example.org. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
The Green Bay Packers Defense faces a tough task this weekend in the NFC Championship game against the San Francisco 49ers. In their regular-season meeting, the Packers gave up 37 points and only dropped Jimmy Garoppolo only three times. They also failed to generate any turnovers. Green Bay's defense may need to lend their offense a helping hand by creating a turnover or two to swing the field position game. If Za-Darius and Preston Smith can ramp up the pressure, the Packers will have a good chance of generating a turnover or two and winning the game. It certainly won't be easy, considering how formidable the 49ers offense has been this season.
Green Bay Packers tight end Jimmy Graham gets a tough matchup against the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship game. Graham has back-to-back 49-year receiving performances, but those games came against teams that struggle to defend the tight end position. The 49ers are not one of those teams. They allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points to tight ends all season and were the league's stingiest pass defense. Maybe Graham makes a play in the red zone. Still, he's a cheaper DFS play but by no means a comfortable one.
Green Bay Packers wide receiver Geronimo Allison (illness) is trending in the right direction to play in the NFC Championship game this weekend against the San Francisco 49ers. Even if available, Allison isn't an option in any fantasy format. The 25-year-old hasn't caught more than four passes in a game this season. It sure doesn't seem like he'll eclipse that mark against the league's best defense with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line.
Green Bay Packers wide receiver Allen Lazard (ankle) is currently questionable for the NFC Championship game against the San Francisco 49ers. There's certainly a risk for injury, considering he re-aggravated the ankle in last week's playoff game. Still, it's hard to ignore the two-game stretch Lazard had to end the season, where he saw 17 targets. That alone makes him worth a gamble, particularly in a must-win game for a Packers team in desperate need of another threat at receiver. Just beware, the matchup isn't ideal. The 49ers allowed only 172 passing yards to the Vikings last week.
Green Bay Packers wide receiver Davante Adams gets a tough matchup against the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship game this weekend. Adams produced only 43 receiving yards and a score against San Francisco in the regular season but still had 12 targets. The star receiver has seen double-digit targets in nine of 13 games played this year. There's not many receivers that you can virtually pencil in for double-digit targets- but Adams is one of them. If fellow receivers Geronimo Allison (illness) and Allen Lazard (ankle) suit up, they may be limited. Adams could be looking at more work than usual, even in a matchup this difficult.
The San Francisco 49ers Defense enter Championship weekend as the highest-priced fantasy defense. The Niners face the Green Bay Packers, who they demolished 37-8 in Week 12. In that previous contest, the Niners relentlessly harassed future Hall of Famer quarterback Aaron Rodgers, dropping him five times and forcing a fumble. The Packers were a meager one for 15 on third down conversions. The 49ers will need to follow that blueprint again in the critical NFC Championship to emerge victorious. With a higher-intensity contest expected, it could be difficult to splurge on a defense in fantasy compared to other addressable positions.
San Francisco 49ers wide receivers Deebo Samuel and Emmanuel Sanders both offer solid fantasy value in the NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers. Both players were limited to under 45 yards apiece in last weekends Divisional Round blowout but were featured early on when the game was still in question. The rookie Samuel has emerged as a consistent dual threat in the latter half of 2019 and is likelier the safer floor. Sanders, the savvy vet has proven himself as a reliable chain-mover with big-play potential. Against the Packers 10th-best pass defense by DVOA, either option seem primed to pop in Sundays winner-take-all battle.
Green Bay Packers running back Jamaal Williams will face off with the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship game this weekend. Williams has been playing second fiddle to Aaron Jones quite a lot recently, as he hasn't seen double-digit carries since Week 13 against the Giants. It's worth noting that Williams played a large role in the regular-season game against the 49ers, which saw him rack up 18 touches. Green Bay very well could utilize Williams in spurts to keep San Francisco guessing, though his recent downtrend in usage makes him hard to trust.
San Francisco 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo is a reasonable DFS bet for Sundays NFC Championship matchup against the Green Bay Packers. Priced as the third-best quarterback, Jimmy G squares off against a strong Packers defensive line that ranked 12th-best in adjusted sack rate during the regular season. Garoppolo was not pressed into service in the Divisional Round blowout win, but will likely be tasked with a tougher test on Sunday. While the Niners have mostly ridden its dominant running game throughout the year, Garoppolo has answered the bell in multiple occasions with three four-touchdown games. With dangerous weapons surrounding him, Garoppolo shouldnt be ruled out in the biggest game of his career to-date.
Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones will take on the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship game this weekend. The 49ers Defense held Jones to just 38 rushing yards in their regular-season meeting. However, the star back has been playing some seriously good football in his last five games, with 501 rushing yards and seven rushing touchdowns. He's also had 20-plus carries in three straight contests. Expect Green Bay to utilize Jones early and often in screens and runs to combat the 49ers mighty pass rush. Even if Jones doesn't pile up over 100 yards, his propensity to find the end zone and role in the passing game make him a safer play this weekend.
Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers will take on the San Francisco 49ers this weekend with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line. The 49ers Defense held Rodgers to just 104 passing yards and one touchdown in their regular-season meeting. However, there are a couple things that are different ahead of this matchup. First, tackle Bryan Bulaga will play in this game after being injured in the first quarter against the 49ers previously. Rodgers should have better protection than he had when these teams met. Secondly, Rodgers himself is playing better football than he was during the regular season before this matchup. He has 566 passing yards and four touchdowns in his last two contests. There is also the added motivation of denying a Super Bowl berth to the team that could have drafted him. Play Rodgers on Sunday, despite the tough matchup.
San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Kendrick Bourne is worth a gamble for Sundays NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers. Bourne scored the only receiving touchdown for the Niners in the Divisional Round, adding to his 2019 resume as a legitimate red-zone threat. The third-year pro has just 33 catches this year, including the playoffs, but collected six scores. Despite his risks as a zero-floor fantasy option, Bourne has emerged as a trustworthy target in clutch situations.
San Francisco 49ers running backs Tevin Coleman and Raheem Mostert are both bankable DFS options in Sundays NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers. The two backs combined for 163 rushing yards in the Divisional Round, with Coleman riding a hot hand to two touchdowns. Considered a backup for the latter half of the regular season, Coleman played 46 percent of snaps last Sunday compared to Mosterts 34 percent. While the touch forecast for either back is cloudy, the Niners draw one of the worst run defenses in the NFL. The Packers ranked 23rd in rushing DVOA during the regular season with the second-worst defensive line in the league, yielding 4.96 adjusted yards per carry. With a likely floor of 10 touches for each Coleman and Mostert, both runners have great opportunities to make a splash.
San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle (ankle) was a full participant in Thursdays practice and should be fine for Sundays NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers. Kittle scared Niner Nation with soreness on the left ankle he chipped earlier this year, but confirms he feels fabulous. Kittle factored more as a blocker in last Sundays Divisional Round blowout but the Niners passed just 19 times. The All-Pro is an integral piece in all facets of the offense so is worth his premium TE1 price in DFS on Sunday.
Detroit Lions WR Danny Amendola is set to become an unrestricted free agent, but he's a 'prime candidate' to be re-signed, in the opinion of The Detroit Free Press' Dave Birkett.
Free-agent WR Antonio Callaway (Browns) signed with the Tampa Bay Vipers of the XFL Thursday, Jan. 16.
Kansas City Chiefs RB LeSean McCoy (illness) remained out of practice Thursday, Jan. 16.
Fantasy Spin: McCoy played just one offensive snap in last week's Divisional Round game against the Houston Texans. He's clearly behind RB Damien Williams and is no longer worth starting.
Kansas City Chiefs QB Matt Moore (illness) and DT Chris Jones (calf) didn't participate in practice Thursday, Jan. 16. DT Khalen Saunders (knee), CB Morris Claiborne (shoulder), CB Kendall Fuller (knee), DE Tanoh Kpassagnon (neck), C Austin Reiter (wrist) and G Andrew Wylie (ankle) practiced in full.
Green Bay Packers DL Kenny Clark (back), TE Marcedes Lewis (non-injury), LB Preston Smith (ankle), FB Danny Vitale (knee) and CB Tramon Williams (non-injury) were limited participants in practice Thursday, Jan. 16. S Adrian Amos (chest), OT Bryan Bulaga (non-injury), WR Ryan Grant (non-injury), LB Blake Martinez (hand) and OL Billy Turner (ankle) practiced in full.
Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce (knee) remained limited at practice Thursday, Jan. 16.
Fantasy Spin: Kelce earned a light practice week while catching 10 of 12 targets for 134 yards and three touchdowns against the Houston Texans in the Divisional Round. He's the week's top tight end option once against this week so long as he takes the field.