RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 7

Fri Oct 22 11:08am ET
By MIKE BARNER
Contributing Writer

Related photo caption below

Rodgers is worth high price tag


We have a limited number of options in DFS for Week 7 since six teams will be on a bye. They have some of the most prolific offenses, as well, including the Bills, Cowboys and Chargers. Let’s dive into the teams that will take the field and highlight some players from them to target, as well as a few to potentially avoid.

Quarterbacks

Aaron Rodgers, GB vs. WAS ($7,500): With the Bears struggling to score last week, the Packers didn’t need much production from Rodgers. He only attempted 23 passes in the game, completing 17 of them for 195 yards and two touchdowns. Since their Week 1 debacle against the Saints, Rodgers has thrown 12 touchdown passes and just one interception. Washington has allowed a league-high 16 touchdown passes, so another big performance could be forthcoming.

Jameis Winston, NO at SEA ($5,500): When you think of the Seahawks over the past decade, a strong defense is what usually comes to mind. However, they have anything but one this season, especially against the pass since they have allowed the fifth-most passing yards per game. At this cheap salary, Winston could be worth taking a chance on in tournament play.

Player to Avoid

Derek Carr, LV vs. PHI ($6,000): With his 341 passing yards against the Broncos in Week 6, Carr has thrown for over 340 yards in four of six games. However, he hasn’t topped more than two touchdown passes in a contest and he’s also thrown four interceptions. In a matchup against an Eagles defense that has allowed the 10th-fewest fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks, it might be best to keep Carr out of your entry.

Running Backs

Darrell Henderson Jr., LAR vs. DET ($6,600): The Lions defense is a mess. Add in an offense that generally has a hard time scoring and they can dig themselves into an early hole. That often sets up a game script that is favorable to the opposing running backs, so it’s not a surprise that they have allowed the second-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs. Enter Henderson, who has been on the field for 79.7 percent of the Rams’ offensive snaps this season.

Darrell Williams, KC at TEN ($5,000): Williams was busy in the Chiefs first game without Clyde Edwards-Helaire (knee), carrying the ball 21 times against Washington. He wasn’t overly efficient, turning them into 62 yards. However, he received six carries inside the red zone, which helped him to score two touchdowns. The Titans have allowed seven rushing touchdowns, which is tied for the fifth-most in the league. Don’t be surprised if Williams finds his way into the end zone at least one time in this contest.

Player to Avoid

Devontae Booker, NYG vs. CAR ($5,500): The Giants are a mess. They continue to have one injury after another, most of which have come on the offensive side of the ball. Filling in for Saquon Barkley (ankle), Booker only had 12 carries for 41 yards against the Cowboys. Their offensive line took another hit when Andrew Thomas (ankle/foot) was placed on IR and they remain banged up at wide receiver, so they could have a difficult time moving the ball against a Panthers team that has only allowed an average of 20.2 points per game.

Wide Receivers

Davante Adams, GS vs. WAS ($8,900): With the Packers not throwing much last week, Adams only received five targets. He made the most of them, finishing with four receptions for 89 yards. He has eight red-zone targets this season and already has four games with at least nine total targets, so with how many passing touchdowns Washington has allowed, a Rodgers-Adams stack could prove to be profitable.

Darnell Mooney, CHI at TB ($4,700): Mooney hauled in his first touchdown reception of the season in Week 6. He finished with five receptions for 45 yards, marking his fourth game this season with at least five catches. If the Bears are going to have any chance of hanging with the Buccaneers, they will likely need to throw the ball a lot more than they are accustomed. Add in the Bucs allowing the sixth-most passing yards per game and Mooney could be worth a look in tournament play.

Player to Avoid

Marquise Brown, BAL vs. CIN ($5,800): The last two weeks were a perfect example of the highs and lows that can accompany Brown in DFS. In Week 5, he torched the Colts for nine catches, 125 yards and two touchdowns. Last week, he had a mere four catches for 35 yards against the Chargers. With the Bengals only allowing an average of 18.5 points per game, we might receive another underwhelming stat line from Brown.

Tight Ends

Zach Ertz, ARI vs. HOU ($3,900): Before landing on IR with a knee injury, Maxx Williams had been a productive member of the Cardinals’ potent offense. Through five games, he had 16 receptions for 193 yards and a touchdown. With him likely being out for the season, the Cardinals acted quickly by acquiring Ertz from the Eagles. No longer having to share his tight end position with Dallas Goedert, Ertz could be in line for a resurgence in production.

