From the Godfather: Week 12

Sat Nov 28 9:58pm ET
By CHARLIE WIEGERT
Contributing Writer

The mad bat virus is determined to cause problems this weekend.  It has already moved the Pittsburgh/Baltimore game to Tuesday - if it’s played.  Baltimore will be missing some key players, like Lamar Jackson, JK Dobbins, Mark Ingram, and a bunch of their starting defensive players.  If the game happens, the Steelers should have little trouble staying undefeated.  Wondering why they don’t just cancel the game or the Ravens forfeit?  The almighty buck!  If the game was forfeited, the players would not get paid.  So the Ravens would rather play and get demolished than lose a paycheck.  In an interesting side note, if the Ravens do in fact play Tuesday, their game with the Cowboys scheduled for Thursday will get rescheduled to Sunday or Monday.  Indianapolis also will miss some key defensive players. Some from the bat virus and some from injury, making them vulnerable against Tennessee and making Derrick Henry a good play.

The top five “worst” defenses allowing the most fantasy points to quarterbacks through Week 11 are Atlanta, Seattle, Jacksonville, New York Jets and Buffalo.  The Raiders and Derek Carr get the benefit of the Falcons. The Eagles and Carson Wentz get the Seahawks. The Browns and Baker Mayfield should have a good day against the Jaguars. The Dolphins, likely with Ryan Fitzpatrick at the helm, play the winless Jets. And the Chargers and super rookie Justin Herbert get a date with the Bills in Buffalo.

The teams giving up the most fantasy points to running backs are Detroit, Green Bay, Houston, Carolina and Las Vegas.  Houston had their way with Detroit on Thursday. The Bears, with David Montgomery returning, play Green Bay. Dalvin Cook is set up for another monster day with the Panthers. And the Falcons, with Todd Gurley out, play Las Vegas.  Brian Hill could be an interesting sleeper pick for the Falcons.

The teams giving up the most fantasy points to wide receivers are Seattle, Dallas, Atlanta, Minnesota and Tennessee.  While most will be looking for Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf to have big days against the Eagles, could this be the return of Travis Fulgham, who has done next to nothing the last three weeks?  If he doesn’t explode against the Seahawks this week, along with Jalen Reagor and Ashlon Jeffery, they probably won’t again this year.  Washington had their way with Dallas on Thursday. Nelson Agholor, Hunter Renfrow and Henry Riggs III will be getting the fantasy points against the Falcons.  Teddy Bridgewater will return at quarterback for the Panthers, which is great news for DJ Moore, Robby Anderson and Curtis Samuel, and as a bonus, they get the weak Vikings secondary. Phillip Rivers should have a good day, meaning Michael Pittman Jr., Zach Pascal and TY Hilton should see their share of targets if they can keep Derrick Henry off the field.

The teams giving up the most fantasy points to tight ends are Atlanta, Cleveland, Buffalo, Cincinnati and Carolina.  Perhaps this is the week someone other than Travis Kelce has a big day.  Darren Waller is the obvious choice, playing the Falcons.  The Jaguars get the Browns, meaning Tyler Eifert should get some points, but I can’t recommend him.  I can recommend Hunter Henry against the Bills and Evan Engram against the Bengals.  With Irv Smith missing the game with Carolina, it opens the door for Kyle Rudolph to be a great sleeper.

If your streaming defenses, the teams you’ll want this week are the Dolphins, Giants, Saints and Seahawks.  They all play the teams giving up the most fantasy points to defenses.

Here’s to a crazy Week 12.  I hope you all had a great Thanksgiving and your fantasy teams get one step closer to being in the playoffs!

Charlie Wiegert was the sixth person to be inducted in the Fantasy Sports Hall Of Fame in 2001. He is a founder of CDM Fantasy Sports and Fantasy Sports Trade Association. He has been playing and winning fantasy baseball leagues since 1984. If you have any questions for Charlie, email them to cwiegert@cdmsports.com. Follow him on Twitter @GFFantasySports.