Ricky Seals-Jones, WAS at GB ($3,700): With Logan Thomas (hamstring) out, Washington has relied heavily on Seals-Jones. Over the last two games, he’s logged 98.7 percent and 100 percent of their offensive snaps, respectively. The result was nine catches for 99 yards and a touchdown. At this cheap salary, his secure playing time makes him very appealing.

Player to Avoid

Evan Engram, NYG vs. CAR ($3,600): Engram has been a massive disappointment with the Giants. Whether it’s been because of injuries, poor play or their inability to figure out how to better utilize him in the offense, his tenure with the franchise might be over soon. Even with their wide receiver group decimated last week, Engram only had three receptions for 24 yards. With Ertz and Seals-Jones in his same salary range, there’s no need to take a chance on Engram.

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. His work has appeared in Sports Illustrated, Yahoo, SportsLine and RotoWire. Mike was also a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Follow Mike on Twitter @rotomikebarner.

Top Headlines
The Paur Report

Five Waiver Wire Adds: Week 12

Player Notes
Ian Thomas Nov 27 12:20pm ET
Ian Thomas

Carolina Panthers tight end Ian Thomas should be far away from starting lineups in Week 12. The 25-year-old has posted three receptions for 26 yards total in the last three games and that goes to show how little of a role he has in this offense. There are much better TE options to start in fantasy this week.

From RotoBaller

Melvin Gordon Nov 27 12:20pm ET
Melvin Gordon

The Denver Broncos still have plenty of confidence in running back Melvin Gordon III despite the fact that he's fumbled twice in the last three games, and his last one in Week 10 was returned for a touchdown. "Melvin's one of the top backs in this league," head coach Vic Fangio said. Despite the fumbling issues, Gordon leads the team with 522 rushing yards on 118 carries (4.4 yards per carry) and has found the end zone seven times (five rushing, two receiving) while sharing snaps with rookie Javonte Williams almost evenly. There's no reason to think the Broncos will change their backfield game plan in Week 12 against a Los Angeles Chargers defense that is surrendering the most rushing yards per game (145.1). Gordon will be an RB2 in fantasy in this revenge game.

From RotoBaller

Tua Tagovailoa Nov 27 12:20pm ET
Tua Tagovailoa

The Carolina Panthers defense is a top-five option for Week 12 against the Dolphins. This unit has gotten 30 sacks, eight picks, and 14 forced fumbles on the season thus far. While they do allow more points in some games, this unit has generally done a good job against weaker offenses. The Dolphins don't have an explosive offense and Tua Tagovailoa is still a young QB who is prone to mistakes, so there is reason to stream the Panthers defense this week with confidence.

From RotoBaller

Jakobi Meyers Nov 27 12:20pm ET
Jakobi Meyers

New England Patriots wide receiver Jakobi Meyers has failed to surpass 50 receiving yards in each of his last six games. Although, it's worth noting that Meyers has seen four or more targets in every game this season. His production has been inconsistent, which makes him a difficult fantasy option on a weekly basis. Fantasy managers should consider Meyers a low-end flex option in PPR formats for Week 12. He'll face off against a Tennessee Titans defense that has allowed the most fantasy points to wideouts this season. The Patriots aren't exactly a pass-heavy team, but this is a favorable matchup for Meyers. The targets should be there, which makes him a solid candidate for PPR formats in Week 12.

From RotoBaller

D.J. Moore Nov 27 12:10pm ET
D.J. Moore

Carolina Panthers wide receiver D.J. Moore is a WR2 option in Week 12 against the Dolphins. Moore's production has dipped a bit recently after a hot start to the season. In the last three games, he's posted 50 yards only once. Still, the WR is the top pass-catching option on this team and the target share will be there each week. Miami allows the second-most fantasy points to wideouts, so this could be the week Moore gets back on track.

From RotoBaller

Teddy Bridgewater Nov 27 12:10pm ET
Teddy Bridgewater

Denver Broncos quarterback Teddy Bridgewater is coming off the bye week looking to put the team's disappointing Week 11 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles in the rearview mirror. A week after a huge upset over the Dallas Cowboys, Bridgewater went 22-for-36 for 226 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions. Bridgewater hasn't turned the ball over since Week 7, but he has only thrown for 300-plus yards twice this year and not since Week 6. The Los Angeles Chargers defense won't exactly make it easy on Bridgewater to put up big numbers, either -- they've allowed the fifth-fewest passing yards per game (209.9), although they've been more generous to QBs in recent weeks in fantasy. In Denver's run-first, ball-control offense, Bridgewater will come out of the bye as a low-end QB2 once again.

From RotoBaller

Robby Anderson Nov 27 12:10pm ET
Robby Anderson

Carolina Panthers wide receiver Robby Anderson should remain on benches for the Week 12 clash against the Dolphins. The WR has a been a super disappointing fantasy option all season, not having posted more than 40 yards in a game since early October. Despite having a good target share in most games, Anderson cannot seem to take advantage of that. Because of his low production, he shouldn't be trusted even in a matchup with a Dolphins squad that allows the second-most fantasy points to WRs.

From RotoBaller

J.J. Taylor Nov 27 12:10pm ET
J.J. Taylor

New England Patriots running back J.J. Taylor was a healthy scratch last week. In fact, Taylor has only played in five games this season. Although, he could be asked to step up for the Week 12 matchup against the Tennessee Titans. Both Damien Harris (neck) and Rhamondre Stevenson (knee) are listed as questionable for this contest. That leaves Taylor and Brandon Bolden as the primary options. However, fantasy managers shouldn't get too excited. The only time Taylor was productive was in Week 7 when he posted a two-touchdown performance. It's uncertain if Harris or Stevenson will actually be inactive yet. Taylor would be a desperation deep league option even with an expanded role.

From RotoBaller

Mac Jones Nov 27 12:00pm ET
Mac Jones

New England Patriots quarterback Mac Jones has thrown for over 230 yards just once over his last six games. Despite that, his team has won every game, but one of those contests. The rookie quarterback isn't putting together superstar numbers, but is helping his team win. That being said, Jones is unlikely to be worth streaming against the Tennessee Titans in Week 12. A defense that ranks ninth in pass DVOA this season. There isn't a ton of upside here with the Pats being a run-heavy offense. Jones will be towards the bottom in terms of streaming options at QB this week. It's not because he's bad, but because he normally doesn't produce reliable fantasy numbers.

From RotoBaller

Cam Newton Nov 27 12:00pm ET
Cam Newton

Carolina Panthers quarterback Cam Newton is in the QB1 conversation against Miami in Week 12. The QB has been fantastic since returning to his old squad. He has now posted five touchdowns in the last two games, three passing and two rushing. The 32-year-old has proved he still has it in terms of his dual-threat abilities. The Dolphins allow the seventh-most points to fantasy QBs, so Newton is a solid start.

From RotoBaller

Christian McCaffrey Nov 27 12:00pm ET
Christian McCaffrey

Carolina Panthers running back Christian McCaffrey is a solid RB1 against Miami. The RB has accumulated at least 52 rushing yards and 54 receiving yards in the last three games and always has a high chance to get over 100 yards of scrimmage in any contest given his large role. Miami is somewhat stingy to fantasy backs, but McCaffrey's rich volume still makes him an elite play.

From RotoBaller

Brandon Bolden Nov 27 12:00pm ET
Brandon Bolden

New England Patriots running back Brandon Bolden is coming off one of his worst games of the season. He finished with one rushing yard and two receptions for 15 yards last week. Now, he could see a significant role in the offense versus the Tennessee Titans in Week 12. Both Damien Harris (neck) and Rhamondre Stevenson (knee) are listed as questionable heading into this contest. That means, Bolden and J.J. Taylor could be asked to pick up the slack, assuming both players are out. A majority of Bolden's value does come in the receiving game. However, two inactive backs would mean more chances for Bolden. A could have some sneaky PPR value, but it would be dependent on the status of Harris and Stevenson.

From RotoBaller

Kareem Hunt Nov 27 11:10am ET
Kareem Hunt

The Cleveland Browns officially activated running back Kareem Hunt (calf) and offensive tackle Jack Conklin (elbow) from Injured Reserve on Saturday, and both players are on track to play on Sunday night against the Baltimore Ravens in Week 12. It's great news for a Browns offense that has been slowed of late due to all the injuries to quarterback Baker Mayfield. Hunt has been out since Week 6, so it's fair to wonder if his snaps will be limited in his first game back. The 26-year-old had carved out standalone value in PPR leagues before his injury despite splitting backfield work with Nick Chubb. At the very worst, Hunt will probably be in play as an RB3/flex this week, even though the Ravens have been more vulnerable deep down the field than against RBs this season.