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Ronald Jones II Jan 20 6:50pm ET

Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Ronald Jones II (quadriceps) and wide receivers Mike Evans (knee) and Chris Godwin (quadriceps) were all limited participants during Wednesday's practice. Jones was able to practice in a limited fashion last week before ultimately suiting up against the Saints, while Evans' and Godwin's reps are being managed as precautions. Jones has a good matchup against Green Bay's front, though he and Leonard Fournette are trending towards a timeshare after head coach Bruce Arians described them as a "1-2 punch." Meanwhile, Evans will likely tango with star corner Jaire Alexander on the outside, as tough a matchup as any. Godwin is due for a rebound performance after dropping a surefire touchdown last week and could see more targets if Evans struggles and Antonio Brown (knee) is banged up.

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Fantasy Spin: Harbaugh also said they aren't going to adjust the offense to be more pass-heavy. So long as Jackson is healthy, he'll be a top fantasy QB for the foreseeable future due to his added production on the ground.

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Ronald Jones II Jan 20 6:43pm ET

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Antonio Brown Jan 20 6:20pm ET

Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Antonio Brown (knee) was listed as a non-participant for Wednesday's practice. Brown sustained the knee injury during the divisional-round win over the Saints, with Tampa Bay officially listing him as day-to-day. The veteran wideout will look to ramp up his activity during Thursday and Friday's sessions to give him a chance at suiting up against Green Bay in the NFC title game. Fellow wideouts Scotty Miller and Tyler Johnson- who both made big plays in the victory over New Orleans- would be in line to receive more targets if Brown isn't healthy enough to play.

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Nickell Robey Jan 20 5:53pm ET

Philadelphia Eagles DB Nickell Robey-Coleman was removed from the Reserve/COVID-19 list Wednesday, Jan. 20.

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Jordan Wilkins Jan 20 5:43pm ET

Indianapolis Colts RB Jordan Wilkins was activated from the Reserve/COVID-19 list Wednesday, Jan. 20.

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Mason Crosby Jan 20 5:33pm ET

Green Bay Packers LB Krys Barnes (thumb), PK Mason Crosby (shoulder), RB AJ Dillon (quadriceps), DL Kingsley Keke (concussion), TE Marcedes Lewis (knee), LB Za'Darius Smith (thumb), WR Equanimeous St. Brown (knee, ankle), OT Ricky Wagner (knee) and RB Jamaal Williams (ankle) were limited at practice Wednesday, Jan. 20. S Will Redmond (knee) practiced in full.

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Chris Godwin Jan 20 5:23pm ET

Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Chris Godwin (hip, quadriceps) was limited at practice Wednesday, Jan. 20.

Fantasy Spin: Godwin caught four of seven targets but for just 34 yards against the New Orleans Saints in the NFC Divisional Round. The Buccaneers' passing game wasn't needed much as Tampa Bay operated from favorable field position for much of the game. Godwin, Mike Evans and Antonio Brown should all see more work against the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship. Godwin is likely to see the most targets.

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Ronald Jones II Jan 20 5:23pm ET

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Fantasy Spin: Jones ran 13 times for 62 yards against the New Orleans Saints last week after being considered questionable for most of the practice week. He should be more involved this week, but the game script isn't likely to be as favorable for the Bucs as it was in the NFC Divisional Round. Jones will be a touchdown-dependent fantasy FLEX option this week.

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Jason Pierre-Paul Jan 20 5:23pm ET

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Antonio Brown Jan 20 5:13pm ET

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Fantasy Spin: Brown is expected to be fine in time for Sunday's NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers. He'll represent a contrarian pivot from either Mike Evans or Chris Godwin.

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Mike Evans Jan 20 5:13pm ET

Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Mike Evans (knee) was a limited participant at practice Wednesday, Jan. 20.

Fantasy Spin: Evans didn't practice much last week and was targeted just three times in the NFC Divisional Round game against the New Orleans Saints. His day was saved by a three-yard touchdown catch, but it was his only reception. He should be more involved in the NFC Championship with another week of recovery under his belt.

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Stefon Diggs Jan 20 4:53pm ET

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Fantasy Spin: Diggs has posted at least 100 yards in five of his last six games and is a must-start fantasy option if he is active for the game.

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Quinton Jefferson Jan 20 4:53pm ET

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Stefon Diggs Jan 20 4:40pm ET

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Patrick Mahomes Jan 20 4:33pm ET

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Gabriel Davis Jan 20 4:30pm ET

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