From RotoBaller

Mack Hollins Nov 27 11:10am ET
Mack Hollins

Miami Dolphins wide receiver Mack Hollins is coming off his best performance of the season. Last week, he hauled in two receptions for 72 yards and one touchdown in the win. That is not exactly an outstanding performance, but Hollins hasn't been involved much this season. There is a good chance he is quiet again versus the Carolina Panthers in Week 12. A defense that ranks second in pass DVOA heading into this contest. There might be a few targets for Hollins, but it won't be enough to warrant starting him in any formats. There are too many options ahead of him in the pecking order in Miami.

From RotoBaller

Blake Jarwin Nov 27 11:10am ET
Blake Jarwin

The Dallas Cowboys placed tight end Blake Jarwin on the Reserve/COVID-19 list on Saturday after he tested positive for the virus. Jarwin is also currently on Injured Reserve after he suffered a serious hip injury in Week 8. However, the 27-year-old has already missed four games, so if is asymptomatic and returns two negative tests, there's a chance he could be eligible to play next Thursday against the New Orleans Saints. The Cowboys have yet to open his 21-day window to return from IR, though, so we'd be surprised if Jarwin is active for Week 13. Jarwin can be left to the waiver wire in most leagues, as he has only 10 catches on 15 targets for 90 yards and two touchdowns in seven games this year as the clear No. 2 TE option in Dallas behind Dalton Schultz when he's healthy.

From RotoBaller

Mike Gesicki Nov 27 11:00am ET
Mike Gesicki

Miami Dolphins tight end Mike Gesicki has seen at least six targets in all, but two games this season. The Dolphins continue to work the 26-year-old heavily into their weekly gameplan. Sadly, Gesicki could have some trouble making noise against the Carolina Panthers in Week 12. He'll get to play against the second ranked pass defense in DVOA this season. The targets should be there, but Gesicki has also posted two zero-reception duds as well. Despite that, Gesicki should be considered a low-end TE1 for this matchup.

From RotoBaller

Albert Wilson Nov 27 11:00am ET
Albert Wilson

Miami Dolphins wide receiver Albert Wilson has seen an increased workload over the last few weeks. Sadly, the increase in targets hasn't exactly resulted in better results. In fact, Wilson has only surpassed 20 receiving yards in a single game once this season. That is unlikely going to change against the Carolina Panthers in Week 12. A defense that ranks second in pass DVOA this season. There could be a handful of targets for Wilson, but that won't be enough to warrant starting him in any formats.

From RotoBaller

Myles Gaskin Nov 27 10:50am ET
Myles Gaskin

Miami Dolphins running back Myles Gaskin has been held to 60 rushing yards or less in every game, but three this season. However, Gaskin is coming off a season-high 89 yards in Week 11. He also saw a season-high 23 carries in that performance. Now, he'll head into a fairly favorable matchup against the Carolina Panthers in Week 12. A defense that ranks 19th in rush DVOA this season. The absence of Malcolm Brown (quad) has increased Gaskin's involvement in the offense. Fantasy managers should be able to count on Gaskin as a RB2 for this week.

From RotoBaller

Jaylen Waddle Nov 27 10:50am ET
Jaylen Waddle

Miami Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle has seen eight or more targets in five of his last six games. The Dolphins continue to work the rookie into their gameplan with DeVante Parker (hamstring) and Will Fuller (finger) still sidelined. Sadly, the Dolphins could have trouble getting Waddle the ball in Week 12. He'll head into a matchup against the Carolina Panthers who rank second in pass DVOA this season. Over the last three games, Waddle has been able to surpass 60 receiving yards in all of them. However, that streak could come to an end against Carolina. Fantasy managers should consider Waddle a WR3 in PPR formats for this matchup.

From RotoBaller

Tua Tagovailoa Nov 27 10:40am ET
Tua Tagovailoa

Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been an inconsistent fantasy option all season long. However, it's worth noting Tagovailoa has three multiple touchdown games in three of his last five games. Unfortunately, it's unlikely that he is going to succeed against the Carolina Panthers in Week 12. A defense that ranks second in pass DVOA this season. The Dolphins have limited weapons and one of the worst offensive lines in the league. Fantasy managers should continue to consider Tagovailoa a QB2 moving forward.

From RotoBaller